The Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein, gives her best plays for the MLB slate on Tuesday, Apr 19.
ARIEL EPSTEIN: Happy Tuesday. I'm the Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein. I've got two different Major League Baseball strikeout props for tonight. Let's start with an over. I love my overs.
I'm betting an over 5 and 1/2 strikeouts on the Houston Astros starter, Framber Valdez. He's up against the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels have the fifth highest K rate overall. That K rate actually goes up to 30% when up against a left-handed pitcher.
Valdez is a lefty. He also last year in 2021 faced six different teams that were top 10 in K rate. He went over 5 and 1/2 strikeouts in five out of those six games. The Angels, when facing a left-handed starter this year, are averaging just under seven strikeouts for a start. I'm going with the over. 5 and 1/2 strikeouts on Valdez.
For my second prop, I'm betting the under, 4 and 1/2 strikeouts on Minnesota Twins starter, Chris Archer. Archer's got the Kansas City Royals today who are the third lowest K rated team in baseball, second lowest against right-handed pitchers. Righties are averaging just under three strikeouts per start against the Royals. He even just had three strikeouts against the Dodgers in Archer's last start.
Looking back to 2021, Archer went under this number of 4 and 1/2 strikeouts in both games where he faced a team with a bottom 10 K rate. I'm going with the under, 4 and 1/2 strikeouts on Chris Archer.
Here's your Prop Queen recap. I'm betting the over, 5 and 1/2 strikeouts on Houston Astros starter, Framber Valdez. I'm also betting the under, 4 and 1/2 strikeouts on the Minnesota Twins starter, Chris Archer. That's it for me. It's the Prop Queen, Ariel Epstein, here on this Tuesday in Major League Baseball. Good luck tonight.
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