October 05, 2010
Last week, we published the official sports book odds on the 2010-11 NHL season courtesy of Bodog, from the conference champions to the postseason award winners. Now it's time to break things down on an individual basis, featuring the top players from each team and their over/under for point production.
There are some eye-openers in these predictions/prognostications/wagering milestones. Like Zach Parise(notes) of the New Jersey Devils seeing his stats decline with Ilya Kovalchuk(notes) on the team. Like Pavel Datsyuk(notes) rebounding from his slump last season with the Detroit Red Wings. Like Anze Kopitar(notes) potentially taking a dip with the Los Angeles Kings.
Check out last season's scoring leaders in the NHL; and now, check out where Bodog set their point totals for the coming season. Who is too high? Who is too low?
Keep in mind that these numbers are, inherently, an enticement to sports book players to make a wager. But they also give one a sense of who's trending up or down this season.
Division by division, the 2010-11 NHL point over/under predictions, with analysis.
New Jersey Devils Over/Under Player Points
Ilya Kovalchuk: 82.5
Zach Parise: 78.5
New York Islanders Over/Under Player Points
New York Rangers Over/Under Player Points
Vaclav Prospal: 52.5
Philadelphia Flyers Over/Under Player Points
Pittsburgh Penguins Over/Under Player Points
OUR TAKE: The offensive numbers for the Devils seem a little low with what Kovalchuk could bring to the top line and to special teams. But maybe that's exactly what they want us to think. We'd take the under on Crosby and the over on Richards. We'll assume that the odds might be off for Propsal at some point.
Boston Bruins Over/Under Player Points
Buffalo Sabres Over/Under Player Points
Montreal Canadiens Over/Under Player Points
Mike Cammalleri: 64.5
Ottawa Senators Over/Under Player Points
Toronto Maple Leafs Over/Under Player Points
OUR TAKE: The Canadiens numbers might all be worth a look as "overs" if they can stay healthy this season. We'd also take an over on Gonchar with the Senators and Vanek with the Sabres. Interesting one with Nathan Horton of the Bruins, as the prediction is a new career best in points with his new team.
Atlanta Thrashers Over/Under Player Points
Nikolai Antropov: 62.5
Carolina Hurricanes Over/Under Player Points
Florida Panthers Over/Under Player Points
Tampa Bay Lightning Over/Under Player Points
Washington Capitals Over/Under Player Points
Alexander Ovechkin: 110.5
OUR TAKE: The Eric Staal prediction seemed a shade low until you realize he's been under 80 points in three of the last four seasons. The Stamkos prediction might point to a dip in his totals. Might love Evandar Kane and the over here; Gagne at just 56.6 is strange, in that lineup.
Chicago Blackhawks Over/Under Player Points
Columbus Blue Jackets Over/Under Player Points
Detroit Red Wings Over/Under Player Points
Pavel Datsyuk 83.5
Nashville Predators Over/Under Player Points
St. Louis Blues Over/Under Player Points
OUR TAKE: If you own a dog and a house, we'd gladly wager both on Toews and the over. Some real wild cards here: TJ Oshie leading the Blues in points? Matthew Lombardi posting less than 50 points in the pivot for the Predators? Mike Modano cracking 40 with the Red Wings?
Calgary Flames Over/Under Player Points
Colorado Avalanche Over/Under Player Points
Edmonton Oilers Over/Under Player Points
Minnesota Wild Over/Under Player Points
Vancouver Canucks Over/Under Player Points
OUR TAKE: Lots of interesting numbers, especially in Edmonton where Eberle is seen as a higher point producer than Hall at the moment. But honestly, the most confounding wager has to be Olli Jokinen and 52.6 points, right?
Anaheim Ducks Over/Under Player Points
Dallas Stars Over/Under Player Points
Los Angeles Kings Over/Under Player Points
Anze Kopitar: 76.5
Phoenix Coyotes Over/Under Player Points
San Jose Sharks Over/Under Player Points
OUR TAKE: We'd pretty much take the under on the entire Coyotes collection, the over on Kopitar and the over on Joe Thornton.