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Betting: Prop Queen's Top NBA Plays for May 12th

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The Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein, gives her best plays for the NBA Playoffs on Thursday, May 12th.

Video Transcript

[MUSIC PLAYING]

ARIEL EPSTEIN: Happy Thursday. I'm the Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein. It's NBA playoffs, and I've got three different NBA player props for you. Let's start with the first game, the Miami Heat are taking on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Heat, they have to win and they move on. The Sixers, they need to win to stay alive.

Let's start with the Heat side. I like the over 12 and 1/2 rebounds plus assists on the Heat all-star Jimmy Butler. Butler is going to be playing without his guard, Kyle Lowry. There's been four games this year where Butler has played without Lowry, and he's gone over 12 and 1/2 rebounds plus assists in 3 out of those 4 games.

First off, Lowry's already announced out because he does have a left hamstring issue. Second of all, Jimmy Butler, this is a similar situation for what we saw from Tyler Herro in his rookie year. Sometimes, the Miami Heat play zone. It just puts Butler in better positioning to go grab some boards. Butler, his average has gone up in his rebounds from just under 6 rebounds per game in the regular season to just under 8 rebounds per game in the playoffs. I'm going with the over 12 and 1/2 rebounds plus assists on Jimmy Butler.

On the Sixers side, I'm going with the fade the mask theory. Under 11 and 1/2 rebounds on the Sixers center Joel Embiid. Joel Embiid has gone under 11 and 1/2 rebounds in 7 out of the 9 playoff games. He also has yet to go over this with a mask. He hasn't gone over this in six straight. Embiid's rebounds have gone down in the postseason. In the regular season, he was averaging just under 12 rebounds per game. In the postseason, he's been averaging just under 11 rebounds per game. I'm going with the under 11 and 1/2 rebounds on Joel Embiid.

In the late game, it's the Phoenix Suns up against the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks go back home. And here's the thing, the Mavericks don't have anybody else to rebound the ball except their all-star point guard Luka Doncic. I'm betting his over 9 and 1/2 rebounds tonight. Luka has been the leading rebounder on this team, and his rebounds average has actually gone up in the playoffs.

He went from averaging just over 9 rebounds per game in the regular season to now just over 10 rebounds per game in the postseason. 3 out of the last 5 games in this series, Luka Doncic has gone over 9 and 1/2 rebounds. With him being the only one available to rebound the ball, I'm betting the over 9 and 1/2 rebounds on Luka Doncic.

Here's your Prop Queen recap. I'm betting the over 12 and 1/2 rebounds plus assists on Jimmy Butler, under 11 and 1/2 rebounds on Joel Embiid, over 9 and 1/2 rebounds on Luka Doncic. That's it for me, your Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein here on this NBA playoff Thursday.

Good luck tonight. Bet $10 and win $200 in free bets by signing up at BetMGM.com/YahooVIP. New customers only. Must be 21 or older. Terms apply.