AccuScore season preview: Hornets

AccuScore

ACCUSCORE SEASON FORECAST

BASED ON 10,000 SIMULATED SEASONS


TEAM TOTALS

W

L

PS

PA

WIN DIVISION

PLAYOFFS


New Orleans Hornets

57

25

104.3

95.4

28.5%

97.8%


WINS

60+

55-59

50-54

45-49

40-44

35-39

30-34

25-29

21-24

<=20


Win Total Range

39%

22%

19%

14%

5%

1%

0%

0%

0%

0%


The Hornets are expected to repeat their 2007-2008 success as long as Chris Paul is healthy. Without Paul this team would plummet to 35-39 wins or maybe even below that. The addition of James Posey may not have a huge impact in the regular season, but expect to see the benefits in the playoffs. Peja Stojakovic has a well-deserved reputation for struggling in the playoffs once he goes up against the top defenses in the league. Posey is a clutch 3-point shooter in the postseason. Stojakovic's 2.4 3-pointers per game will help the Hornets win a lot of regular-season games, but when his 3-point percentage drops from 44 percent in the regular season down to 24 percent against top defenses, the Hornets will have another shooter in Posey after Paul penetrates and dishes. Posey also is a considerably better defender than Stojakovic.


PLAYER FORECAST

PTS

AST

REB

FGM

FGP

FTM

FTP

3PM

BLK

STL


Chris Paul

22.4

12.7

4.1

8.0

47.5%

5.4

83.5%

1.0

0.1

2.1


David West

19.1

2.0

8.4

7.8

45.7%

3.3

84.3%

0.1

1.2

0.9


Peja Stojakovic

14.3

1.4

4.4

4.8

43.2%

2.3

91.2%

2.4

0.2

0.8


Tyson Chandler

9.9

0.9

11.2

4.1

60.2%

1.7

58.2%

0.0

1.5

0.6


Jannero Pargo

7.4

2.2

1.8

2.8

39.5%

1.0

84.1%

0.8

0.1

0.8


Morris Peterson

7.1

0.8

2.8

2.5

42.5%

1.0

74.5%

1.2

0.1

0.7


James Posey

6.9

1.4

4.4

2.2

41.5%

1.2

82.7%

1.3

0.3

1.0


Julian Wright

5.7

1.0

2.9

2.3

51.1%

0.8

65.7%

0.2

0.3

0.8


Rasual Butler

3.1

0.3

0.4

1.2

39.4%

0.2

69.9%

0.5

0.1

0.1


Mike James

3.0

0.7

0.2

1.1

41.2%

0.4

82.1%

0.3

0.0

0.1


Melvin Ely

2.2

0.2

0.5

0.9

44.7%

0.4

61.9%

0.0

0.1

0.0


Hilton Armstrong

2.1

0.2

0.5

0.9

50.3%

0.4

59.1%

0.0

0.1

0.1


NO Benchwarmers

2.3

0.2

0.6

1.0

44.9%

0.2

66.9%

0.1

0.1

0.1