WEEKEND UPDATE: Need-to-know info from the past few days
Toronto hurler Dustin McGowan recorded his sixth quality start in his past seven outings on Sunday – a masterful one-hit complete game shutout in which Colorado's Jeff Baker laced a single up the middle to lead-off the ninth to break up the no-hit bid. McGowan was available in 98 percent of Yahoo! leagues entering Monday morning. He's a former Baseball America "buzz baby." To quote from BA's 2004 Prospect Handbook, "McGowan has better stuff than Roy Halladay, the Cy Young Award winner whom he could join in Toronto's rotation soon." Baseball America jinx? After that comparison to Halladay, McGowan's '04 season was derailed by Tommy John surgery. He returned in '05 and made his Major League debut in late July. From that point up until late May of this season, McGowan had mostly been knocked around in Toronto with a combined upper-6 ERA.
The biggest change for McGowan this year seems to be confidence. In spring training veteran slugger Frank Thomas had this to say: "I told him you are not an average starter, you are way above average, you are going to dominate with the stuff you have." And you could tell in his comments after his near no-no that he's starting to believe in his electric stuff. "From about the fourth or fifth inning on, I was getting people out with a fastball and a slider," McGowan said. "I was getting ground balls … I started thinking about (a no-hitter) in the seventh; the energy from the crowd, I was feeding off it." I'm slightly jaded in regards to McGowan because I chose his one dud outing of late (1.2 IP, 6 ER v. Dodgers on June 19) to spot start him, but when you put together his talent and his recent production – he's the No. 21 starter in the Yahoo! game for the past month despite his June 19 blow-up – it's a combination that fantasy owners can no longer ignore.
- As good as McGowan has been, he can't claim honors as the top post-hype breakout. That title would have to go to Baltimore's Jeremy Guthrie. Like McGowan, Guthrie was a former top organizational pitching prospect (Cleveland). Another hard thrower, he struggled with his command during four mostly unsuccessful years with the Tribe before being claimed off waivers by Baltimore in January. Guthrie scuffled in relief to open the season, but has exploded onto the fantasy scene since being moved into the rotation. In 10 starts, Guthrie has posted a 1.64 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, and .179 BAA – and you wonder why Leo Mazzone has the reputation of a pitching guru. Guthrie is still available in a quarter of Yahoo! leagues. His second-best BABIP (.237, behind only Dan Haren) suggests he's benefited from some luck, but he also owns the ninth-best K:BB ratio (4.00) and 13th-best HR/9 rate (0.55) which also means he's doing an outstanding job of limiting the amount of damage that might be done by balls batted in to play. So, while it's fair to say that Guthrie will come back to Earth some, I wouldn't bet on it being a hard fall. Like McGowan, the talent is there, the confidence is building and he's got a wizard to help him continue to hone his skills.
- Notable Notes: Assuming he checks out fine in a throwing session on Monday, Arizona's Randy Johnson (herniated disc) could return from the DL to face the Dodgers on Thursday … Seattle's Raul Ibanez tweaked his hamstring over the weekend and, while he isn't likely to land on the DL, he may not return to the lineup until the end of the week … Washington's Jason Bergmann was activated from the DL list and will start Monday night. Elbow inflammation derailed him in mid-May as he was sitting on a 2.76 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. He looked strong in his rehab stint, so put him back on the fantasy radar … Milwaukee's J.J. Hardy sat out the weekend series with Kansas City because of a sore lower back. He's expected back for Monday's game with Houston … Contract talks between Mark Buehrle and the White Sox have reached an impasse, and it appears he's going to be dangled prominently in trade talks. Boston has established itself as the early front-runner for his services … Baltimore's Miguel Tejada landed on the DL over the weekend (wrist), ending his consecutive games played streak at 1,152 games. Chris Gomez will fill in for Tejada while he's out.
BARGAIN BIN: Top players available in 50 percent of Yahoo! leagues
- Ryan Braun, Mil, 3B
While teammate Corey Hart, the No. 2 ranked player in the Yahoo! game for the past month, is finally starting to see some love in the Yahoo! game (up to 68 percent ownership), Braun remains oft-available (39 percent owned). All Braun has done since being called up on May 25 is hit .321 with 5 HR, 18 RBI, 24 R and 4 SB in 27 games – good for top 20 placement in the Yahoo! game over that span. He entered the year as the No. 2 Brewers prospect according to Baseball America. Like Hart, he's a legit five-tool talent, and he's deserving of some more love in Yahoo! leagues.
PROSPECT WATCH: Top players down on the farm
- Adam Jones, Sea, OF (ETA – this week?)
I had Jones here a couple weeks ago, but a follow-up nomination is warranted given that Seattle outfielders Raul Ibanez and Jose Guillen are banged up, increasing the likelihood that Jones will get called up this week. Jones is hitting .316 for Triple-A Tacoma and is among the top six in the Pacific Coast League in HR (17), RBI (58) and R (52). He also has the speed to steal 20-30 bases, although he's swiped just five bases for Tacoma in '07. Ibanez is nursing a sore hamstring which he hopes he can return from on Friday. However, there is a possibility that he could be forced to the DL, which would open the door for Jones. Jones is already in the Yahoo! game, so owners in AL-only leagues that have some roster flexibility may want to make a speculative move and see how things play out. Jones is not ready for shallower mixed league attention, however.
MARKET MOVERS: Charting player values
Yahoo! Sports Blog Funston League Update
Things continue to look better for me in the Yahoo! Friends and Family League than the Blog League, where I'm stuck in 10th place. I'm getting more and more interested in making a deal, but not of the type I keep getting sent to me – deals where I trade Jose Reyes or Ichiro for starters. While my pitching numbers are down, I'm running well behind the maximum innings pitched pace, and I feel between Josh Beckett, Randy Johnson, Felix Hernandez, James Shields and the free agency pool, I'll be able to make up plenty of ground there on my own. Power is my true weakness, and dealing Reyes or Ichiro for some help in HR and RBI is becoming more and more likely. The league's latest additions include Chad Qualls, Dustin McGowan, Brendan Harris, Julian Tavarez, Troy Tulowitzki, and Gregg Zaun.
You can follow along with my Yahoo! Friends and Family experts league team here.