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Projections Review - Part 2

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Here's part two of the hitting projections review.  In case you missed it, part one can be found here. The column focusing on pitchers will come next week.

Players are listed along with their preseason dollar values in AL- or NL-only leagues. If some of the listings seem off (a player at $20 being ranked behind someone at $19), it's an AL-NL thing.

Top 10 Shortstops

1. Troy Tulowitzki - Rockies - $34

Projection: .310/.382/.564, 31 HR, 97 R, 103 RBI, 7 SB in 535 AB

2013 stats: .312/.391/.540, 25 HR, 72 R, 82 RBI, 1 SB in 446 AB

2. Jose Reyes - Blue Jays - $27

Projection: .294/.345/.447, 11 HR, 94 R, 61 RBI, 34 SB in 568 AB

2013 stats: .296/.353/.427, 10 HR, 58 R, 37 RBI, 15 SB in 382 AB

Unsurprisingly, Reyes wasn't his typically active self on the basepaths after returning from the ankle injury he suffered stealing his fifth base in his 10th game of the season. In his remaining 83 games, he tried just 16 steals and succeeded on 10 of them. At 30 years old now, he has to decide whether he wants to remain a 30-40 steal guy or if he might have a better chance of remaining healthy by cutting back.

3. Starlin Castro - Cubs - $26

Projection: .295/.339/.448, 15 HR, 90 R, 70 RBI, 20 SB in 614 AB

2013 stats: .245/.284/.347, 10 HR, 59 R, 44 RBI, 9 SB in 666 AB

That .787 OPS I was projecting, Castro didn't top it any single month of the season (his best was a .781 mark in July). He was bad in every aspect in the game, and the Cubs have to be regretting that $60 million contract they gave him in 2012, not because he's incapable of living up to it but because he seems entirely unmotivated to do so.

4. Elvis Andrus - Rangers - $24

Projection: .295/.362/.404, 7 HR, 89 R, 65 RBI, 28 SB in 604 AB

2013 stats: .271/.328/.331, 4 HR, 91 R, 67 RBI, 42 SB in 620 AB

Despite a .659 OPS, Andrus finished first among shortstops in runs scored and fifth in RBI. A lot of that is due to the fact that he hit second for the Rangers all year, but the Texas lineup wasn't nearly as good as usual; the Rangers ranked seventh in the AL in runs scored. It'd be nice to see Andrus take a real step forward offensively one of these years; his .328 OBP this year was the lowest of his five-year career and he still hasn't topped the six homers he hit as a rookie in 2009.

5. Asdrubal Cabrera - Indians - $20

Projection: .280/.345/.437, 18 HR, 87 R, 74 RBI, 11 SB in 586 AB

2013 stats: .242/.299/.402, 14 HR, 66 R, 64 RBI, 9 SB in 508 AB

The season was even more of a disaster until Cabrera hit five homers and drove in 17 runs in September. It's quite possible we've seen the last of him in Cleveland.

6. Hanley Ramirez - Dodgers - $21

Projection: .296/.367/.491, 18 HR, 65 R, 63 RBI, 16 SB in 399 AB

2013 stats: .345/.402/.638, 20 HR, 62 R, 57 RBI, 10 SB in 304 AB

7. Ian Desmond - Nationals - $21

Projection: .272/.321/.450, 20 HR, 68 R, 82 RBI, 21 SB in 556 AB

2013 stats: .280/.331/.453, 20 HR, 77 R, 80 RBI, 21 SB in 600 AB

8. Erick Aybar - Angels - $18

Projection: .288/.331/.411, 9 HR, 78 R, 61 RBI, 22 SB in 562 AB

2013 stats: .271/.301/.382, 6 HR, 68 R, 54 RBI, 12 SB in 550 AB

9. Ben Zobrist - Rays - $16

Projection: .258/.357/.430, 18 HR, 85 R, 73 RBI, 16 SB in 565 AB

2013 stats: .275/.354/.402, 12 HR, 77 R, 71 RBI, 11 SB in 612 AB

Zobrist averaged 19.3 homers and 18.5 steals in his previous four seasons as a regular. He was still a very solid player for Tampa Bay, but his fantasy value took quite a hit. He did end up getting in 21 games as a shortstop (11 starts), so he'll remain eligible at the position next year.

10. Jimmy Rollins - Phillies - $16

Projection: .254/.322/.399, 16 HR, 87 R, 59 RBI, 26 SB in 587 AB

2013 stats: .252/.328/.348, 6 HR, 65 R, 39 RBI, 22 SB in 600 AB

Ugly. Rollins' average and OBP were practically unchanged from 2012, but he went from 23 homers to six. The 39 RBI is especially hard to believe since more than half of his starts came batting second or third, but that's still hardly all his fault; he actually hit .291 with RISP and .310 with runners on, compared to .220 with the bases empty. I imagine Rollins will be a bit better in 2014, but his days as a top-10 fantasy shortstop are probably over.

Others

11. Josh Rutledge - Rockies - $16

Projection: .263/.311/.438, 16 HR, 83 R, 70 RBI, 15 SB in 544 AB

2013 stats: .235/.294/.337, 7 HR, 45 R, 19 RBI, 12 SB in 285 AB

I wasn't at all confident in my Rutledge projection; I was pretty skeptical of him settling in as a long-term regular, but I also figured that as long as the Rockies played him regularly and hit him second, he'd be a nice asset in mixed leagues. Really, that still applies. After 161 major league games, he has 15 homers, 82 runs scored and 19 steals (in 19 attempts). The Rockies have him behind D.J. LeMahieu on the depth chart now, but if they don't upgrade at second base this winter, Rutledge will qualify as something of a sleeper in spring drafts.

13. Alexei Ramirez - White Sox - $13

Projection: .274/.321/.418, 17 HR, 70 R, 69 RBI, 11 SB in 576 AB

2013 stats: .284/.313/.380, 6 HR, 68 R, 48 RBI, 30 SB in 637 AB

30 steals was more than Ramirez had in any two consecutive seasons previously. It's too bad the power didn't stick around to go along with it; he hit 21 homers as a rookie and topped 15 each of his first four seasons. Even so, Ramirez would have been a top-notch fantasy shortstop had the White Sox put better talent around him. Consider that he had fewer runs+RBI than Asdrubal Cabrera (116 to 130) despite collecting 129 more at-bats.

14. Alcides Escobar - Royals - $13

Projection: .275/.314/.379, 6 HR, 70 R, 54 RBI, 32 SB in 589 AB

2013 stats: .234/.259/.300, 4 HR, 57 R, 52 RBI, 22 SB in 607 AB

This after he hit .286/.330/.439 with three homers and 12 RBI in April. He spent the next five months making Rey Ordonez look like Magglio.

15. Andrelton Simmons - Braves - $10

Projection: .269/.317/.391, 10 HR, 76 R, 51 RBI, 16 SB in 594 AB

2013 stats: .248/.296/.396, 17 HR, 76 R, 59 RBI, 6 SB in 606 AB

Simmons hit .256 with 11 homers and a 23/23 K/BB ratio in 289 at-bats from July 1 until the end of the season. From a fantasy perspective, it's disappointing that he didn't prove to be a better basestealer. That power, though, makes him pretty intriguing going forward.

18. Jed Lowrie - Athletics - $10

Projection: .266/.349/.432, 16 HR, 72 R, 61 RBI, 2 SB in 481 AB

2013 stats: .290/.344/.446, 15 HR, 80 R, 75 RBI, 1 SB in 603 AB

19. J.J. Hardy - Orioles - $9

Projection: .253/.305/.423, 21 HR, 66 R, 69 RBI, 1 SB in 525 AB

2013 stats: .263/.306/.433, 25 HR, 66 R, 76 RBI, 2 SB in 601 AB

21. Stephen Drew - Red Sox - $7

Projection: .264/.333/.411, 11 HR, 66 R, 55 RBI, 4 SB in 477 AB

2013 stats: .253/.333/.443, 13 HR, 57 R, 67 RBI, 6 SB in 442 AB

25. Yunel Escobar - Rays - $5

Projection: .271/.338/.368, 8 HR, 63 R, 49 RBI, 4 SB in 524 AB

2013 stats: .256/.332/.366, 9 HR, 61 R, 56 RBI, 4 SB in 508 AB

26. Jean Segura - Brewers - $5

Projection: .269/.333/.343, 3 HR, 49 R, 39 RBI, 25 SB in 472 AB

2013 stats: .294/.329/.423, 12 HR, 74 R, 49 RBI, 44 SB in 588 AB

The plan was for Segura to be the Brewers' No. 8 hitter, and he was, for all of three games to begin the season. This projection still looks pretty dreadful, but it could have been far worse; by month, Segura posted OPSs of .984, .911, .724, .681, .584 and .552. He hit .241/.268/.315 with one homer, 13 RBI, 20 runs scored and 17 steals after the break.

29. Brian Dozier - Twins - $3

Projection: .249/.309/.372, 9 HR, 50 R, 44 RBI, 10 SB in 406 AB

2013 stats: .244/.312/.414, 18 HR, 72 R, 66 RBI, 14 SB in 558 AB

34. Brandon Crawford - Giants - $1

Projection: .238/.308/.351, 7 HR, 48 R, 48 RBI, 6 SB in 504 AB

2013 stats: .249/.311/.363, 9 HR, 52 R, 43 RBI, 1 SB in 499 AB

93. Jose Iglesias - Red Sox/Tigers - $0

Projection: .215/.262/.271, 1 HR, 13 R, 9 RBI, 3 SB in 144 AB

2013 stats: .303/.349/.386, 3 HR, 39 R, 29 RBI, 5 SB in 350 AB

A stunning level of competence. Iglesias had practically the same OPS as Hardy, Daniel Murphy and Yoenis Cespedes this season.

Top 10 Outfielders

1. Mike Trout - Angels - $41

Projection: .313/.391/.527, 26 HR, 126 R, 84 RBI, 41 SB in 603 AB

2013 stats: .323/.432/.557, 27 HR, 109 R, 97 RBI, 33 SB in 589 AB

I had Trout's OPS dipping from .963 to .918. Instead, he upped it to .988 as a sophomore. MVP award or no, he was baseball's best player once again.

2. Ryan Braun - Brewers - $39

Projection: .311/.390/.562, 36 HR, 106 R, 111 RBI, 25 SB in 601 AB

2013 stats: .298/.373/.498, 9 HR, 30 R, 38 RBI, 4 SB in 225 AB

3. Carlos Gonzalez - Rockies - $34

Projection: .308/.368/.547, 31 HR, 108 R, 103 RBI, 20 SB in 578 AB

2013 stats: .302/.367/.591, 26 HR, 72 R, 70 RBI, 21 SB in 391 AB

4. Matt Kemp - Dodgers - $34

Projection: .290/.359/.512, 32 HR, 107 R, 101 RBI, 30 SB in 607 AB

2013 stats: .270/.328/.395, 6 HR, 35 R, 33 RBI, 9 SB in 263 AB

5. Bryce Harper - Nationals - $31

Projection: 300/.364/.529, 28 HR, 99 R, 97 RBI, 23 SB in 590 AB

2013 stats: .274/.368/.486, 20 HR, 71 R, 58 RBI, 11 SB in 424 AB

If anything, Harper looked underrated after a month of April in which he hit .344/.430/.720 with nine homers. He then crashed into a wall on May 1 and again two weeks later, and between his long-term knee injury and various other maladies, he was never quite the same afterwards. Harper might actually be better off playing center, since it cuts down on the number of surfaces he can run into. That's done with now, though. I'll give him a similar projection in 2014, but without quite as many at-bats. Hopefully, the injuries aren't here to stay.

6. Justin Upton - Braves - $30

Projection: .294/.377/.527, 31 HR, 102 R, 99 RBI, 17 SB in 581 AB

2013 stats: .263/.354/.464, 27 HR, 94 R, 70 RBI, 8 SB in 558 AB

Upton hit 12 homers in April and then four the next three months before bouncing back somewhat as a No. 2 hitter down the stretch. It's worth remembering that he's just going into his age-26 season. Still, there wasn't much from his 2013 season to be encouraged about.

7. Jose Bautista - Blue Jays - $28

Projection: .278/.399/.557, 41 HR, 103 R, 106 RBI, 7 SB in 544 AB

2013 stats: .259/.358/.498, 28 HR, 82 R, 73 RBI, 7 SB in 452 AB

8. Giancarlo Stanton - Marlins - $26

Projection: .282/.390/.590, 42 HR, 98 R, 96 RBI, 4 SB in 536 AB

2013 stats: .249/.365/.480, 24 HR, 62 R, 62 RBI, 1 SB in 425 AB

Stanton's baffling road woes had to be a big ol' fluke, but they completely ruined his season. He hit .302/.423/.599 with 15 homers, 41 RBI and a 59/43 K/BB ratio at home, compared to .202/.310/.372 with nine homers, 21 RBI and an 81/31 K/BB ratio on the road. And he plays in a tough home park.

9. Jacoby Ellsbury - Red Sox - $26

Projection: .296/.349/.467, 19 HR, 100 R, 71 RBI, 33 SB in 587 AB

2013 stats: .298/.355/.426, 9 HR, 92 R, 53 RBI, 52 SB in 577 AB

10. Jason Heyward - Braves - $26

Projection: .270/.356/.511, 32 HR, 109 R, 87 RBI, 21 SB in 575 AB

2013 stats: .254/.349/.427, 14 HR, 67 R, 38 RBI, 2 SB in 382 AB

Heyward was still a fine outfielder for the Braves after a hideous first 30 games, but he was a complete bust for fantasy purposes with his 38 RBI and two steals. The good news is that his two injuries (an appendectomy and a broken jaw sustained on a HBP) are pretty unlikely to recur (especially the first). I don't see why he can't hit 30 homers next year, but if he's going to continue to lead off and not steal any bases, he's not going to be an elite fantasy outfielder.

11. Yoenis Cespedes - Athletics - $26

Projection: .286/.351/.533, 30 HR, 87 R, 98 RBI, 20 SB in 559 AB

2013 stats: .240/.294/.442, 26 HR, 74 R, 80 RBI, 7 SB in 529 AB

It seemed like Cespedes was a non-factor for half of the year, but he did end up with 26 homers and 80 RBI anyway. Unfortunately, he went from 102 strikeouts in 129 games as a rookie to 137 in 135 games this year and his average plummeted from .292 to .240. I'll probably project something in the .260s next year, but he's definitely a threat to top 30 homers.

12. Andrew McCutchen - Pirates - $25

Projection: .281/.364/.486, 25 HR, 94 R, 88 RBI, 25 SB in 572 AB

2013 stats: .317/.404/.508, 21 HR, 97 R, 84 RBI, 27 SB in 583 AB

McCutchen will get his MVP award, but he had better numbers in 2012, finishing at .327/.400/.553 with 31 homers and 96 RBI. I thought the average would drop even more than the power numbers, but he went from striking out 126 times in 2011 and 132 time s in 2012 to just 101 times this season.

13. Adam Jones - Orioles - $23

Projection: .283/.332/.487, 28 HR, 89 R, 93 RBI, 13 SB in 591 AB

2013 stats: .285/.318/.493, 33 HR, 100 R, 108 RBI, 14 SB in 653 AB

14. Ichiro Suzuki - Yankees - $22

Projection: .289/.327/.418, 17 HR, 92 R, 70 RBI, 31 SB in 596 AB

2013 stats: .262/.297/.342, 7 HR, 57 R, 35 RBI, 20 SB in 520 AB

My bad. I still think Suzuki could have snuck 12-15 flies over the right field wall at the very charitable Yankee Stadium, but maybe it was just a couple of years too late for him. He did hit much better at home, batting .297, but it came with just five homers. After a decent run in June and July, he was completely worthless the final two months.

15. Matt Holliday - Cardinals - $22

Projection: .289/.383/.487, 25 HR, 92 R, 97 RBI, 5 SB in 577 AB

2013 stats: .300/.389/.490, 22 HR, 103 R, 94 RBI, 6 SB in 520 AB

16. Alex Gordon - Royals - $22

Projection: .289/.371/.488, 24 HR, 101 R, 80 RBI, 10 SB in 606 AB

2013 stats: .265/.327/.422, 20 HR, 90 R, 81 RBI, 11 SB in 633 AB

17. Jay Bruce - Reds - $21

Projection: .263/.343/.522, 36 HR, 88 R, 103 RBI, 6 SB in 556 AB

2013 stats: .262/.329/.478, 30 HR, 89 R, 109 RBI, 7 SB in 626 AB

Bruce was one of the NL's top outfielders, but the fact that he had his highest ever strikeout rate and his worst walk rate since his rookie season doesn't seem to bode well.

18. Alex Rios - White Sox/Rangers - $22

Projection: .281/.327/.455, 22 HR, 86 R, 87 RBI, 20 SB in 605 AB

2013 stats: .278/.324/.432, 18 HR, 83 R, 81 RBI, 42 SB in 616 AB

19. B.J. Upton - Braves - $21

Projection: .263/.337/.467, 25 HR, 83 R, 84 RBI, 30 SB in 548 AB

2013 stats: .184/.268/.289, 9 HR, 30 R, 26 RBI, 12 SB in 391 AB

While Justin was moving to a worse environment for offense, B.J. had no such excuse; he should have topped his Tampa Bay numbers in Atlanta. Just 29, he should rebound to at least .230-20 HR next year, but that his manager doesn't seem to have much faith in him scares me.

20. Desmond Jennings - Rays - $21

Projection: .266/.340/.414, 15 HR, 98 R, 58 RBI, 45 SB in 601 AB

2013 stats: .252/.334/.414, 14 HR, 82 R, 54 RBI, 20 SB in 527 AB

Jennings wasn't the expected force on the basepaths after developing a groin problem in May, but he did show some improvement offensively. If he bounces back to 30-40 steals or so next year, it's possible he'll be a top-10 outfielder.

21. Josh Hamilton - Angels - $20

Projection: .280/.346/.508, 29 HR, 79 R, 98 RBI, 6 SB in 522 AB

2013 stats: .250/.307/.432, 21 HR, 73 R, 79 RBI, 4 SB in 576 AB

No one following my projections ended up with McCutchen, but then no one ended up with Hamilton or Prince Fielder, either. That's something, right?

22. Austin Jackson - Tigers - $20

Projection: .278/.352/.443, 16 HR, 105 R, 67 RBI, 23 SB in 601 AB

2013 stats: .272/.337/.417, 12 HR, 99 R, 49 RBI, 8 SB in 552 AB

23. Shin-Soo Choo - Reds - $20

Projection: .285/.374/.453, 20 HR, 97 R, 62 RBI, 21 SB in 579 AB

2013 stats: .285/.423/.462, 21 HR, 107 R, 54 RBI, 20 SB in 569 AB

Too bad I botched the HBP projection.

24. Nick Markakis - Orioles - $20

Projection: .301/.370/.457, 17 HR, 100 R, 68 RBI, 6 SB in 611 AB

2013 stats: .271/.329/.356, 10 HR, 89 R, 59 RBI, 1 SB in 634 AB

Markakis quietly slugged .471 in 104 games before a CC Sabathia fastball ended his 2012 season, so I didn't think my projection was so out of whack. He returned from the injury as a singles hitter and not a particularly good one. This is a guy who averaged 45 doubles and 18 homers per year from 2007-10. In 2013, he had a total of 34 extra-base hits.

25. Carl Crawford - Dodgers - $20

Projection: .289/.336/.426, 14 HR, 90 R, 56 RBI, 32 SB in 570 AB

2013 stats: .283/.329/.407, 6 HR, 62 R, 31 RBI, 15 SB in 435 AB

26. Melky Cabrera - Blue Jays - $18

Projection: .292/.337/.452, 15 HR, 91 R, 76 RBI, 12 SB in 586 AB

2013 stats: .279/.332/.360, 3 HR, 39 R, 30 RBI, 2 SB in 344 AB

27. Torii Hunter - Tigers - $17

Projection: .273/.331/.450, 22 HR, 95 R, 79 RBI, 7 SB in 567 AB

2013 stats: .304/.334/.465, 17 HR, 90 R, 84 RBI, 3 SB in 606 AB

28. Hunter Pence - Giants - $17

Projection: .276/.339/.451, 21 HR, 81 R, 94 RBI, 7 SB in 597 AB

2013 stats: .283/.339/.483, 27 HR, 91 R, 99 RBI, 22 SB in 629 AB

Where did the 22 steals come from? His career high was 18 in 2010. He had swiped eight and five bases in the two previous two seasons.

29. Michael Bourn - Indians - $17

Projection: .267/.337/.368, 7 HR, 93 R, 48 RBI, 47 SB in 614 AB

2013 stats: .263/.316/.360, 6 HR, 75 R, 50 RBI, 23 SB in 525 AB

Pence almost outswiped Bourn. The especially discouraging thing was that Bourn was thrown out just as many times (12) as he was in 61- and 52- steals seasons in 2009 and 2010. Hopefully, he'll have AL pitchers better figured out next year.

30. Jayson Werth - Nationals - $17

Projection: .280/.369/.451, 19 HR, 87 R, 69 RBI, 15 SB in 532 AB

2013 stats: .318/.399/.532, 25 HR, 84 R, 82 RBI, 10 SB in 462 AB

What a comeback for Werth. He led all NL qualifiers in OPS at age 34.

Others

40. Dexter Fowler - Rockies - $14

Projection: .270/.361/.433, 12 HR, 97 R, 60 RBI, 17 SB in 563 AB

2013 stats: .263/.369/.407, 12 HR, 71 R, 42 RBI, 19 SB in 415 AB

Fowler hit eight homers in April, and that was pretty much it. His last homer came on July 28.

41. Carlos Beltran - Cardinals - $14

Projection: .262/.349/.460, 23 HR, 84 R, 75 RBI, 7 SB in 504 AB

2013 stats: .296/.339/.491, 24 HR, 79 R, 84 RBI, 2 SB in 554 AB

42. Starling Marte - Pirates - $14

Projection: .265/.308/.423, 14 HR, 82 R, 54 RBI, 31 SB in 588 AB

2013 stats: .280/.343/.441, 12 HR, 83 R, 35 RBI, 41 SB in 510 AB

43. Michael Cuddyer - Rockies - $13

Projection: .273/.339/.461, 20 HR, 72 R, 82 RBI, 8 SB in 516 AB

2013 stats: .331/.389/.530, 20 HR, 74 R, 84 RBI, 10 SB in 489 AB

45. Alfonso Soriano - Cubs/Yankees - $13

Projection: .254/.318/.461, 20 HR, 72 R, 82 RBI, 7 SB in 516 AB

2013 stats: .255/.302/.489, 34 HR, 84 R, 101 RBI, 18 SB in 581 AB

Note the contrast here between the Cuddyer and Soriano projections. Cuddyer's is near perfect in everything except average. Soriano's is dead on with his average and OPS. Neither ended up being any good as fantasy projections. And yet I'm going to go through the process all over again this winter.

46. Carlos Gomez - Brewers - $13

Projection: .247/.305/.410, 17 HR, 73 R, 66 RBI, 36 SB in 539 AB

2013 stats: .284/.338/.506, 24 HR, 80 R, 73 RBI, 40 SB in 536 AB

55. Will Venable - Padres - $11

Projection: .267/.340/.443, 15 HR, 67 R, 57 RBI, 24 SB in 461 AB

2013 stats: .268/.312/.484, 22 HR, 64 R, 53 RBI, 22 SB in 481 AB

I was counting on the new Petco giving Venable a boost, but 22 homers was a nice surprise. Prior to this year, he hit a total of 19 homers in 751 career at-bats at Petco. This year, he hit 15 in 236 at-bats.

57. Norichika Aoki - Brewers - $10

Projection: .281/.346/.388, 7 HR, 78 R, 44 RBI, 24 SB in 552 AB

2013 stats: .286/.356/.370, 8 HR, 80 R, 37 RBI, 20 SB in 597 AB

59. Shane Victorino - Red Sox - $10

Projection: .257/.325/.387, 11 HR, 75 R, 62 RBI, 26 SB in 556 AB

2013 stats: .294/.351/.451, 15 HR, 82 R, 61 RBI, 21 SB in 477 AB

How was I to know he was going to be forced to give up switch-hitting? It really was one of the most remarkable success stories of 2013. Victorino hit .274/.317/.389 with three homers in 208 at-bats as a left-handed hitter this year. After his leg injury in August, he hit .300/.386/.510 with six homers in 100 at-bats batting right-handed against right-handed pitching.

60. Nick Swisher - Indians - $10

Projection: .256/.359/.441, 22 HR, 75 R, 83 RBI, 1 SB in 551 AB

2013 stats: .246/.341/.423, 22 HR, 74 R, 63 RBI, 1 SB in 549 AB

61. Domonic Brown - Phillies - $9

Projection: .265/.330/.459, 20 HR, 64 R, 73 RBI, 7 SB in 486 AB

2013 stats: .272/.324/.494, 27 HR, 65 R, 83 RBI, 8 SB in 496 AB

66. Coco Crisp - Athletics - $8

Projection: .261/.328/.386, 8 HR, 85 R, 40 RBI, 33 SB in 448 AB

2013 stats: .261/.335/.444, 22 HR, 93 R, 66 RBI, 21 SB in 513 AB

75. Michael Saunders - Mariners - $6

Projection: .243/.313/.398, 15 HR, 67 R, 59 RBI, 17 SB in 482 AB

2013 stats: .236/.323/.397, 12 HR, 59 R, 46 RBI, 13 SB in 406 AB

If not for Saunders' April DL stint, this could have been a Hall of Fame projection.

83. Drew Stubbs - Indians - $4

Projection: .235/.307/.364, 11 HR, 58 R, 48 RBI, 25 SB in 442 AB

2013 stats: .233/.305/.360, 10 HR, 59 R, 45 RBI, 17 SB in 430 AB

92. Wil Myers - Rays - $3

Projection: .240/.312/.429, 15 HR, 46 R, 51 RBI, 3 SB in 366 AB

2013 stats: .293/.354/.478, 13 HR, 50 R, 53 RBI, 5 SB in 335 AB

I thought Myers would have some trouble hitting righties as a rookie, but he batted .292 with 10 of his 13 homers against them.

107. Marlon Byrd - Mets/Pirates - $2

Projection: .265/.322/.390, 8 HR, 40 R, 42 RBI, 3 SB in 374 AB

2013 stats: .291/.336/.511, 24 HR, 75 R, 88 RBI, 2 SB in 532 AB

123. Daniel Nava - Red Sox - $1

Projection: .255/.348/.408, 7 HR, 35 R, 31 RBI, 3 SB in 255 AB

2013 stats: .303/.385/.445, 12 HR, 77 R, 66 RBI, 0 SB in 458 AB

If only Nava had stolen those three bases, he might be starting in the World Series instead of sitting on the bench behind Jonny Gomes.

127. Yasiel Puig - Dodgers - $1

Projection: .243/.287/.425, 6 HR, 24 R, 23 RBI, 8 SB in 181 AB

2013 stats: .319/.391/.534, 19 HR, 66 R, 42 RBI, 11 SB in 382 AB

Puig was a different player every month after debuting in June, but he was never a bad one. If he learns how to become a better basestealer, he should be a top-10 fantasy outfielder next year, and even if he doesn't, his natural talent will continue to carry him.

128. Raul Ibanez - Mariners - $1

Projection: .245/.319/.392, 8 HR, 28 R, 35 RBI, 1 SB in 273 AB

2013 stats: .242/.306/.487, 29 HR, 54 R, 65 RBI, 0 SB in 454 AB

The Mariners wanted to give Ibanez every chance to get to 30 homers at the end of the year. It didn't happen, and his 0-for-4 in game No. 162 dropped his OPS under .800 for the first time since June 22.

135. Andres Torres - Giants - $1

Projection: .238/.324/.335, 2 HR, 32 R, 23 RBI, 12 SB in 269 AB

2013 stats: .250/.302/.342, 2 HR, 33 R, 21 RBI, 4 SB in 272 AB

Well, I couldn't end it on a down note.

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