Shocker Special: Lex-n-Effect ready to rump shake in Buffalo

Each week the Noise will guide desperate, deep-thinking owners into the dark corners of the waiver wire to mine a last-minute diamond. Turn on your helmet light and pack a pickaxe. We're digging for drop-jaw surprises owned in fewer than 10 percent or started in five percent or less of Yahoo! Plus leagues.

When one reflects on the offerings of Montana, mountains, grizzly bears, microbrews and some slaughter at Little Bighorn immediately come to mind.

However, the Treasure State also boasts quality football. The University of Montana Grizzlies have won two Division 1-AA national championships over the past 15 years and punched a ticket for the playoffs in 16 consecutive seasons.

Though Montana isn't a pro football factory like perennial powerhouses Ohio State or Florida, it has produced its fair share of NFL talent, including current Miami Dolphin Lex Hilliard(notes).

Promoted from the practice squad after Ronnie Brown(notes) was felled by a devastating foot injury, the former Grizz standout emerged from the deepest recesses of the waiver wire to produce respectable numbers against Carolina last week. On just six touches he totaled 31 yards (5.2 yards per touch), exhibiting excellent downhill power and between-the-tackles burst. With Brown on injured reserve, the former '08 sixth-round pick, whose skill set scouts compared to Marion Barber's,(notes) will remain a fixture in the Dolphins backfield, albeit often in a limited role.

But this week in Buffalo, Hilliard's workload could expand.

Ricky Williams(notes) lugged the rock 22 times last week, exiting stage left late in the fourth quarter with a minor chest injury. Undoubtedly, the Holistic One will shoulder the bulk of the carries once again, but because of his advanced age and inferior opponent, the 32-year-old may cede a few carries to the younger Hilliard.

Anticipate a mauling.

On the season, the Beefalos have been feasted on by rushers, surrendering 4.9 yards per carry, 195.6 total yards per game and 16 total touchdowns, equal to the most fantasy points allowed. Because of Tony Sparano's ground-pounding philosophy, the Fins will most certainly run down the throat of their AFC East rival. Even if the Bills stack the box, their interior seven is no match for Miami's banged up but still formiddable offensive line. In their first meeting back in Week 4, Ricky (17 touches) and Ronnie (20) combined for 211 yards and three scores. Though Hilliard's workload will likely be lighter in comparison, he could easily accumulate 50-plus yards on 10-12 touches.

For those in desperate deep-league situations, the 14 percent-owned (one percent-started) Montana native could prove to be a rural king.

Week 12 Fearless Forecast: 11 carries, 57 rushing yards, 2 receptions 8 receiving yards, 1 touchdown, 12 fantasy points

Following the rules mentioned in the boilerplate, who is your Week 12 shocker special? Post your pick with projection below.


Each week one lucky aspiring fantasy prognosticator is chosen to go toe-to-toe against the Noise. If you want to be a guest "expert" submit your Week 13 flames, lames (1 QB, 3 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE for each, 16 total) and shocker special (one player at any position) along with a valid email address and your location here no later than 7 PM central time on Thursday. Oh, and please, no long dissertations to justify your picks. All that's required are your player selections and projections. Winners earn a league spot to compete against yours truly next season. Good luck!

Week 12 contestant: Alan from Ithaca, NY

QB: Matt Cassel(notes), KC, 18-30, 270 yards, 2 TDs, 7%
RB: Justin Forsett(notes), Sea, 21 rushes, 120 yards, 40 receiving yards, 1 TD, 52%
RB: Knowshon Moreno(notes), Den, 17 rushes, 95 yards, 1 TD, 36%
RB: Carnell Williams(notes), TB, 20 rushes, 115 yards, 1 TD, 20%
WR: Chris Chambers(notes), KC, 7 catches, 90 yards, 1 TD, 31%
WR: Mario Manningham(notes), NYG, 5 catches, 85 yards, 1 TD, 46%
WR: Laveranues Coles(notes), Cin, 5 catches, 70 yards, 1 TD, 20%
TE: Todd Heap(notes), Bal, 6 catches, 80 yards, 1 TD, 17%

QB: Ben Roethlisberger(notes), Pit, 15-27, 200 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 44%*
RB: Jason Snelling(notes), Atl, 18 rushes, 64 yards, 1 FL, 61%
RB: Joseph Addai(notes), Ind, 15 rushes, 70 yards, 0 TDs, 89%
RB: Marion Barber, Dal, 18 rushes, 72 yards, 0 TDs, 85%
WR: Randy Moss(notes), NE, 4 catches, 48 yards, 0 TDs, 99%
WR: Mike Sims-Walker(notes), Jac, 3 catches 32 yards, 0 TDs, 89%
WR: Hines Ward(notes), Pit, 3 catches 40 yards, 0 TDs, 91%
TE: Brent Celek(notes), Phi, 2 catches, 20 yards, 0 TDs, 77%

Shocker Special: Kevin Walter(notes), Hou, 7 catches, 140 yards, 1 TD, 18%*

*Don't exactly qualify, but Alan was selected because his Moreno pick deserved to be recognized.

Week 11 results: Sean from South Brunswick, NJ

Flames (4-5): W - (Jason Snelling, Chris Chambers, Zach Miller, Matthew Stafford(notes) (Shocker)); L - (Jake Delhomme(notes), Fred Jackson(notes), Ladell Betts(notes), Davone Bess(notes), Steve Breaston(notes))

Lames (5-3): W - (Tony Romo(notes), Pierre Thomas(notes), Miles Austin(notes), Chad Ochocinco(notes), Jeremy Shockey(notes)); L - (Rashard Mendenhall(notes), Thomas Jones(notes), Mike Sims-Walker)

Noisers Season: Flames (30-61, 32.9%), Lames (38-41, 48.1%)

Winners: Matthew in Colden, NY, Micah in Shelbyville, TN, Brian in Colorado Springs, Sean from South Brunswick, NJ


Image courtesy of US Presswire

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