The first two races of the 2012 Chase for the Sprint Cup have seen Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin go to victory lane - who will be the next driver to win in the Chase? Chances are it won't be Keselowski or Hamlin - find out why these two drivers are not on the "Hot" list when it comes to Dover International Speedway, and see which drivers have a good shot at victory lane in at the "Monster Mile" in Delaware.
Jimmie Johnson - HOT - Johnson has two straight runner-up finishes in the first two Chase races and leads Keselowski by one point in the standings. He's hot at Dover because he leads all Chase drivers with seven wins at the track, with 15 top 10 finishes in 21 races as well as three poles. He's also got the best average finish of all Chase drivers at Dover - 8.9.
Jeff Gordon - HOT - Gordon still sits 45 points back of Johnson in 12th, but his third-place finish at New Hampshire Motor Speedway showed he's not ready to give up yet. Dover would be a good track for a breakthrough: Gordon has four wins and four poles in 39 races at the "Monster Mile," with an average finish of 12.3.
Tony Stewart - LUKEWARM - Stewart finished seventh at New Hampshire, settling into fourth place in points, just 10 back of Johnson. Stewart has two wins at Dover, but they both came back in 2000; in the last four races there, dating back to September 2010, he hasn't been able to crack the top 20.
Kasey Kahne - LUKEWARM - Kahne finished fifth at New Hampshire, and sits fifth in points going into Dover - but the track has lived up to its "Monster" nickname in Kahne's statistics: he has just five top 10 finishes in 17 starts, with an average finish of 21.8; he also has six DNFs. The bright side - he did finish ninth in this season's first Dover race, his first with Hendrick power.
Brad Keselowski - NOT - Keselowski sits second in points, one behind Johnson, but Dover has not been kind to the driver of the "blue deuce" - he has a best finish of 12th in five races, with an average finish of 17.0.
Denny Hamlin - NOT - Like Keselowski, the "Monster Mile" has not been kind to Hamlin, who has four top 10s in 13 races and the second-worse average finish behind Kahne - 20.5.
Source: "Statistical Advance: Analyzing the AAA 400," NASCAR Media, September 24, 2012
Paula is a long-time NASCAR fan who also covers the sport at Skirts & Scuffs and Examiner.com.
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