Puck Daddy - NHL

The Illinois Lottery officially started a new promotion with the Chicago Blackhawks last Wednesday: One adult fan would be randomly chosen at each home game, and if the Blackhawks scored at exactly the 10-minute mark of the second period -- not a second over or under -- then that fan would win $1 million.

Just five days later, someone sitting in Section 326 had already hit the jackpot.

Minnesota Wild goalie Niklas Backstrom surrendered his only goal, in Monday night's 40-save performance at the Blackhawks, to winger Martin Havlat at 10:00 of the second period. (The video of the goal is around the 1:50 mark of this clip; as you'll see, the timing was close.)

"We were only three games into it," said Paul Arnell, director of promotions for the lottery. "And it had to happen on Obama eve. But it's been great."

The winning fan, from the Chicago area, met with Havlat after the game. He'll be revealed to the media and honored at tonight's Blackhawks game at home against the St. Louis Blues. (UPDATE: 8:15 p.m.: Cary Stolarczyk, a first-year season ticket holder in Sect. 326, was revealed as the winner this evening.)

What are the odds of this incredible scenario playing out for a hockey fan? More importantly: How does the Illinois Lottery react to giving away a million dollars less than a week into its promotion with the Blackhawks?

Darren Rovell of CNBC looked into the probability of a fan winning this lottery promotion; as a point of reference, there is a 1-in-10,179,260 chance that a lottery player will hit all six numbers in the traditional Illinois lotto drawing.

From Rovell:

Since the odds of this happening seemed so low, we called the folks at US Hole In One, an insurance company that specializes in insuring these types of contests to give us an estimate as to how likely this was to actually happen.

Greg Esterhai of US Hole In One says the odds of a player scoring a goal at any second in any game is about 1 in 1,000. But Esterhai says that since the promotion is a season-long promotion, the odds go down to about a 1 in 25 chance. He said that this makes the goal promotion more likely to happen over the course of a season than a fan hitting a full court shot in any particular game, which is about a 1 in 50 chance.

So maybe it's not such an incredible scenario after all. Arnell said that the lottery didn't anticipate this jackpot being paid out so quickly, but that "working for the lottery, anything can happen. We meet winners all the time."

He said the promotion began last week after the lottery and the team worked out the details.

"The idea evolved out of a back and forth we were having with the Blackhawks. We were talking about become partners this year, and coming up with an interesting promotion," he said.

"Between the brainstorming sessions, we kind of landed at that. I'm not sure if the 10-minute mark was suggested because it's the halfway mark of the game; but I guess one could say that."

Does he think there's a chance that the players were conscious about the promotion; that perhaps, in the conspiracy theory to end all conspiracy theories, Backstrom was aware he was about to earn someone a million?

"No, no," Arnell said with a laugh, "it's certainly a funny prospect, but I don't think there's anything to it."

The question now becomes whether there's going to be anything to the "Illinois Lottery Million Dollar Minute Promotion" for the rest of the season.

The contest won't be held for tonight's game, as Arnell said the introduction of the winner will take the place of the promotion. The Blackhawks won't play again in Chicago until Feb. 14 against the Dallas Stars, and Arnell said the lottery is keeping its options open.

"We're evaluating the existing promotion with the Hawks now, about what parts of it we want to keep and what parts we want to change," he said. "I don't think [the win] discourages the partnership at all. If anything it would encourage it."

Who knows what they'll come up with next. Give the Illinois Lottery credit for ingenuity: It's currently holding a statewide "rock, paper, scissors" contest in conjunction with a new scratch-off game, in which competitors can win $500 for "scissors beat paper." No word if the "dynamite" wild card will be allowed.

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233 Comments

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  1. Brian M
    1. Posted by Brian M Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:13 pm EDT

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    The Sabres and WGR radio have a contest where someone wins a car if the Sabres score exactly 5:50 into the game. I always say it's impossible, but maybe not.
  2. 5 4 fighting
    2. Posted by 5 4 fighting Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:01 pm EDT

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    been doing it in tampa for two yrs now-tough odds-1st yr it was your birthday yr, this year is at the 15:00 mark in the 2nd period.
  3. Sobu
    3. Posted by Sobu Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:31 pm EDT

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    Starngely, I saw another 10:00 2nd Period goal just a few days before.
    They should just replace the $1,000,000 with a date with Sarah Spain. It costs the lottery little, but it's worth more than 1mil to the lucky fan, lest it be a straight woman. In that case... uh... Pink ice!
  4. Hell Followed After
    4. Posted by Hell Followed After Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:40 pm EDT

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    a little known promotion for the visiting team fans in chicago:
    if someone scores 24 seconds into a hawks game.... Havlat goes on IR for a month
  5. N. Y. NIGHTMARE
    5. Posted by N. Y. NIGHTMARE Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:06 pm EDT

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    sarah spain has nice bags
  6. GadiS
    6. Posted by GadiS Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:02 pm EDT

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    @N.Y. Nightmare
    She does and you'll never touch them.
    -Sarah's husband
  7. jibblescribbits
    7. Posted by jibblescribbits Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:34 pm EDT

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    You know who would have been awarded $1M+ had the Blackhawks scored a goal in the first 4 games of the season?
    Dennis Savard
  8. Ch M
    8. Posted by Ch M Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:23 pm EDT

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    @Sobu
    I guess it is a good thing you didn't bid then when Spain put herself up for Ebay auction for a date to the Super Bowl.
  9. Mat M
    9. Posted by Mat M Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:10 pm EDT

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    How about if the Hawks score @ 5:55, a lucky fan can go 5-hole on Sarah Spain?
  10. Sobu
    10. Posted by Sobu Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:31 pm EDT

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    Ch M,
    That was to the super bowl, this would be just to some random restaraunt. Some place where the deep dish is almost as stacked as she is. Might as well throw a sausage in the mix to keep the mood.
  11. Ch M
    11. Posted by Ch M Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:23 pm EDT

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    @Sobu,
    As long as you are going for next month's innuendo award, don't forget the Spanish meatballs.
  12. Doug P
    12. Posted by Doug P Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:49 pm EDT

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    Yeah, Sarah Spain was a far better option than $1,000,000
  13. Deker
    13. Posted by Deker Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:31 pm EDT

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    I think Spain is single, according to her Myspace page. What a sports babe. As for this million $$ promotion.......that's a HUGE coincidence and they should get some publicity from this story alone. I doubt that will happen again this season in the United Center.
  14. Capital Punishment
    14. Posted by Capital Punishment Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:54 pm EDT

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    Has anyone noticed the capitals haven't given up an even strength goal in over 200 minutes? I feel like this should be mentioned sometime.
  15. Chris
    15. Posted by Chris Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:48 pm EDT

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    Sarah Spain does look like a better option than a million bucks..
  16. J.S.
    16. Posted by J.S. Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:29 pm EDT

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    Johnstown (ECHL) has had this promotion for years, but it was for "only" $10k. To my knowledge, and I'm usually at the majority of home pages, nobody has hit it within the past 5 years. Call it lucky, but the odds of anybody scoring at 10:00 is 1:3600. Factor in puck possession and an opposing team, and you're looking at 1/7200.
    You have a better chance of injuring yourself with your lawnmower (or snowblower. Sorry, Joe) or hurting yourself in the shower.
    I guess Illinois doesn't like when the odds are "stacked" against the house.
  17. banginpanger.com
    17. Posted by banginpanger.com Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:04 pm EDT

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    I feel like that for $1 million, I feel like I could bag Miss Spain, Miss Italy, Miss Eastern Europe, and Miss America. But maybe a million doesn't get you as far as it used to? [shrugs]
  18. J.S.
    18. Posted by J.S. Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:29 pm EDT

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    home game, not pages.
    Got cross between work email and Yahoo. Oops/
  19. Wyshynski
    19. Posted by Wyshynski Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:21 pm EDT

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    @ Luke --
    I thought the same thing, but keep in mind that's the Versus clock and not a camera on the arena clock.
  20. Peeler
    20. Posted by Peeler Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:02 pm EDT

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    LA Kings have a contest just to get fans to show up
  21. chidiver
    21. Posted by chidiver Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:01 pm EDT

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    I was at the game and the crowd (at least in the 300 level) was VERY aware of the clock being stopped at 10:00 and that someone should have just won the mill. But it seemed like it took forever for the official goal /assists announcement and a buzz was building that they were trying to find a way to weasel out if it by saying the goal was "scored at 9:59" or something. But to their credit, they came through and announced Havlat's goal at exactly 10:00! The crowd went nuts, but it still took til nearly the end of the game before they announced in the arena that the million had been awarded.
  22. carl_vs_mastershake
    22. Posted by carl_vs_mastershake Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:18 pm EDT

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    I like the Blue Jackets promotion of putting a million dollars on a bed with a stripped down Mike Commadore and one "lucky" fan gets to earn the cash. I guess that explains their attendance problem.
  23. onedrunkproducer
    23. Posted by onedrunkproducer Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:45 pm EDT

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    speaking of the Blackhawks here's what Fraser and Brouwer thought about Obama's inauguration
    www.mouthpiecesports.com/media/18037
  24. Ch M
    24. Posted by Ch M Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:23 pm EDT

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    Now there is a season ticket promotion idea. You buy at least 2 season tickets and you are given a "second" of the game for that season. Home team scores during your second, you get the puck or stick or autograph. Be a good bonus for some of these clubs struggling to sell season tickets.
  25. Fox
    25. Posted by Fox Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:24 pm EDT

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    @Brian: actually, the odds are a lot better than anything else a Lottery would give you:
    # of seconds in game = 3600
    minus
    # of seconds unavailable because you can't score that fast = 3588
    times
    # of available seats at the United Center = 73,554,000
    divided by
    # of goals the Hawks score, on average, at home = 19,264,143 : 1
    Not bad for free, and probably better than any $1 ticket odds. Assuming the 'Hawks sell out, the chances of the promoter having to pay someone are better than 1 in 1000; bummer for them that it already happened.

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