Sun Jul 26, 2009 4:20 pm EDT

Josh Harding(notes) is the 25-year-old restricted free-agent goalie for the Minnesota Wild; the one with the sterling minor-league and Lemaire-affected NHL numbers who's stuck behind Niklas Backstrom(notes) and his new four-year extension on the depth chart.
Oh, but it gets even better for Harding: The team signed Wade Dubielewicz(notes) as a potential replacement and has a team-elected arbitration hearing with Harding later this month. Even assuming a trade from the Wild, consider that the goaltending jobs have dwindled to backup spots and three-headed monsters around the NHL. Heck, even the Islanders have three starters now.
It wasn't necessarily supposed to be like this: Harding was supposed be one of the better, affordable RFA options available for a potential offer sheet. Consider he made $750,000 last season and Craig Anderson(notes), a comparable backup-to-starting goalie, signed a two-year deal with the Colorado Avalanche with a cap hit of $1.812 million.
In April, Tyler Dellow made a logical case for the Edmonton Oilers to target Harding before they decided to ink Nikolai Khabibulin(notes) -- including the fact that the Wild would have been put in a very unwanted position if they decided to match an offer sheet.
Yet one never arrived; nor has it for that other RFA darling, Phil Kessel(notes) of the Boston Bruins, or for New York Rangers center Brandon Dubinsky(notes). Fluto Shinzawa of The Boston Globe writes today there have only been five since the latest CBA was ratified: "Philadelphia to Ryan Kesler(notes), Edmonton to Thomas Vanek(notes), Edmonton to Penner, Vancouver to David Backes(notes), and St. Louis to Steve Bernier(notes)."
Considering that, and the current economic climate, Shinzawa asks if the RFA offer sheet is, in fact, extinct.
Shinzawa believes there could still be an offer sheet coming to Kessel as training camp nears, but admits that the time for one would have been right around the Free Agent Frenzy. From the Globe:
Now, following nearly four weeks of free agency, clubs are filling out their 2009-10 lineups and spending their cash. It would most likely require an offer sheet of $5 million or more for the Bruins to consider allowing Kessel to go.
Teams that have $5 million plus to spend, such as the Islanders, Columbus, and Phoenix, have that much space for a reason - they're not going to approach the cap. Also, those teams generally rebuild via the draft. A team that signs Kessel would have to fork over first-, second-, and third-round picks to the Bruins, in itself an expensive bounty, to say nothing of the cash they would owe their new player.
Looking ahead to next year, teams could have less funds available (a $3 million decrease is a common estimate), which makes it even unlikelier that offer sheets will be extended. Considering the circumstances, it may be time to term the offer sheet extinct.
It's a fair point, and one that becomes even more valid when you consider the old-boys politicking that keeps offer sheets from flying around the League. Please recall the sound of Dean Lombardi's pimp hand with the Los Angeles Kings last summer:
"We're not only going to match any offer sheet, we'll have enough space to go after your guys. Go ahead and make our day. If you sign our guy, we're coming back with both barrels firing. You'd better be damn straight that you have the cap space and all your guys are signed."
When you've got GMs making Dirty Harry cracks to the media on top of the obvious economic and future talent investment, RFA offer sheets could essentially go from rare to non-existent. The question is whether the players can get their acts together by the next CBA negotiation to argue for loosening free-agency policy, if that's a fight they even want to have.
Puck Daddy is an NHL blog edited by Greg Wyshynski. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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73 Comments
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I like these articles, but Wysh I think it would have been wise to point out that, if anything, this makes keeping Kane, Toews and Keith even more likely.
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Also, keep in mind that if the Bruins lose Kessel to an offer sheet, the Bruins get a wealth of pics, and knowing how well they draft, maybe that's what they're hoping for: infuse some more youth in to replace the likes of Lashoff and Karsums.
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I really wish the Blues did not match the Backes offer sheet. He would be a great addition to the Canucks. The Bernier offer sheet was not even sincere, it was more of a retaliation on the Blues part. Steve was a RFA again this year but signed for 500k less, with the Canucks, before looking for alternatives. Much of that was at the urging of the true Canuck captain, Ryan Kesler. Kes convinced Burrows to sign late last year at below market value. Also, he has promised to do whatever he can to keep the present team intact. Of course., this behaviour got him in some hot water with the NHLPA. Luckily, Kelly has more important things to do, like lick poor Dany's wounds.
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I really wish the Blues did not match the Backes offer sheet. He would be a great addition to the Canucks. The Bernier offer sheet was not even sincere, it was more of a retaliation on the Blues part. Steve was a RFA again this year but signed for 500k less, with the Canucks, before looking for alternatives. Much of that was at the urging of the true Canuck captain, Ryan Kesler. Kes convinced Burrows to sign late last year at below market value. Also, he has promised to do whatever he can to keep the present team intact. Of course., this behaviour got him in some hot water with the NHLPA. Luckily, Kelly has more important things to do, like lick poor Dany's wounds.
Sorry if this posted twice, yahoo's fault
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There's such a thing as pricing yourself out of a job, and Kessel's doing an excellent job of it.
Re the premise of the original blog entry: How can something be extinct when it was barely extant in the first place? Have there even been 10 RFA signings in the history of the NHL? They are acts of desperation or retaliation, not standard operating procedure.
I'm not saying there's collusion, but look at how huffy Bloviating Burke and that chronic duo of failure in Buffalo reacted when the Oilers tried to poach Vanek and subsequently signed Penner. They acted like signing another team's RFA was so against The Code, so unnatural, so taken-for-granted NOT DONE.
As anyone who has ever worked in a cartel can tell you, you don't actually have communicate collusion to have collusion.
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The team took him to arbitration. I'm clearly talking about his time as an RFA prior to that.
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/hockey/nhl/2009-07-06-3267933666_x.htm
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