On the eve of the biggest draft weekend of the year, let's empty out the scouting notebook.
• I've got the Jaguars finally unseating the Colts in the AFC South this year, and I like to snag my kicker and defense from a winning situation, so voila - I'm fairly well invested in Josh Scobee and the Jacksonville defense. Jacksonville is also a difficult place to play, especially early in the season, which doesn't hurt the angle.
• Whatever you paid for Brandon Marshall, it was worth it. He's looking like a Top 10 receiver (the suspension reduction obviously helps). And the price looks right on Jay Cutler and Tony Scheffler, too.
• The 49ers have that 5-11 look to them, but it's going to be an entertaining, 'putting the fun in dysfunctional' sort of season. The Cardinals have that same tint.
• Earnest Graham was challenged by quantity this summer, not quality. His 2007 emergence certainly passed the eye test: good vision, moves the pile, can catch the ball. You don't have to attack like crazy here, just see if he makes sense to you in the fourth round.
• I've got no problem with Larry Johnson - it's the quarterback and offensive line I don't trust. Unfortunately, those elements could wreck his season. You need a better No. 1 fantasy back.
• Joey Galloway has 'cliff season' written all over him. It's been a fun few years, but I'm off it now.
• It's not that I don't like David Garrard, but I'm always hesitant to extrapolate per-play greatness for fantasy purposes. The Jaguars are built as a run-first offense, and Garrard didn't run a lot down the stretch in 2007 (excepting that game-clinching scamper at Pittsburgh).
• I'm not even sure I can defend it, but I've got a hunch Justin Fargas is going to prove useful this year. Other curious names on the sleeper list: Kenny Watson, Derrick Mason, Dennis Northcutt, Leon Washington (perhaps this is the year the Jets learn how to use him).
• Marion Barber is always worth the price of admission, but I worry about the amount of contact he takes, the defenders he seeks out and meets head on. There's no shame in going into self-preservation mode every now and again.
• Offensive lines have more to do with the running game than you think, and less to do with the passing game than you think. Just keep that in mind. And whenever you see a team allowing a scant total of sacks, it's probably more about the quarterback's decision making than it is about the pass blocking.
• I liked Josh Morgan before he got too pricy and there's a solid case for DeSean Jackson, but otherwise it's been a silly year for rookie receiver pricing. It's a modest group. The position has a steep learning curve when you make the jump to the pros. Stop targeting these guys, please.
• Forget the specs on Steve Slaton and ask yourself one question - do you like what you see on the field? I do.
• I read somewhere this week that Edgerrin James is one of the top tackle-breakers in the league. Did anyone else watch this guy the last 3-4 seasons? The power left the building a long time ago; he's been a finesse back for years.
• I see two erratic months for Aaron Rodgers, followed by two super months. That's assuming he can stay in one piece and all that.
• If I were Kevin Patrick Smith, I'd want every copy of Mallrats destroyed (I gave it a cross-check revisit last week and it was even worse than I remembered). At least he redeemed himself nicely with Chasing Amy (far and away his best, and I won't debate this). Detroit's Kevin Smith? Worth a shot at the end of the sixth, beginning of the seventh.
• Real men don't overbid on a kicker.
• I'm rooting for Kyle Orton. I'm not drafting him and my expectations are incredibly low, but there's something about him I like. Maybe it's the Morrison Hotel look.
• Seattle's defense remains under the radar, for some reason. You can make a tidy profit here. The Steelers aren't as good as the name brand suggests.
That's all I got on my pages, so let's throw it over to you. Give us a peek at your crib sheet.