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Bears have 38% chance of earning No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL draft

Ryan Taylor
·2 min read
3

Bears have 38% chance of earning No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL draft originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago

In light of the Bears' 0-3 start to the season, some fans are already looking to the NFL draft.

If you're a draft fanatic, you'll be happy with the Bears' chances.

According to the Football Power Index (FPI), the Bears have a 38% chance of earning the No. 1 pick in the draft between theirs and the Carolina Panthers' selection.

Remember, the Panthers traded their first-round pick in the 2024 NFL draft to the Bears in exchange for the Bears' No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL draft. They also traded a 2023 second-rounder, a 2025 second-rounder and DJ Moore.

Ironically, with one minute left in the regular season, the Bears had a lower chance of earning the No. 1 pick they received for the 2023 NFL draft, according to PFF's Timo Riske. If that's any indication of how the Bears' season is going --- added with the gold they received in the Panthers' first-round pick --- that's a wild statistic.

If the Bears earn back-to-back first-overall picks, changes are bound to happen.

Six teams have earned back-to-back first overall picks in the NFL draft, not including the Miami Dolphins from the AFL; though, it's happened on eight different occurrences. Here are the teams who've achieved consecutive No. 1 picks and the years they did it.

Is it time to gear up for Caleb Williams, or Drake Maye? Or, is it too early to tell, with 14 weeks left in the Bears' season?

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