Mon May 18, 2009 4:44 pm EDT
It took him nearly two years, but Roger Federer's first victory over Rafael Nadal in a tournament final since Wimbledon 2007 could be the catalyst the world No. 2 needs.
Federer's confidence against Nadal has looked shot in recent times as the young Spaniard has established himself as the dominant force in the game. This year's Australian Open final, when Federer melted down spectacularly in the fifth set, was the most striking evidence of the mental grip Nadal held over his biggest rival.
However, Federer's 6-4, 6-4 victory in the final of the Mutua Madrilena Open on Sunday may serve as the driving force he needs to be competitive with Nadal when it really matters.
Even though Nadal looked worn out following his epic semifinal win over Novak Djokovic, Federer will take great heart from having beaten the 22-year-old on his favorite surface, clay, and in his home country.
Nadal is still an overwhelming favorite for the French Open and rightly so, but Federer has shown it is too early to write him off.
Drop shot
The Dubai Tennis Championships was fined a record $300,000 for the refusal of the United Arab Emirates government to grant a visa to Israeli player Shahar Peer.
The UAE's short-sighted actions put Dubai's status as a future destination for big events in doubt and this move will hopefully ensure there is no repeat of these shameful scenes next year.
Clean winner
Wimbledon could not have hoped for a better way to launch its new Centre Court roof. No sooner had the roof closed ahead of an exhibition mixed doubles match between Tim Henman-Kim Clijsters and Andre Agassi-Steffi Graf than the traditional London weather kicked in with a heavy rainstorm. The roof not only looks spectacular, but will cut down on the interminable and frustrating rain delays that have often clogged up the Wimbledon schedule.
Use your frequent flier miles
The Polish capital of Warsaw provides the pick of this week's action as the French Open draws closer. Maria Sharapova's return to singles play is a highlight as the women's tour stops off at this picturesque and historical city.
This week's predictions
ARAG World Team Championships, Dusseldorf: Sweden
Interwetten Austrian Open, Kitzbuehel: Martin Vassallo Arguello
Warsaw Open, Warsaw: Zheng Jie
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Strasbourg: Shuai Peng
Last week's results:
Mutua Madrilena Open, Madrid (men): Roger Federer
Mutua Madrilena Open, Madrid (women): Dinara Safina
Busted Racquet is a tennis blog edited by Chris Chase. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.
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76 Comments
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Of course Nadal was spent from his epic semifinal, but that is a symptom of his style of play as much as anything else. He is clearly better than Federer at the moment but I doubt his reign at the top will be as long as Roger's was,because he will be completely worn down from his grinding/bangboard game within two years.
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he may have confidence.. but he still has trouble playing nadal in slams
I still have Nadal winning the French rather easily... possibly his main challenge coming in Novak Djokovic. Federer is going to have to step up his game so as to not drop out early. This tourney win will definitley give him confidence that he's been lackign tho.
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I for one was so happy to see Roger win. He really needed it, and as a fan, it was wonderful to see him pull it off. I give much respect to Rafa too. Don't get me wrong. They're both amazing athletes. I just wanted Roger to come out on top, this time. It was about time.
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That said, no one should get too excited. Madrid's clay surface is totally different to that of Roland Garros, and the high altitude made a big difference also. The clay at Roland Garros will play much slower, which will benefit Nadal against rivals like Djokovic and Federer (as well as Murray).
To Federer's credit however - Nadal's semi against Djokovic made little difference to the outcome in the final. Remember the Australian, where Nadal played Verdasco in one of the longest matches in Open Era history. Less than 48 hours' later, he came back to beat Federer in 5 sets. Fatigue was not Nadal's problem against Federer on Sunday. It was the faster surface and Federer's razor sharp game. Kudos to the Swiss.
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a repeat of the Australian Open awards ceremony! Whatever happens, I predict Nadal won't cry if he loses or if he does, he won't do it on television. I think Djokovic is a bigger threat to Rafa than Roger but we shall see.
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What this tells me is that it's not impossible for Federer to win Roland Garros, but still not very likely. A possible scenario where he would win could entail a lesser player managing to make the semis against Federer while Nadal draws Djokovic and they have a 5-hour marathon match that doesn't get played until Saturday due to being rained out on Friday. Not too likely but I think that's probably Federer's best hope.
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The loss will serve as the best motivating factor to Nadal, as was the case in Hamburg in 2007. If Federer has Djokovic in his half of the drawer the final at RG will be Nadal - Djokovic and even if Federer were to make it that far (somehow I don't think he will), Nadal will win hands down and everyone will see, again, that the days of the FedExpress are over. Nadal is the king of the courts and most definitely the king of clay.
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The major thing this will do for Roger is help his confidence. In the long run, this win (even over Nadal) doesn't mean much. Even the 700 point swing is pretty insignificant. But if it gets Roger believing in himself again, it's good news for him.
Of course, he did this before @ '07 Hamburg and lost in 4 sets at the RG final. Rafa is still the prohibitive favourite, of course. But if given the chance again (as per AO 09), I don't think Roger will make the same mental errors.
So all in all, nice for Roger, but the proof will come starting next Monday.
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He, like other players on the tour, has devoted himself unequivically to the sport. The training is gruelling, the dedication unwavering, and the lifetyle all-encompassing.
For years, he has been the best. Those around him - whether his own camp, the media or even other players - have reinforced this notion that he is untouchable, destined for glory and greatness.
Suddenly, a player (Nadal) comes along that Federer can't solve. The losses rack up, and despite the myriad of opportunities, Federer continues to come up short.
Then comes the Australian Open final. Federer was playing on hardcourts, where he was favoured. He was playing a Nadal who less than 48 hours' beforehand had completed one of the longest matches in Open Era history. Federer had just won the US Open. All the factors pointed toward not simply a Federer win, but a potentially convincing, rivalry-renewing victory.
As we all know, however, Federer lost. And make no mistake - for a man who lives and breathes tennis, with Nadal very much in his head and an opportunity to finally exorcise those demons, this loss will have been crushing.
His reaction was initially shocking to many, but there is no way that any of us - who know precisely nothing about the rigours and pressures of being world number one - are in a position to judge him. Surely we should instead be gratified! Federer actually let us know that he is human, and that these titles mean something more to him than simply a payday.
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Spot on analysis.
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