Puck Daddy - NHL

NHL previews are often superfluous collections of popular opinions that, in the end, usually have no relation to how life actually works out. Which makes using stereotypical high-school yearbook superlatives and awards the appropriate template for Puck Daddy's 2008-09 NHL season previews, presented throughout September.

Last Semester: The Atlanta Thrashers were 14th in the Eastern Conference (34-40-8, 76 points), but really had two different seasons: The first six losses, during which the Thrashers were outscored 27-9, that earned Bob Hartley a pink slip; and then an inconsistent tease of a season that kept Atlanta with a faint heartbeat before a disastrous March (4-8-3). Coach Don Waddell handed the bench over to promising newcomer John Anderson from the AHL, so he could better concentrate on mismanaging the franchise into the ground.

Homecoming King (Top Player): Ilya Kovalchuk, winger. Wrap your brain around the fact that he scored 52 goals and 87 points in a lost season with this collection of teammates. He's a beast and an underappreciated one at that, because his team is such a mess. It should be written into the CBA that the Thrashers must have a bonafide No. 1 center playing with him at all times, considering he's already gotten to 52 goals with a player like Marc Savard and last year's pivots like Todd White.

Alas, no veteran No. 1 center this season for Kovalchuk, and Anderson might be stuck experimenting until the offensive chemistry's right. Which means Ilya's going to have more random guys sending passes at him than he would during Happy Hour at the Blue Oyster Bar.

Most Likely To Succeed (Potential Breakout): Bryan Little or Erik Christensen, centers. There's a decent chance one of these kids (Little was the Thrashers' first rounder in 2006, Christensen will be 25 this season) could center Kovalchuk this season. Little played for Anderson during the Chicago Wolves' Calder Cup run in the AHL, and Atlanta did a smart job not rushing him in a lost season last spring. Christensen has always had some offensive upside, even if he hasn't shown it in the NHL. He's also headed for RFA status next summer; funny how that can sometimes bring out the best in players, at least statistically.

With Anderson behind the pine, we'd bet donuts to beer that they'll both have better offensive years than Bobby Holik had last season at center. Speaking of which ...

Best Expulsion: (Addition by Subtraction): Holik scored 96 points ... over the course of three seasons with Atlanta. His three-year, $12.75 million contract is over and he's back with the New Jersey Devils after he was stunned to discover the Thrashers no longer needed a 37-year-old fourth-line center getting first-line money. Go figure.

Waddell decided to buy out Alexei Zhitnik two years after trading Braydon Coburn for him. In the general managers business, this is known as "wiping off the seat after you've pissed on it."

The last "addition by subtraction" is Marian Hossa, whom the Thrashers dealt in what is forever known as "The Angelo Esposito Trade." According to Atlanta forward Eric Perrin, losing a player that scored 248 points over three seasons for the franchise is just what the Thrashers needed:

Everyone has to raise their game when you lose a guy like him and when you lose that many goals, but sometimes it can be a good thing for some guys. There are guys who have an opportunity to elevate their game and they'll get a chance to get in those situations.

Read about that and much more in Eric Perrin's English term paper, "No, I Don't Have Any #%$# Clue How To Replace 248 Points Over Three Seasons."

Exchange Students (Key New Additions): With the additions of players like Brian Campbell, Brian Rolston, Dan Boyle, Pavol Demitra and Antoine Vermette, the Thrashers are certainly poised to challenge for the Stanley .. wait, NONE of them signed?

And in Boyle's case, he actually dropped his no-trade clause when Tampa Bay management threatened to put him on waivers and -- dum, dum, dum! -- with the possibility of being claimed by the Thrashers.

So who did take the money and run to the ATL? Jason Williams did. Marty Reasoner did, giving Atlanta a boost on its kill (27th in the League last season) and on its checking line. And then there was Columbus defenseman Ron Hainsey, whose staggering five-year, $22.5 million UFA contract came with this ringing endorsement from the AJC: "He wasn't the highest-rated defenseman available in free agency, but he might have been the best who would agree to sign with the Thrashers."

Allan Muir of Sports Illustrated has infamously toted Hainsey as one of the year's biggest free-agent busts, sight unseen. (Then again, Muir was for Hainsey before he was against him.) Here's what Hainsey is: A serviceable defenseman that'll be good for 32-38 points. Judge him by his paycheck, and he's a flop. Judge him by his contributions, and he'll be OK.  

Of course, the best exchange student might just be a freshman. More on him later.

Class Clowns (Pests and Pugilists): Eric Boulton and Chris Thorburn led the team in fights last season, with Boulton putting up some impressive wins. He's also a big-time poop disturber, as Nolan Pratt and Jason Pominville can attest:

Teacher of the Year: John Anderson could coach this team to the worst record in NHL history, and he'd still be aces for that interview where he chastised us for never having tasted ice-cold Sleeman's and for threatened to stage a fight with Capitals coach Bruce Boudreau on opening night. That he'll bring an exciting style of play to a franchise that needs some excitement is just a bonus. We also love the addition of Randy Cunneyworth to the bench. There's some real coaching talent behind the scenes in Atlanta.

The Custodians (Goalies): Kari Lehtonen is in the final year of his contract before RFA status; to say it's a critical season for both the goalie and his team is an understatement. The fact is that he's played one season of more than 50 games; he appears to have the skills set of a No. 1 goalie, but hasn't proven during the last three seasons that he is one. Confounding the issue is the presence of blue-chip goaltending prospect Ondrej Pavelec in the system, who is determined to steal Lehtonen's job. Johan Hedberg held the fort during Lehtonen's injuries last season, and will be expected to do the same should the starter miss significant time again. As long as no one tells Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin that his nickname is "Moose," causing an unfortunate hunting incident during a GOP campaign stop in Atlanta.

The Hall Monitors (Defensemen): In another season, Tobias Enstrom would have been a Calder finalist; instead, he'll have to settle for having more points (38) in his rookie season than Jay Bouwmeester or Andrej Meszaros had last year. Regression is not an option for Enstrom. He hit the wall last season in a major way, and can't repeat that in his sophomore campaign.

Niclas Havelid can be a work horse if needed. Garnet Exelby can be a physical presence when he isn't losing his damn mind trying to spear Blake Comeau in the how-do-you-do. Ken Klee is a great guy to have in case anyone needs a traffic cone to learn how to parallel park. We covered Hainsey earlier; the rest of the defense has question marks, including one named Zach Bogosian. Simply put, this kid could be the most talented player drafted in the Top 5 this season. He has that kind of upside. Waddell said the team will carry seven defenseman, and specifically mentioned Bogosian as a possibility. He would give fans a reason to watch, for certain.

Captain of the Cheerleading Squad: Cristina of the Blue Crew has her own "daily blog." Which of course means most NHL teams would not give her a press credential. Hopefully she keeps it up during the season. Looking at the Blue Crew, we know we will.

Most Likely To Earn a Wedgie in the Hallway (Potential Flop): Todd White wasn't exactly the best signing to begin with, but increasingly it appears that he may not have a primary role in this lineup any longer, assuming the Thrashers want to give the kids up the middle a look and with the addition of Reasoner. Trade bait? Consider White's cap hit ($2.375 million), and it might be tough.

AV Club (Media): JP Dellacamera is a soccer announcer calling hockey, and but we've rather enjoyed Darren Eliot during his occasional stints on Versus. Ben Wright's Blueland Blog is a gold-standard official site blog. Also check out The Falconer, Blueland Chronicle and Fire Wagon Hockey for bloggity goodness. 

Toughest Class (Biggest Issue Facing the Team): Kovalchuk is the offense. Looking at the current collection of forwards on the roster, Anderson's going to have more options than Tkachuk at a Chinese buffet. Vyacheslav Kozlov is 36 and his numbers dipped sharply last season; what can you count on from him? Where does Little fit? Or Colby Armstrong? Or Jim Slater, Joe Motzko and Brett Sterling? There are a lot of pieces here. Many of them are underwhelming. Anderson's job is to cobble together somthin' out of seemingly nuthin'.

2007-08 Preseason Report Card:

Forwards: C-
Defense: C+
Goaltending: C
Special Teams: B-
Coaching: Inc.
Management: D+

Prom Theme: "You Don't Own Me" by Leslie Gore. See, there's this dispute between alleged owners of the Thrashers that, when settled, could suddenly and uncomfortably put this team squarely in the relocation conservation. Let's hope not.

Expected Graduation: Anderson had had success leading other minor league teams to championships. But the Thrashers are going to miss the postseason. Pretty badly, we think. The excitement will come in the development of the kids, and whenever Kovalchuk steps on the ice. We can't take our eyes off the guy. Especially when he's dressed like Sonny Crocket in a Russian wedding.

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22 Comments

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  1. .................................................!
    1. Posted by .................................................! Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:44 pm EDT

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    Even Isaiah Thomas shakes his head in disbelief at the moves Don Waddell makes.
  2. # huit
    2. Posted by # huit Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:33 pm EDT

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    great... haven't cry since 2006 olympics hockey final but that sad prediction that thrash don't make the postseason..
    and that their forwards is c-?!? they have kovalchuk... oh yeah right, he can just score more than leafs roster altogether
  3. RC
    3. Posted by RC Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 pm EDT

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    No love for Brett Sterling or Boris Valabik?
    I agree they've got some really good pieces, unfortunately, theyre all babies...can the franchise really survive extreme stinkitude for a few years at this point in their history in order to rebuild and get better? Maybe Tavares comes and saves them next year (although knowing the league theyll rig the draft so he goes to Pittsburgh just like the Bing draft)
  4. RC
    4. Posted by RC Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 pm EDT

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    I also think dealing Lehtonen for more prospects/picks would be a GREAT move for them, especially with Pavelec in the system. The Coburn deal set them back 10 years
  5. miah
    5. Posted by miah Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:17 pm EDT

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    maybe they could "rig" the trade of Lehtonen to Pittsburgh. Oh, also "rig" that Braydon Coburn trade. That one worked out great for Pittsburgh...oh wait, no that's Philadelphia it worked for. Oh well, rig, rig, rig...
    right guys? ha ha
  6. Bluelander
    6. Posted by Bluelander Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:47 pm EDT

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    @ RC
    I totally agree that trading Coburn set them back. As a Thrashers' fan since 1999, I've been severely pissed off with some of DW's moves...but trading Braydon Coburn for Zhitnik was the dumbest move I've ever seen.
    However, Have you seen Pavelec play? He's decent...but he's not at the caliber Kari is....It would be another shameful year if they cast him in the #1 role right now.
  7. Dave
    7. Posted by Dave Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:13 pm EDT

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    This is the most comical article I've read summarizing Don Waddell's idiocracy. I'm a Flyers fan all the way, and I'm quite glad he traded Coburn, but I have one question - how does that man still have his job?!?
  8. 5 4 fighting
    8. Posted by 5 4 fighting Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:01 pm EDT

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    After the Coburn trade I was surprised that they didn't burn down Philips Arena
  9. GM Watch
    9. Posted by GM Watch Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:43 pm EDT

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    How can the NHL allow Don Waddell to run hockey into the ground in the 8th largest media market in the US.
    If Don Waddell who can not draft, trade, or sign is allowed to continue this team will fold and move to Kansas City. This GM has not tried to grow the market develop a fan base or make money for his owners. He has survied three owners four coaches and hundreds of player coming and going and he still takes none of the blame for the worst team in the NHL. The fact that no one wanted to sign with the thrashers unless they are overpaid by 150% Should tell you how bad it is.
  10. Whale4ever
    10. Posted by Whale4ever Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:59 pm EDT

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    Great summary, Greg. The Waddell stuff is gold.
  11. RC
    11. Posted by RC Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:59 pm EDT

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    Outlaw
    If theyre as high on him as has been reported, and Lehtonen has a well documented history of injuries, it would be much better benefit in the long term to deal him for what they can get for him. If theyre going to suck, they might as well full out suck, and not end up in a place where theyre not bad enough to get high draft picks every year and not good enough to contend.
    Tear everything down, deal with losing badly for a few years, and rebuild with high draft picks and kids...worked out well in DC and Pittsburgh, and other places, but again, can the market in ATL sustain poopitude for 3-4 years?
  12. Byrner
    12. Posted by Byrner Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:37 pm EDT

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    im pretty sure vermette is still on ottawa
  13. chris matuza
    13. Posted by chris matuza Thu Sep 03, 2009 11:00 pm EDT

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    this is all bogous!! they are going to have a great season and probaly go to the stanley cup, not win but at least play in the finals!!!!
  14. Byrner
    14. Posted by Byrner Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:37 pm EDT

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    nevrmind i made a mistake with that, i thought they meant he did sign lol
  15. David
    15. Posted by David Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:38 pm EDT

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    Don Waddell is the worst GM in Atlanta sports history! I've screamed about his worthless a$$ for several years now, and I'm sick of it. The only reason he still has a job is because of the problems with the ownership group. Once that is settled, I'm confident that he's gone. Then maybe we can get some talent in here. We've had all these high first round picks over the years, and almost all have been busts. And the one's who have talent get traded for guys nobody else wants to begin with. F Don forever!
  16. Pam
    16. Posted by Pam Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:27 pm EDT

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    The Thrash actually could make final exams this year. There are simply too many variables in the mathematics to dismiss them that quickly. I also need to appeal your grade for goaltending. With a better defense in front of the crease and the opportunity for a bigger contract next year, Kari will excel and could even be valedictorian.
  17. Jackie C
    17. Posted by Jackie C Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:58 pm EDT

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    Ok, my question is, WHEN DOES FANTASY HOCKEY START? I bet everyone can't wait to pick their teams. There's only a month left.
  18. GM Watch
    18. Posted by GM Watch Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:43 pm EDT

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    i agree that kari is a better goaltender than he gets credit for but he defense may not be improved at all. it may be worse and since the thrashers only have one guy who can move the puck up ice the shots on goal could go up. last season havelid, klee, and enstrum all ended the season in the top 25 for blocked shots so something other than just bad defense is going on in atalnta. the fact that they still do not have a center after 3 years might be part of the problem. but the grade is fair because the back up goal tending is crap. hedberg was the worst goalie in the nhl to start more than 15 games. so why did don waddell resign him? because don waddell knows less than nothing about hockey.
  19. GM Watch
    19. Posted by GM Watch Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:43 pm EDT

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    The grade for mangment is far to high they don and company have more than earned a f for the work done in atlanta. with the inablity to grow the market or team he is not making money for the owners. don is also unable to put together a winning team and it is never his fault 4 coaches later and 3 sets of owners don still can not be blamed for this sorry team. don gets the players don hires the coaches don even tells the coaches how to coach. but still he is not to blame. the guy is a coach killer and player killer no wonder that he can not get players or coaches to go to atlanta. and the owners are to stupid to realize that all of the problems they have are a direct result of don waddell.
  20. shadfax
    20. Posted by shadfax Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:15 pm EDT

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    In that division you can always believe you can make the playoffs. a center for Kovie could have made a huge difference. Stil could.
  21. Carol S
    21. Posted by Carol S Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:18 pm EDT

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    Purposely have not renewed my Thrasher season tickets due to this team, management and ownership making no effort to get better.
    With that said, there is some reason for hope. Esposito and their 1st round pick this year could be great players. Armstrong and Christensen help give this team depth which they have never had.
    The problems are Lehtonen shows flashes of greatness but is highly inconsistent. Perrin and White are useless and should not be playing on any teams 1st 2 lines.
    How Waddell still has a job is insane.
  22. Hextall
    22. Posted by Hextall Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:25 pm EDT

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    Go flyers!!!!!!

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Puck Daddy is an NHL blog edited by Greg Wyshynski. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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