Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Tue May 08, 2007 8:48 am EDT

Matchup problems

Monday's two playoff games were a reminder of just how important matchups are in the NBA playoffs.

Here's the first example: The Chicago Bulls are a perimeter-oriented team that thrives on scoring from its guards, particularly Ben Gordon.  He spent the entire Miami series guarding Jason Williams, who wasn't much of an offensive threat.  Gordon basically rested on defense, then went the other way and had all the energy in the world to explode past the Heat's slower perimeter players.

Fast forward to Detroit, and everything has changed for Gordon.  Defensively, he has to work like crazy no matter who he's guarding -- Chauncey Billups, Richard Hamilton or at times Tayshaun Prince.  Then, when he's trying to score, Gordon has to deal with excellent defenders who are quicker and stronger than the Heat guards.  Basically the whole game has gotten more difficult for Gordon since the Miami series ended.  And because he's the Bulls' leading scorer and an integral part of their offense, Gordon has to play well for his team to win. So far in two games of the series, he hasn't done it.  Gordon has made five of 16 shots over two games and Chicago has been blown out twice.

Example number two:  The Golden State Warriors feasted on Dallas's lack of physical strength in the backcourt in the first round and also got away with playing small because the Mavs had no low-post threat.  Move ahead to Utah, and all of a sudden Golden State is looking at a 210-pound point guard in Deron Williams who can play just as physically as Baron Davis.

And the Utah Jazz also have a terrific low-post man in Carlos Boozer,  who is capable of dominating the  Warriors' small lineup.  The result?  Williams goes for 31 by getting into the paint at will, giving Davis a taste of his own medicine.  And Boozer grabs 10 offensive boards on his way to 20 total rebounds and 17 points.  As explosive and creative as the Warriors were in Game 1, they couldn't pull out the win -- mainly because of Boozer and Williams.

Every team poses different threats to different teams, and sometimes it's the luck of the draw that is the difference between advancing and going home.  Golden State was the worst possible first-round matchup for Dallas.  If the Mavs had played just about anyone else, they would have moved right along.  But one bad draw and they're done.

I guarantee that on Saturday when the Warriors were watching Game 7 of the Houston-Utah series, they were rooting for the Rockets.  Houston would have had some nightmarish problems trying to deal with the Warriors' speed and power on the perimeter.  Utah, on the other hand, not only has Boozer and Williams but also some other versatile, strong defenders in Andrei Kirilenko, Matt Harpring and Derek Fisher.  This isn't a horrible matchup for Golden State, but it's not a great one either.  And it's certainly not one that they'll be able to expose very easily, like in the Dallas series.

As for the Bulls, they look like they're in trouble unless they can regroup in Chicago for Game 3.  But with the strength of their team -- the backcourt -- stifled by the Detroit Pistons' excellent guards, the Bulls' lack of an interior game will be exposed.  The knock on this team always has been that when they don't shoot well or get out in transition, they can't score, because they don't have a low-post threat.  And that's been all too apparent against the Pistons.  Billups has been unflappable, as usual, and when the Bulls can't rattle opposing point guards, they can't force turnovers and get the pace of the game where they like it.  (That's one reason why the Bulls lost three of four games to New Jersey this season; Jason Kidd controlled the action.)

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  1. blinblin777
    1. Posted by blinblin777 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    I'd say you nailed that Steve. It's all about matchups. To win a championship, a team must be able to defeat many styles of play.
  2. seh
    2. Posted by seh Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:17 pm EDT

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    Wouldnt it be great to see Golden State play Pheonix in the conference final? There would be some great matchups in that series.
  3. razzle dazzle
    3. Posted by razzle dazzle Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:05 pm EDT

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    The Warriors will win, Steve.
  4. sam l
    4. Posted by sam l Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:28 pm EDT

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    Steve, you are correct. Ben Gordon needs to manage a way to score.
    But another focal point, should be Luol Deng. The pistons' D, have out done
    two of our top scorers. If either of these two guys can get a rhythm going, the outcome of
    game 3 should be a closer scoring game. I also think the X-factor will be how well Hinrich performs at home,
    as well as Tyrus Thomas. With Tyrus on the floor, there is at least an even physical
    matchup with the Detroit's players, the only question is... will Tyrus mature fast enough?
  5. LukeC
    5. Posted by LukeC Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:57 pm EDT

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    Please tell me there is some way we can avoid a Detroit vs. San Antonio finals. Two very good teams but who wants to watch a handful of games where neither team breaks 90 points?
  6. Andre
    6. Posted by Andre Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    The matchup had nothing to do with it. Utah did what they were suppose to do, win at home. And they almost didnt do that. Even with boozer and williams having good games, they barely won. Look for the warriors to come out firing stronger than ever. Series tied 1 - 1, coming home to a warriors crowd hard to beat.
  7. Azbayar
    7. Posted by Azbayar Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:00 pm EDT

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    I don't believe all the credit should go to Deron and Boozer. In my opinion Kirilenko was their unsung hero. He delivered some very importnant points (if I'm not wrong, 6 consecutive or nearly consecutive points in one strech) in the 3rd quarter that allowed Utah to stay intact. Defensively although he flooped sometimes, in times that mattered he was always there changing directions of shots and looks.
    Everyone expected what Deron and Boozer have produced but Kirilenko rose from the adversity and gave some high quality minutes.
  8. LukeC
    8. Posted by LukeC Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:57 pm EDT

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    Please tell me there is some way we can avoid a Detroit vs. San Antonio finals. Two very good teams but who wants to watch a handful of games where neither team breaks 90 points?
  9. Azbayar
    9. Posted by Azbayar Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:00 pm EDT

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    I don't believe all the credit should go to Deron and Boozer. In my opinion Kirilenko was their unsung hero. He delivered some very importnant points (if I'm not wrong, 6 consecutive or nearly consecutive points in one strech) in the 3rd quarter that allowed Utah to stay intact. Defensively although he flooped sometimes, in times that mattered he was always there changing directions of shots and looks.
    Everyone expected what Deron and Boozer have produced but Kirilenko rose from the adversity and gave some high quality minutes.
  10. Paul Jones
    10. Posted by Paul Jones Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:46 pm EDT

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    This is where the playoffs shift to a different angle..This is round 2...Golden State may had blown away Mavs in the pic but here comes a team who could match and dominate them, The Jazz...Deron is a terrific scorer-defender type of player and Andrei could scare the wits out of J Rich and Stephen Jackson in the perimeter, and Carlos Boozer is a beast inside that could create mismatches against the opposing teams...I see alot of problems w/the Warriors here...Also, the Jazz boasts of 2 top three point specialists in Gordon Giricek and Matt Hapring..These are very hardworking guys no matter what..I see Jazz will make it to round 3..
    In the East, Bulls vs Pistons are a very good match..Big Ben against his former team, C Webb getting the most out of the contract buyot earlier this season, Tayshaun and Chauncey and Rip playing their usual...But the unsung heroes would be guys like Carlos Delfino, Jason Maxiell, etc...They stepped out and delivered performances Bulls cant match..If the Bulls will have to bounce back, Luol Deng needs to shape up and find his game again, like the plays he made that blasted the Heat out...Ben Gordon also needs to step up as an offensive threat..But dont put Gordon to guard Rip, Tayshaun and Chauncey..I think Andres Nocioni or Chris Duhon will be a better choice to guard those pesky Pistons...This series is far from over, its unpredictable...A team may complete the sweep or a team may bounce back and shift the momentum..
  11. Azbayar
    11. Posted by Azbayar Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:00 pm EDT

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    in a sense, boozer had a tripple double: 17 points 10 offensive rebounds and 10 defensive rebounds :)
  12. kyle c
    12. Posted by kyle c Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:55 pm EDT

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    Pistons will win another title. Forget the west and their supposed dominance. Pistons will waltz thru the east, be rested and will stay focused on winning the title. What a lack luster title this will become as usual for Dee Troit basketball.
    Add to this a NHL title a possible MLB title. Detroit, as hated as they are by the rest of country, could end up being the Florida Gators of pro sports. Unfortunately, no chance with the Lions, ever.
  13. KFC s
    13. Posted by KFC s Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:12 pm EDT

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    Steve,
    Baron Davis wasn't fully healthy with an off game by SJax at the delta center. Now the Utah Jazz completly outrebounded and outhustled the Warriors last night but the game was decided by two SJax's misses. Well, I'm not a "NBA expert' like you but that just shows how much the Warriors can do and why they can win the series.
  14. Lew Ghost
    14. Posted by Lew Ghost Thu Sep 03, 2009 6:50 pm EDT

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    GSW all the way!!!!!!!
  15. kyle c
    15. Posted by kyle c Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:55 pm EDT

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    Icc_cleaners,
    Detroit has the 3rd highest average in the playoffs at 98.5; same as the supposed high powered Mavs. Spurs are just behind at 97.5. Check your stats before you make such an uninformed statement. Detroit can score with the best of them and can D up as well. Unfortunately for you, an SA Detroit series seems to be on the menu. Enjoy.
  16. WiseGuy
    16. Posted by WiseGuy Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:19 pm EDT

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    Warriors in five.
  17. Courtizone
    17. Posted by Courtizone Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:30 pm EDT

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    It's going to be Spurs Pistons in the finals...again.
  18. blinblin777
    18. Posted by blinblin777 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    If the Bulls guards remain handcuffed by the Pistons stellar defense, then the Pistons will sweep the Bulls. The Pistons realize that it is the guards that carry the Bulls and all they have to do is keep them ineffective. Prediction: Pistons in 4
  19. Vittal S
    19. Posted by Vittal S Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:36 pm EDT

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    Warriors will. After Don Nelson does not have a player on Utah whose game he knows in-out, like how he knew Nowitzki's. Warriors will not get it past Jazz, if they do they will be feasted by spurs/suns....
  20. Bogus M
    20. Posted by Bogus M Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:18 pm EDT

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    Jazz has a better low post guy Carlos, who is nothing better than Mavs can offer. For GW to win, they need to play faster than they did last night. BTW, clearly SJax's emotion was taken a hit with all the no-calls of Jazz hustle against him. GW will win this series.
  21. TiFFNiEBEAR~*
    21. Posted by TiFFNiEBEAR~* Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:55 pm EDT

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    I definitely agree with you about the match-up advantages each winning team had over its respective opponent in last night's games (and in the series between GSW and DAL--though I really think the psychological advantage the Warriors had should not be discounted or underestimated), but at the same time, Game 1 went down to the final seconds! Deron Williams posed a problem mainly because Baron Davis hasn't fully recovered and despite Boozer's double-dime rebounds, the Warriors were still able to limit him to 17 points. The pace of the game totally favored the Warriors and I think it's safe to say that had each ballclub played like that at the Oracle Arena, the Warriors would have won decisively. Game 2 is going to show just how resilient Golden State really is.
    Also, I think the Pistons are going to sweep this series as well.
    So while the Pistons are a much better team than the Bulls (I wouldn't be surprised if Detroit won the series in 5 games), the Warriors, on the other hand, have a great chance against the Jazz (though I agree with you, their chances would have been better against a slower team like the Rockets). The pace of Game 1 was totally in the Warriors' favor
  22. Edward R
    22. Posted by Edward R Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:18 pm EDT

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    Steve is an excellent analyst. I am a HUGE Bulls fan, and after Miami, I was thinking "Who needs a low-post scorer". Well this is why . . . I am glad the Bulls didn't dangle Luol Deng, but Gordon is expendable, especially as Thabo develops.
  23. Morgan R
    23. Posted by Morgan R Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:04 pm EDT

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    While the Bulls Pistons seems like it won't be very competitive, both Warriors-Jazz and Suns-Spurs were tough, physical games decided by five points or less in the final minutes. It's a little premature to write off either one as done. They'll both be long and hard-fought, and while who knows what will happen between GS and Utah, I just can't see Nash and the Suns letting this opportunity slip away. Suns in six.
  24. Drew
    24. Posted by Drew Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:44 pm EDT

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    AK rose from adversity? Have we not forgotten that this was an All Star player just a few years ago that hasnt been able to stay healthy? He should be avg 15/10/5/3, not the puny numbers he has been pulling down.
    Boozer and Williams are excellent matchups against GS, and I think it gets even better when they get Fisher back to matchup against JRich. I think GS chances come down to how well SJax can play against AK. If he can get to the hole and put him in foul trouble then I think GS has a good chance. Davis, Jrich, Boozer and Williams are pretty much going to cancel each other out.
    I don't understand why all the Bulls people are claiming that they don't match up well with Detroit. Have we forgotten that you took 3 of 4 in the regular season? I think it's just that the Bulls havent taken into account that this is a different Piston's team come playoff time. They rebound better, their bench steps up, and their guards are unbeatable. I think the only team that has a chance to beat Detroit in the playoffs is NJ because of their experience and Kidd.
  25. Steve R
    25. Posted by Steve R Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:43 pm EDT

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    Jazz fans you must feel really good after squeaking that game out. Here's the deal, as long as you don't lose at home you should win the series. Problem is, if you slip up at all in Game 2 or 5 you won't see a Game 7. Because I can guarantee, you won't be within single digits in Oakland. Perimeter guys like Okur and Williams will find that it's much more difficult scoring on the road from the outside than it is at home. Bottom line is, the Warriors really didn't play very well at all. Lots of careless turnovers, it took the first 6 minutes to finally get their attention, and during the 3rd quarter they had a couple of knockout blow 3 attempts that wouldn't fall. All in all it still came down to SJax 3 attempt that was off.
    Look for Baron to use the pick and roll more in the next few games, he's most effective gaining momentum towards the basket than he is on the post. Don't fret W's fans, Warriors in 6

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