COMMENTARY | The New York Giants won six home games last season.
Can they do it again?
I hope I'm wrong, but I don't see it.
The Giants, who are 16-9 at MetLife Stadium since the building opened in 2010, face a challenging home slate this year with non-division match-ups against the high-powered Denver Broncos and Green Bay Packers. Plus, they host bitter division rivals Philadelphia, Dallas and Washington. I'm not saying the G-Men aren't capable of winning six home dates this season, but the odds seem to be against them, especially with so many uncertainties on defense as of right now.
So how many home games will Big Blue win this season? Here's an early game-by-game preview of New York's 2013 home schedule with my predictions for each game.
Denver Broncos (Sept. 15) -- The Broncos may be the toughest opponent on Big Blue's schedule in 2013 (see my five toughest here). Denver had the second-highest scoring offense in the league last season. The G-Men, who put up 132 points in their final three home games of 2012, can keep up with the Broncos, but can they stop Peyton Manning? I'm not counting on it. Broncos 31, Giants 28
Philadelphia Eagles (Oct. 6) -- The Giants have a tendency to play down to the competition at MetLife, especially early in the season. In 2010, they lost to the Tennessee Titans and last year they needed a second-half surge to beat the Cleveland Browns. Plus, the Giants have lost eight of their last 10 games against the Eagles, who will improve under new coach Chip Kelly. Eagles 17, Giants 14 (OT)
Minnesota Vikings (Oct. 21) -- Big Blue's run defense finished ranked No. 25 in the National Football League in 2012. Meanwhile, Adrian Peterson rushed for an NFL-best 2,097 yards. Yes, it seems like an awful match-up for the Giants, but the Vikings are 7-19 in their last 26 regular season road games. Plus, Manning is nearly unbeatable in October with a career record of 27-5. Giants 21, Vikings 20
Oakland Raiders (Nov. 10) -- The Giants will be coming off a bye week when they face the Raiders, and they have won their last five post-bye games under Tom Coughlin. Moreover, the Raiders ranked near the bottom of the league in both points scored and allowed for a minus-53 points differential this past season, and they were 1-7 on the road. Giants 34, Raiders 13
Green Bay Packers (Nov. 17) -- The Giants have split two games against the Green Bay Packers at MetLife, winning last year's meeting, 38-10. But Aaron Rodgers has led the league in quarterback rating for two straight seasons and the G-Men were ranked No. 28 against the pass in 2012. Hey, a home loss to the Packers two years ago sparked Big Blue's Super Bowl run. Packers 30, Giants 21
Dallas Cowboys (Nov. 24) -- Oddly enough, the Giants have won four straight games in Dallas while splitting their last eight contests at home against the Cowboys. It's been a high-scoring series over the last few years with the winning team putting up at least 31 points in 10 of the last 15 meetings. History holds, as Tony Romo throws a late pick and the Giants pull it out. Giants 31, Cowboys 27
Seattle Seahawks (Dec. 15) -- Last season, the Seahawks were undefeated at home. The biggest reason was Russell Wilson, who had a sizzling 123.6 quarterback rating at noisy CenturyLink Field. However, the Seahawks signal-caller's QBR dipped to 83.1 on the road, where the Seahawks were 3-5. Giants 20, Seahawks 17
Washington Redskins (Dec. 29) -- The Redskins and Giants split a pair of games last season with each team winning on the road (the two games were decided by a combined five points). Incidentally, Manning has a career QBR of 74.5 against Washington, but his record against the Redskins is 11-6. He'll put the Giants in position to win, as a late field goal is the difference. Giants 23, Redskins 21
Can the Giants win at least six home games this upcoming season? What are your predictions for the home schedule? Let me know in the comments section below.
Adam Martini is a freelance sports writer with more than 15 years of experience covering amateur and professional sports for several print and online media outlets. He tracked the New York Giants for Yahoo! Contributor Network during the team's Super Bowl run in 2011-12. Adam can be found on Twitter @Pegcitysports.
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