Yesterday's value picks are tomorrow's overhyped mistakes

The first overall pick in the blog commenters mid-season draft was actually a player who began the year un-owned in many mixed leagues: Josh Hamilton.

He's pretty good, this Hamilton. Is he really going to be the top pick in 2009 drafts? No, probably not. There are five-category players at positions where stats are scarce who'll be taken before him.

But if Hamilton remains relatively healthy in the second half, and he maintains the .950-ish OPS, he's clearly a mid- or late-first rounder next season. You'll note that he's No. 6 on the latest Big Board.

Mid-season drafts obviously tell us a lot about how the fantasy hierarchy has reordered itself. While we don't normally waste much blog space discussing universally-owned players, today we'll begin with a look at guys who've made significant leaps in value and draft position. These guys began the year as free agents or late-round fliers, and they've moved into the top 150 (based entirely on the decisions of 16 commenters, some of whom were auto-picking).

Feel free to tell us how ridiculous/brilliant any of the following selections were...

Josh Hamilton (.315, 49 R, 19 HR, 74 RBI, 2 SB), Round 1, Pick 1

Edinson Volquez (9-2, 1.64 ERA, 105 K, 1.17 WHIP) R3 P10

Carlos Quentin (.267, 44 R, 16 HR, 55 RBI, 4 SB), R3 P13

Jacoby Ellsbury (.283, 50 R, 5 HR, 23 RBI, 34 SB), R3 P14

Nate McLouth (.293, 54 R, 15 HR, 48 RBI, 7 SB), R4 P3

Jay Bruce (.325, 15 R, 4 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB), R4 P10

Milton Bradley (.330, 47 R, 15 HR, 48 RBI, 4 SB), R4 P11

Matt Kemp (.292, 30 R, 5 HR, 39 RBI, 12 SB), R5 P10

Shaun Marcum (5-3, 2.43 ERA, 80 K, 0.99 WHIP), R5 P12

Ryan Ludwick (.310, 45 R, 16 HR, 54 RBI, 4 SB), R6 P1

David Murphy (.279, 40 R, 10 HR, 48 RBI, 5 SB), R6 P11

Carlos Gomez (.268, 41 R, 5 HR, 24 RBI, 18 SB), R7 P4

Evan Longoria (.249, 33 R, 11 HR, 33 RBI, 3 SB), R8 P3

Joey Votto (.279, 32 R, 11 HR, 36 RBI, 4 SB), R9 P10

A few other names of note: Ryan Doumit (R11 P3), Mark Reynolds (R11 P14), Brandon Morrow (R12 P10), Gavin Floyd (R13 P6), Clayton Kershaw (R16 P5), Jonathan Sanchez (R17 P16), Ian Stewart (R19 P6), Mike Aviles (R19 P15).

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