Player-by-Player ADP Notes

With draft season raging like Anquan Boldin after an eight-yard catch, here’s a quick-and-dirty breakdown of the top 120 players by ADP. These are not my personal rankings. My top 25s can be found here. ADPs courtesy of FantasyFootballCalculator.com, and based on standard-league data culled from Saturday-Sunday.

Editor's Note: For updated rankings, projections, exclusive columns, mock drafts and more, check out the Rotoworld Draft Guide.

Round 1

1. Adrian Peterson (RB1) — There’s no clear-cut No. 1 this season, but it shouldn’t be a 30-year-old back with 23 touches over the past 20 months.

2. Le’Veon Bell (RB2) — The two-game ban hurts, but so did Josh Gordon’s in 2013.

3. Eddie Lacy (RB3) — The owner of this year’s highest floor, Lacy is an auto-draft at No. 3 overall.

4. Jamaal Charles (RB4) — Both Charles’ ceiling and floor are lower than a handful of the backs going behind him.

5. Antonio Brown (WR1) — Safe and steady like a government bond, but a bit early considering the high-end depth at receiver and jumbled state of RB6-15.

6. Marshawn Lynch (RB5) — You could take him at No. 1 and win your league.

7. Dez Bryant (WR2) — The top combination of floor and ceiling at his position.

8. C.J. Anderson (RB6) — Ronnie Hillman looms. Anderson “safer” in the RB8-10 range.

9. Julio Jones (WR3) — I wouldn't take Jones over clockwork Demaryius or stratospheric Beckham.

10. Demaryius Thomas (WR4) — Has compelling case to be first receiver off the board.

11. Jeremy Hill (RB7) — Hill is no longer a true bargain, but boasts No. 1 overall upside wherever he’s taken.

12. Matt Forte (RB8) — Forte isn’t a first-rounder, and arguably belongs in the third.

Round 2

13. Odell Beckham (WR5) — Beckham has the kind of upside you shouldn’t be able to find at No. 13.

14. Andrew Luck (QB1) — It’s early for a quarterback, but hard to argue with getting the odds-on favorite to be fantasy’s top player in the second round.

15. Calvin Johnson (WR6) — Megatron has peaked, but he’s not in the Fitzgerald Valley.

16. DeMarco Murray (RB9) — Far too low for last year’s RB1. At the very least, Murray is a no-brainer ahead of Forte and Anderson.

17. Rob Gronkowski (TE1) — Gronk will go in the first rounds of many drafts, so be glad if you get him in the second.

18. Randall Cobb (WR7) — I’m not taking Cobb ahead of A.J. Green, but his shoulder injury doesn’t appear to be a concern for Week 1.

19. LeSean McCoy (RB10) — His quarterback, coordinator and recent injury history are just three of the reasons Shady could struggle to match last year’s RB11 finish.

20. A.J. Green (WR8) — Green was the WR5 in both 2012 and 2013. He led receivers in yards per route run last season. He’ll easily outperform his draft position if he stays healthy.

21. Justin Forsett (RB11) — Crazy upside in Marc Trestman’s offense, but an even-crazier track record. RB11 is the right price for Forsett’s risk-and-reward cocktail.

22. Aaron Rodgers (QB2) — Jordy Nelson’s injury is a cobweb on Rodgers’ ceiling, but not enough to knock him from the top two at QB.

23. T.Y. Hilton (WR9) — I wouldn’t take Hilton ahead of Alshon Jeffery or Mike Evans, but he belongs in the top 12.

24. Lamar Miller (RB12) — Miller cloned Jamaal Charles’ 2014 while you weren’t looking. The arrow is still pointing up.

Round 3

25. Brandin Cooks (WR10) — There’s some wishful thinking required to take Cooks ahead of Jeffery and Evans, among others, but the top 10 isn’t outlandish.

26. Frank Gore (RB13) — Gore is a used part, but capable of big things in the Colts’ V12 offense.

27. Alshon Jeffery (WR11) — Jeffery should coast to another top-12 finish with Brandon Marshall out of the picture.

28. Jordan Matthews (WR12) — Aggressive, but Chip Kelly has coaxed superstar seasons out of two different No. 1 receivers in two years on the job. Many reasons to believe Matthews will make it 3-of-3.

29. Mike Evans (WR13) — Evans will finish in the top 12 if he stays healthy.

30. Mark Ingram (RB14) — Ingram was a potential overdraft that ended up going right where he should.

31. Latavius Murray (RB15) — Murray’s upside is legitimate, but his floor opens up into a hole that comes out on the other side of the earth.

32. Jimmy Graham (TE2) — Graham has the role and quarterback to atone for last year’s disappointment.

33. Alfred Morris (RB16) — This is probably still too high for a player who might get Pipp’d by Matt Jones.

34. DeAndre Hopkins (WR14) — This is the right price for a player at the crossroads of Brian Hoyer and infinite targets.

35. Emmanuel Sanders (WR15) — Fantasy drafters are showing surprising/warranted restraint with last year’s WR7, but this might still be too high.

36. Joseph Randle (RB17) — Just as likely to be dropped by mid-October as he is to run with DeMarco Murray’s old job.

Round 4

37. Davante Adams (WR16) — A “role pick” if there ever was one, Adams is far more realistic as a WR3 than high-end WR2.

38. Melvin Gordon (RB18) — Rookie backs are some of the most reliable underperformers in fantasy football, but this isn’t a bad price for a player with a three-hour mail route on first and second down.

39. Carlos Hyde (RB19) — Hyde’s slow start to camp and Reggie Bush are concerns, but the second-year second rounder has run well this summer. A sensible cost.

40. Ameer Abdullah (RB20) — Be honest with yourself — you’re projecting your own hopes and dreams onto Detroit’s rookie back. You’re also taking an understandable gamble on an electric runner’s role, talent and competition.

41. Doug Martin (RB21) — A riser if there ever was one, Martin is neither a bargain nor a reach.

42. Andre Johnson (WR17) — Does Johnson have another Lazarus act in him? Andrew Luck the right place to go for a resurrection.

43. Peyton Manning (QB3) — People are probably pricing in only half of Manning’s risk, but QB3 isn’t crazy talk.

44. Amari Cooper (WR18) — It’s an overdraft. Be happy if Cooper matches Sammy Watkins’ WR25 finish from last season.

45. Golden Tate (WR19) — Another overdraft, but Tate’s floor masks some of the upcharge.

46. Jonathan Stewart (RB22) — Stewart’s injury history is 40 pages long and comes in three languages, but this isn’t egregious based on the backs going behind him.

47. Andre Ellington (RB23) — Ellington has little shot at finishing as an RB2.

48. Chris Ivory (RB24) — A top-15 darkhorse you should be glad to get after Randle.

Round 5

49. Keenan Allen (WR20) — Allen is coming with surprisingly little markdown after last year’s catastrophe, but WR20 is not far-fetched.

50. Arian Foster (RB25) — Foster soft-tissue injuries have become the stuff of legend, but you don’t let this kind of upside slide any farther down the board.

51. Brandon Marshall (WR21) — Like Allen, Marshall is being bought at full price, but he’s as plausible a rebound candidate as any.

52. Jeremy Maclin (WR22) — A top-15 receiver coming with a Dwayne Bowe discount.

53. Jarvis Landry (WR23) — Landry is polishing floors, not painting ceilings, but has WR2 potential all the same.

54. Russell Wilson (QB4) — Last year’s rushing numbers could prove tough to match, but there’s nothing unreasonable about this valuation.

55. Todd Gurley (RB26) — Jeff Fisher lets rookies age like wine in a cellar, but Gurley’s draft position and Fisher’s lack of job security should conspire to create a big early-season role.

56. Travis Kelce (TE3) — A perfectly reasonable spot to take a shot on a darkhorse for TE1 overall status.

57. Drew Brees (QB5) — The Saints are sobering up on offense, but Brees will still accumulate 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns.

58. Ben Roethlisberger (QB6) — Last year’s QB3 has to deal with suspensions, but is playing the best football of his life.

59. Greg Olsen (TE4) — Olsen’s odds of approaching last season’s career year improved exponentially with Kelvin Benjamin’s injury.

60. T.J. Yeldon (RB27) — Ticketed for a three-down role, Yeldon is shaping up as a real bargain after missing most of the preseason.

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Round 6

61. Julian Edelman (WR24) — Should remain the most useful player you hate to start as the Pats battle injury attrition in the receiver corps.

62. LeGarrette Blount (RB28) — The most logical RB2 candidate in New England’s backfield, but Bill Belichick’s internal logic is a 1,000-page Pynchon novel.

63. Nelson Agholor (WR25) — There are safer bets going behind him, but WR25 is a credible outcome for the first-round rookie in Chip Kelly’s offense.

64. C.J. Spiller (RB29) — Spiller isn’t an RB2 fever dream in the old Darren Sproles role, but is already hurt.

65. Sammy Watkins (WR26) — This is exactly where Sammy Watkins should be getting drafted.

66. Allen Robinson (WR27) — Will end up an absurd bargain if Blake Bortles takes anything resembling a step forward.

67. Charles Johnson (WR28) — I’ve got my money on Johnson finishing as a WR2.

68. Martavis Bryant (WR29) — Bryant’s four-game suspension puts him behind the eight ball, but WR29 is far from impossible for a player who was the WR43 on 306 snaps last season.

69. Rashad Jennings (RB30) — A “least bad option” sort of pick. Let someone else do it.

70. Matt Ryan (QB7) — Sure, why not.

71. Alfred Blue (RB31) — You’re not drafting an RB3 so much as renting a car for September.

72. Martellus Bennett (TE5) — Bennett could be on the way out of CHI after the season, but they need him to soak up targets in the interim. Legit top-five TE.

Round 7

73. DeSean Jackson (WR30) — Some pretty serious recency bias here. Washington is a mess, but missing the preseason doesn’t matter for one of the game’s top deep threats. D-Jax will be a WR2.

74. Vincent Jackson (WR31) — V-Jax is becoming more of a streak specialist, but mid-range WR3 feels right for a 32 year old with four straight 1,000-yard seasons.

75. Tony Romo (QB8) — Romo’s ceiling isn’t as high as it appears. Pass-heavy O had him QB13 in 2013, same as run-heavy O last season.

76. John Brown (WR32) — Brown literally lived with Carson Palmer this summer.

77. Ryan Mathews (RB32) — Mathews and his season-long scoring potential should be flipped with Blue’s September fill-in status.

78. Joique Bell (RB33) — The wisdom of crowds pushing Bell and his myriad red flags down the board.

79. Victor Cruz (WR33) — Uncertainty growing by the day, but not a bad place to take a flier on a player with Cruz’s track record.

80. Tom Brady (QB9) — Could be the bargain of the draft if the feds decide the Wells Report was as spurious as it was extravagant.

81. Giovani Bernard (RB34) — I’m all in on Jeremy Hill, but this isn’t a bad price for someone with Bernard’s playmaking ability as a passing-down specialist.

82. Owen Daniels (TE6) — Too high for a player not entirely dissimilar from late-career Dallas Clark. Daniels is more appropriately priced in the TE10-12 range.

83. Tre Mason (RB35) — Battling a “mild” hamstring injury. Mason is a September move more than anything else.

84. Tevin Coleman (RB36) — Coleman is a home run hitter, but seems doomed to share an Uber with Devonta Freeman all season.

Round 8

85. Steve Smith Sr. (WR34) — Sr. faded down the stretch in 2014, but his step has appeared restored this summer.

86. Matthew Stafford (QB10) — This is shaping up as the ceiling for a player who should be better than he is.

87. Jordan Cameron (TE7) — The right place to gamble on someone who was the TE4 two seasons ago.

88. Julius Thomas (TE8) — It feels like a reach, but it really isn’t when considering the tight ends behind him.

89. Mike Wallace (WR35) — Should finish in the WR28-36 range.

90. Isaiah Crowell (RB37) — The kind of player you could end up dropping before Week 2.

91. Ryan Tannehill (QB11) — Last year’s QB10 finish is probably close to Tannehill’s ceiling, but his floor in on stilts as the Dolphins have built their offense around him.

92. Devin Funchess (WR36) — You only get to take a shot in the dark on a player who struggled in the Big 10 but is now a No. 1 receiver as a rookie once.

93. Shane Vereen (RB38) — Vereen is a good fit for the Giants’ offense, but never finished higher than RB28 in New England. A breakout is unrealistic.

94. Markus Wheaton (WR37) — You’re drafting Wheaton’s role, not his track record, but there are worse things to do at No. 94.

95. Larry Fitzgerald (WR38) — Last year’s WR55 is not a bargain at No. 95.

96. Bishop Sankey (RB39) — Has shown improvement, but doomed to a committee. The top 40 is not a given.

Round 9

97. David Cobb (RB40) — The highest-upside option in Tennessee's backfield, but that isn’t saying much.

98. Seahawks Defense (DEF1) — Too early, but you already knew that.

99. Duke Johnson (RB41) — A solid bet to finish in the top 36.

100. Eli Manning (QB12) — Even playing the best football of his career, Eli is best paired with another quarterback.

101. Eddie Royal (WR39) — The top 36 seems like a given for a player you don’t want to draft, but will be happy you did.

102. Darren McFadden (RB42) — He’s looked good this summer, but also the same. DMC’s upright running style will produce a bruised quad or whatnot by Week 3 or 4.

103. Jason Witten (TE9) — An “out of ideas” pick, but tight end is a wasteland this season.

104. Danny Woodhead (RB43) — Someone you should hopefully never have to play in a standard league.

105. Roddy White (WR40) — Seems like a bargain at first blush, but White could be a player who simply can’t stand the rigors of professional football any longer.

106. Sam Bradford (QB13) — Once a bargain, Bradford is now boom or bust. Saturday’s performance happened, but so did the past five years.

107. Devonta Freeman (RB44) — Maybe you’ll use him once or twice. That’s not bad for the RB44.

108. Philip Rivers (QB14) — The top 12 seems more likely than not.

Round 10

109. Terrance Williams (WR41) — Has anyone ever seemed more perfect as the WR41?

110. Texans Defense (DEF2) — Good work could be undone by having to be on the field too much.

111. Marques Colston (WR42) — WR42 isn’t unrealistic, but the path figures to be arduous.

112. Anquan Boldin (WR43) — Boldin > Colston.

113. Delanie Walker (TE10) — It’s hard to know what to expect with a new quarterback. Marcus Mariota may not check down as much as his predecessors.

114. Bills Defense (DEF3) — A good unit, but not the kind you reach for before the final two rounds.

115. Tyler Eifert (TE11) — One of the few real bargains in the TE10-20 range.

116. Knile Davis (RB45) — A great spot for arguably the top handcuff in football.

117. Brandon LaFell (WR44) — Should continue to fall as reserve/PUP becomes more likely.

118. Cam Newton (QB15) — Newton’s No. 1 receiver is a second-round rookie who had 733 yards on the Big 10 last season.

119. Brian Quick (WR45) — Could get off to a slow start after a summer of non-contact, but WR3 upside lies within.

120. David Johnson (RB46) — The bottom could drop out quickly, but you don’t usually find this kind of ceiling at RB46.