Auditing the 2016 Friends and Family Baseball Draft

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Auditing the 2016 Friends and Family Baseball Draft
Auditing the 2016 Friends and Family Baseball Draft

On March 22, we rounded up the usual suspects and held the 12th annual Yahoo Friends & Family Draft. It's a meandering 312-pick mixed league, a highly-competitive industry throwdown. The Yahoo crew has won six of the titles; outsiders have stolen away five of them (including last year). The 2015 standings can be viewed here.

Have a gander at the draft, then settle in for the usual Q and A (pick out a comfortable chair – it's long). Each pundits was asked a question about his team and a question about the league's perceived hits and misses. We welcome your comments (and predictions) in the comments; maybe this will be the year we have a 12-way tie for last.

For the second year in a row, transactions are capped at 125. Bench space has been upped from three to four. Other key specs (these are unchanged from previous years): we start just one catcher; we use four outfielders and two utility bats; we allow for daily roster adjustments; and innings pitched are capped at 1,400. We also use 5x5 scoring. We're reasonable people.

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MEET THE FAMILY

Yahoo – Brandon Funston – @1befun

Previous F&F Finishes: 11th, 9th, 13th, 13th, 9th, 7th, 5th, 9th, 7th, 9th, 1st

Q: You quickly loaded up the outfield, starting with three studs everyone would like (Trout, Pollock, Blackman). But this format only requires four outfielders in all. Did you feel pinched in the infield later on? Or is it more the case of "grab stats early, sweat the positions later"?

I definitely went with the stat grab early, and I love five-tool players - if my three outfielders are healthy, I'm looking at the combined potential for 75-80 home runs, 90-100 steals, 300-plus runs and something in the neighborhood of a .300 batting average over 1,800-plus ABs. That's a pretty solid statistical foundation. But, admittedly, it did come at the cost of vulnerability at a couple infield spots - in particular, first base and shortstop, where the cupboards emptied early. I ended up with Kendry Morales and Addison Russell as my starters, which I view as less than ideal for a 12-team mixed league.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

Honestly, my favorite pick was Masahiro Tanaka at No. 145 overall. I don't see him as a bigger health risk this season than he was last year, and he finished as the No. 21 fantasy SP in '15. I got him as the No. 35 SP off the board in this draft, a price I didn't hesitate to pay. 

On the flip side, although it was only a Round 19 selection, I probably should have passed on 2B Howie Kendrick in favor of one of the few remaining RPs with saves upside (Alex Colome, Andrew Bailey). As it turned out, I came away from the draft less than enamored with my ninth-inning options.

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

Reports are that Michael Brantley (shoulder) may actually be ready for the start of the season and, if that proves to be the case, then I love where Chris Liss was able to land him (No. 77 overall)

I didn't like the Starling Marte pick at No. 22 overall. He finished No. 30 overall in the Y! game last season, and his peripherals strongly suggest that he was aided by a lot of luck in '15 (especially in the power department). 

Yahoo – Andy Behrens – @andybehrens

Previous F&F Finishes: 10th, 14th, 3rd, 1st, 3rd, 5th, 3rd, 7th, 1st 

Q: Most of your stolen bases came from the second part of your draft. What was your general focus with the early selections, and tell us about some of your cheap rabbits who could keep you afloat in steals. 

I was drafting at the turn in F&F this year, for like the 19th season in a row, so it seemed doubtful that one of the game's few five-category fantasy assets would fall to me in Round 1. You can't really make plans at the turn, not in a competitive league. I was thrilled to get Cutch. I followed that pick with Kris Bryant because A) I'm fairly sure he can be a 90-30-100 bat, and B) third base is a disaster beyond the top tier. Both of my top-of-draft selections delivered double-digit stolen base totals last season, so I didn't completely ignore the stat in the early rounds. 

As is the case every year, there are plenty of low-cost sources for steals available late in drafts. I ended up with several players who can (and have) topped 20 stolen bases in recent years, including McCutchen, Segura, Alexei, Fowler, Inciarte and Span. And at the very end I snagged Mallex Smith, my pet prospect for 2016. He swiped 57 bases in the minors last season and 88 the year before. We'll see him in Atlanta before long. 

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret 

Andrew Bailey is understandably buried in the pre-draft ranks, but he's in the mix to close for Philly and having a quality spring. I suppose he would be my pick to promote. Ben Paulsen in Round 23 felt pretty good, too; the plan is to always play him at home, facing RHPs. 

It seems a little early to have draft regrets, though I suppose I wish I'd picked Joe Ross when I added his name to my queue. He's another favorite for 2016. Dalton Del Don selected Ross in Round 16, and, as we all know, he's generally too cowardly to trade.

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft  

I believe that Chris Liss' selections of Jon Lester and Billy Hamilton in back-to-back rounds will go down as the worst consecutive selections in fantasy draft history. Shockingly poor, even by Liss' standards. But Chris salvaged both his draft and his reputation when he grabbed Trevor Story in Round 20, which seems like silly value. Story should open at short in Colorado, he delivered 70 extra-base hits in the minors last season, and he's had a monstrous spring. 

Yahoo – Dalton Del Don – @daltondeldon

Previous F&F Finishes: 5th, 5th, 6th, 5th, 5th, 2nd

Hit or miss? (Rob Tringali/Getty)
Hit or miss? (Rob Tringali/Getty)

Q: You’re banking on some comeback kids throughout your roster (Yasiel Puig, Adam Wainwright, Jay Bruce). Stump for any (or all) of these guys. 
 
I’m really high on Puig this year and was thrilled to see him fall to the end of the fifth round. Wainwright was plenty effective after returning from an Achilles injury last year, and I viewed it as a pretty big drop off after him among starters. Jay Bruce was a total agnostic pick. Obviously his BA has been a problem the last two seasons, but he’s still just 28 years old, and I needed some power, so the 17th round seemed like a reasonable spot to grab him. 

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

I’m expecting a big breakout from Joe Ross, so I was happy to snatch him up where I did. I don’t love Lucas Duda in round 14 but in general, I was surprised a few teams took multiple catchers with so few bench spots, which wasn’t ideal for me since I was the last to draft one.

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft  

I get why people are down on him, but I thought Dustin Pedroia went extremely late. I would’ve taken him a few rounds earlier had I not already locked up my middle infield. I didn’t see any real “reaches,” but I’m too worried about Anthony Rendon’s ability to stay healthy to take him where he went here.

Yahoo – Scott Pianowski – @scott_pianowski

Previous F&F Finishes: 6th, 1st, 2nd, 11th, 4th, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 6th, 2nd

Q: Someone is too cool for school — no starting pitchers? A closer in the fourth round? Three catchers?

I’ve had some success in this league before, and at times you just want to try different things. The double-punt strategy (give up on wins and strikeouts; hopefully dominate the other pitching categories; build a monster offense) is actually something I drafted towards in 2014 but eventually abandoned. Strangely, I wound up leading the wins category and winning the league. That’s one key element to remember here — the roster I start with doesn’t have to look anything like the roster I finish with, even with the transactions capped at 125.

(It’s also important to note that I wouldn’t try a double-punt in a league where I didn’t know the owners well, or the likely league behavior. You need to be context-familiar to try to pull it off. And I make no promises that I’ll stick to it all year. I do think it’s executable, though.)

I knew a few teams were going to attack the draft with early pitching, and I thought it would actually be fun to swim the other way, not sweat the pitching position at all. But if you’re going to ignore starting pitching, you must dominate in the ratios and you must do it through shutdown relievers. That’s how I landed on Wade Davis in the fourth round, the top closer on my board.

I was hoping the Davis pick would start a closer run, but it didn’t happen for a few rounds. Because my strategy was predicated on lockdown relief innings, I felt it wasn’t worth it to play chicken any longer. I misread the market, but don’t regret the player at all.

As for three catchers, that felt like something I could get away with given that I only took seven pitchers — allowing me two extra offensive bats. Fantasy teams will routinely fall well short of the games played maximum at catcher, a mistake in my mind. Volume and at-bats are a major currency in only leagues, but I also consider those things important in a mixer. I could easily drop one of these catchers when something shiny catches my eye, but I will make every attempt to fill the games played column for all positions. (I would have been thrilled to take Buster Posey in the third round, but he went in the second. I think his value is commonly underestimated in many leagues, even one-catcher formats.)

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

Eric Hosmer is one of my guys this year. He was a Top 25 hitter and Top 35 player in 5x5 value last season; he can regress a modest amount and still provide value for me at Pick 65. And many of you will draft him even later than that. I’ve also talked myself into Wil Myers’s post-hype breakout season.

Although I liked most of my relief staff, I’m not super-confident Shawn Tolleson (Pick 128) will be a real thing for the second straight year. If we took a mulligan on this draft, I would have waited on my first closer (Davis), but accelerated on my second (I just missed David Robertson in the seventh round). I recognize the cheap, scrubby closer is a coveted thing in many IP-unlimited leagues, but in this format, where every inning is precious, you shouldn't always chase handshakes at the expense of potentially lighting your ratios on fire.

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

D.J. LeMahieu is a very safe bet in three categories, protected by the womb of Coors Field. I like him in Roiund 16. Johnny Cueto (Round 9; it's not just the park, it's Posey), Marcell Ozuna (Round 17) and Jason Hammel (Round 19) also look appealing. Chris Davis is lovely for anyone who can snag him in the third round. 

I don't like Billy Hamilton at any price, same as it ever was. I'm not a fan of Jason Heyward or Christian Yeich, and all the ground balls they hit. (Yes, I know, Hosmer has some of that, too. Prop me Hosmer versus those guys, please.) 

Salfino's new buddy (Christian Petersen/Getty)
Salfino's new buddy (Christian Petersen/Getty)

Wall Street Journal – Michael Salfino – @michaelsalfino

Previous F&F Finishes: 8th, 12th, 13th, 2nd, 7th, 11th, 12th

Q: Last year you had a hate-hate relationship with Billy Burns, and this spring you've seem to suggest Gerrit Cole is a little overrated. Tell us how they both landed on Salfino '16.

I still hate Burns in a vacuum but I had so much power at that point of the draft that I wanted one guy to put me into the category mix. I could have sold out with Burns or sold my soul to the devil that is Billy Hamilton. Burns is far superior to Hamilton in batting average and his excess steals relative to Burns I felt were surplus. About 95% of the time, a rabbit like Burns would never be on my team. This was the rare exception to that rule.

I loved Keuchel in that spot but figured after taking Cain in Round 4 that Cole, uniformly rated more highly, would be gone. When I took Cole, I thought there was a non-zero chance that Keuchel would come back to me. Cole I thought had a zero chance to come back. So I took the better chance at getting them both. While I like lower ranked SPs like Syndergaard over Cole, they were gone. Cole was 16th SP off the board, right where I think he should go.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

Pick I like is Ryan Braun at the 66th overall pick. He has a low floor due to injury risk but I think that is more than fully priced in at that price. The upside is .300 with 30 bombs and 25 bags. 

I regret the Michael Wacha pick because I gambled that Steven Matz would last until the next pick at least and I was wrong. Matz is a much bigger risk but offers far more K upside, even though I covered that shortfall with David Robertson and Aroldis Chapman. 

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

Steal of the draft was Ketel Marte in the 21st round to Erickson. He can be a poor man's Jose Altuve. His scouting comp was Jose Reyes. There is more SB upside than most project — 35.

Reach of the draft is David Price at 30th overall. Why take a lefty who pitches in Fenway and in the American League East when you can take the NL tailwind with the entire trio of Mets pitchers available, plus Arrieta and Strasburg? This isn’t about the player. It’s about his environment.

MEET THE FRIENDS

Rotoworld – Defending Champion D.J. Short – @djshort

Previous F&F Finishes: 1st, 10th, 1st

Q: I know some people are unsure of Robinson Cano this year, and we've seen some pans on Felix Hernandez. They were your picks in the fifth and sixth round. Stump for your Seattle guys.

Perhaps we have already seen the best of Cano and King Felix, but I’m not ready to turn the page. Cano dealt with injury and illness during the first half last season, but he batted .331 with 15 home runs and a .927 OPS after the All-Star break. It feels like that is being overlooked. King Felix took a step back in a number of areas last season and struggled during the second half before eventually being shut down with an elbow issue. I’m not looking at him to lead my staff, so if he flops, it won’t hurt nearly as badly as if I drafted him a couple of rounds earlier over the last few years. However, if he bounces back, I’ll be in great shape.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

I really liked getting Michael Conforto at 165. He really held his own in a small sample last year with nine home runs and an .841 OPS in 56 games and I think the best is yet to come. With multiple speed targets going off the board, I held my nose when I picked Alcides Escobar at 189. He’ll steal some bases and score some runs at the top of the Royals’ lineup, but it’s really hard to get excited about a guy who has a career .262 BA/.293 OBP and doesn’t have any power.

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

There were a bunch of picks that I liked, but Patrick Corbin at 183 feels really good. It feels like he’s not getting enough attention after posting a 3.60 ERA with 8.3 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in his return from Tommy John surgery last year. Describing it as a reach feels overly harsh, but Jason Heyward at 58 just doesn’t do it for me. He’ll score a bunch of runs as the Cubs' leadoff man, but his RBI upside could be limited there and he doesn’t stand out with power or speed. He’s useful, but just overrated in the fantasy game.

Rotowire – Chris Liss – @chris_liss

Previous F&F Finishes: 2nd, 3rd, 9th, 3rd, 2nd, 9th, 1st, 6th, 3rd, 1st, 9th

Q: You were definitely Mr. Pitching, attacking it in the second, third, fifth, sixth, ninth, 11th, 13th and 15th round. Conventional wisdom used to tell us to take hitting early; tell us why the paradigm has shifted. 

Because pitching is plentiful and reliable now when it used to be scarce and shaky. The more plentiful, the higher the bar to compete in it.

Ten to fifteen years ago, power used to be plentiful, and you had to have a lot of it to win, but you could wait on pitching. Now it’s the opposite. While this might seem counter-intuitive (doesn’t low supply = higher prices?), that’s only because people are confusing rotisserie baseball with a standard economy.

If food is scarce, and everyone needs food, it becomes pricey. But in roto, you are competing relative to everyone else. If food is scarce, so no one has much, they you don’t need much either to score decently in the “food” category. There’s not this requirement of having food to survive. You only need commodities relative to everyone else, not as an absolute good in itself. That means all those people paying up for steals because they’re scarce are making a mistake. The scarcity means you need less, not more to compete. With pitching it’s just the opposite. 

Waiting for Yu (Charlie Riedel/AP)
Waiting for Yu (Charlie Riedel/AP)

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret 

Yu Darvish in what’s essentially a K/9 when there are two DL slots in the 15th round is robbery. Kenta Maeda has some upside, but there were plenty of pitchers like him available 2-3 rounds later, and it cost me Drew Storen, a viable third closer. That was a mistake.  

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft  

Clayton Kershaw at No. 4 was criminal. He’s the No. 1 player in this format, and it’s not particularly close. I also liked Dallas Keuchel (Round 6 and Zach Britton Round 8 for Erickson.) Reaches: Brad Ziegler actively hurts you in Ks as much as an elite closer helps. He’s unrosterable, let alone in Round 14. Others include: Tyson Ross in Round 8 (wins/9 not just Ks/9), and Wade Davis in Round 4 (not awful in a vacuum, but Kenley Jansen went in Round 6.)

Razzball – Rudy Gamble – @rudygamble

Previous F&F Finishes: 9th, 6th

Q: You took your time at the middle infield position, eventually settling on D.J. LeMahieu (Pick 190), Elvis Andrus (Pick 214) and Jonathan Schoop (Pick 267). Tell us what you make of these position pools in 2016, and if most mixed-league owners should copy your patient approach. 

A: In just about every format this year, the depth of solid middle infielders means there is no reason to reach for a first 10 round middle infielder. I focused on power with my first 5 hitters knowing that I could get average (LeMahieu) and speed (Andrus) later in the draft. I just liked the value on Schoop and had the speed/AVG to spare.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret 

The biggest 'bargain' on my list was Josh Reddick who I have as a $15 player and went at pick #219 (worth about $3). I see him as a middle-of-the-lineup lock who could give you pro-rated 90/25/90/10/.270 stats against RHP and replacement-level stats if needed in a pinch vs LHP.

No picks I regret right now. I regretted taking Brian McCann in the 13th round when, predictably, solid catchers went later in the draft but I had him as the third best Catcher bargain so can't complain (Hundley and Sal Perez being #1/#2)

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

The biggest 'steal' I had in the top 100 picks was Scott Pianowski's Mookie Betts (+$8.5). I have both him and Altuve as top 8 worthy but Betts is a better fit for my 'no one less than 20 HRs in first 5 round) ethos. The biggest non-Reddick steal of the draft was Billy Hamilton ($10.1) but I'm steering clear of him this year - not because of his 'one category' status but because his floor went from "they'll move him to hitting 8/9" to "they'll move him to the bench by May 15th".

The biggest reaches for me were Troy Tulowitzki (56th -$9.5) and Corey Seager (63rd -$9.3). Tulowitzki's has two red marks: 1) His health, 2) His elite AVG/HR combo no longer propped up by Coors Field. Corey Seager's baseline is a mystery and he doesn't have elite power or speed. I like Francisco Lindor better than both of them and he lasted until 95. I also didn't like the Sonny Gray at #67 (before Felix, Salazar, Cueto, Lester) as it seems inevitable that his mediocre K and BB rates will catch up to him.

Razzball – Grey Albright – @razzball

Previous F&F Finishes: 4th, 12th, 12th, 10th, 10th, 3rd

Like father, like son (1991 SCD)
Like father, like son (1991 SCD)

Q: You took a few guys I’ll admit scare me (Jason Heyward, ground-ball machine; Francisco Rodriguez, 100 years old; Jake McGee, thin-air closer; Tyson Ross, a few warning signs). Tell us on some (or all) why Grey is right, Pianow silly. 

According to our Player Rater, Heyward was the 60th best player last year. That was with the egregious (sorry, been watching the OJ Simpson show and talking like Johnnie Cochran) ground balls. If he can get back to his career norms on ground balls (and he’s only 26 years old), I like him to rebound with power and everything else is fine with his stats. If he does not ground out or K, you must say, ‘What the Hey…ward!”

Francisco Rodriguez had a 2.21 ERA and a 9.8 K/9 last year. Only one he should scare is his father-in-law.

Jake McGee is SAGNOF!

Tyson Ross is a K/9 machine, which most people who don’t play fantasy baseball will think is a machine shaped like a dog.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

I’m batty for Delino DeShizznit. Like crazy, head over heels, I want him to be Mr. Big and I want to be Carrie Bradshaw, and I want to see if we can make it work.

I regret the Vincent Velasquez pick. I like him a lot, but even if he makes the rotation, I doubt I hold him long since there’s a max IP limit. He’s just too risky and upsidey and his alliterative name is a little too cutesy. Vincent Velasquez? What is this, a Marvel comic?

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

Patrick Daughtery drafted Sonny Gray in the 6th round. Hahahahahaha— Breathe, Grey, breathe! Um, yeah, that’s a reach.

I love the Steven Matz pick in the 12th round by Rotoworld person. I think Matz can be the best Mets pitcher. And easily the best New York Matz pitcher.

Rotowire – Jeff Erickson – @jeff_erickson

Previous F&F Finishes: 12th, 7th, 4th, 4th, 1st, 13th, 11th, 12th, 8th, 10th

Q: Like your colleague and radio partner Chris Liss, you had a heavy lean on pitching early (five of the first eight picks, including four starters). This is contrary to how the forefathers preferred to draft. Tell us how things have shifted. (Do you and Liss spend too much time together?) 

When the question is "do I spend too much time with Liss?," the answer is always "yes." But I think that we help refine our thoughts on the game. The short answer is that in today's game, the elite starting pitchers are safer than ever, so why not invest more in that commodity? Plus, I think the combination of the participants in this league and the league's parameters make it a viable strategy to attack starters early.
 
The longer answer is here

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret
 
A: Jake Arrieta at 3.11 might be the lowest I've seen him go all season, and helped give me the courage to follow through on my strategy.
 
There's some tiny regret from taking Ian Kinsler at 9.11. Nothing wrong with the player, but I didn't have a second closer yet and was a little light on speed. K-Rod or Papelbon might have made more sense, or Billy Burns (yes, I'm touting a pick made by Salfino that drew jeers from the peanut gallery at the time) would have fit nicely too.



Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

D.J. LeMahieu at 16.10 illustrates just how deep 2B is. Wait on your MI's, friends.

For a reach, Raisel Iglesias at 11.7. He's so trendy now that almost all of the upside is priced in without any of the risk.

Rotoworld – Ryan Boyer – @ryanpboyer

Previous F&F Finishes: 3rd, 4th, 10th

Q: A few years ago, Andy Behrens introduced us (partly tongue in cheek) to the idea of TCCB (Total Corner Control . . . you can figure out the rest). It looks like the strategy is alive and well: you started with Paul Goldschmidt, Joey Votto and Edwin Encarnacion. Take us through the nuts and bolts of hammering a position this hard, this early (and what you give up elsewhere). 

I wish I could tell you popping first base/first base/first base was some grand plan I had, but this was really just a BPA situation for me. I was hoping Buster Posey would slide to me at the end of the second round, and when that didn't happen, Votto was the next guy on my board. I was surprised Funston didn't nab Encarnacion at the turn. I guess there's some concern with the oblique, but at this point it doesn't sound like he'll need a DL stint. Ultimately I was very pleased with getting arguably three top-20 guys, though it did mean I might end up having to target other positions/categories earlier than I'd like.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret 

Justin Verlander was terrific down the stretch last season, is healthy and has looked great this spring. I'm buying a bounce-back year, so I loved getting him in the 13th round. Chris Carter is going to hit 30 homers for the Brewers this season, but, given the construction of my roster, I should have targeted more versatility with that pick.

Verlander, not Justin Upton (George Pimentel/Getty)
Verlander, not Justin Upton (George Pimentel/Getty)

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

Ian Desmond at 131 is a great get for Erickson. Frankly, I'd rather have him at that spot than my Francisco Lindor at 95. I'm a long-term believer in Byron Buxton, but I can't get on board with him at 164. There are too many negatives in his game right now.

Rotoworld - Patrick Daugherty - @rotopat

Previous F&F Finish: 13th

Q: You selected a couple of interesting “Last Year’s Bums” in Adam Jones (Pick 43) and Anthony Rendon (Pick 78). Tell us why the waters (especially in the DC area) are safe again.

Honestly a bit baffled at Adam Jones’ perception this year, especially in leagues without on-base percentage. He’s so durable and consistent (though 2015 did challenge the durability argument a little bit). He hit 27 home runs in only 137 games last season. I just view him as eminently stable and predictable. Allllllll that being said, I was going to take Lorenzo Cain, who came off the board one pick prior.

Rendon is more of a crapshoot, but I couldn’t pass on his upside and versatility in the seventh round. Obviously this is at the outer limits of his range of potential outcomes, but we’re talking about a 25 year old who was a first-round producer just two years ago. I liked adding him to an infield where Yahoo eligibility had already given me swiss-army stars in Manny Machado and Matt Carpenter. The downside is that missing 100 games would be entirely unsurprising, but I think the trade off is worth it in the seventh round.

Q: Give us a pick to promote and a pick of regret

I don’t think people realize how good Logan Forsythe was last year. He’s much more valuable in leagues with OBP, but in the 18th round I love getting a guy who contributes in almost every category and can be stuck just about anywhere on the fantasy diamond.

For regret, Brandon Belt. Not that I don’t like the lad, but it was the one time during the draft where I didn’t enter the pick with a clear plan. First base is fairly thin this season, in my opinion, but I felt like Belt was a reach, especially since he’s not the most durable or consistent guy on the block. My regret was compounded by taking Salvador Perez a little later. Buster Posey is obviously most valuable at catcher, but I would have been happy playing Posey at first, Perez at catcher and Belt at “someone else’s team.”

Q: Identify a steal and reach of the draft

Here I go buttering up the author, but I couldn’t believe how far Mookie Betts fell (No. 17). I think the odds are pretty low he isn’t a top 10 player this year. I’d comfortably take him ahead of any of the four guys that went ahead of him in round two (Kris Bryant, Max Scherzer, Jose Altuve and Dee Gordon), and a number of first-rounders, especially Carlos Correa (let’s see a little more) and Giancarlo Stanton (injury).  

Unsurprisingly, this was a very disciplined group of drafters. Very rarely did any picks stick out to me as egregious, but Noah Syndergaard going ahead of guys like Corey Kluber, Zack Greinke and even Chris Archer definitely caught my eye. Probably a little bit of “shiny toy” syndrome there, not that I haven’t had plenty of shiny toy moments this spring.  

But wait, there's more

• Brandon Funston and Dalton Del Don review the draft (podcast)

• Chris Liss and Dalton Del Don review the draft (podcast)

• Scott Pianowski and Michael Salfino review the draft (podcast)

• Chris Liss's review (blog)

• Jeff Erickson's review (blog) 

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