Puck Daddy - NHL

NHL season previews often sell you an impressive bill of goods before you realize, at the end of the season, you're holding an empty box. Which makes using advertisements and infomercials the appropriate template for Puck Daddy's 2009-10 NHL Season Previews, presented each day throughout September.

Last Season's Ad Copy: Fourteenth in the Eastern Conference and fifth in the Southeast Division (24-40-18, 66 points). Hired a television personality as head coach, before firing him 16 games into the season and having him publicly trash management in front of any open mic. Sought to restore the team's integrity behind the bench by hiring an assistant coach most famous for having been suspended for over a year in a gambling scandal -- a fact that didn't make the cut in the team's official announcement. Go figure ...

The team's new owners, Len Barrie and Oren Koules, helped craft a losing roster with GM Brian Lawton that sparked widespread fan apathy, before having to go before Gary Bettman for relationship counseling. This came after a season in which star Vincent Lecavalier(notes) was on and off the trading block practically every minute, to the point where he needed to hold a press conference during the all-star game in Montreal to address the rumors.

Then there was the rookie disappointment that only happened to be the center of the team's ad campaign; a slew of free-agent busts and underwhelming performances; injuries that plagued key personnel; and plenty of additional off-ice drama.

It was called a circus, which really isn't fair, because circuses are fun and frequently worth the price of admission. Plus, the best clown only lasted 16 games.

After another summer of massive changes, will the comedy of errors continue ... or is it time to stop treating the Lightning like a joke?

Latest Gadgets (Offseason Additions): Winning the Alex Tanguay(notes) Derby (such as it was) gave the Lightning the top six forward they were craving all summer and gives Tanguay the chance to play with the kind of elite talent that helped him score 81 points back in 2006-07 with the Flames.

Career Canuck Mattias Ohlund(notes) stunned the hockey world by signing a 7-year, $26 million contract with the Lightning; stunning not only in his destination of choice, but in the tamper-riffic speed of the contract announcement. Other defensemen added to the roster included Matt Walker(notes) of the Chicago Blackhawks (4 years, $6.8 million) and Kurtis Foster(notes) (1 year, $600,000). Goalie Antero Niittymaki(notes) came over from the Flyers and is a very capable backup who is known to make a miraculous save now and again.

Stephane Veilleux(notes) passed up a two-year deal with the Sharks to sign a one-year deal with Tampa. They're still making the Koules-Aid potent in Tampa, huh?

To The Recycle Bin (Offseason Subtractions): Once again, Tampa disposed of more bodies than one of Oren's "Saw" flicks via free agency: David Koci(notes) (Colorado); Noah Welch(notes), (Atlanta); Corey Murphy, (New Jersey); Wake Brookbank (Pittsburgh); as well as Marek Malik(notes), Mike McKenna(notes), Janne Niskala(notes) and Matt Pettinger(notes).

The team dealt the disappointing Evgeny Artyukhin(notes) to Anaheim for Drew Miller(notes) and a pick. Lecavalier co-star Vaclav Prospal(notes) was waived and signed with the New York Rangers. Free-agent bust Radim Vrbata(notes) was traded back to the Phoenix Coyotes for David Hale(notes) and Todd Fedoruk(notes).

Most of these moves corrected past mistakes, others were made in order to upgrade positions. Still, it's a dizzying number of transactions, but expected when your team's in the basement.

The Pitchman (Top Offensive Player): Vincent Lecavalier battled through injuries in a season that saw his point totals dip to 67 after scoring 200 in the previous two seasons combined. He also battled through a season of intense trade speculation and leaks, with Lightning ownership reportedly split into warring factions over dealing him after signing a "lifetime" contract. His no-trade clause kicked in on July 1; while that's far from a guarantee that he's going to retire a Bolt, it will allow him to focus on the ice a bit more this season ... though it will cause hockey writers to search a little harder for news without the benefit of Vinny-to-the-Habs as a crutch.

Introducing ... (Potential Breakout Player): Drew Doughty(notes) showed last season that a fantastic rookie defenseman is still going to be hard-pressed to win the Calder unless his team is successful. So that could be Hedman's greatest obstacle if he's as good as advertised. ("Advertised" in the "what the experts are saying" sense, not in the hokey "Seen Stamkos?" sense.)

He's 18 years old, 6-foot-6 and still growing. He's been seasoned in the Elite League and he looks like a Swedish Benicio Del Toro in Zdeno Chara's(notes) body. He's logged some quality ice time in the preseason and is a lock for the blueline, perhaps with Kurtis Foster as a partner. Provided he can handle the grind and pressures of the NHL, Hedman is a special talent that can make an impact in his rookie year -- and hey, maybe he'll end up flying the Lightning's charter jet one day, too.

Operators Are Standing By (The Defensemen): Hedman is one of several new additions to a Lightning defense that's seemingly had half the NHL under contract at one point in the last two years. Mattias Ohlund brings 11 years of experience, if diminishing skills, to a blue line that can use his veteran presence both in action and as a mentor. Veteran David Hale came over in the Radim Vrbata salary dump. Tampa snagged Matt Walker from the Blackhawks was a coup, as he was a gritty, unsung player for Chicago last season when he wasn't scaring women with freak injuries. Speaking of freak injuries: Kurtis Foster is also in the mix.

They join returning Bolts defensemen Andrej Meszaros(notes) (2-14-16 in 52 games), Paul Ranger(notes), Lukas Krajieck (2-17-19 in 71 games), Matt Smaby(notes), Matt Lashoff(notes) and Mike Lundin(notes). There are obviously going to be some personnel decisions before the first puck drops, because teams don't enter the season carrying 10 defenseman. You know, typically ...

The Spokesmodel (The Goalies): Mike Smith(notes) is healthy, which means the Bolts could have a fairly fortified defense if the blue-liners find the right mix in front of him. Smith played in 41 games (2.62 GAA, .916 save percentage) before post-concussion symptoms kept him off the ice for eight months. If you're one that looks at good karma as a reason to believe a player could have a solid season, consider that Ryan Craig's skates did not, in fact, castrate Smith during the preseason.

Antero Niittymaki is the kind of solid backup whose play pushes the starter to excel (and, in some cases, even steals his job). The only question is whether Tampa can make the playoffs solely on the points Nitty will generate by sweeping the Thrashers

And Now, a Short Message from a Fit, Focused Steve Downie(notes), who the Lightning Believe Could Be More Than Just a Sideshow:

The Inventor (The Coach): The best thing about Rick Tocchet is that he's not Barry Melrose, which means the Lightning may not stumble out of the gate like a newborn fawn this season. He earned the job by reorganizing the mess last season, and seems determined to get the Lightning physically and mentally prepared to compete. Managing this roster is going to be a challenge, no doubt. But we'd wager ... uh ... you see, any offseason with big changes is a gamble ... uh ... Tocchet's OK.

2009-10 Preseason Report Card:

Forwards: B
Defense: B+
Goaltending: B
Special Teams: C+
Coaching: C+
Management: C

Jon Jordan of HockeyBuzz says ...

"It's ‘Extreme Makeover 2.0' for the Lightning in 2009-10 though, this time, it sure looks like their offseason moves were made with pinpoint accuracy. The defense seems fortified, there looks to be scoring depth, health is not an issue and - oh yeah - Barry Melrose didn't run training camp.

"With such turnover, of course, comes apropos cause for concern about cohesion, but this group appears to be on the same page from the start.

"My ‘bold' predictions? The ownership struggle resolves itself with far less drama than most expect (before Christmas, at the latest), Victor Hedman(notes) is as steady a rookie d-man as a rookie d-man can be, Vinny Lecavalier returns to 40 goal/90 point form, the Lightning make the playoffs and, suddenly, the once-all-too-easy Bolts joke well runs dry."

John Fontana of Raw Charge says ...

"Stability in coaching and a revamped defense should improve the Bolts in the standings and lead them out of the cellar.  The circus distraction regarding team ownership, however, is likely to persist for some time still."

Don Draper Says ...

"Sometimes hockey teams can be like bad martinis: Shaken too hard, mixed poorly and simply offensive to the senses. What you need to know about bad drinks, gentlemen, is that the good ones make you forget them."

Results May Vary (Biggest Issues Facing the Team): The roster is, like last season, a jumble that will either click or have pieces moving until it does. On paper, the Marty St. Louis (30-50-80)-Steven Stamkos(notes) (23-23-46)-Ryan Malone(notes) (26-19-45) trio could be a hell of a line; but what happens if Lecavalier and Tanguay can't locate an effective winger, and suddenly St. Louis is back on a mega-powers top line? And, perhaps more importantly, what happens if Stamkos is ineffective as a second-line center for the second straight year?

The defense has all the parts it needs ... but again, "on paper." How will they mesh on the ice, and can defensive specialist/assistant coach Rick Wilson find the right personnel for an effective corps in front of Smith?

Warranty Expires (Prediction): Stability is an essential ingredient for success in the NHL. The Lightning didn't have it on the ice or behind the bench last season, and now we've seen another summer of turnover on the roster -- some of it undeniably good, some of it potentially negative. Stability has no home in the owners' suite at the moment, which is something that needs to change ASAP for this franchise to turn it around.

Will they turn it around? They'll be a playoff bubble team thanks to the improved defense and better goaltending. Whether they make the cut or not depends on Vinny's health, Stamkos's maturation and whether than can get anything worth a damn out of the special teams and the secondary scoring.

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13 Comments

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  1. Matthew J
    1. Posted by Matthew J Sun Sep 27, 2009 3:11 pm EDT

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    bolts are going to suprise alot of people. i see them making them being anywhere between 7-9 battle for a playoff spot.
  2. Rocky
    2. Posted by Rocky Sun Sep 27, 2009 7:12 pm EDT

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    Agree with most of analysis except that I have a higher opinion of Stamkos, I guess. This team won't be higher than 8th and could be 12th or 13th.
  3. EGAR!
    3. Posted by EGAR! Sun Sep 27, 2009 8:05 pm EDT

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    Tampa will be a much more serious team this season. I wouldn't be shockd to see them in the playoffs.
  4. RoShaCla
    4. Posted by RoShaCla Sun Sep 27, 2009 9:30 pm EDT

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    Stamkos scored 46 points in his rookie season and got over 20 goals. How is that a disappointment? Most 18 year old rookies would kill for those numbers. Anyone who thought he was going to set the world on fire right out of the gate is completely delusional (or involved in the Tampa Bay marketing department). Wysh, I know he didn't live up to his (incredibly unrealistic) expectations, but you can't tell me that he wasn't effective. 46 points for an 18 year old under that much pressure and with pretty mediocre line mates (most of the season anyway) is damn good.
  5. Kiddcolin
    5. Posted by Kiddcolin Sun Sep 27, 2009 11:11 pm EDT

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    The grade given to the forwards is to high. The contribution of St.Louis, Stamkos and Lecavalier will undeniably be great. After this, its less promising. Ryan Malone is only good for a point every second game, even with playing his share on the top line. I don't believe Tanguay is going to regain his old form. Similar outcome as 08/09. Their is not much left to talk about with the other forwards. A few decent checking forwards, but not much offensive upside. The goaltending his little high also. Niittymaki is a good back up Goalie. I disagree with your statment "whose play pushes the starter to excel" . The only real pushing of Martin Biron was out the door by the Flyers. But I do agree with the part that he could steal the job. Smith has not proven he is a elite starter. I agree with the other grades more closely. It will be interesting to watch how Victor Hedman works with his mentor Mattias Ohlund. Ohlund was a good signing.
  6. eastcobbclaude
    6. Posted by eastcobbclaude Sun Sep 27, 2009 11:17 pm EDT

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    oh man... You have to wonder who will get the start on opening night against Atlanta? number 1 goalie Smith or known Thrasher-killer Niity.....
  7. 5 4 fighting
    7. Posted by 5 4 fighting Sun Sep 27, 2009 11:22 pm EDT

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    Goaltending shouldn't be a problem, the first two lines are pretty solid, the D is still young and inexperienced but the additions of Ohlund and rookie Hedman should help solidify a shaky D into a respectable unit. The problem is the 3rd and 4th lines & the lack of skill in those depts will keep the Lightning from making the PO's. Not too sure if Tocchet is good enough to get this group hitting on all cylinders.
  8. Max Hunter
    8. Posted by Max Hunter Mon Sep 28, 2009 12:42 am EDT

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    Bolts make playoffs - fo'sur
  9. Max Hunter
    9. Posted by Max Hunter Mon Sep 28, 2009 12:47 am EDT

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    My biggest wonder with the Bolts this year, is Tangs-V$. I'd like to believe they're going to tear up the ice, but it takes months to get a good chemistry going. If Tangs was staying another year, I truly believe the bolts could be playofff contenders.
  10. Helm s Deep
    10. Posted by Helm's Deep Mon Sep 28, 2009 11:40 am EDT

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    If Steve Downie plays to his potential, T-Bay could play some auction packed hockey!!
  11. Seth
    11. Posted by Seth Mon Sep 28, 2009 3:30 pm EDT

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    Stamkos started out the season slowly, due in large part to Barry Melrose. He was just under a point-per-game in the second half of the season. So I think he's coming along just fine.
    Same with Tanguay. Ya he only scored 41 points last season, but that was in 50 games. Not a bad ratio.
  12. Crowdpleezr
    12. Posted by Crowdpleezr Mon Sep 28, 2009 4:25 pm EDT

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    Lots of good, moderately witty stuff in this. But, you're "Wyshy Washy" about a couple things. Most importantly, your unilateral determination that Stamkos is not a stud. He scored 23 and had 23 helpers on what was an abysmal team for the lightning. Not to mention that he sat out a bunch of games to do strength training and get his "hockey i.q." up. The advertising campaign was rediculous, and the ownership has apparently learned its lesson, because I haven't witnessed one "How's Hedman" poster anywhere around Tampa.
    Bottom line... I'm very Pleezed with the changes and look forward to watching the Lightning go deep into the playoffs.
  13. Angie
    13. Posted by Angie Mon Sep 28, 2009 5:01 pm EDT

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    As a HUGE Antero Niittymaki fan, I can only hope he'll get more chances to play in TB. I truly believe that, if he stays healthy (known hip sx in the past), he could definitely put pressure on Smith for the #1 spot. He has moments of shear greatness...I miss you already Niitty...The Flyers loss was the Lightnings gain...wishing you the best !!!!

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Puck Daddy is an NHL blog edited by Greg Wyshynski. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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