Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Mon Jun 22, 2009 9:00 am EDT

The truth about the NBA Draft


I don't know what's going on. 

Exactly, I know, what you want to hear at the tip of nine in the morning on the East coast, from a man who is paid to analyze basketball whilst separating fact from fiction based on years of experience and at least half a brain. A brilliant move on my part. Absolutely the best way to pass myself off as an NBA boffin worth regarding.

It's the truth, though. At least I'm admitting it. And, save for a special, storied few, that's how it goes for most of us. Nobody is going to have any real idea about what is going on with this upcoming NBA Draft until sometime well after midnight on June 26th, when the NBA forces teams to pass through yet another trade deadline.

Until then, we're left with quite a big mess, and little that we can count on.

What's to count on? As mentioned before, very little. And try not to think that through, as we glide from rumor to rumour to pose to feint to floater to tosser to concrete chunk. But, while you're reading, here's a brief snippet of what, nearly-exactly, to expect:

1). The Clippers will likely draft Blake Griffin.
2). Danny Ainge controls all the world's media.
3). Someone from ESPN will force a horrendous Twitter joke on Thursday night.
4). Everyone, no matter how connected, will consistently be wrong, wrong, wrong way more than they're right, right, right should they toss anything out there as absolutely concrete before late afternoon on Thursday.

This is why — and I know how skeevy it looks to go in-house with what I'm calling the gold standard — columns like this need to be read and re-read. Nothing as a faux-given, nothing as a "bank on it, buster!," nothing meant for show. Just a good cross-section, expertly researched, about what people are talking about.

Beyond that, where can one go?

And, must you go somewhere ... well, no. Don't go anywhere. I'm sorry, but you have to sit tight until Friday morning. That's just how it is in this time of year. You're just going to have to be patient, you transaction-starved masses.

Really, as daft as the Minnesota Timberwolves have been over the last two decades, would they really toss Kevin Love(notes) and the 18th pick toward Memphis for the second selection in the Draft? I don't care if Ricky Rubio might be the next Jason Kidd(notes), we do know that Kevin Love is a definite 2009-version of Kevin Love. Right down to the name. Why trade that?

And while we wouldn't be shocked if Danny Ainge makes a personnel move involving one or several of his players built around the researched assumption that this would help improve the team he's in charge of improving from year to year, isn't it at all possible that little mid-June reminders about a player's permanence and overall worth to the Boston Celtics could help the team in the long run?

Ready Ray Allen(notes) for that non-contract extension? Remind Rajon Rondo(notes) that Sherman Douglas (in his current state) could have probably scored 20 a game on Derrick Rose(notes) last spring? Give the impression of trying to anxious Celtic fans when, in fact, brass knows that the team is sort of forced into staying put because of the squad's sheer brilliance? A good problem to have, somehow stuck in a city that's never seen a good thing it couldn't complain about.

The Trail Blazers? Made about 47 Draft-night deals over the last 4.7 years. Worked the phones and Paul Allen's checkbook all the way to the best (statistical) offense in the NBA in 2008-09. Rumored to be after Hedo Turkoglu(notes), for whatever reason (you do know that Hedo would have to face, and face up, Trevor Ariza(notes) four times in the regular season alone?). Desperate to keep face? Hoping to keep the fans involved? Who knows?

Vince Carter(notes)? New Jersey shouldn't have signed him to a massive deal in the first place. Now they want to trade him, possibly, but they kind of want to make the playoffs, but they kind of want to start over, but they sort of want to keep up appearances as they head to Brooklyn sometime in 2019, but they'd also like to trade Vince Carter, but they don't want to trade him.

Sounds like the same wishy-washy Nets team we've become accustomed to, always shooting for that .500 mark. Nothing too far above, or below. Care to validate?

The Bulls? We don't care how good you are, we just care about your Final Four appearances. One? Two? Can you take a charge? Scream real loud? Can you hit a jumper? No? Two out of three ain't bad.

Sam Presti? He's three years older than me. I've done something wrong. I've made a huge mistake. Nothing to do with pertinent Draft rumors, I just felt a like a good bit of Monday morning self-loathing.

Mock drafts? Stop it. Just stop it. Don't try to guess what happens. You don't know what's going to happen. We know you don't, and we don't mind that. Stop acting as if we do mind it. Cut us some slack. Give your readers a little respect.

So here's what I'm promising, for the rest of this nutty, nutty week.

We'll be on this stuff. We'll be ready, ready to pounce, ready to discuss, ready to question, ready to analyze, ready to aid you. Ready to cheer you. Ready to bring you back to earth. Ready to help.

We're not going to take your knowledge for granted, and speak in absolutes. We know that you know better. I live my life in constant fear and dread, knowing that you know better, and that I have to work harder. I'm confident that our work in that area will pay off, this week.

One thing we can tell you, with absolute certainty? You have to have fun with it. There's no point in paying attention to the next four days of nonsense if you can't stave off nature, red in tooth and claw, with a well-earned guffaw or seven. You'd be missing the point if you didn't.

Just like the Grizzlies. Hey-oh!

I do know jokes. Man, do I know the jokes.

digg delicious
more

28 Comments

Post a Comment
  1. Chris K
    1. Posted by Chris K Mon Jun 22, 2009 9:18 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    this article was a waste of time.
    less articles with no point, and more articles on the lakers.
  2. Chris K
    2. Posted by Chris K Mon Jun 22, 2009 9:19 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    jk. good article
  3. ledell
    3. Posted by ledell Mon Jun 22, 2009 10:10 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    A non-rumor topic for you, Kelly: How much are the 2010 free agents affecting this offseason? Shouldn't the teams that AREN'T trying to save for then (Wizards, Rockets, etc) have an advantage now? Buyers market and whatnot? But how does this actually play out? Desperate salary dumps of longer contracts? ...Or is the whole 2010 factor overblown?
    (Or if you want to manufacture some Wizards rumors, I won't complain.)
  4. Anton
    4. Posted by Anton Mon Jun 22, 2009 10:15 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    Excellent article. I assume the Nets will be a Lebron James-suitor come 2010. Either that or get Yao or whoever.
  5. Robert W
    5. Posted by Robert W Mon Jun 22, 2009 10:23 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    Perhaps the Nets should have used all of Carter's money to sign more Rodney Buford's. NO ONE wants to play in New Jersey--the only (healthy) All-Star to ever express a desire to join the Nets was Shareef Abdur-Rahim. That is a fact. It's the worst venue in the NBA with a fan base that keeps shrinking...and was never very good to begin with. So if a genuine star wants to stay, you pay him. Nets overpaid for Jefferson too. It happens.
    Maybe the Nets will move to Newark. Yes, i can imagine an All-Star weekend locker room conversation in the future where free agents discuss how much they really want to play in NEWARK.
  6. mcwelk
    6. Posted by mcwelk Mon Jun 22, 2009 10:24 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    I hope that green flag you're raising represents Ireland.
  7. Diogenes
    7. Posted by Diogenes Mon Jun 22, 2009 11:13 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    Whoa! Just needed to fill some space with nonsense? It's like trying to follow a drunken flea, and makes just about as much sense. If you had a deadline that you couldn't meet, just let it pass, rather than write drivel.
  8. Leff NutZ
    8. Posted by Leff NutZ Mon Jun 22, 2009 11:43 am EDT

    Report Abuse

    If Memphis is up 4 it, why not trade K Love a nd the 18th for the #2?? Can grab Thabeet and still get a PG with the 6th pick!!
  9. Shawn R
    9. Posted by Shawn R Mon Jun 22, 2009 12:39 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I LOVE mock drafts!
  10. G-MAN
    10. Posted by G-MAN Mon Jun 22, 2009 12:49 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Nobody cares about the Lakers...nobody ever did....
  11. Elbert E
    11. Posted by Elbert E Mon Jun 22, 2009 1:25 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Why in the hell did you write this any how. Don't you have anything better to do.
  12. u already know!
    12. Posted by u already know! Mon Jun 22, 2009 1:32 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I am loss here...Does'nt Memphis have Connely at the point? Why draft this guy ? They need a center
  13. MJSF
    13. Posted by MJSF Mon Jun 22, 2009 2:04 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I agree with G-MAN.
  14. pfwem21
    14. Posted by pfwem21 Mon Jun 22, 2009 2:15 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    You've always got to appreciate a great 'Arrested' shoutout...
  15. cap'n dick
    15. Posted by cap'n dick Mon Jun 22, 2009 2:44 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    memphis would ease a lot of backlash with this rubio situation if they made that trade. they add k love to their team who would be like a lottery pick anyway, plus good talent at 18. on the t-wolves side it would speed their rebuilding by a year. thabeet, and derozan, harden, or evans would make for a nice duo. gotta take thabeet with the two because there are options at 6. with baby al, and a combo guard like foye on your roster. those four with a vet like mike miller who all of a sudden wanted to be a triple double type guy last year would give them 10-15 more wins instantly and spawn playoff talk in 2011. theyd forget about k love quick too.
  16. RaiderRonster
    16. Posted by RaiderRonster Mon Jun 22, 2009 3:13 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Gonzaga might just have 3-4 players drafted overall, usually Duke, UNC, UCLA, & UNLV (during their towel sucking years) had that honor.
    Micah Downs appears to be moving up the draft charts, by multiple "experts."
    He is now in the top sixties on most boards. A late second rounder? He had a stong Touranment in his senior season, which carries a lot of weight amongst NBA front office personnel.
    Daye will be a mid 1st round pick, Heyfelt late 1st to middle second round.
    Pargo the strongest point guard in the draft gives him an edge over other mid-tier PG's in the draft, but is considered a late second round at best as well.
  17. Clint P
    17. Posted by Clint P Mon Jun 22, 2009 3:30 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I HATE mock drafts. What's the freakin' point? There's gonna be trades anyways
  18. Adam
    18. Posted by Adam Mon Jun 22, 2009 4:14 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    If Kevin Love is traded to Memphis, then the Gay-Love Connection lives!
  19. yaddy41
    19. Posted by yaddy41 Mon Jun 22, 2009 5:26 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I dont want hedos no thinking butt on our team...he will try to take over the team and take the leadership from b.roy
  20. John ieee.
    20. Posted by John ieee. Mon Jun 22, 2009 5:59 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    nice article. haha. it's a humorous break from some of the uptight articles, trying to anticipate what's gonna happen in the draft.
  21. spodyodde
    21. Posted by spodyodde Mon Jun 22, 2009 6:55 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Sherman Douglas in his current state...that's a gem.
  22. Dan S
    22. Posted by Dan S Mon Jun 22, 2009 8:17 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Articles about the lakers are a waste of time also.
  23. shizam
    23. Posted by shizam Mon Jun 22, 2009 8:43 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    dont be New Jersey haters please
    atleast our economy isnt in the toilet...Memphis, Detroit, a bunch of cities in Cali
    so wt if our fan base is shrinking...we still got a ton of die-hard loyal NJ nets fans.
    I dont want my team to move to sum putrid city across the hudson
  24. GeneA
    24. Posted by GeneA Mon Jun 22, 2009 9:57 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    your sense of humor is horrendous. only you understand it
  25. GeneA
    25. Posted by GeneA Mon Jun 22, 2009 9:57 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    your sense of humor is horrendous. only you understand it

Ball Don't Lie

Add to My Yahoo! RSS

J.E. Skeets

Ball Don't Lie is an NBA blog edited by J.E. Skeets. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

Teams

Customize to follow news and rumors on your favorite teams. [ Sign in ]

Related Photo Gallery

Y! Sports Blogs

Ball Don't Lie Recent Readers