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Josh Harding(notes) is the 25-year-old restricted free-agent goalie for the Minnesota Wild; the one with the sterling minor-league and Lemaire-affected NHL numbers who's stuck behind Niklas Backstrom(notes) and his new four-year extension on the depth chart.

Oh, but it gets even better for Harding: The team signed Wade Dubielewicz(notes) as a potential replacement and has a team-elected arbitration hearing with Harding later this month. Even assuming a trade from the Wild, consider that the goaltending jobs have dwindled to backup spots and three-headed monsters around the NHL. Heck, even the Islanders have three starters now.

It wasn't necessarily supposed to be like this: Harding was supposed be one of the better, affordable RFA options available for a potential offer sheet. Consider he made $750,000 last season and Craig Anderson(notes), a comparable backup-to-starting goalie, signed a two-year deal with the Colorado Avalanche with a cap hit of $1.812 million.

In April, Tyler Dellow made a logical case for the Edmonton Oilers to target Harding before they decided to ink Nikolai Khabibulin(notes) -- including the fact that the Wild would have been put in a very unwanted position if they decided to match an offer sheet.

Yet one never arrived; nor has it for that other RFA darling, Phil Kessel(notes) of the Boston Bruins, or for New York Rangers center Brandon Dubinsky(notes). Fluto Shinzawa of The Boston Globe writes today there have only been five since the latest CBA was ratified: "Philadelphia to Ryan Kesler(notes), Edmonton to Thomas Vanek(notes), Edmonton to Penner, Vancouver to David Backes(notes), and St. Louis to Steve Bernier(notes)."

Considering that, and the current economic climate, Shinzawa asks if the RFA offer sheet is, in fact, extinct.

Shinzawa believes there could still be an offer sheet coming to Kessel as training camp nears, but admits that the time for one would have been right around the Free Agent Frenzy. From the Globe:

Now, following nearly four weeks of free agency, clubs are filling out their 2009-10 lineups and spending their cash. It would most likely require an offer sheet of $5 million or more for the Bruins to consider allowing Kessel to go.

Teams that have $5 million plus to spend, such as the Islanders, Columbus, and Phoenix, have that much space for a reason - they're not going to approach the cap. Also, those teams generally rebuild via the draft. A team that signs Kessel would have to fork over first-, second-, and third-round picks to the Bruins, in itself an expensive bounty, to say nothing of the cash they would owe their new player.

Looking ahead to next year, teams could have less funds available (a $3 million decrease is a common estimate), which makes it even unlikelier that offer sheets will be extended. Considering the circumstances, it may be time to term the offer sheet extinct.

It's a fair point, and one that becomes even more valid when you consider the old-boys politicking that keeps offer sheets from flying around the League. Please recall the sound of Dean Lombardi's pimp hand with the Los Angeles Kings last summer:

"We're not only going to match any offer sheet, we'll have enough space to go after your guys. Go ahead and make our day. If you sign our guy, we're coming back with both barrels firing. You'd better be damn straight that you have the cap space and all your guys are signed."

When you've got GMs making Dirty Harry cracks to the media on top of the obvious economic and future talent investment, RFA offer sheets could essentially go from rare to non-existent. The question is whether the players can get their acts together by the next CBA negotiation to argue for loosening free-agency policy, if that's a fight they even want to have.

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  1. TB
    1. Posted by TB Sun Jul 26, 2009 4:48 pm EDT

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    Can someone please explain why Phil Kessel remains unsigned?
  2. habs1rule
    2. Posted by habs1rule Sun Jul 26, 2009 4:59 pm EDT

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    With a decrease in the cap inevitable, can someone please tell me why Bob Gainey went on a Shopping spree..Spending millions on players that will be here for years..and left Montreal in salary cap hell..And he didnt even get a Star Player with some size for his efforts.
  3. Andy
    3. Posted by Andy Sun Jul 26, 2009 5:00 pm EDT

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    Bruins don't have the cap space., TB. That's why Kessel remains unsigned. They have to either trade him or trade someone else (Kobasew or Bergeron) to make room for him.
  4. Spock
    4. Posted by Spock Sun Jul 26, 2009 5:52 pm EDT

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    TB. Bruins only have cap space of approximately $1.7M to $1.8M to sign Kessel. Kessel wants $5M per season. Moreover, Kessel had shoulder surgery on May 21 (torn rotator cuff and labrum .... Hello Hossa!) and the rehab is expected to be 6 months (until the start of December). Kessel in the past has also had testical cancer and a bout with mono .... My guess is that the Bruins are concerned with Kessel's health history, thus the big stand-off between Boston and Kessel. Thus with Kessel's health history and his only having 1 breakout season, it is not surprising that Boston is hesitant in giving Kessel (greedy monster!) what he wants.
  5. herecomethehawks
    5. Posted by herecomethehawks Sun Jul 26, 2009 5:57 pm EDT

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    If this is indeed the case, why is everyone on this board so quick to declare the Hawks in major trouble next year? All three guys are RFA's and all, with the possible exception of Keith, will be $5M . So how many teams will have the cap space for that next year when the cap is supposedly coming down?
    I like these articles, but Wysh I think it would have been wise to point out that, if anything, this makes keeping Kane, Toews and Keith even more likely.
  6. Spock
    6. Posted by Spock Sun Jul 26, 2009 5:59 pm EDT

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    Regarding Kessel and Hossa's shoulder injuries. I had similar shoulder problems .... operation .... and promises that after 6 months of rehab I would be the 100% .... Not true!!
  7. Fox
    7. Posted by Fox Sun Jul 26, 2009 6:01 pm EDT

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    Or trade Glen Murray and/or Peter Shaeffer for a bag of pucks rather than buying them out. Or not give almost as much money as Ward, Hnidy and Montador were making combined to Derek Morris (or at least keep a cheap replacement like Lashoff around if you are). Or maybe not take Eaves back when moving Ward. Some combination of those and Kobesew's contract might do it.
  8. Spock
    8. Posted by Spock Sun Jul 26, 2009 6:08 pm EDT

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    Fox. There is speculation that the reason why Boston insisted that Eaves be included in the deal for Ward (along with the 4th round draft pick), was that Boston didn't think the NHL would approve of a deal of Ward for a 4th round draft pick only.
  9. Fox
    9. Posted by Fox Sun Jul 26, 2009 6:49 pm EDT

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    @Spock: I don't see why the league wouldn't. Speaking of just the Sharks, the league was OK with McLaren for a sixth (though the Flyers insisted he be able to play; must be a VERY recent demand of theirs regarding D-men), and was eventually OK with the retired-but-delaying-the-paperwork Malakhov and a #1 for the not-returning-from-Russia Korolyuk and Jim Fahey -- meaning, removing the cap machinations, that's Jim Fahey for a #1.
  10. WingeyDo
    10. Posted by WingeyDo Sun Jul 26, 2009 7:06 pm EDT

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    suprized Chicago hasn't signed Kessel yet : )
  11. Spock
    11. Posted by Spock Sun Jul 26, 2009 7:09 pm EDT

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    WingeyDo. Tallon's no longer the Hawks big chief.
  12. MC Puck
    12. Posted by MC Puck Sun Jul 26, 2009 7:14 pm EDT

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    Well last time I checked, both teams have to be included in a trade, and who's to say that Carolina would have made the deal if the Bruins didn't take Eaves. It made sense and opened up 4+ in cap space. The Derek Morris signing makes sense if the Bruins are A) going to move another forward [Bergy or Kobasew] or are going to trade kessel's rights.
    Also, keep in mind that if the Bruins lose Kessel to an offer sheet, the Bruins get a wealth of pics, and knowing how well they draft, maybe that's what they're hoping for: infuse some more youth in to replace the likes of Lashoff and Karsums.
  13. Guy F
    13. Posted by Guy F Sun Jul 26, 2009 7:36 pm EDT

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    Derek Morris' career trajectory is following the exact same lines as Jay McKee and Wade Redden. All three were considered Team Canada worthy at one point (with Redden actually participating in the 2004 World Cup and 2006 Olympics). All three were first round draft picks. All three are in their early 30's. All three are nowhere near what they once were. Six years ago you could argue that these three were in the top dozen d-men in the NHL. Now, they would be lucky to top the crack 4 on many teams. McKee gets bought out, Redden's contract is an albatross of Brian Campbell dimensions and........the Bruins sign Morris for 3.3? At least they were smart enough to keep the term minimal. Morris will be out of work this time next year unless he has a Lazarus-like comeback this season. I do not see him getting along with Julien. Further, I do not think he is going to like the East.
    I really wish the Blues did not match the Backes offer sheet. He would be a great addition to the Canucks. The Bernier offer sheet was not even sincere, it was more of a retaliation on the Blues part. Steve was a RFA again this year but signed for 500k less, with the Canucks, before looking for alternatives. Much of that was at the urging of the true Canuck captain, Ryan Kesler. Kes convinced Burrows to sign late last year at below market value. Also, he has promised to do whatever he can to keep the present team intact. Of course., this behaviour got him in some hot water with the NHLPA. Luckily, Kelly has more important things to do, like lick poor Dany's wounds.
  14. Guy F
    14. Posted by Guy F Sun Jul 26, 2009 7:37 pm EDT

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    Derek Morris' career trajectory is following the exact same lines as Jay McKee and Wade Redden. All three were considered Team Canada worthy at one point (with Redden actually participating in the 2004 World Cup and 2006 Olympics). All three were first round draft picks. All three are in their early 30's. All three are nowhere near what they once were. Six years ago you could argue that these three were in the top dozen d-men in the NHL. Now, they would be lucky to top the crack 4 on many teams. McKee gets bought out, Redden's contract is an albatross of Brian Campbell dimensions and........the Bruins sign Morris for 3.3? At least they were smart enough to keep the term minimal. Morris will be out of work this time next year unless he has a Lazarus-like comeback this season. I do not see him getting along with Julien. Further, I do not think he is going to like the East.
    I really wish the Blues did not match the Backes offer sheet. He would be a great addition to the Canucks. The Bernier offer sheet was not even sincere, it was more of a retaliation on the Blues part. Steve was a RFA again this year but signed for 500k less, with the Canucks, before looking for alternatives. Much of that was at the urging of the true Canuck captain, Ryan Kesler. Kes convinced Burrows to sign late last year at below market value. Also, he has promised to do whatever he can to keep the present team intact. Of course., this behaviour got him in some hot water with the NHLPA. Luckily, Kelly has more important things to do, like lick poor Dany's wounds.
    Sorry if this posted twice, yahoo's fault
  15. Spock
    15. Posted by Spock Sun Jul 26, 2009 8:09 pm EDT

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    Herecomethehawks. I would not be so sure that other teams do not submit offer sheets to your RFA Hawks next year. The Toronto Maple Leafs will be in an ideal situation next year to exploit your Hawks, paricularly with Brian Burke at the helm. This year the Leafs have a salary space of $7.4M. Next year they will have an additional $19.9M from 10 players who will become UFAs that they could let go. That would bring Toronto's cap space to $27.4M that the Leafs can spend on UFAs or RFAs next year .... And Brian Burke is evil enough to do so (especially since Toronto does not fall under the category of those teams, such as Columbus or Phoenix, that won't go all the way to the salary cap). And don't think that Burke would mind giving up draft choices for a couple of years to get players such as Toews (in particular), or Kane and Keith. And if Brian Burke was ever to pull such a stunt off, I would imagine that he would become a Canadian hero (atleast in Toronto).
  16. Spock
    16. Posted by Spock Sun Jul 26, 2009 9:00 pm EDT

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    Guy F. Boston seems to like Morris (not disagreeing with you or anything). They are saying that Morris is an upgrade to Ward (traded to Carlina to make space for Morris), partly due to him being almost 6 years younger, and because he is more mobile. The Boston guys are saying that one of the reasons why Boston lost in the Carolina series was that they lacked puck-moving defencemen .... thus the reason for those Kaberle rumours. Boston also has a lack of good defencemen in their farm system.
  17. Garth the Hoser
    17. Posted by Garth the Hoser Sun Jul 26, 2009 9:53 pm EDT

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    Ward, Mantador and Hnidy are barely competent 7th D so they had to go. Morris is no Ray Bourque, but he's a huge upgrade on those three plugs.
    There's such a thing as pricing yourself out of a job, and Kessel's doing an excellent job of it.
    Re the premise of the original blog entry: How can something be extinct when it was barely extant in the first place? Have there even been 10 RFA signings in the history of the NHL? They are acts of desperation or retaliation, not standard operating procedure.
    I'm not saying there's collusion, but look at how huffy Bloviating Burke and that chronic duo of failure in Buffalo reacted when the Oilers tried to poach Vanek and subsequently signed Penner. They acted like signing another team's RFA was so against The Code, so unnatural, so taken-for-granted NOT DONE.
    As anyone who has ever worked in a cartel can tell you, you don't actually have communicate collusion to have collusion.
  18. Brandon F
    18. Posted by Brandon F Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:08 pm EDT

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    Wysh - Um, nobody is allowed to offer a contract to Harding if he is going to arbitration and therefore no offer sheet can be signed by him. Kessel and Dubinsky, on the other hand, are out there for the offering. I'm surprised nobody at Yahoo seems to know this.
  19. Guy F
    19. Posted by Guy F Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:10 pm EDT

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    @ Spock : Oh yeah, you're absolutely right, he is definitely an upgrade as far as a puck-moving d-man (over Ward). Ward is what? 37 this year I think. It is a good trade-off in theory, I just think Boston will ultimately be disappointed. Morris has really dropped off. Now, he was a highly skilled defenseman at one point, especially from '98 to '03. Further, he's only 5'11" (I think he may be inaccurately listed at 6 foot) so he was a real stand-out in the pre-lockout era (when the likes of Hatcher, Rathje and Murray Baron reigned). I think the incident in Columbus (he deflected the shot that killed the young girl) may have adversely affected him. That or he peaked early and is aging poorly (hence the comparisons to Redden and McKee). I do hope he rebounds, unfortunately, I think it is unlikely. Still, I do remember the Derek Morris from the WHL, the Flames and the Avs. That Morris is awesome and based on that alone I would prefer him over Ward for sure. The Derek Morris that sleptwalk his way through the last few seasons in Phoenix is basically a waste a cap space. The Bruins will be an interesting story this year. Will Tim Thomas repeat? At Vezina level? I think not, but I do think he will stay strong. Will Bergeron recover? Again, I do not think he will regain his pre-injury form but I hope he continues making progress. Will Lucic look more like Neely this year? I say yes. I expect Lucic to be an absolute force. I see 28 goals, 65 points, plus 20, 170 PIM and a few Howe hat-tricks. What will happen with Kessel? Will Chara have another Norris level year? What the heck is going on with Marco Sturm?
  20. Evil Spoon
    20. Posted by Evil Spoon Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:13 pm EDT

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    After the big stink Brian Burke made over losing Dustin Penner, I think GMs are just afraid to pull the trigger. They risk looking like thieves and being painted as being bad guys, making it that much harder to get people to work with you. Of course, that is just a bunch of bull. Signing offer sheets is well within the rules. Further proof that NHL GMs are a bunch of pansies. They're afraid to address real issues in the league. They are afraid to take a stand on things that can make the game better. And they're afraid to take a chance of making other people mad even if it helps their team. Pathetic.
  21. Brandon F
    21. Posted by Brandon F Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:27 pm EDT

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    I guess re-reading it, it could be inferred that an offer sheet was supposed to arrive before the team elected for arbitration, but it should be menitoned, at least.
  22. Wyshynski
    22. Posted by Wyshynski Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:39 pm EDT

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    @ Brandon F --
    The team took him to arbitration. I'm clearly talking about his time as an RFA prior to that.
    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/hockey/nhl/2009-07-06-3267933666_x.htm
  23. LUKOS
    23. Posted by LUKOS Sun Jul 26, 2009 10:44 pm EDT

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    Burke now is your chance to get phil kessel!!! do it now!!! but not for 5 million!!! try to negoiate!! he"s a great player with potential to become better!!!
  24. Bubbabanjo
    24. Posted by Bubbabanjo Sun Jul 26, 2009 11:09 pm EDT

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    zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
  25. PaulieBones
    25. Posted by PaulieBones Sun Jul 26, 2009 11:19 pm EDT

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    why are the B's NOT resigning kessel??

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