2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational matchups and prop bet predictions

The Arnold Palmer Invitational returns to Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Florida. Below, we’ll look for the best value bets in the 2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.

The precursor to The Players Championship has several notable omissions from the field, including Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele. Viktor Hovland is the top golfer in attendance at No. 4 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings. He’s joined by defending champion Tyrrell Hatton, as well as past API and major champions Rory McIlroy and Francesco Molinari.

2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: First-round 3-ball matchups

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:15 a.m. ET.

Gooch/Stanley/Perez (+210)

Victor Perez is last in the Golfweek rankings in this trio, but the European Tour star is 33rd in the Official World Golf Ranking and has three top-10 finishes on his home circuit in his last seven events. He’ll make his debut at Bay Hill but is a strong value with a well-rounded game.

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Burns (+105)/Hoag/Shelton

Sam Burns has a top finish in this event of T-36 last year in three career appearances. He’s an expert putter on Bermuda greens and gained 1.15 strokes per round with the flat stick last year. He’s also averaging 0.51 SG: Off-the-Tee per round for the 2020-21 season.

2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Tournament matchups

Bryson DeChambeau vs. Tyrrell Hatton (+105)

The defending champion Hatton is a strong value pick over the reigning US Open champion, even though last year’s event was played in difficult weather conditions. DeChambeau leads this field in SG: Off-the-Tee for the season, but he lost strokes on approach and around the green last week at the WGC-Workday Championship.

Jason Day vs. Jason Kokrak (-110)

Kokrak is a slight value underdog in this head-to-head tournament matchup. His victory last fall at The CJ Cup came on a comparable course in Shadow Creek, and he’s an expert on Bermuda Greens. He tied for ninth in last week’s elite field while Day finished T-18.

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2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Placing bets

Top 10: Henrik Stenson (+1000)

Stenson makes his 2021 PGA Tour debut with three events played but two missed cuts this year on the Euro Tour. The former Open Champion is among the most experienced in the field at this venue with 44 tournament rounds played and an average of 2.00 strokes gained on the field per round.

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Sungjae Im top Asian and Francesco Molinari top European (+4000)

Im leads this field with 2.99 strokes gained per round at Bay Hill and third-place finishes each of the last two years. He finished just T-28 last week but gained strokes off-the-tee and on the greens. Molinari was off last week but seeks to defend his 2019 Bay Hill title after withdrawing last year due to a back injury.

2021 Arnold Palmer Invitational: First-round leader

Sam Burns (+5000)

Burns is +4000 to win this event but is getting a higher price for the 18-hole lead. He’s fourth on the PGA Tour this season in Round 1 scoring average, and he broke 70 in the opening round of two of his three appearances here to date.

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