Keep on moving
|
Normally in the playoffs, the team that lost the previous game has to make adjustments. For Game 4 of the NBA Finals, though, I'm not so sure that the Dallas Mavericks need to change a whole lot strategically. After all, for 41½ minutes in Game 3, they played exactly how they wanted to play against the Miami Heat.
The Mavericks pushed the ball in transition, they made life miserable for Shaquille O'Neal by sending waves of bodies and double-teamers at him and they forced a ton of Miami turnovers. Even with Dwyane Wade going nuts – he already had 30 points midway through the fourth quarter – Dallas had a 13-point lead and control of the game.
So if I'm Avery Johnson, I'm reminding my players of two things: First, they played extremely well, and second, they can't expect to do so for only 3½ quarters and still win. Winning a playoff game on the road is very, very difficult. A team has to earn it by playing the whole 48 minutes, making plays down the stretch, getting to the free-throw line and making stops on defense. The Mavericks didn't complete the deal in Game 3, and they paid for it.
Johnson will surely find plenty of faults in his team's play – he is very demanding, after all – and he'll make some minor changes. He'd like Dirk Nowitzki to attack the rim early, rather than settle for long jumpers as he did Tuesday when he started 0-for-6. He wants his team to concentrate on the glass, where it was outrebounded 49-34, and he'd like to keep Wade out of the paint, obviously, although that's easier said than done. Miami scored 52 points in the paint in Game 3, most of them off Wade's penetration. Dallas must do a better job of forcing him to shoot jump shots.
But in reality, the Mavericks had their game plan in place, and it worked well for most of the night. Johnson needs to make sure his team executes it again – this time for the entire game – and doesn't suffer any residual effects from a heartbreaking loss. For a team that has won so many big road games in the playoffs already, it shouldn't be too difficult. The Mavs will be ready.
Miami, on the other hand, has to win Game 4 to really make this series interesting. Despite the Game 3 victory, there are some pressing issues. Can the Heat get any production from their bench? Can they get Shaq going for an entire game against a tough, deep Dallas defense? Can they take care of the ball after 20 turnovers in Game 3? Those are questions Pat Riley and his staff are pondering as they prepare for Thursday, and there are no simple answers.
Shaq started Game 3 quickly, moving well without the ball and aggressively taking it to the rim once he got it. He has to do that for the entire game against a swarming, quick defense. O'Neal was responsible for seven of the Mavericks' 20 turnovers, so he'll have to make quick decisions on the block, either going right to the rim or passing out of the double team. And it's critical for Miami to continue pushing the ball up the floor in order to give its offense more time to work.
As for the bench, it's possible James Posey could play more. Antoine Walker is having a terrible time trying to find someone to guard, and Josh Howard is too quick for him. Posey can give Howard more trouble, and he hit a big fourth-quarter three-pointer during the Heat's comeback, so perhaps his confidence has grown. Ditto for Gary Payton, whose 21-foot jumper with 9.4 seconds to play was the winning hoop. It was only Payton's second basket of the series, but maybe one that will spur him into more production on Thursday.
Generally by Game 4 of a series, the two teams know each other so well that there aren't many adjustments to make. Each club knows exactly what the other one is doing, and it simply becomes a matter of which team outworks and outshoots the other. That will be the case in Game 4. It's a huge game – they all are – but the Heat have clawed their way back into the series. Now they can make things very nerve-wracking for Dallas and its fans.