The premature playoff picture: Week 11

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In: Jets, Broncos, Dolphins, Packers
Out: Colts, Chargers, Ravens, Bears

AFC First Round Byes:
Tennessee Titans
Pittsburgh Steelers

Other Divisional Champions:
New York Jets
Denver Broncos

AFC Wildcards:
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots

NFC First Round Byes:
New York Giants
Carolina Panthers

Other Divisional Champions:
Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers

NFC Wildcards:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Redskins

Notes:

• The last NFC Wildcard came down to a choice between the Redskins, Cowboys, and Falcons, and I really wanted to go with the Falcons. Unfortunately, the remainder of their schedule is not as friendly as that of the Redskins or Cowboys.

• And yes, Cowboys, I know you just beat the Redskins, but I don't trust you. Not even a little bit. Some other huge mental breakdown is coming.

• I finally had to give the Jets the nod. I don't feel great about it, but this late in the season, if you've got an outright division lead, it's hard to pick against you. That said, they play Tennessee this week, so their outright lead could be evaporating quickly.

• I had to put Denver in, too, sadly. Unless they flop miserably the rest of the way, San Diego's going to have to be near-perfect to catch them, and if there's one thing San Diego isn't near, it's perfect. Their schedule isn't the friendliest in the league, either.

• If you'd have told me in Week Five that I'd have three AFC East teams in the playoffs and none of them would be the Bills, I'm not sure I'd have believed you.

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1. Posted by The Mob Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:45 pm EDT
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Awesome sight...no cowgirls!!! I hope it stays that way!!!
Go Cards!!!
2. Posted by nate b Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:59 pm EDT
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Jets win the AFC. east...Take it to the bank
giants vs jets in the sb....? it could happen
3. Posted by Andrew Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:54 pm EDT
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Have you looked at the Colts schedule? I'm not sure I understand how you do not have them making the playoffs. Even if they lose to Tennessee in week 17, they probably go 5-1 which puts them at 11-5. Maybe if you would have at least offered an argument, I would question your decision making less.
4. Posted by chico v Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:12 pm EDT
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Yo Dawg. Dem C-Boys is gonna due good the rest of there seeson. Donwt cowunt 'em out 'till they be downe.
5. Posted by The Mob Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:45 pm EDT
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Not likely but I hold out hope, if the Cards beat the Giants this week, the cards could be looking at a bye!!!
Yeah I know the Giants are the team to beat, but this why they play games.
Go Cards!!!!
6. Posted by Randy B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:46 pm EDT
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Can we say one for the other hand! GO STEELERS!
7. Posted by mdb Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:51 pm EDT
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I have to agree with being tentative about putting Denver in. As a Denver fan, I'm glad they're doing well, but SD's schedule is much more condusive to them making the playoffs than Denver's. Which is very upsetting since SD is so poor this year and I can't stand Rivers...no matter how athletically good he is.
My predictions for the rest of the season -
SD wins: ATL, OAK, KC, DEN
SD loses: IND, TB
Den wins: KC, OAK
Den losses: NYJ, CAR, BUF, SD
SD in playoffs with better conf record.
8. Posted by KettleOneFueledMayhem Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:46 pm EDT
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From 1-15, to the playoffs....we'll take it.
9. Posted by JB Thu Sep 03, 2009 6:56 pm EDT
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Broncos win!
10. Posted by KettleOneFueledMayhem Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:46 pm EDT
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Go fins!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
11. Posted by Joseph T Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:41 pm EDT
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No Colts? what a fool
12. Posted by jason Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:08 pm EDT
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how can u have 3 teams from the same division in the playoffs. Apparently Baltimore is being over looked for the time being.
13. Posted by Saro G Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:46 pm EDT
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If the Dolphins lose to the Pats, it will take the wind out of their sails. Belichick is pissed and will make Pennington's Sunday a living hell.
14. Posted by Nandu M Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:33 pm EDT
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1) I love the Steelers, but it should be noted they have a tough schedule ahead of them.
2) I'm not sure I see the Dolphins over the Ravens. I see two losses for Miami (NE and Jets) and one for the Ravens (Steelers).
3) I also agree with the previous poster about Indie. Titans look like their biggest challenge.
4) Titans have been stellar, but I think these guys are peaking too early. The Steelers, on the other hand, are poised for a late season peak. If the Tomlin can pull their O-line together, I think there is a good chance we'll see a Steelers-Giants Super Bowl.
15. Posted by Dave P Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:30 pm EDT
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looking like maybe a parade for big tuna in miami go fins!!!
16. Posted by Matt A Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:38 pm EDT
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How about the CARDINALS?
17. Posted by aCart Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:14 pm EDT
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what? the colts are 6-4 with a fairly easy schedule and they arn't in? this guy must seriously not know football if he's going to put three teams from the afc east in. Pick dolphins or patriots they can't both make it idiot. The division is
going to play each other a few more times before the season is over how can they all have a record good enough for the playoffs. Very dumb playoff picture.
18. Posted by Jake Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:58 pm EDT
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Titans keep on rollin. Nandu...we'll see in about a month when Tennessee plays Pittsburgh. We'll see who peaks.
19. Posted by Saro G Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:46 pm EDT
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If the Dolphins make the playoffs, they can thank the Bills for stupidly scheduling their Toronto home game against Miami. You NEVER strip your home field advantage against a warm weather team.
20. Posted by Nobody Beats the Biz Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:21 pm EDT
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tnt1089, Why can't both the Dolphins and Pats make it, idiot? Maybe if you had paid attention in 3rd grade math you could figure out how they could both make it.
21. Posted by The Franchise Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:49 pm EDT
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can someone please translate what the hell chico said in english?
22. Posted by First L Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:38 pm EDT
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At least You called the blog right, premature ejack would be a more fitting title though. The Colts should be in there & I wouldn't rule out the Cowboys either.............
23. Posted by Mike F Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:44 pm EDT
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i just don't see 3 teams from the AFC east getting in. they have to play each other, which means someone is going to pull away and someone else is going to fall behind the other wildcard spots. indianapolis should probably get the nod over a 3rd AFC east team.
24. Posted by First L Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:38 pm EDT
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Appears Chico is rooting for the Cowboys ,just a guess !
25. Posted by Grog Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:04 pm EDT
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the cardinals will have at leat 2 more losses (giants and philly). warners lack of mobility (since their run game doesn't scare anybody) will be their undoing. carolina will loose at leat 2 more games, the giants maybe 2.
bucs over cards, skins over gb, jets over fish, pats over denver
steelers over pats, jets over ten, giants over bucs, carolina over skins
steelers over jets, giants over carolina