2022 3M Open odds, field notes, best bets and picks to win

·4 min read

We’re pretty sure the world of golf is going to be feeling a hangover-type come down from the festivities at the 150th Open. Our reward for pushing through the long weekend?

The 3M Open.

Tony Finau, coming off a T-28 at the Old Course, is the betting favorite at +1200. Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im are next at +1500. Chez Reavie won the opposite field event last week at the Barracuda Championship and sits at +3000.

TPC Twin Cities is a par-71 layout that will measure 7,431 yards this week.

There aren’t many star-level names in this field, so we’ll have to find some value farther down the board.

Golf course

TPC Twin Cities | Par 71 | 7,431 yards | Architect: Arnold Palmer

TPC Twin Cities
TPC Twin Cities

The second hole at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. (Photo: David Berding-USA TODAY Sports)

Key statistics

  • Driving distance

  • Birdies or better percentage

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Sea Island GC, 2. East Lake Golf Club, 3. Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead)

Trending: 1. Tony Finau (last three starts: MC, T-13, T-28), 2. Sahith Theegala (T-2, T-16, T-34), 3. Davis Riley (T-13, T-31, T-64), 3.

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Sungjae Im (6.7 percent), 2. Hideki Matsuyama (5.2 percent), 3. Tony Finau (4.6 percent)

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Betting preview

Odds

Player

Odds

Player

Odds

Tony Finau

(+1200)

Brendan Steele

(+3000)

Hideki Matsuyama

(+1500)

Adam Long

(+3000)

Sungjae Im

(+1500)

Adam Svensson

(+3000)

Cameron Tringale

(+2000)

J.T. Poston

(+3000)

Adam Hadwin

(+2000)

Joo-hyung Kim

(+3000)

Cameron Davis

(+2000)

Martin Laird

(+4000)

Maverick McNealy

(+2000)

Brendon Todd

(+4000)

Davis Riley

(+2000)

Nick Hardy

(+4000)

Sahith Theegala

(+2000)

Chris Gotterup

(+4000)

Chez Reavie

(+3000)

Ryan Palmer

(+5000)

 

Maverick McNealy

Maverick McNealy stands on the green on the 9th hole during the third round of the John Deere Classic golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

I thought I kicked my addiction to betting on Mav, but look at me, right back at it.

Since missing the weekend at the Travelers Championship, the Stanford product has put together a great stretch of golf. T-8 at the John Deere, T-16 at the Scottish Open and T-9 at the Barracuda. At last year’s 3M Open, McNealy tied for 16th.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving distance: 45th (306.4 yards)

  • Birdie or better percentage: 12th

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+125)

Sahith Theegala

WM Phoenix Open 2022
WM Phoenix Open 2022

Sahith Theegala stands on the tee of the 18th during the third round of the 2022 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. (Photo: Allan Henry-USA TODAY Sports)

Theegala has finished inside the top five in two of his last five starts, including a close call at the Travelers.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving distance: 61st (304.6 yards)

  • Birdie or better percentage: 58th

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+125)

Cam Davis

Cameron Davis
Cameron Davis

Cam Davis tees off on the 18th hole during the second round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic at the Detroit Golf Club in Detroit on Friday, July 2, 2021. (Detroit Free Press)

Cam Davis has grabbed three top 10s in his last five starts including a solo sixth at last week’s Barracuda.

He tied for 28th at the 3M in 2021 and 12th in 2020.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving distance: 48th (306.2 yards)

  • Birdie or better percentage: 41st

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+130)

Davis Riley

Davis Riley plays his shot from the sixth tee during the final round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

Riley has rattled off eight straight made cuts since missing the weekend at the RBC Heritage. During that stretch, the Alabama product has six top 20s, four of which are top 10s.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving distance: 53rd (305.5 yards)

  • Birdie or better percentage: 14th

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+125)

Chris Gotterup

Christopher Gotterup plays his shot from the third tee during the first round of the Barbasol Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports

Gotterup missed the weekend at the Barracuda but grabbed a T-4 at the John Deere Classic with an ice-cold putter.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving distance: Unranked (323.1 yards, would rank first)

  • Birdie or better percentage: Unranked (23.33 percent, would rank 25th)

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+190)

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