| Big Board 50: Basketball | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Player | Stock | |
| 1 | LeBron James, Mia, SF | Traded 3pt for FG% while remaining best player on the planet. As durable as they come | |
| 2 | Kevin Durant, OKC, SF | Best scorer in NBA set career highs in FG%, 3pt, rpg and bpg. Made second biggest impact in FT% and still just 23 years old | |
| 3 | Chris Paul, LAC, PG | Positive contributor everywhere except blocks. Made biggest impact in steals by far. Small concern coming off thumb surgery | |
| 4 | Kevin Love, Min, FC | No one can match his reb/3pt/FT% combo. Hit 2.4 3pt and scored 27.5 ppg in the second half. The clear No. 1 center | |
| 5 | Russell Westbrook, OKC, PG | The TOs hurt but 3pts continue to improve. Expect assists to bump back up. Has increased his ppg and FG% each year in the league | |
| 6 | Dwyane Wade, Mia, G | Still a monster but played career low mpg as Heat concentrate most on postseason. Underwent knee surgery but should be good to go | |
| 7 | Al Jefferson, Uta, FC | Contributes everywhere while committing fewest TOs on a per-play basis in the league | |
| 8 | Deron Williams, BKN, PG | Assists and FG% dropped while TOs were career worst but expect a bounce back with improved teammates. Still a lot of upside | |
| 9 | Dirk Nowitzki, Dal, PF | Boring option but remains plenty safe even at advanced age. Made the single biggest impact in FT% | |
| 10 | Andrew Bynum, Phi, C | Huge upside as he becomes centerpiece of Philly’s offense. Will have to get better when facing double teams, and health remains key | |
| 11 | Josh Smith, Atl, F | Established career highs with 9.6 rpg and 18.8 ppg. Would finish as top-five player if he ever improved his FT shooting | |
| 12 | LaMarcus Aldridge, Por, FC | By far the team’s centerpiece now. Had hip surgery but should be fully recovered for 2012/13 | |
| 13 | Paul Millsap, Uta, PF | Contributor across the board other than 3pt. Finished seventh best on a per-game rank but may be tough to repeat | |
| 14 | Kyrie Irving, Cle, PG | Fantastic rookie season at age 19 and should only improve. Coming off hand surgery but sky’s the limit | |
| 15 | Dwight Howard, LAL, C | Value obviously depends greatly on H2H vs. roto format. Move to LA shouldn’t have major impact but health status big question mark | |
| 16 | Kobe Bryant, LAL, SG | Continues to produce, although his FG% has decreased in each of the past three seasons. Is up to 1,381 career games played | |
| 17 | Ty Lawson, Den, PG | Averaged 17.3 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 7.0 apg, 1.3 spg, 1.5 3pt with 50.1 FG% and 84.5 FT% in second half. Nuggets had second highest Pace in NBA | |
| 18 | James Harden, OKC, GF | Was more valuable than Kobe Bryant despite seeing nearly 7 fewer mpg. Will be playing with his eye toward a huge payday | |
| 19 | Marc Gasol, Mem, C | Numbers dropped after Zach Randolph returned but doesn’t hurt you anywhere except 3pt. | |
| 20 | Al Horford, Atl, FC | A consistently top fantasy player who was always durable until an injury ruined last season. Returned in playoffs so should be 100 percent | |
| 21 | Serge Ibaka, OKC, FC | Finished as the No. 11 fantasy player thanks entirely to a league-leading 3.7 bpg. Next highest was 2.2. Could see bump in minutes | |
| 22 | Pau Gasol, LAL, FC | Might lose a few boards playing next to Dwight Howard but otherwise could actually benefit. Remains elite fantasy option | |
| 23 | Brandon Jennings, Mil, PG | Made huge strides although continues to be a FG% drain (mainly due to just one horrific month). Draft him aggressively | |
| 24 | Carmelo Anthony, NYK, F | Injuries helped drag down numbers, and Lin gone is probably a good thing. Should rebound to his numbers after joining Knicks in 2010/11 | |
| 25 | DeMarcus Cousins, Sac, FC | Needs to finish better at the rim and stay out of foul trouble but potential through the roof. Just turned 22 years old | |
| 26 | Danny Granger, Ind, F | Has trended in the wrong direction each of the past three years but was top-30 fantasy player anyway. At a career crossroads | |
| 27 | Mike Conley, Mem, PG | Was 21st most valuable player on a per-game rank and had third biggest impact on steals, but that’s a tough cat to bank on repeating | |
| 28 | Rudy Gay, Mem, F | A reliable option but not much room for growth at this stage. Players with higher ceilings will go after him | |
| 29 | Goran Dragic, Pho, PG | Averaged 18.0 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 8.4 apg, 1.8 spg, 1.8 3pt with a 49.0 FG% and 83.9 FT% while starting and now takes over an uptempo Suns team | |
| 30 | John Wall, Was, PG | Went 3-for-42 on 3pt and commits too many TOs but just turned 22 and led all PGs by far with 0.9 bpg. Has top-15 upside w/ improved shooting | |
| 31 | Nicolas Batum, Por, GF | Doesn’t necessarily standout in any cat but performs well in all and should only continue to get better | |
| 32 | Paul Pierce, Bos, GF | Was 25th most valuable on per-game rank at age 34. Expect some decline, but he’s clearly got plenty left in the tank | |
| 33 | Andre Iguodala, Den, GF | Was top-35 player despite 12.4 ppg and 61.7 FT%. Goes from team that ranked 24th in Pace to 2nd. Move to Denver could be huge | |
| 34 | Kyle Lowry, Tor, PG | Was a top fantasy player before an injury effectively ended his season. Has elite skills but a change in scenery presents some unknown | |
| 35 | Paul George, Ind, GF | Became a full-time starter but was still given less than 30 mpg. Would be a monster if he saw more run | |
| 36 | Marcus Thornton, Sac, GF | Was actually on par with Derrick Rose in per-game value and while he plays for a team with many mouths to feed, Sac ranked 1st in Pace | |
| 37 | Ryan Anderson, NO, FC | Was 8th ranked per-game based entirely on big increase in minutes, but there’s major bust potential with move to New Orleans | |
| 38 | Greg Monroe, Det, C | Broke out as sophomore and should only get better from here on out. Is one of the better passing centers in the league | |
| 39 | Marcin Gortat , Pho, C | Finished with equivalent fantasy value to Kobe Bryant while C eligible and starting year injured. How much will Nash leaving affect him? | |
| 40 | Kevin Garnett, Bos, FC | Was somehow top-15 asset at age 35, and the move to C clearly helped his stats. But he’s at 1,380 career games played, so be cautious | |
| 41 | Joe Johnson, BKN, G | You know what you’re getting and should expect more of the same with his move to Brooklyn | |
| 42 | Stephen Curry, GSW, PG | Was No. 14 ranked player on per-game basis (in just 28:06 mpg!) but remains legit injury risk. Gamblers should reach higher than this | |
| 43 | David Lee, GSW, FC | Hasn’t duplicated elite numbers with Knicks since joining Warriors but remains plenty productive. Has to contend with Bogut now | |
| 44 | Blake Griffin, LAC, PF | Move him up in H2H but only Howard was bigger drain in FT%. Was ranked 80 th in 9-cat leagues. Double-double machine w/ room for growth | |
| 45 | Rajon Rondo, Bos, PG | Tough call. Led NBA in assists by far, averaged more rpg than any PG, is a threat to lead league in steals but total drain in 5 other cats | |
| 46 | Monta Ellis, Mil, G | Handled the ball less after trade to Bucks, so while ppg dropped, so did TOs. Expect both to approach more toward his norm this year | |
| 47 | Chris Bosh, Mia, FC | Even when healthy move to Miami has undoubtedly taken a hit on his fantasy value. This area feels about right | |
| 48 | Anthony Davis, NO, PF | Raw offensively but has ability to be a stud in defensive cats right away. This ranking could easily look tame in hindsight | |
| 49 | Steve Nash, LAL, PG | Finished second best in assists last year and now joins a loaded Lakers team. But won’t see much more than 30 mpg at age 38 | |
| 50 | Gerald Wallace, BKN, F | Been traded each of the past two years and remains an injury risk, but he’s awfully productive when on the court | |
| 51 | Eric Gordon, NO, SG | Injury ruined last season, and he also missed an average of 23 games the two prior years. Top-20 upside if he can stay healthy though | |
| 52 | Tony Parker, SA, PG | Career high 7.7 apg while always a perennial leader in FG% among PGs. Let’s hope his unfortunate offseason eye injury isn’t serious | |
| 53 | Amar'e Stoudemire, NYK, FC | Hugely disappointing season makes him a “last year’s bum” candidate, and he supposedly has rededicated himself this offseason | |
| 54 | Ersan Ilyasova, Mil, PF | Came out of nowhere to average 14.2 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 0.8 spg, 0.7 bpg and 1.0 3pt in 29 starts. Ensuing big contract should lead to big PT | |
| 55 | Manu Ginobili, SA, GF | Undoubtedly one of the best players in the league but got just 23:18 mpg and is now a year older. Risky at this stage | |
| 56 | Danilo Gallinari, Den, SF | Definite upside but also clearly proven to be an injury risk | |
| 57 | Joakim Noah, Chi, FC | If you need boards and blocks, he’s your man, but a lack of growth may reveal a capped upside | |
| 58 | Nene Hilario, Was, FC | Could be very productive as main frontcourt option in Washington but remains a major health risk | |
| 59 | Tim Duncan, SA, FC | Was still a top-50 player despite getting the fewest mpg of his career but in obvious decline phase | |
| 60 | Raymond Felton, NYK, G | Averaged career highs 17.1 ppg, 9.0 apg, 1.8 spg and 1.6 3pt last time he played in NY. Path to starting job and claims he’s in great shape | |
| 61 | Jeff Teague, Atl, PG | Nice asset first year as starter. Should continue to improve and be a bigger part of Atlanta’s offense with Joe Johnson gone | |
| 62 | Jrue Holiday, Phi, PG | Took a step back but remains vital part of team’s future along with Evan Turner. Assists should creep back up | |
| 63 | Roy Hibbert, Ind, C | Tied for fourth in bpg and continues to get better each year in league. A true breakout isn’t out of the question in 2012/13 | |
| 64 | Zach Randolph, Mem, FC | Was a top-30 player over the previous two years before injury ruined last season. Should be available at a nice price | |
| 65 | Tyson Chandler, NYK, C | Coming off a nice season but has an extensive injury history so must be downgraded | |
| 66 | Wesley Matthews, Por, GF | Solid across the board and even better when starting, something he should be locked into in 2012/13 | |
| 67 | Andrew Bogut, GSW, C | Can’t stay healthy and is a big FT% drain but other than that, he provides quite a bit. Golden State could be a really nice fit | |
| 68 | Jeremy Lin, Hou, PG | The biggest unknown. Was humongous TO drain yet upside obvious. Now changing teams. Contract should dictate a lot of playing time | |
| 69 | Arron Afflalo, Orl, SG | Averaged 18.7 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.4 apg and 1.6 3pt with a 52.1 FG% and 84.0 FT% over the final month. Will now be top dog on Orlando | |
| 70 | Carlos Boozer, Chi, FC | Played in every game in a season for the first time in his career but had lowest ppg, rpg and apg since his rookie season | |
| 71 | Kris Humphries, BKN, PF | After coming out of nowhere in 2010/11 was even better last season. Should again be among double-double leaders | |
| 72 | Luol Deng, Chi, SF | Should see a bounce back in FG% and could take on more scoring responsibility with Rose out. Appears to have avoided wrist surgery | |
| 73 | Tyreke Evans, Sac, GF | Has star upside but ranked as just 89th per-game player. Still needs to improve jump shot but upside remains (Sac #1 Pace) | |
| 74 | Anderson Varejao, Cle, FC | Possibly underselling him here as a top-50 player last year. Expect more blocks and fewer steals in 2012/13 | |
| 75 | Kevin Martin, Hou, SG | Was ranked 22nd per-game in 2010/2011, so don’t let him slip too far, even if Houston has many more options | |
| 76 | David West, Ind, PF | Points fell off but so did minutes in year 1 return from knee surgery. Should see increased PT but Indiana has many options | |
| 77 | Andrea Bargnani, Tor, FC | Averaged career low 1.1 3pt before calf injury ended season prematurely. Solid option but unlikely to ever live up to pedigree | |
| 78 | Klay Thompson, GSW, GF | Rookie averaged 18.1 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.1 spg and 2.1 3pt with a 90.6 FT% as a starter. Locked into role moving forward. Big potential | |
| 79 | Mo Williams, Uta, G | New starting PG in Utah. Sneaky 3pt and FT% help but usually a FG% drain | |
| 80 | Luis Scola, Pho, FC | Amnestied coming off down year but Suns happy to snatch him up as their new starting PF. Buy low opportunity exists in fantasy too | |
| 81 | Brook Lopez, BKN, C | Coming off injury ruined season but was top-60 player year before and rejoins a much-improved Nets lineup. Needs to rebound better | |
| 82 | Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Cha, SF | Needs to improve jump shot but should immediately get plenty of run for Bobcats | |
| 83 | Kenneth Faried, Den, PF | Averaged 11.6 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 0.9 spg and 1.1 bpg with a 58.4 FG% in modest minutes over final month as rookie. Al Harrington gone. Go get him | |
| 84 | Isaiah Thomas, Sac, PG | Got 14.8 ppg, 5.4 apg, 1.0 spg and 1.6 3pt with 47.7 FG% and 84.1 FT% in 27 starts. Last pick of 2011 draft already locked in as starter | |
| 85 | Michael Beasley, Pho, F | Huge disappointment last year but should regain role as starter in an uptempo Suns system. Something of a sleeper | |
| 86 | Jameer Nelson, Orl, PG | Has plenty of deficiencies but is getting paid well and virtually locked in a starting role that should see plenty of minutes | |
| 87 | Thaddeus Young, Phi, F | Remains in a reserve role for the time being but can provide plenty of value nevertheless | |
| 88 | J.R. Smith, NYK, GF | Was a top-70 player on a per-game rank after joining Knicks and could enter starting lineup in 2012/13. Target him if you need 3pt | |
| 89 | Evan Turner, Phi, GF | Thrived as starter (albeit in small sample) at SF and will be given every opportunity to succeed now that Andre Iguodala is gone | |
| 90 | DeAndre Jordan, LAC, C | Mostly a one-trick pony but very good at one trick. Made fourth biggest impact in blocks | |
| 91 | Ray Allen, Mia, SG | Was top-40 player on per-game rank but missed 20 games and is 37. Should see a lot of open jumpers but now bench player on Miami | |
| 92 | Jared Dudley, Pho, GF | Has been sneaky valuable but Suns have entirely new feel in 2012/13 | |
| 93 | Darren Collison, Dal, PG | New starting PG in Dallas. Expect more of the same from his production in Indiana | |
| 94 | Brandon Knight, Det, G | Not a prototypical PG but will be handed the keys to Detroit’s offense. He’s only going to get better | |
| 95 | Kemba Walker, Cha, PG | Averaged 14.7 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 4.9 apg, 1.0 spg, 0.5 bpg, and 1.4 3pt as starter, albeit with a 35.2 FG%. Expected to be major piece of offense | |
| 96 | Damian Lillard, Por, PG | Looks like immediate starter and impressed in Vegas Summer League. Opportunity sometimes trumps talent | |
| 97 | Elton Brand, Dal, FC | Was top-45 player but is now a backup on a new team in Dallas. Don’t draft the 33-year-old with injury history based on last year’s stats | |
| 98 | Jason Terry, Bos, G | Was top-65 player so may be undervalued here since starting hasn’t mattered in past. But joins a new team and is now 35 years old | |
| 99 | Lou Williams, Atl, G | Scored 14.9 ppg in just 26:18 mpg off bench and could start at SG now in Atlanta. Will have to compete with Devin Harris and Jeff Teague | |
| 100 | Samuel Dalembert, Mil, C | Always a help in boards and especially blocks and now locked in as Milwaukee’s starting center | |
|
DROPPED OUT:
ON THE BUBBLE: JaVale McGee, Den, C; O.J. Mayo, Dal, SG; Al Harrington, Orl, FC; Derrick Rose, Chi, PG; Derrick Favors, Uta, FC; Avery Bradley, Bos, G; Wilson Chandler, Den, GF; Trevor Ariza, Was, GF; Bradley Beal, Was, SG; Dion Waiters, Cle, SG; Channing Frye, Pho, FC; Jose Calderon, Tor, PG; Emeka Okafor, Was, C; Hedo Turkoglu, Orl, F; Jason Richardson, Phi, GF; George Hill, Ind, G; Glen Davis, Orl, FC; Chris Kaman, Dal, FC; Andrei Kirilenko, Min, F; Harrison Barnes, GSW, SF; Gordon Hayward, Uta, GF; Nikola Pekovic, Min, C; Ricky Rubio, Min, PG
|
