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("Sleepers, Keepers , Bench'em or Drop'em" is a weekly fantasy hockey column written by Darryl "Dobber" Dobbs, an honest-to-goodness expert on such matters and founder of DobberHockey.com. His column will run on Puck Daddy every Thursday.)

That's the beauty of fantasy hockey --  throwing darts can often bring you better results than hours of studying statistics and depth charts.

Of course, I speak to last week's recommendation of considering Andrew Ebbett(notes) (since scratched) and dropping Matt Stajan(notes) (now back on Phil Kessel's(notes) line and doing just fine, thank you) and Radim Vrbata(notes) (let's not go there either). It's enough to drive a man to drink.  As Homer found out (to his dismay) in an early Simpsons episode spoofing fantasy sports -- "when you're right 52 percent of the time, you're wrong 48 percent of the time."

I strive for that 52 percent. With everything in life.

Injury replacement of the week: Andrei Kostitsyn(notes), Montreal Canadiens

Brian Gionta(notes) has a fractured bone in his left foot and the slumping A.K. has already scored a goal in his absence. Kostitsyn has had a hell of a time with things since early spring and fantasy owners have been jumping ship faster than figureheads at the NHLPA.

Are you drunk?

It's Thursday. You know the answer to that already. If there is ever a moment that you should show interest this season in the elder Kostitsyn, it is right now. Granted, six points in 21 games is as impressive as a Gary Bettman press conference, but he's a talented kid who will now get another chance to be a go-to guy.

The Keepers who are on fire...

Niklas Kronwall(notes), Detroit Red Wings: Kronwall's been improving his statistics every year and he has also proven (last season) that he can stay healthy for the full slate of games. He has seven points in his last four contests and has shown in the past that his hot streaks can go for as long as 25 games.

Brad Boyes(notes), St. Louis Blues: He'd been about as effective in the first six weeks as the Coyotes' PR department was back in July. Nothing gets fantasy owners back on a player's bandwagon faster than a four-point game, which Boyes had on the 10th. Sure, he may take a step back this year, but that step won't take him below the 60-point mark. The Blues' offense won't remain this horrible forever.

Steve Sullivan(notes), Nashville Predators:  Something clicks with Sully. You don't know when it will happen, but when it does it's pretty sweet. He has scored three goals in his last two games, which tops his total from the first 17 games. That sound you heard was "click". Now watch him go.

Bobby Ryan(notes), Anaheim Ducks:  There were a lot of poolies panicking over this guy. They couldn't understand how he could post nearly a point-per-game as a rookie and then stumble out of the gates with two points in nine games. Relax. He's not going to finish with a point-per-game as a sophomore and that thought should never have teased you in the first place. He's also not going to get 20 points - no "jinx" is that bad (unless he gets hurt, but I won't go there -- it may curse him). He'll finish in that 62-67 range. His 11 points in the last 10 games are just one of several hot runs he will have in 2009-10.

The Sleepers who are on the wire...

Frans Nielsen(notes), New York Islanders: The 25-year-old Dane has given the Isles some more secondary scoring. You'll never mistake him for Bryan Trottier, but Nielsen does have a bit of upside. He should set a career high of 40 or 45 points come April. Seeing as he has eight of his points (and plus-6) in the last 10 games, he's a good short-term option in a lot of fantasy formats

Anton Stralman(notes), Columbus Blue Jackets: Tons of potential, he just needs to be used properly.  And Ken Hitchcock is world renowned for using his young players properly, right Nikita? Actually, in Stralman's case, Hitch is doing a good job. He has 11 points in his last 15 games and eight of those points have come on the power play. Unless Stralman shows up at the rink wearing a Filatov mask, he'll continue to get the ice time and as such should be a lock for 42-plus points.

Brian Pothier(notes), Washington Capitals:  This is just a short-term suggestion, as Pothier has teased us before. Following up a 35-point season in Ottawa to go to a budding offensive powerhouse in Washington back when they didn't have another option for a quarterback ... and then stumbling to 28 points was as big a letdown as "Transformers 2." But he does have six points in his last six games and they came on the heels of a healthy scratch - which sometimes gives a player the kick in the ass they need.

Jimmy Howard(notes), Detroit Red Wings: Chris Osgood(notes) is hurt and Howard is getting all of the starts. More importantly - he's winning them. He is 3-1 in his last four and sports a 0.903 SP in that span. Not the greatest, but good enough to earn Mike Babcock's confidence. Goalies are always hard to get via the wire in roto leagues, so from that standpoint Howard is a great short-term option.

In a slump, these boys are mired...

Jason Spezza(notes), Ottawa Senators:  It's amazing how many clowns there are out there. The dummies who will jump on anyone for still having faith that Spezza can be a 100-point player, and they believe that without Dany Heatley(notes) he'll be lucky to get even 80 again. Both the peanut butter and the jam can be very good on their own, folks. He's only 26 and we haven't seen anywhere near the season that will be his career best yet. It won't be this year, obviously, but just remember that Vincent Lecavalier(notes) had a disappointing 75 points at the age of 26 - before exploding for 108 the next year. Ride it out.

Mikhail Grabovski(notes), Toronto Maple Leafs: It's another one of Grabby's cold streaks and when the Phil Kessel line is the only line scoring, it will probably be a couple of weeks before he gets back into the swing of things. Frustrating to own. Bench him.

Sergei Samsonov(notes), Carolina Hurricanes: The talent is there -- just watch him with the puck. But for whatever reason (perhaps his wrist never fully healed from back in 2003), he's not beating the goaltender and neither are the players that he dishes to. His ice time is dropping faster than your jaw did when I said Spezza will be a 100-point player. Drop him.

Joffrey Lupul(notes), Anaheim Ducks: One point in eight games makes a great-looking season look very bad in an awful hurry. Teemu Selanne(notes) gets in his last gasp of mediocre-to-decent numbers while Lupul, the understudy, waits in the wings. The two are often linemates, but they don't mesh at all - six of his nine points have come while playing on the top line with Corey Perry(notes) and Ryan Getzlaf(notes) even though he played twice as many shifts on the Selanne line. Next year he'll hit his prime and I still think he'll be a 70-point player.  Bench him.

Darryl Dobbs is the founder of dobberhockey.com, a fantasy hockey community with over a dozen columnists, a daily blog and in-depth fantasy player rankings. His always accurate opinions can also be found over at The Hockey News in their fantasy section.

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22 Comments

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  1. Pat
    1. Posted by Pat Thu Nov 19, 2009 4:51 pm EST

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    Kostitsyn is as useless as a Palestinian alarm clock (ref: Family Guy)
  2. mitchfbrown12
    2. Posted by mitchfbrown12 Thu Nov 19, 2009 5:04 pm EST

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    Dobber is the 2nd-worst fantasy hockey columnist I've ever read. The worst, of course, would be Matt Romig.
  3. hockeysteve54
    3. Posted by hockeysteve54 Thu Nov 19, 2009 5:17 pm EST

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    First! I had the intent to declare First before Pat posted!
  4. Buzz Killington
    4. Posted by Buzz Killington Thu Nov 19, 2009 5:25 pm EST

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    I agree with Mitch, Dobbs does a poor job with these articles (Who in their right mind would have even acquired Samsonov, let alone still hung onto him this long). Many of the players I see listed would never be considered viable pickups, even in a 12 team league. I can't tell if he is focusing more on VERY deep pools, or he is just reaching for players way off the radar. It would be nice to see these articles catered more towards the Yahoo! format, so that the readers can get some decent fantasy perspective for their teams. I do appreciate any useful fantasy hockey info I can find, but I can't say I've found a reliable source. I'm not just trying to bash on Dobbs, just offering an opinion on how to improve these articles because based on comments I've read in the past, I'm not alone in my beliefs.
  5. Daniel
    5. Posted by Daniel Thu Nov 19, 2009 5:46 pm EST

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    Considering Kostitsyn had numerous opportunities this season on the first line, and considering how well it worked (not), someone will need to be pretty desperate (i'd call it foolish) to take him on any team whatsoever.
  6. Helm's Deep
    6. Posted by Helm's Deep Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:10 pm EST

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    I can relate...I snagged Bobby Ryan after someone else was hastey to cut him.
    12 teams in my pool.
    Last year I drafted Andrei Coke-steetsin,
    and this year I picked up Jimmy Ho!!!
    But I did take Getzlaf when Malkin was available!
  7. mitchfbrown12
    7. Posted by mitchfbrown12 Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:21 pm EST

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    No way in hell would anyone ever pick up Frans Nielsen, a center who has all of 2 PPP (and 0 PIM) and plays for the Islanders. And do I really need to be told not to drop or bench Jason Spezza? What is the point of the "keepers on fire" section--can't I just look at the rankings for the past week for that? And the "are you drunk" bit was not even funny the first time. It's too bad Puck Daddy couldn't get someone with something to actually say for the fantasy hockey column.
  8. Ben D.
    8. Posted by Ben D. Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:22 pm EST

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    Terrible article. Scott Burnside writes better articles.
    Lupul scoring 70? What a joke.
  9. Admiral Cowpollock
    9. Posted by Admiral Cowpollock Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:24 pm EST

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    Hey Dobber, would you please note player positions -- C, RW, LW, etc. I'm not enough of a hockey head to know what positions are played by Samsonov, Spezza, Nielsen, etc. Meaning, your column doesn't do me a lot of good unless I click thru on lots of these guys. Which is inevitably a time waster when I'm interested in a D and find out that Stolichnaya plays RW and Smirnoff is a C. Thanks.
  10. Mikhail
    10. Posted by Mikhail Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:27 pm EST

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    Dude seriously how big of a Spezza fanboy are you? Is there a Spezza Inc. out there somewhere that you own stock in or something? Year after year you're i see you post about how great Spezza is, and this is now year two that his stats have dropped. He's playing with inferior linemates and lets be fair Spezza hasn't exactly been the picture of health during his young NHL career. You're still trying to pass him off as top of draft talent?
    I'm not saying Spezza is a bad player nor that he couldn't be valuable to a fanatsy team but I've seen you time and again on THN, your own site and now here on Yahoo! pimp out the magic that is Jason Spezza and lambaste anyone who thinks otherwise My god you even had the audacity to lampoon readers/players who posed you the question of owning Spezza vs. Parise! Well who looks like a better player to own now, Lemaire and all? Yeah that 94pt season sure was a fluke..
    I know all the cheerleading you've done may make it hard to ease out of your role as president of the Spezza fan club, but with the "Keep the faith" posts about him every chance you get. They aren't helping your reputation as a Fantasy expert. And if you seriously feel that Spezza is still an elite level talent in the NHL, you need to pass the torch of Fantasy advice.
  11. Jason
    11. Posted by Jason Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:34 pm EST

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    I would pick up Kositsyn for the injured Gionta---only thing is, yahoo has been horrible about putting players on the IR this year. They didnt put Luongo on until weeks into his injury. Figures.
  12. mitchfbrown12
    12. Posted by mitchfbrown12 Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:47 pm EST

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    It's not Yahoo's fault that players don't go on IR right away, it's the NHL teams' whose responsibility it is to put those players on IR. Actually Yahoo has been doing a pretty good job keeping up with it if you ask me.
  13. habs1rule
    13. Posted by habs1rule Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:50 pm EST

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    Anyone that has seen the Kostitsyns may not know this, but Andrei is practically guaranteed a roster spot no matter how bad he is. Anyone complaining about Hitchcocks decision about Filatov needs to realize if you dont let them develop properly, this is what you wind up with. Any questions!!
  14. mitchfbrown12
    14. Posted by mitchfbrown12 Thu Nov 19, 2009 6:52 pm EST

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    Also, ooh_la_rock, you have no idea what you're talking about. Spezza is a 2nd overall pick (behind Kovalchuk, and let's not forget that Spezza was for a long time considered the front-runner to go first overall), so if he's really no good, then he's been fooling people for a long time. Especially with these seasons: 90 pts, 68 games; 87 pts, 67 games; 92 pts, 76 games. It's not like he had a bad year last year--he still scored 32 goals, his assists just dropped a lot because Alfredsson had a bit of an off year as well.
  15. Boston
    15. Posted by Boston Thu Nov 19, 2009 7:09 pm EST

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    @ mitchfbrown12
    Spezza stinks, he is a second tier center. Just because he was a second overall pick doesn't mean he is good. Patrick Stefan was picked first overall how awesome was he. Spezza is terrible, a complete one way player no defensive ability and a complete pansy.
  16. turdfergosun2003
    16. Posted by turdfergosun2003 Thu Nov 19, 2009 7:44 pm EST

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    I'm pretty sure I'd destroy in fantasy hockey like many would with these ugly articles of his. Can this guys write anything other than am i drunk, it was worse then...., it was as exciting as..... How is this guys writing for yahoo? Sad sad world.
  17. Owen W
    17. Posted by Owen W Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:09 am EST

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    All you guys knocking on Dobber are dead wrong. His web site is actually really good. And I've won my last two seasons hockey pools by using it. Maybe his writing skills need work, but he's actually got a lot of good info.
  18. BatRob!
    18. Posted by BatRob! Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:22 am EST

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    Hey Admiral Cowpollock
    Smirnoff was a D in the minors, but got shuffled up front when Captain Morgan went down with a knee injury.
  19. Spencer P
    19. Posted by Spencer P Fri Nov 20, 2009 3:32 am EST

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    Is this guy serious? Bobby Ryan shouldn't have "teased us" with the thought of him being a point per game player? Have you seen this guy play? Have you seen who he plays with? Jesus, Jonathan Cheechoo scored 56 bloody goals on a line with Jumbo Joe and although Getzlaf isn't in the same echelon as Thorton just yet, he's right on the brim and Ryan has far more talent than Cheechoo ever had. He has the potential to put up 90pts, mark my words. Andrei Kostitsyn? I'm a diehard Habs fan who's watched every minute this year and even I can see you're jumping the gun. He played very well last game and was solid the one before, but before that he struggled MIGHTILY. He has the talent but his head isn't in check. He's a disappearing act, but I hope you're right.
    Anyways by the look of you're recent track record I wonder if I should even be posting..Cant believe this was on Puck Daddy... Just as I started to really like them.
  20. Garth the Hoser
    20. Posted by Garth the Hoser Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:11 am EST

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    Dobber's website is unreadable. Why import his dreck here?
    That said, to be fair it's hard to cater to participants in all pools. For instance, most of the critics commenting here sound like they're in some weak-@zzed 8-team points-only or half-skaters/half-goalies farce of a pool.
    Try being in a pool where 600 players are selected. Then Franz Neilsen isn't so far-fetched. Or Brian Pothier.
    And if you don't know what position Samsonov and Spezza play, you're retarded and should not be in a hockey pool.
  21. sonelnino
    21. Posted by sonelnino Fri Nov 20, 2009 11:20 am EST

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    LMAO- Trash talkin'
    “(He) fabricated the whole thing.”- Sean Avery
  22. CU
    22. Posted by CU Wed Nov 25, 2009 11:54 am EST

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    Any Kostitsyn is worth an ignore...just like Wellwoods, Berniers and the like...

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