2022 Best Ball WR Tiers

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You know what tiers are. Players within tiers are all similar in projection, whereas the break between tiers is much more important. The biggest change in Best Ball versus normal leagues is an emphasis on ceiling outcomes. This applies to season-long and individual weeks. Given that most of the money in the Best Ball streets lies in tournaments, I've also added some weight to the final three weeks of the fantasy season.

Tier One

Cooper Kupp (1) -- Kupp set the record for 100-yard and 25-point (PPR) performances in 2021. He also posted the fifth-highest target share in a season since 2017.
Justin Jefferson (2) -- Jefferson earned 2,107 air yards last year. That was nearly 300 more than the No. 2 player and more than anyone has seen in the past three years. Now he gets Cooper Kupp's offensive coordinator in his corner.
Ja’Marr Chase (3) -- In his first season of professional football, Chase became the fifth player in NFL history to post multiple 200-yard games.

Tier Two

Stefon Diggs (4) -- Diggs took a step back in 2021, falling to 11th in weighted opportunity rating a year after finishing second. Still, he is the unquestioned WR1 on one of the league's most prolific passing attacks.
Davante Adams (5) -- Adams is going from the two-time, reigning MVP to Derek Carr, though that isn't as bad as it sounds. Carr averaged 25 more yards per week than Rodgers and should still mesh well with Adams, given that the duo connected for 24 touchdowns in their final season at Fresno State.
Deebo Samuel (6) -- Through nine weeks, Deebo was on pace for a 104/1,874/8 receiving line on the back of a 32 percent target share. Based on his unlikely-to-manifest trade request, that is the usage he wants to get back to.
CeeDee Lamb (7) -- By moving Lamb around the formation, the Cowboys boosted his yards per target from 8.4 to 9.2, and he reached 13th in yards per route run. Lamb has all of the makings of a true No. 1 receiver.
Tee Higgins (8) -- From Week 5 to Week 17, when Higgins and Chase were both active, Higgins fell just four targets and 52 air yards short of leading the Bengals in both categories.
A.J. Brown (9) -- Brown and Davante Adams are the only receivers to finish top-10 in yards per route run in each of the past three seasons. If you can look past Philly's run-first offense, you'll find a star wide receiver at a massive discount.
Tyreek Hill (10) -- Last year, Tua Tagovailoa ranked 28th in deep throw rate (10 percent) and 35th in yards per attempt on deep throws (8.9). I hope Hill likes Miami for the weather.
Mike Evans (11) -- Evans has 27 touchdowns in two seasons with Brady, and the team is now out Antonio Brown, Rob Gronkowski, and possibly some games from Chris Godwin.

Tier Three

D.J. Moore (12) -- Moore finished fifth in target share and air yards share in 2021. He now gets a significant quarterback upgrade in Baker Mayfield.
Diontae Johnson (13) -- No player has more 10-target games than Johnson (22) over the past two seasons.
Jerry Jeudy (14) -- Jeudy has been maligned by bad quarterback play since entering the NFL. In college, he led an Alabama squad featuring Jaylen Waddle, Henry Ruggs, and DeVonta Smith in receiving yards.
Terry McLaurin (15) -- McLaurin has finished eighth and fourth in weighted opportunity rating in the past two years. Carson Wentz will inexplicably be the best quarterback he has played with in the NFL.
Jaylen Waddle (16) -- Waddle's 140 targets in 2021 were the fourth-most for a rookie wide receiver since targets began being tracked. Waddle will play a large role in the offense, even with Tyreek Hill in the fold.
Mike Williams (17) -- Williams' 21 percent target share in 2021 was four percent higher than his previous career-high. He was still a volatile option, but Williams became more than a one-trick player in his fourth season.
Keenan Allen (18) -- Allen's yards per route run has dropped in four consecutive seasons. His target share hit a five-year low in 2021.
Marquise Brown (19) -- Did you know that Brown and Kyler Murray played together in college? Few people know this.
Michael Pittman (20) -- Pittman was both efficient and dominant in his second season. He finished top-20 in air yards share, target share, and yards per route run.
Courtland Sutton (21) -- Sutton has led the Broncos in end zone targets in all three of his healthy seasons. He has also led the team in red zone targets twice.
Gabriel Davis (22) -- Davis is one of 24 receivers to hit 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns before the age of 23. With Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley out of the offense, opportunity is abundant in Buffalo.

Tier Four

Amari Cooper (23) -- Cooper has topped 1,000 yards in five of seven seasons, and the Browns have one of the league's least-proven receiving corps after him.
Allen Robinson (24) -- Robinson has produced 1,000-yard seasons under Nick Foles, Mitchell Trubisky, Blake Bortles, Christian Hackenberg (college), and Matt McGloin (college).
Brandin Cooks (25) -- Cooks has averaged fewer than 11 fantasy points (the WR21 last year) just once in his eight-year career.
Elijah Moore (26) -- Among Power 5 players, Moore has the fourth-highest yards per route run in a college season since 2017.
DK Metcalf (27) -- Metcalf has led the Seahawks in target share and air yards share, but never in the same season. He will need to dominate the targets thrown by Drew Lock/Geno Smith to be a weekly WR2.
Darnell Mooney (28) -- Mooney finished 15th in air yards share last year and Allen Robinson, his only competition for volume, is being replaced by Byron Pringle, Velus Jones, and N'Keal Harry.
Chris Godwin (29) -- Godwin led the Bucs with 25 red zone targets last year while also missing three games. His status for Week 1 is up in the air because of a late-season ACL tear.
Rashod Bateman (30) -- Bateman accounted for 34 percent of Minnesota’s receiving yards over his three-season tenure as a Golden Gopher. He now has a strong shot at becoming Lamar Jackson's No. 1 receiver.
DeVonta Smith (31) -- Smith finished fourth in the NFL in deep targets while playing for a team that was 29th in total pass attempts.

Tier Five

Michael Thomas (32) -- Thomas has appeared in five games over the past two years. Before that, he set the NFL record for receiving yards (5,512) and receptions (470) in the first four years of a career.
JuJu Smith-Schuster (33) -- JuJu went for 1,426 yards in his second NFL season and has totaled 1,512 yards in the following three years. On the other hand, going from Ben Roethlisberger to Patrick Mahomes is a monumental upgrade.
Tyler Lockett (34) -- Locket had a higher target share and yards per route run than DK Metcalf in 2021. He goes nearly 50 picks after Metcalf in Underdog drafts.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (35) -- St. Brown closed out the year with a 51/560/5 receiving line over his final six games. Those stats come with the caveat that he was competing with Josh Reynolds and Kalif Raymond for targets at the time.
DeAndre Hopkins (36) -- Hopkins' target share dropped by nine percent compared to 2020 and he posted the worst receiving line of his career. He is also facing a six-game suspension.
Adam Thielen (37) -- Thielen ranks fifth in red zone receptions (29) and second in red zone touchdowns (22) over the past two years.
Skyy Moore (38) -- Moore accounted for 41 percent of his team's receiving yards and 45 percent of the receiving touchdowns at just 21 years old.
Drake London (39) -- London posted a dominant, 68 percent contested catch rate in his final season at USC. He also made moves after the catch, totaling 460 YAC.

Tier Six

Rondale Moore (40) -- The NFL’s Next Gen Stats tracked Moore as a top-15 receiver in yards after the catch over expectation. The loss of DeAndre Hopkins and Christian Kirk should thrust him into a full-time role for Week 1.
Chase Claypool (41) -- A year after his breakout rookie season, Claypool stagnated, posting a near-identical stat line minus nine touchdowns. The addition of two new quarterbacks should help reignite his ascending career.
Russell Gage (42) -- Gage set a career-high in targets per game in 2021 while also being forced to play on the outside more than ever. Thrown into a larger-than-expected role, he posted his best season by yards per route run, yards per target, and catch rate.
Kadarius Toney (43) -- Toney was one of just 11 rookie receivers to average more than two yards per route run in the past five years. He was also elite at forcing missed tackles in his rookie season.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (44) -- In his career, MVS has only averaged 4.2 targets per game. The Chiefs are out over 20 targets per game from 2021, giving him every chance to become more than he was in Green Bay.
Brandon Aiyuk (45) -- From Week 8 onward, Aiyuk earned a 22 percent target share and a 28 percent air yards share. On the other hand, Deebo Samuel playing less of a role as a running back could render that split meaningless.
Christian Kirk (46) -- Coming off a career year with 54 catches for 982 yards, the Jags gave Kirk a contract worth up to $84 million.
Treylon Burks (47) -- Per Pat Kerrane, who had Burks ranked as his No. 1 receiver prospect this year, "Since 2007, Burks is one of only seven three-year wide receivers to post a 35%+ career yardage share at 210+ pounds."
Christian Watson (48) -- Watson's 11.9 yards per target at North Dakota State was the second-highest in his draft class. He has the talent, but will he gain Aaron Rodgers' trust?

Tier Seven

Michael Gallup (49) -- Gallup is coming off a torn ACL that may land him on the PUP list to start the year. Once healthy, he should take over the No. 2 role in the Dallas offense now that Amari Cooper is gone.
Garrett Wilson (50) -- Wilson played across the formation in college and was used on both short and deep routes. He should quickly become a favorite target of Zach Wilson.
Allen Lazard (51) -- Lazard has never seen 10 targets in a game, but he has scored on 8.8 percent of his career looks.
Tyler Boyd (52) -- Boyd is one of just 10 players to reach 800 yards in each of the past four seasons.
Jarvis Landry (53) -- Landry has topped 70 receptions in all but one of his eight NFL seasons. If Michael Thomas is unavailable at any point this year, expect ol' reliable to quickly fill the void.
Kenny Golladay (54) -- Under Brian Daboll, the Giants' new head coach, Buffalo attempted the second-most deep passes in the NFL. Golladay was responsible for over 30 percent of the New York's deep targets last year.
Chris Olave (55) -- Olave never topped 1,000 yards in college, but was highly efficient, averaging 2.8 yards per route run over his career.
Julio Jones (56) -- Julio ranked seventh in receiving yards per game in 2020 and third in 2019. His ADP will get a sizable bump no matter where he signs.

Tier Eight

Jakobi Meyers (57) -- Per Underdog ADP, Meyers is the only receiver who earned a target share over 24 percent last year (and will be active for Week 1) who goes outside the top 130 picks.
Jameson Williams (58) -- Williams' final season at Alabama was utterly dominant. He posted a 79/1,572/15 line but may miss time before being eased into the lineup because of the torn ACL he suffered in January.
Robert Woods (59) -- With Treylon Burks failing to make an impact early in the offseason program, Woods could quickly become Ryan Tannehill's favorite target.
Hunter Renfrow (60) -- The Raiders are going to a scheme that played slower than they did last year, ran fewer three-receivers sets, and passed less often. That is all while adding Davante Adams to the mix.
Jamison Crowder (61) -- Cole Beasley leveraged Buffalo's slot role into five games with double-digit targets in 2021.
Josh Palmer (62) -- In his first NFL season, Palmer earned one more target than Jalen Guyton on 100 fewer routes.
Robby Anderson (63) -- Anderson has 10 games with double-digit targets over the past two years. That's more than the likes of Chris Godwin, CeeDee Lamb, DK Metcalf, and Deebo Samuel.
Marvin Jones (64) -- Marvin Jones had more air yards than the second the third receiver on the Jags combined.
Mecole Hardman (65) -- Hardman ranked 40th in targets per route run and 42 in yards per route last year, putting him firmly in the gadget-receiver archetype.

Tier Nine

Tim Patrick (66) -- Tim Patrick has led the Broncos in fantasy points per game in each of the past two seasons.
Odell Beckham (67) -- Beckham is team-less and recovering from a torn ACL in the Super Bowl, but he showed that he can still make big plays during his short time in LA.
David Bell (68) -- Bell broke out as a freshman with an 86/1,075/7 line and enters the NFL as an early declare. A poor combine showing is the only thing holding him back from being an elite prospect.
Jahan Dotson (69) -- The speedy receiver drew mixed reviews as a prospect, but first-round capital should earn him a starting role by Week 1.
DeVante Parker (70) -- New England paid a third-round pick to acquire Parker in the offseason. He should overtake Nelson Agholor in the lineup before the season starts.
Van Jefferson (71) -- Jefferson earned a snap share over 75 percent in all but six of his regular-season contests last year.
D.J. Chark (72) -- Jared Goff's target depth rose with Dan Campbell as his play-caller, and Chark should play a role in Cambell's attempt to play aggressively.
Alec Pierce (73) -- Pierce turned his 16.8 career aDOT at Cincinnati into 1,851 yards across three seasons of action. He projects to start for the Colts as a rookie.
Corey Davis (74) -- Davis finished the 2021 season ranked 37th in WOPR among receivers, but he is now contending with Garrett Wilson and a healthy Elijah Moore for targets.