Shutdown Corner - NFL

There seems to be a sentiment out there that because neither of the NFC championship game participants reached the 10-win plateau in the regular season, that it somehow makes the NFC championship game less interesting or valid.

It's an outdated and unfair way of looking at things.

I use the term "outdated" because it sort of ignores two things that have become increasingly important in the NFL over the last decade or so: parity and, not unrelated to that, hot streaks. The talent level is spread so evenly throughout the NFL that (if we can exclude the Lions for a minute here) there's not much that separates the best team in the NFL from the worst. Winning a game in the NFL is a hard damn thing, and if you do it in 50 percent or more of the games you play, that means you're good. Period.

Winning nine games doesn't make a team mediocre. It makes it a pretty good team that, for some reason, lacked consistency. The Cardinals are a good team that shifted into cruise control when they clinched their division. The Eagles are a good team that sometimes gets confused about how much Donovan McNabb means to them and endured a two-game rough spot in the schedule, tying Cincinnati and getting blown out by Baltimore.

Don't let how a team played during a stretch earlier in the season keep you from believing that it's playing excellent football now. If you're looking at this game and saying, "Oh, this game sucks because it's between two nine win teams," you're essentially denying that teams can play better in one part of a season than another.

Is Pittsburgh the same team now as it was when it eeked out a 10-6 victory over Cleveland early in the season? Of course not. Is Baltimore the same team that got worked by Indianapolis in Week 6? Of course not. So why does Arizona have to be the same team now that it was a month or two ago?

In a league where the talent is bunched so tightly, tiny little things make the difference. Just a shred of confidence or team chemistry can mean the difference between a four-game win streak and a 2-2 stretch. The line between winning and losing is so thin.

Things vary throughout a season. Confidence wavers. Injuries happen, and so do returns from injuries. A particular unit on a team finally coming together (like the Steelers offensive line, for example) can happen at any time. There are times when things slow down for a quarterback and the game gets easier for him. Pressure and urgency vary from week to week. All of these things matter, and they can all change quickly.

Philadelphia and Arizona are playing excellent football right now, and if you don't believe me, I'm open to alternate theories as to how Philadelphia just beat the Giants or how the Cardinals just waxed the Panthers in their own building, where they were 8-0. My theory -- and this is crazy, I know -- is that it's because in those games, the Eagles and Cardinals were the better football teams.

And the last I checked, those are the only qualifications necessary to be in the NFC championship game. The Eagles and Cardinals are deserving. The system is designed to pair the teams that are playing the best now. Not the teams who got the highest grades on Chris Berman's third quarter report card.

Yeah, other teams had better records. But if you want to follow a league where your regular-season record determines what you get to do in the postseason, try college football. They've got this great system where a series of almost-randomly determined bowl games can often narrow the list of national championship contenders down to three or four, and then just leave it like that. You'll love it.

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215 Comments

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  1. Ryan
    1. Posted by Ryan Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:57 pm EDT

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    Lets go birds!!!!!!!!!!!
  2. Lazarus
    2. Posted by Lazarus Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:34 pm EDT

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    Nice article. Agree with just about all of it.
  3. Mike
    3. Posted by Mike Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:18 pm EDT

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    Well said. GO EAGLES!
  4. F_Bomb!
    4. Posted by F_Bomb! Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:05 pm EDT

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    Well said! Just like any other sport, if the bandwagon fan teams (Cowboys, Sox, Lakers...) aren't involved, people dismiss it's value...It all comes down to WINNING GAMES WHEN IT REALLY MATTERS!
  5. Buck Joose
    5. Posted by Buck Joose Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:47 pm EDT

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    Good Luck to both. Go Steelers!!
  6. Todd G
    6. Posted by Todd G Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:42 pm EDT

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    could not agree more. this is, as they say, why we have playoffs.
  7. Tim
    7. Posted by Tim Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:57 pm EDT

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    MJD, Great points you've made here. Especially the Chris Berman reference. Its refreshing to see someone who has given credit where credit is due.
  8. Paul S
    8. Posted by Paul S Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:20 pm EDT

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    I haven't heard this so called "sentiment" you talk about.
    Sounds like a media created story just so they have something to talk about for the sake of talking about it. (sort of like the "sentiment" out there that Overtime is unfair. The only people I ever hear talking about this is people in the media.
    I'm rooting for the Cardinals to go all the way. As a Skins fan, I just can't root for a Division rival.
  9. bill joe
    9. Posted by bill joe Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:08 pm EDT

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    Athough I 've been a Giant fan since 49, and a Pats fan since 61, I agree 100% with this well written article. Injuries play a big part as well as a players mind set. To get everything in sink, that is up to physical conditioning, bench depth, game calling, changing game plan in the middle of the game and most important is the COACHING--ie...Vince Lombardi vs Ali Sherman. Very good article.
  10. RLamb91
    10. Posted by RLamb91 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:57 pm EDT

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    Great article, very well spoken and i completely agree. This game's duel of two teams, despite not having the best records clearly do not lack the playmakers because there will be plenty in this showdown. GO CARDS!!
  11. smell
    11. Posted by smell Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:33 pm EDT

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    cold day in hell...... president of color
    cards will superbowl
  12. domenick2x
    12. Posted by domenick2x Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:46 pm EDT

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    Well, it's not ALL how well teams are playing now. There's that hump to get over first (getting IN the playoffs) - if the Lions were to have 'turned on the juice' in week 11, it wouldn't have mattered.
    Sorry - bad example.
    But there's a modicum of 'regular season wins' to get into the playoffs. Of the 16 teams in each conference, 4 will win their divisions, and 2 will come from the 'at large' population. So.. if you aren't the best in your division, you have to be as good or better than 11 other teams.
    Then you have to win.
    There are no BAD teams in the playoffs. Some teams are stronger than others... but the average playoff team would beat the average non-playoff team about 75% of the time. Yes, that is a stat I just made up. It doesn't make it not true.
  13. squirrelyearl
    13. Posted by squirrelyearl Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:37 pm EDT

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    Excellent post. I agree completely. Doc Sat took a shot at this in one of his posts today (or it might have been posted by one of his accomplices). But I agree completely, the NFL is so competitive and that's what makes it so exciting to watch.
  14. kruzadr
    14. Posted by kruzadr Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:29 pm EDT

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    A Championship game between second and third rate also rans is clearly an oxymoron. Polish it, shine it, and ooh or ahh about it, it is still what it is.
  15. J-D
    15. Posted by J-D Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:31 pm EDT

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    The only question I have is why Arizona gets to host this game when the Eagles have a better record and they beat the tar out of the Cardinals back on Thanksgiving. The NFL holds on to seeds too much.
  16. Isaac M
    16. Posted by Isaac M Thu Sep 03, 2009 6:48 pm EDT

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    This is the best article you have written this year, period. Well done.
  17. chris p
    17. Posted by chris p Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:43 pm EDT

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    15 sounds like a cowboy, giant, or titan fan. deal with it. any given sunday. sound familiar.
  18. AT
    18. Posted by AT Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:50 pm EDT

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    Its going to be an ALL-PENNSYLVANIA affair....
  19. The Wiz
    19. Posted by The Wiz Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:38 pm EDT

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    I hope the St. Louis cardinals make it to the Superbowl...
  20. D2B
    20. Posted by D2B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:22 pm EDT

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    Tough game but i think eagles d is good enough to win it for the eagles- Eagles 24 Cards 14
  21. pan am
    21. Posted by pan am Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:50 pm EDT

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    I'm not a Lion fan at all, but tired of people knocking the lions, no one seems to remember that the lions had the most injuries in the league this season, with most of their starting lineup injured, they just had a spell of bad luck this season , just like anyone can make it to the superbowl anymore ,that can happen to any team as well, being the worst that is.
  22. TT0 SWE0
    22. Posted by TT0 SWE0 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:57 pm EDT

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    polish it, shine it, and ooh or ahh about it, the teams with the superior records were given all the advantages over "second and third rate also rans" to win - viz giants, titans and panthers - and could not finish the job. their superior championship calibre, as well as the first round byes and homefield advantages were what they earned for their season's record. maybe some of the fairweather fans (and bcs supporters) are dellusional enough to believe that entitles one to a championship game.
  23. D2B
    23. Posted by D2B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:22 pm EDT

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    Some how i don't think the bye helps in the playoffs. Gets teams rusty....
  24. D2B
    24. Posted by D2B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:22 pm EDT

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    Super #5 just needs another weapon other than DeSean Jackson and Brian Westbrook to be the best.
  25. Scott E
    25. Posted by Scott E Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:34 pm EDT

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    i think it helps to look at it in terms of an entire season's effort and a bit of fortuity put you into contention for a playoff spot. then, it's crunch time and you either do what you have to do - i.e. play well, or go home. i look at teams like dallas and washington - they seemed to have done enough to put them in playoff contention, but when it came down to it - didn't get the job done. meanwhile, the cardinals, eagles and ravens fought and clawed there way into the playoffs (not so much the cardinals who played well against carolina), but then went out and played excellent football and now are a win away from the super bowl. kudos to all.

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Shutdown Corner is an NFL blog edited by Matthew J. Darnell. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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