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Daily Fantasy Review

Daily fantasy leagues are a booming part of the sports landscape, and they lend themselves to clear-cut quantification. Today I'll use the FanDuel scoring system to take a look back at the 2013-14 season and answer some questions I had while setting my lineups this afternoon. For instance, which teams allowed the most 'fantasy points' to their opponents? Which player positions were the most valuable, and which were the scarcest?

And here’s the FanDuel scoring system:

Points: 1.0

Rebounds: 1.2

Assists: 1.5

Steals: 2.0

Blocks: 2.0

Turnovers: -1.0

Owners must use a $60k 'salary cap' to build the best possible nine-player lineup, with the following position requirements: PG, PG, SG, SG, SF, SF, PF, PF, C

Question #1: What does the dispersion of scoring look like? This is the broadest possible look at the top 300 players from the 2013-14 season, showing a predictable concentration of value in the top-50 and a slow but steady decline through picks 100-300.

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Image and video hosting by TinyPic

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Question #2: What does the scoring breakdown among the top-200 players look like?

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
Image and video hosting by TinyPic

As this shows, scoring is easily the most dominant factor in FanDuel, with blocks coming in at a paltry 3.9% of total 'fantasy points' accrued. Points were followed by rebounds (21.7%) in importance, so it's little surprise that the top four FanDuel options last season were Kevin Durant, Kevin Love, LeBron James and DeMarcus Cousins. Targeting lenient defenses is critical (more on that later) and fantasy owners should also keep an eye on which teams allow the most rebounds, assists, steals and blocks. That type of information is readily available on a dozen different websites including NBA.com.

Question #3 & #4: Narrowing the focus to the top-200 players, how many of them were PGs, SGs, SFs, PFs or Cs? And how many FanDuel points did each position-type average?

Top-200 FanDuel Values (2013-14), by Positions

Position

# of players

Average FanDuel 'points' per game

PG

50

30.83

SG

47

27.43

SF

25

30.03

PF

44

29.81

C

34

30.15

This shows that small forwards were conspicuously scarce in FanDuel leagues, especially since each owner was required to start two. With so little depth at the position, it's essential to figure out which players are up against lenient defenses. A mediocre SF against the Lakers, Wolves or Nuggets could be a better value than a typically excellent SF who is matched up with the Bulls or Grizzlies. Centers were the most plentiful position in the top-200, relatively speaking, since each team only requires one 'C' in their lineup. I was mildly surprised to see so many shooting guards, but SG was the one position with a drastically lower average score. There were 47 SGs in the top-200, in other words, but only six were in the top-50: James Harden, Monta Ellis, DeMar DeRozan, Dwyane Wade, Kobe Bryant and Gordon Hayward.

Question #5: How many players did each NBA team contribute to the top-200?

Team

# of top-200 players

Atlanta

6

Boston

7

Brooklyn

7

Charlotte

4

Chicago

8

Cleveland

7

Dallas

7

Denver

8

Detroit

7

Golden State

10

Houston

7

Indiana

7

L.A.Clippers

8

L.A.Lakers

10

Memphis

5

Miami

5

Milwaukee

9

Minnesota

5

New Orleans

8

New York

6

Oklahoma City

5

Orlando

6

Philadelphia

4

Phoenix

8

Portland

6

Sacramento

4

San Antonio

8

Toronto

7

Utah

6

Washington

5

The Warriors and Lakers were the only teams with 10 players who made the cut, with no other teams having more than eight players in the top-200. The teams with five or fewer players were the Heat, Grizzlies, Bobcats, Timberwolves, Thunder, 76ers, Kings and Wizards. I'm not quite sure what the common thread is there, as those teams ranged from fastest to slowest pace, highest to lowest offensive efficiency, etc. The Sixers are particularly surprising, as they had a revolving door of players and (as we'll see) yielded the most FanDuel points of any team to their opponents.

Question #6: Matchups are an essential part of constructing daily fantasy lineups. How many 'fantasy points' did each team allow to their opponents per game?

Philadelphia

253.1

LA Lakers

248.8

Denver

234.9

Minnesota

234.7

Detroit

233.5

Milwaukee

229.3

Cleveland

228.7

Houston

228.2

Sacramento

228.1

Atlanta

228.0

Orlando

227.1

New Orleans

226.4

Dallas

224.6

LA Clippers

224.1

Utah

222.9

Boston

222.1

Phoenix

222.1

Washington

221.9

Golden State

220.9

Brooklyn

220.5

Portland

220.2

Oklahoma City

219.7

San Antonio

216.7

Toronto

216.2

Charlotte

216.2

Miami

215.9

New York

212.6

Chicago

211.7

Memphis

209.5

Indiana

206.4

Inefficient defenses and fast-paced offenses are a theme among the teams that allowed the most FanDuel points, and vice versa for the stingiest teams. That said, fantasy owners absolutely must look deeper into how each team is performing vs. a specific position. The Heat gave up the 5th-fewest points overall last season, for instance, but they were routinely torched by opposing centers due to their undersized frontcourt. RotoGrinders.com has a terrific tool that addresses this need...click here to check out their "NBA Defense vs. Position" tool.

Question #7: Where can I dig deeper?

The RotoGrinders crew is pumping out a ton of content on Rotoworld this season, be sure to check that out. You can also follow the Rotoworld Daily account on Twitter for live updates, column links and much more.

The next page contains a list of the top-200 players in FanDuel last year, including how many 'fantasy points' they averaged per game.

Top-200 FanDuel players (per game) for 2013-14

Name

Per-game FanDuel 'Points'

Kevin Durant

56.63

Kevin Love

52.74

LeBron James

52.27

DeMarcus Cousins

50.32

Stephen Curry

49.37

Carmelo Anthony

48.23

Chris Paul

47.78

James Harden

47.75

Blake Griffin

47.63

Russell Westbrook

47.02

LaMarcus Aldridge

46.01

John Wall

45.55

Anthony Davis

45.14

Dwight Howard

44.19

Al Jefferson

43.74

Paul George

42.27

Joakim Noah

42.12

Michael Carter-Williams

42.08

Ty Lawson

41.65

Paul Millsap

40.91

Kyrie Irving

40.71

Kyle Lowry

40.57

Pau Gasol

40.29

Al Horford

39.68

Monta Ellis

39.18

Goran Dragic

39.10

Isaiah Thomas

39.07

Rajon Rondo

39.03

DeMar DeRozan

38.94

Eric Bledsoe

38.72

Rudy Gay

38.64

Dwyane Wade

38.37

Tim Duncan

38.34

Jrue Holiday

38.25

Damian Lillard

37.70

Dirk Nowitzki

37.62

Josh Smith

37.60

Zach Randolph

37.51

Kemba Walker

37.42

Andre Drummond

37.11

David Lee

36.96

Kobe Bryant

36.87

Gordon Hayward

36.74

DeAndre Jordan

36.50

Brandon Jennings

36.00

Nikola Vucevic

35.86

Thaddeus Young

35.85

Brook Lopez

35.55

Nicolas Batum

35.43

Jeff Teague

35.30

Mike Conley

35.19

Serge Ibaka

35.11

Marc Gasol

35.11

Ricky Rubio

35.03

Greg Monroe

34.88

Brandon Knight

34.51

Chandler Parsons

34.35

Lance Stephenson

33.59

Spencer Hawes

33.18

Tyreke Evans

33.04

Nikola Pekovic

32.79

Marcin Gortat

32.66

Derrick Favors

32.41

Victor Oladipo

32.24

Deron Williams

32.18

Nene Hilario

31.65

Tony Parker

31.51

Chris Bosh

31.38

Luol Deng

31.34

David West

31.32

Ryan Anderson

31.18

Trevor Ariza

31.01

Kenneth Faried

30.92

Derrick Rose

30.79

Bradley Beal

30.78

Jameer Nelson

30.75

Arron Afflalo

30.66

Jamal Crawford

30.19

Carlos Boozer

30.02

Klay Thompson

29.82

JJ Hickson

29.57

Jeff Green

29.49

Kawhi Leonard

29.47

Kendall Marshall

29.36

Jimmy Butler

29.29

Jared Sullinger

29.29

Evan Turner

29.02

Kevin Martin

29.02

Reggie Jackson

28.44

Tobias Harris

28.41

Taj Gibson

28.40

Markieff Morris

28.37

Andrew Bogut

28.33

Dion Waiters

28.23

Eric Gordon

28.19

John Henson

28.18

Trey Burke

28.08

Paul Pierce

27.75

Wesley Matthews

27.75

Anderson Varejao

27.67

Robin Lopez

27.66

JR Smith

27.47

Roy Hibbert

27.45

Tristan Thompson

27.27

Terrence Jones

27.11

Jeremy Lin

27.06

Jonas Valanciunas

26.97

Manu Ginobili

26.95

Raymond Felton

26.94

Joe Johnson

26.92

Tony Wroten

26.81

Tyson Chandler

26.77

Mario Chalmers

26.58

Gerald Green

26.55

Nick Young

26.51

Andre Iguodala

26.35

Randy Foye

26.34

Gerald Henderson

26.34

Enes Kanter

26.26

Alec Burks

26.03

Wilson Chandler

25.85

Jodie Meeks

25.84

Amir Johnson

25.82

Andrea Bargnani

25.76

Avery Bradley

25.56

Shawn Marion

25.29

DJ Augustin

25.25

Kyle Korver

25.22

DeMarre Carroll

25.09

Jordan Farmar

25.03

Andray Blatche

24.56

Ramon Sessions

24.54

Jose Calderon

24.49

PJ Tucker

24.37

Josh McRoberts

24.35

Chris Kaman

24.15

Darren Collison

24.13

JJ Redick

24.09

Mike Dunleavy

23.78

Vince Carter

23.78

George Hill

23.76

Larry Sanders

23.76

Ersan Ilyasova

23.73

Khris Middleton

23.71

Corey Brewer

23.65

Brandon Bass

23.45

Jordan Hill

23.36

Rodney Stuckey

23.23

Patrick Beverley

23.23

Miles Plumlee

23.16

Channing Frye

23.06

Zaza Pachulia

23.05

Timofey Mozgov

22.84

Steve Blake

22.82

Kirk Hinrich

22.70

Jarrett Jack

22.53

Mo Williams

22.50

Matt Barnes

22.47

Wes Johnson

21.96

Jordan Crawford

21.84

Amare Stoudemire

21.82

Tony Allen

21.70

Boris Diaw

21.68

Shaun Livingston

21.64

Jason Smith

21.60

Lou Williams

21.31

James Anderson

21.29

OJ Mayo

21.22

Tiago Splitter

21.18

Kevin Garnett

21.10

Andrew Bynum

21.02

Glen Davis

21.00

Steve Nash

20.99

Caron Butler

20.94

Greivis Vasquez

20.89

Al-Farouq Aminu

20.83

Marco Belinelli

20.75

Kris Humphries

20.56

Kelly Olynyk

20.55

Patrick Patterson

20.48

Marvin Williams

20.36

Draymond Green

20.35

Danny Green

20.26

Devin Harris

20.08

Will Bynum

20.05

Samuel Dalembert

19.94

Giannis Antetokounmpo

19.75

Harrison Barnes

19.73

Aaron Brooks

19.58

Nate Robinson

19.55

James Johnson

19.49

Omer Asik

19.42

Terrence Ross

19.38

Marcus Morris

19.34

Brian Roberts

19.18

Jason Thompson

19.13

Kyle O'Quinn

19.06

Jermaine O'neal

19.02

Ray Allen

18.76

Kyle Singler

18.75

This is the final 'Numbers Game' column, at least for a while, as I'll be writing a new column every Wednesday beginning next week. I'm still pondering the topic/theme, so send me a note on Twitter or via email if you have any suggestions!