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Week 2: Dolphins-Colts matchup analysis

The SportsXchange

Miami Dolphins (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (1-0)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis - TV: CBS

*TV announcers: Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts

*Keys to the game: Neither team is running the ball well enough to keep safeties honest. QB Andrew Luck, who is 8-1 as a starter at home, is effectively covering the Colts' average blocking by finding open receivers quickly. Reggie Wayne remains his favorite target, but T.Y. Hilton, who logged on 23 snaps last week, is the downfield threat and caught six passes for 102 yards last season against Miami. RB Vick Ballard will remain No. 1 on the depth chart for now even with Ahmad Bradshaw healthy and ready to go. The Dolphins rushed for 20 yards on 23 carries in last week's 23-10 victory at Cleveland, but Miami was 8 of 16 on third down. That's a credit to QB Ryan Tannehill, who didn't have great protection last week. The Colts could blitz after struggling to contain Terrelle Pryor of the Raiders in Week 1. Tannehill might still use Brian Hartline and Brandon Gibson as his top targets because it appears he's much more comfortable with them than Mike Wallace. Tight end Charles Clay (five receptions, 54 yards) will also have to establish himself as a factor.

*Matchup to watch -- Dolphins DE Cameron Wake vs. Colts RT Gosder Cherilus: Wake moves around the formation but is one of the NFL's premier pass rushers the last several seasons. He has 43 career sacks, including 2.5 of the Dolphins' six sacks last week at Cleveland. Cherilus will get help from tight ends and running backs on "99.9 percent of the Colts' snaps" coach Chuck Pagano confirmed this week.

*Player spotlight -- Colts TE Dwayne Allen: Allen had a career-high six receptions against the Dolphins last season and caught his fourth career touchdown last week. The Dolphins' issues against athletic tight ends were on display in Week 1, when Browns TE Jordan Cameron went over 100 receiving yards.

*Fast facts: Luck has eight game-winning drives in the fourth quarter and overtime in 17 career starts, most ever in a player's first 17 career games. ... The Dolphins have six of their own fifth-round picks on the roster, compared to three first-rounders.

WHO WILL WIN AND WHY

Luck has been hard to beat at home. The Colts keep the turnovers to a minimum and get a revived running game to balance the offense.

*Our pick: Colts 28-20
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