Everyone who expects to be a fantasy factor in Week 7, take a step forward.
Not so fast, Percy Harvin.
In-season trades are rare in the NFL, which underscores why Friday's news was so shocking. The Seahawks and Jets hooked up on a Harvin trade; New York takes the receiver (and a sizable contract), while Seattle collects a conditional draft pick.
Harvin was no sure thing to play in Week 7 – he's dealing with a sore thigh – but now he's a fantasy scratch, as the Jets played Thursday night in New England. Harvin leads the league in overturned touchdowns and bye weeks. He'll pick up his third holiday when the Jets sit during Week 11.
The deal resonates more in the real league than it does in our pretend-football universe. Harvin's value probably won't dip much with the Jets, given that Seattle wasn't getting much out of him to begin with.
Harvin managed just 133 receiving yards through five games, along with 92 rushing yards (and one score) on 11 carries. He's outside the Top 60 in Yahoo wide receiver scoring. His bizarro signature game came in Washington two weeks back, when penalties wiped out three different Harvin touchdowns.
Nonetheless, he's been a gamebreaker at times before; witness Harvin's Minnesota resume, or the big plays from last February's Super Bowl. There's some theoretical upside here.
Maybe the Harvin addition pushes Geno Smith into stable QB2 range in the second half of the year. At least we're probably spared the Jeremy Kerley ghost sweep action the Jets were playing with. I'll call it a lateral move for Eric Decker – less defensive attention against maybe a slight leak in targets.
I'll give a modest upgrade to the primary Seattle receivers (Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, Ricardo Lockette), but there's no obvious breakthrough candidate here. Seattle played without Harvin just about all of 2013 and still didn't produce an impact fantasy wideout. This is a balanced offense that doesn't force the ball to any downfield option. It's a shame OC Darrell Bevell never found the right key to unlock Harvin.
I'll probably leave Russell Wilson's value alone – he's produced without Harvin before, and they weren't on the same page for most of 2014. Perhaps Marshawn Lynch will get a little extra work, but he was already a Top 5 back on anyone's sheet – how much higher can he really go?
Trades are fun, even when they don't make immediate sense. Let's enjoy this one. Does Seattle know something about Harvin that the rest of the league does not? Did an unhappy Harvin push for the deal? Can a half-season of Harvin shape Smith into a capable pro quarterback? Will one of the Seattle receivers step into WR3 territory? Your take is welcome in the comments.