Fri Apr 11, 2008 1:30 pm EDT
Timing, timing, and timing.
About a year ago this time, I started to put together this column, ranking all the NBA's personnel bosses. And though I still believe the rankings and the words that go along with the rankings to be spot on as far as June of 2007 goes, the whole darn thing has gone topsy-turvy in the months since.
That's not to say I was wrong in my estimation of certain GMs. In fact, though several of the lower-ranked GMs are the top candidates for this year's Executive of the Year Award, I even took in a little heat for giving the once-beleaguered GMs too much credit. The venerable Ken Tremendous of FireJoeMorgan.com told me that I ranked Boston's Danny Ainge too high, and I heard the same thing about Laker boss Mitch Kupchak.
Meanwhile, Chicago's John Paxson (a lofty fifth in that list) now has Bulls fans wondering if he should be allowed to oversee the next rebuilding phase that Chicago will have to endure. And I wrote that thing less than a year ago!
It all comes down to timing, having the right assets, having the flexibility to work with those assets, being able to deal from a position of strength, timing, and also timing. Dig:
In the summer of 2006, Paxson had a cadre of young talent, lottery picks in 2006 and 2007 coming from the New York Knicks (both were tradeable, as Chicago had its own pick in 2006), expiring contracts, and a tradeable (non-BYC) contract in Tyson Chandler to move. He offered just about all of that to Minnesota GM Kevin McHale for Kevin Garnett, and was turned down. McHale thought his team to be one 6-2 shooting guard away from another playoff run, and wasn't ready to dump KG.
In February of 2007, Paxson had the same young talent, the impending lottery pick, a hefty expiring contract (the same size as, say, Kwame Brown's current expiring deal), and he offered just about all of that to Memphis for Pau Gasol. No dice, said Jerry West, who didn't want to leave the cupboard bare as he moved on.
The summer of 2007 and February of 2008 hit, and Paxson has no lottery picks left to deal (that he knew of at the time), no expiring contracts left to offer, and all his sizeable contracts (Kirk Hinrich, Andres Nocioni) are BYC deals, and tough to negotiate with.
Meanwhile, Ainge and Kupchak send similar but crummier (instead of potentially LaMarcus Aldridge and Joakim Noah, you get Gerald Green and Javaris Crittenton!) packages to Minnesota (now ready to deal) and Memphis (now ready to deal) for KG and Gasol, and they'll be fighting over the Executive of the Year trophy as a result.
From the dregs, to the top. And for Paxson, the opposite. Boston and Los Angeles might meet in the Finals, and the Bulls are back in the lottery. Timing.
And it's Danny Ainge's time. Drafting every year without the benefit of a lottery pick (part of that is his fault, as Ainge foolishly parlayed his 2006 pick to Portland for Sebastian Telfair), Ainge put together a stable of young talent; talent that probably should have made the playoffs in 2006-07 had injuries and a thirst for Greg Oden not hit.
On top of that, he grabbed Theo Ratliff, whose massive contract (among the last that Portland handed out during the Jail Blazer era, not that Ratliff was a miscreant of any sort) expires this summer. Using the lottery picked earned from an awful 2006-07 showing, while recognizing that a rebuilding SuperSonics team doesn't need an eight-figure contract being shoveled to a guy on the wrong side of 30, Ainge nabbed Ray Allen.
And he didn't have to give up Ratliff. That was huge. That's the first thing that struck us upon seeing the Seattle/Boston trade details on the wire. That meant he was still in the race for Garnett.
And if Ainge didn't get Garnett, then no worries. It's not an ideal team, but a triptych of Allen, Al Jefferson, and go-to man Paul Pierce could do some damage in the East.
But he did get Garnett. And he didn't have to give up Rajon Rondo, and he didn't have to give up Leon Powe.
(Notice a trend here? Often times, it's who you don't have to give up, because Powe's absence in the details of the Boston/Minnesota trade was the first thing that stood out to me as well, leaving Boston with a modicum of depth up front.)
Add Allen, and Garnett wants to play with you. Add KG, and Sam Cassell, Eddie House, and James Posey want to play with you. That takes you from thin to passable to workable to really, really, deep. And it's just a couple of small choices that lead to an avalanche.
And that avalanche has Boston atop the league. And it will result in Danny Ainge taking in a deserved Executive of the Year Award.
Ball Don't Lie is an NBA blog edited by J.E. Skeets. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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39 Comments
1 - 23 of 39
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Danny Ainge has done THE best job of any GM this season.
In fact ... for this one regular season ... D-Ainge has done the single best job in the History of the NBA.
That's like ... forever.
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Meanwhile, Daryl Morey fleeced the best GM in the sport in Buford and the spurs to get Luis Scola. Traded nothing for Mike James and paid nothing for Steve Francis. And I only put those two guys up as a good move because while they didn't provide much help, they cost little to nothing to get so no harm no foul and they also pushed Rafer Alston to get his head removed from his rear and have a career year. He traded Bonzi Wells (a guy well liked by the team but for all the wrong reasons) and Mike James for a guy that had more in his tank in Bobby Jackson and one less year on his contract than James. He also has worked the free agent market late with flair, adding players that have potential to help, including Mike Harris who has been huge off the bench with energy. Did I mention he stole Carl Landry as well? Or that he got under the cap before the trading deadline was over?
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Seattle and Minnesota had needs, and Ainge came swooping in and got freakin' KG and Ray Allen.
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http://hardwoodparoxysm.blogspot.com/2008/04/why-danny-ainge-is-in-no-way-shape-or.html
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In the context of this season, and the offseason that leads up to it, Ainge did the best job. Were they obvious choices? Did he get KG because the Wolves didn't want Lamar Odom or Shawn Marion's contracts? Yes, and yes. Doesn't matter.
Was Ainge lucky? Yes, and that's why I brought up the timing aspect. McHale could have made a better trade with the Bulls and ended up with Brandon Roy, Luol Deng, and Tyson Chandler. But he screwed up, waited, and Ainge took advantage. And while Ainge has had his screwups, he doesn't give himself a chance to succeed if he doesn't roll the dice with Jeffersona nd Green in the draft.
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But he shouldn't win it, because if we let stupid people succeed, the terrorists win. And by terrorists, I mean Boston fans.
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Mitch has done a great job, but would he have gotten Gasol had it not been for Jerry West's relationship with the Lakers organization? Lakers definitely made the steal of the year, but Ainge, thru his deals, took the Celtics from 24-58 to a 60+ win team. That type of turn around is historic and should be recognized.
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Regardless, when you look at what D-Ainge has done, since this date last season, to put the Celtics in position to (maybe?) win the NBA championship this year, it is quite astounding ...
as the 2006-2007 Celtics finished 24-58 .293 using the following 16 players ...
Tony Allen, Ryan Gomes, Gerald Green, Al Jefferson, Michael Olowokandi, Kendrick Perkins, Paul Pierce, Kevinn Pinkney, Leon Powe, Rajon Rondo, Theo Ratliff, Allan Ray, Brian Scalabrine, Wally Szczerbiak, Sebastian Telfair & Delonte West;
and the 2007-2008 Celtics are now 62-16 .795 (+38 W's) with the following 15-man roster ...
Ray Allen, Tony Allen, P.J. Brown, Sam Cassell, Glen Davis, Kevin Garnett, Eddie House, Kendrick Perkins, Paul Pierce, Scot Pollard, James Posey, Leon Powe, Gabe Pruitt, Rajon Rondo & Brian Scalabrine
which includes 9 NEW PLAYERS (not just K-Garnett & R-Allen) ... but the SAME head coach as last year's team.
In the history of the NBA there has never been an over-haul like this ... that has worked like this with a week to go in the Regular Season.
Never ... EVER.
Case closed.
Give the man HIS award.
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love to all.
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I mean, it's not a secret that if Kevin McHale did this a favor to the Celtics; not only the Chicago offer was way better, but even the Golden State offer (B.Wright, Al Harrington, Monta, picks and money, I think) was better.
I think there's a trend to reward people who, even though has done good things, their major move came because of a dumb move by another GM (Wallace and McHale). I think it'll be better to give this kind of awards to people like Pritchard and Morey, who not only made good teams, but did it through small moves, and manage to build a structure for the franchise for the near future.
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Kupchak went from being an absolute schmo to making the Lakers potentially the best team in the league - and gave away NOTHING to do so.
1 - 23 of 39