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What are the Bills’ playoff odds after beating the Patriots?

The Buffalo Bills have one game left in the 2023 regular season.

Following a 27-21 win over the New England Patriots (4-12) last week, it’s a win-and-in scenario for Buffalo (10-6) in Week 18’s regular season finale.

That next matchup is against the Miami Dolphins (11-5). It’s a winner-take-all for the AFC East, too.

Even so, analytic models are still being run and there are playoff odds that still exist. After all, even with their current winning streak, a victory against the Dolphins is not guaranteed and there is a scenario that could happen where Buffalo does not crack the postseason.

Here are the Bills’ latest postseason odds, according to the New York Times playoff simulator:

Chance to make the playoffs

(Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)
(Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)

Odds: 95%

Host wild card

(Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)
(Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)

Odds: 47%

Road wild-card game

Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports
Credit: Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

Odds: 48%

Miss the playoffs

. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)
. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)

Odds: 5%

Story originally appeared on Bills Wire