Best spot bets for NFL Week 11 odds: 11/12

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LETDOWN SPOT: PITTSBURGH STEEELERS AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3, 40)

 

The Steelers get a short turnaround in Week 11, having to play at Cleveland on Thursday Night Football just a few days removed from a huge upset win over the Los Angeles Rams

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Pittsburgh stunned L.A. 17-12 as a 4-point home underdog, extending the team’s winning streak to four games. Now, usually tight divisional games don’t play into situational spots but with a short week to get focused on Cleveland, the Steelers could get caught still buzzing from that big win. 

There’s a dash of schedule spot for the Steelers as well, as this is the team’s first road game in more than a month and this AFC North series has leaned toward the host, with the home side going 3-1-1 ATS in the last five matchups between these classic rivals.

 

 

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: DALLAS COWBOYS AT DETROIT LIONS (+3.5, N/A)

 

Most books have this game off the board due to the status of Lions QB Matthew Stafford, who sat out Week 10’s loss to Chicago with a back injury. Stafford is listed as week-to-week adding an additional wrinkle to an already wrinkly game.

Dallas could get caught looking past Detroit – especially if Stafford sits – and to a Week 12 trip to New England to play the Patriots. 

 

The Cowboys, who are coming off a loss to Minnesota at home in Week 10, haven’t had the same offensive success on the road, scoring five points less per game as visitors. While the early odds on this game sit Dallas -3.5, Stafford’s status could swing it as much as five points if he isn’t good to go.

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SCHEDULE SPOT: ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-13.5, 45.5)

 

The Cardinals have racked up the frequent flyer miles this past month and will play their fourth road game in five weeks when they take on the now 8-1 49ers Sunday. These two NFC West rivals met just two weeks ago - Arizona’s lone home game in that span - with San Francisco edging the Cards 28-25 as a 10.5-point chalk on Thursday Night Football.

 

 

Arizona started this rough run of road games with a cross-country trip to New Jersey to play the Giants in Week 7, then went to New Orleans in Week 8 before returning to the desert for that mid-week matchup with the Niners. Arizona then jumped on another coast-to-coast flight to play in Tampa Bay last week - a 30-27 loss in which it covered as a 5.5-point underdog.

The Cardinals are a solid 5-1 ATS in their last six road games overall but this stretch could have the team running on fumes and facing a pissed San Francisco squad fresh off its first loss of the season. There could also be a bit of a lookahead in play here as Arizona gets its bye in Week 12, which is a much-need respite for this road-weary team. 

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