Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:20 pm EDT

Jason Kidd comes back to Dallas


The Mavericks retained Jason Kidd
. They also might pull in Marcin Gortat(notes). They also might come close to 50 wins this year, if 31-year old Dirk Nowitzki(notes) holds serve, Kidd doesn't drop off too much at age 36, and Josh Howard(notes) stays on the court and plays as if he's in his prime.

Apologies for the dour assessment, but this is what happens when you pay through the roof to keep a 50-win team together. A team that seemed to run (or, walk) to those 50 wins by taking advantage of a primo coaching effort from Rick Carlisle, alongside a turnback year from Kidd.

Yes, the 2009-10 Mavs could very easily fall off the face of the earth. They could fall into the lottery. They could leave themselves prone to be mocked.

And it might not matter.

Because this team has loads of cap flexibility, starting next summer. Starting this summer, actually. Heaps of cap flexibility. Room to move. Beaucoup de options.

If rumors are true and Kidd signed a three-year deal in the $25 million range, then he's overpaid. No way around it. But the team also has Erick Dampier(notes) turning in with an unguaranteed deal worth about $13 million for 2010-11, a contract that figures to be worth its weight in gold on the trading market. Same for Josh Howard, who has a team option for a little under $12 million for 2010-11. Those are huge, huge chips.

Chips bigger than any combination of unguaranteed deals we saw shift hands during this offseason, and this offseason saw guys like Richard Jefferson(notes) and Shaquille O'Neal(notes) switch teams for the pittance of unguaranteed deals and expiring contracts.

It doesn't end there, either. If the Mavs pick on Jerry Stackhouse's(notes) option, he then has an expiring deal worth over $7 million. Jason Terry(notes) is coming off a sublime season, and if you assume that no team (Mavericks or otherwise) will guarantee the last year of his deal at $10.7 million during 2011-12, then you can more or less consider this guy on an expiring contract to play with during 2010-11.

Bottom line, even with Kidd coming back at a price that doesn't suit his talents? The Mavericks can ship out something like $39 million worth of expiring deals between now and February.

Or, the team can just hold serve, go for those 50 wins again (go get ‘em, tigers!), and become major players on perhaps the most storied offseason for free agents in NBA history. As it stands right now, if the team declines all options, they'll have just about $50 million committed in salary to Nowitzki, Kidd, Terry, Marcin Gortat at the MLE, and Matt Carroll(notes).

This works. And though Kidd and Dirk might be on the downside of a pair of fabulous careers, the team has a smart owner who is willing to pay the luxury tax, a fantastic coach, and loads of options. It wants to win, and it'll pay to win. A dangerous combination, in any economy. 

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175 Comments

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  1. Ivonne
    1. Posted by Ivonne Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:31 pm EDT

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    Who cares? he's old he sucks, and have you watched him lately, he turns the ball over entirely to much. oh did i mention he still beats women moran!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  2. thecool02
    2. Posted by thecool02 Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:32 pm EDT

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    Mavs!
  3. The Calmer
    3. Posted by The Calmer Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:36 pm EDT

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    The Mavs are not going anywhere. Jason Kidd used to be amazing, but he as aged. Yes, he is still a triple-double machine, but what good is it if your team won't get past the first round. The Mavs should be much better than their record shows.
  4. Ron Burgundy
    4. Posted by Ron Burgundy Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:40 pm EDT

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    ivonne, did you even read the piece. It's shocking how many people see the title of a blog-skim through the piece and just pop off about what they perceive the author is trying to say. Accuracy be damned. Don't be such a "moran".
  5. Gassy Garry
    5. Posted by Gassy Garry Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:43 pm EDT

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    What a waste of money!! Another wasted season by the Mavs. It all started when they traded for Jason Kidd & then they fired Avery Johnson. Mark Cuban SUCKS as a GM!!!!!!!!!!!
  6. Gassy Garry
    6. Posted by Gassy Garry Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:45 pm EDT

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    what is a "moran"?
  7. KFD07
    7. Posted by KFD07 Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:55 pm EDT

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    Gotta love the Mavs and Mark Cuban... a perfect example that money can't buy everything!
  8. BeauS
    8. Posted by BeauS Mon Jul 06, 2009 12:58 pm EDT

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    First off, Mark Cuban is not the GM. Second, did you read this article? The Mavs are set up to win 50 games this year and be one of the best options for the 2010 free agent market. That sounds like good management to me.
  9. dean
    9. Posted by dean Mon Jul 06, 2009 1:12 pm EDT

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    besides the beatin' women part which i don't agree with i hate it when somebody says a pro athelete in any sport sucks my reason is this there in and ur not so who sucks at what dumbass.
  10. Ron Burgundy
    10. Posted by Ron Burgundy Mon Jul 06, 2009 1:13 pm EDT

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    gassy gary, ask ivonne. Apparently the author of this piece is a "moran".
  11. NC HaMMar
    11. Posted by NC HaMMar Mon Jul 06, 2009 1:19 pm EDT

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    Wow. Matt Carrol has a steady job. For the Mavs nonetheless. Amazing.
  12. JM
    12. Posted by JM Mon Jul 06, 2009 2:37 pm EDT

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    WOW, so what if they free up tons of money for next summer, who is going to want to play with an over paid fossil at the point?
  13. MAX_IN_MISSOURI
    13. Posted by MAX_IN_MISSOURI Mon Jul 06, 2009 2:49 pm EDT

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    Mark Cuban is not the GM...but he may as well be
  14. ken
    14. Posted by ken Mon Jul 06, 2009 2:56 pm EDT

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    he is not just overpaid, he is a liability to the team. can't run, can't make perimeter shots, can't penetrates, but passing the ball only, he is so predictable that's why he made so many turnovers.
  15. Joseph R
    15. Posted by Joseph R Mon Jul 06, 2009 2:58 pm EDT

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    Lebron wants to play with kidd. He always has, he berated Cavs management for not getting him. Kobe wanted LA to trade Bynum for him. JM have you ever watched basketball? Apparently you forgot how much other stars in the League want to play with him.
  16. Jose_3082
    16. Posted by Jose_3082 Mon Jul 06, 2009 3:07 pm EDT

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    The mavs will be a lottery team and will never have a championship with dirk nowinsky around
  17. Travis
    17. Posted by Travis Mon Jul 06, 2009 3:10 pm EDT

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    Which is to say: the Mavs will not make a run at a title this year, but hey, the team is pretty valuable. I love seeing Kidd get worked by almost any PG in the league.
  18. QuAzY
    18. Posted by QuAzY Mon Jul 06, 2009 3:17 pm EDT

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    I guess I was wrong that Lebron will go the NY next year ... since Kidd didn't sign there .... I can see it now pick n roll w/ Gortat nice!
  19. no name please
    19. Posted by no name please Mon Jul 06, 2009 3:29 pm EDT

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    now when mo ran to the sto he was stopped at the do because that lady was a ... kind woman
    jason kidd is still worth 25 mil if hedo is worth 55 or so, ben gordon is a mo ran too for leaving chicago, but mo is in cleveland with lebro, ya kno
  20. Hoops M
    20. Posted by Hoops M Mon Jul 06, 2009 3:47 pm EDT

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    #14: "can't run, can't make perimeter shots, can't penetrates, but passing the ball only, he is so predictable that's why he made so many turnovers." You might check the stats before you rip someone. Kidd averaged 2.4 TO per game -- fewer than pretty much every other top point guard except for Billups. Kidd also shot over 40% from 3-point range, the best percentage on a team loaded with shooters.
  21. michael
    21. Posted by michael Mon Jul 06, 2009 4:01 pm EDT

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    I think Dallas management is idiot. Jason Kidd is too olds, and he is suck. There are too many outstanding point Guard and young in the League, and why don't they do the homework instead of resign Kidd. Idiot ...Idiot ... Idiot management.
  22. kmacow.rm
    22. Posted by kmacow.rm Mon Jul 06, 2009 4:06 pm EDT

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    Can someone please translate what #19 is saying?
  23. Joe S
    23. Posted by Joe S Mon Jul 06, 2009 4:06 pm EDT

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    this was a good decision since clearly their goal is to lose as much money as possible. jason kidd is good but not worth this much money
  24. Juan
    24. Posted by Juan Mon Jul 06, 2009 4:19 pm EDT

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    Look out here comes Dallas, looks like they won't be rebuilding anytime soon.

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