NLCS Game 3 scouting report

By Yahoo! Sports courtesy of Inside Edge

Inside Edge, a leading baseball scouting and information service, will provide scouting reports to Yahoo! Sports throughout the MLB playoffs. Here's their breakdown of the National League championship series Game 3 between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks.


• Which team has hit the ball hardest in the first two games of the NLCS? It's not even close – the Diamondbacks have 21 well-hit balls in their 73 at-bats, for a .288 well-hit average. The Rockies have hit only six balls on the button in the two games. Their team well-hit average is .085 (6-for-71).

• Pitching has dominated the NLCS so far. The Rockies and Diamondbacks have combined for only five extra-base hits in the two games, which included an 11-inning affair in Game 2. The overall batting average for the two teams is just .229 heading into Game 3.

• Four of the five extra-base hits belong to Arizona. Neither club has homered yet in the series, but that can change with the series moving to Coors Field.

• Colorado's thin air might help Diamondbacks outfielder Chris Young more than anyone. Eighty-five percent of the balls Young put in play against the Rockies in the regular season were in the air (33 flyballs, 6 groundballs). Young is 1-for-6 in the NLCS, with three strikeouts, two flyouts, and a groundball single.

• The Diamondbacks hit .281 against fastballs this season, but were 15-for-43 (.349 BA) against fastballs from Game 3 starter Josh Fogg. That ranked third among teams Fogg faced this season.

• Rockies hitters put the lowest percentage of fastballs in play against Arizona's Game 3 starter Livan Hernandez this season of all NL clubs:

Vs. Hernandez's fastball

Pct. of Swings In Play


In Play

Rockies 47.8% 134 64
All other teams 58.3% 715 417


• Rockies Game 3 starter Josh Fogg has pitched twice in October, including the wild card tie-breaker against the San Diego Padres. Eight of the nine hits Fogg has allowed this month have come either on the first pitch of the at-bat, or with two strikes on the hitter.

• Fogg's fastball tends to get better as the game goes on; opponents hit .312 and slugged .578 against it in the first three innings, but batted .266 and slugged .411 from the fourth inning on.

• Colorado pitchers have benefited greatly from their stellar infield defense. Not only did Rockies infielders have the best fielding percentage in the league, but they allowed a league-low 21 percent of groundballs to get through for hits this season.

• D'backs Game 3 starter Livan Hernandez has better command of his three off-speed pitches than he does his fastball. The Arizona right-hander topped the 60 percent strike mark with his curve, slider, and changeup, but threw his fastball for a strike only 57 percent of the time. The league average is 62 percent fastball strikes.

• In his Division Series victory over the Cubs, Hernandez allowed only one run in 5 innings of work, but struggled with his command. He walked five batters and threw two of his first three pitches for strikes to only 10 of the 27 batters he faced.

• Hernandez held the Rockies to a team slugging percentage just .336 in five regular season appearances against them. That is the second-lowest slugging percentage among clubs Hernandez faced. The rest of the league slugged .523 against him.

Rockies hitters who match up well vs. Hernandez
Todd Helton His career 1.335 OPS in 79 plate appearances against Hernandez ranks sixth highest among active players who have faced the D'backs starter more than 20 times.
Kaz Matsui Hernandez has trouble putting him away, even with two strikes. Matsui is 4-for-7 (.571) this season when the Arizona right-hander has him down to his last strike.
Matt Holiday Hernandez better mix in a few fastballs inside. Holliday is 5-for-8 (.625) against his outside pitches this season.
Rockies hitters who could struggle
Willy Taveras 1-for-8 (.125) against Hernandez's off-speed pitches this season
Troy Tulowitzki Has hit just two balls hard in 15 at-bats against Hernandez this year (.133 well-hit average).
Garrett Atkins 4-for-19 (.211) lifetime and 0-for-5 this season when Hernandez works him middle-away or down-and-away with an off-speed pitch.
Diamondbacks hitters who match up well vs. Fogg
Stephen Drew 84 percent of pitches from Fogg have been down in the strike zone or lower (21-of-25). Drew is 4-for-7 (.571) on pitches in the lower third against the Colorado right-hander this year.
Eric Byrnes Homered and tripled off of Fogg's fastball this year and has swung and missed only one time against his off-speed offerings in 14 career swings against them.
Livan Hernandez Fogg's counterpart is 3-for-3 when putting one of his fastballs in play this season.
Diamondbacks hitters who could struggle
Mark Reynolds Is hitless in 8 at-bats against Fogg this season. Reynolds is 0-for-4 against both Fogg's fastball and non-fastballs.
Chris Snyder He's 0-for-6 lifetime with three strikeouts against Fogg and has missed every off-speed pitch that he's swung at in his career against him (5-of-5).
Conor Jackson Is 3-for-13 lifetime against Fogg and has yet to hit his fastball hard in their career matchups (none well-hit in nine swings).