Retired UFC fighter and "UFC Tonight" on Fuel TV Analyst, Kenny Florian gave his predictions for UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar. "I would love to see Bonnar pull it off, but he's facing a guy - in Silva - who is the greatest of all time with a long reach--and you don't want to strike with him for too long. It could be a long or short night for Stephan, but Silva is going to get it done. Stephan has not been a game plan type of guy, he just goes in and fights and that's really going to help him because you can't go in with a game plan against Silva."
Anderson Silva vs Stephan Bonnar
UFC veteran Stephan Bonnar has been dancing around the question of whether he's ready to retire or not. Facing UFC champion Anderson Silva at UFC 153 for five rounds might be just what Bonnar needs to help him make a decision.
Florian gave his analysis of what Stephan Bonnar should do to prevail against Anderson Silva: "There's no doubt that Stephan Bonnar is a huge underdog, but he's also a huge 205 pounder and he really has to use his weight against Anderson Silva. He cannot go forward like he typically does because it will be devastating for him. He'll get knocked out like his friend Forrest Griffin. Bonnar has to be able to counter. He has to wait for Anderson to go first and he has to counter immediately with combinations. As soon as Silva is done with his combinations, he has to return fire. If there's a weakness with Silva, it's in his ground game. Bonnar can use his size advantage in his ground and pound. Stephan is very good on the ground. He's a black belt in Brazilian jiu jitsu. At 205, he can really cause a lot of problems for the champion Anderson Silva."
Prediction: "... Silva is going to get it done."
Glover Teixeira vs. Fabio Maldonado
"UFC Tonight" Insider Ariel Helwani gave an update on how Glover Teixeira has responded to changing opponents at UFC 153: "To be honest, he doesn't appear to be all that upset about the switch. I spoke to his longtime trainer, John Hackleman, and he says that Glover is like a kid in a candy store training for this fight. He's so excited to be training in his home county of Brazil. He's just really excited to be in the UFC after many years of being outside the organization. Many people have been putting him on the fast track to the championship, but I asked his trainer and he said that he thinks Glover is three left hooks away from the title shot. I asked if he meant in the same fight and he said no. So while we may be fast tracking him, Glover's team wants to take their time on him."
Florian on fighters passing up fights against Teixeira: "Well, a lot of people don't know who Teixeira is. This is a guy who still is getting his feet wet in the UFC and that's the huge risk about taking a fight with him. Beating him doesn't really do too much, but losing to him brings you down in the division."
Florian on Glover Teixeira: "Teixeira is a guy who starts so quickly--and the bad news for Maldonado is that he doesn't start quickly. He needs two to three minutes to get started."
FightMetric stats show average fight time for Glover (18-2-0) at 1:53 minutes and for Fabio (18-5-0) at 13:36 minutes. Don't blink, folks.
Prediction: "Glover gets this done in the first round. His striking is on a different level. His ground game is unbelievable. He's got this."
Jon Fitch vs Erick Silva
Here's another situation with one fighter who likes long fights--Jon Fitch (age 34) with an average of 13:10 minutes compared to a man who likes to get the battle over as soon as possible--Erick Silva (age 28) with 1:54 minutes. If Silva can defend against Fitch's takedown attempts, he may win with strikes.
Kenny said that he is looking forward to this fight, "The Jon Fitch versus Erick Silva fight - that's going to be amazing...two of the best welterweights in the world."
Prediction: "I have to go with Erick Silva. He's just a different level of athlete."
Minotauro "Big Nog" Nogueira vs Dave Herman
Florian believes Minotauro "Big Nog" Nogueira can return to form after losing his last fight: "Yeah I do, assuming he is healthy. This is actually going to be a very tough match up for Dave Herman. The guy is such a technical striker. Dave Herman is going to be a big underdog against Minotauro."
Florian spoke about Nogueira's psyche going against Herman after his injury in his last fight: "It would really play into the psyche of Big Nog if he was facing another submission artist, but Herman is not a submission artist. It comes down to seeing if he is OK to go out there and perform like he usually does."
FightMetric shows Big Nog (age 36) as having more experience as a heavyweight taking the fight to the third round, but Herman (age 28) has the striking advantage with an average of six strikes landed per minute vs just under two strikes per minute for Nogueira. On the other hand, Herman takes twice as many shots on average than Nogueira. Nogueira has the advantage on the ground. His stats show an average of 2.5 submission attempts (in 15 minutes).
Prediction: "Big Nog, assuming he is healthy, should have no problem against Herman."
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar on PPV starting at 10 pm ET on Saturday, October 13. video
Source: Sherdog, show notes from "UFC Tonight" on Fuel TV
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Cheryl Ragsdale started out boxing and has added kicks and BJJ so she can practice MMA. Currently, she trains with Keith Florian and has trained with UFC Fighter Kenny Florian at Florian Martial Arts - follow @thatgirlisfunny