Mon Mar 17, 2008 2:10 pm EDT
With less than five weeks of the season left, the difference between the conference leading Rockets and the No. 9 Nuggets is just six games. No playoff spots have been clinched; anyone could still play anyone. So, we asked a few of the best team bloggers around: If the playoffs started tomorrow, which opponent would you most (and least) want to see in the first round? Here are their answers.
The Dream Shake: As I write this, the Rockets are a solid hour into
enjoying their most recent and satisfying victory in a 22 game winning
streak. And we beat the team that was tied with us for the #1 overall
spot in the West. It felt good to beat Kobe. In the playoffs, however,
it will feel much better to put a hurtin' on the Utah Jazz. I hate the
Utah Jazz. I hate the Utah Jazz more than Eric Cartman hates hippies.
Game 7 last year was an abomination. T-Mac even cried afterwards. The
Houston Rockets lost a game 7 at home for the first time. And it
sucked. This year I want to make Kirilenko cry. Okay, make him cry
again.
Utah has nearly the same team as last year ... minus Derek Fisher and
plus Ashton Korver. The Rockets added Bobby Jackson and "Luis Landry".
The Scola/Landry combination alone atones for the one major weakness we
had last year -- production from the power forward position. This year
it's a position of strength. And if/when Tracy eliminates Utah with Yao
there cheering him on ... I can't think of anything sweeter other than
winning it all.
Speaking as an NBA fan, is there anyone in the West 1-thru-9, that any
other team actually wants to face? This year is the single most
impressive Western Conference in NBA history. However, as a Texan, I do
not want to face off against either of the two other Texas teams. I
wholeheartedly believe the Rockets can handle the Mavericks and the
Spurs, but I simply do not want to deal with the fans of the other
teams in my arena. While we are an expansive state, there is a large
amount of movement between the cities and, in the Spurs case, an
excessive supply of bandwagon fans. The fans living in the other team's
cities, and those that travel with the team, can be an intolerable
bunch, win or lose, and frankly I've tired of dealing with it. I also
have an insatiable need to insulate drunken fans (yes, Rockets fans
too) from turning a sporting event into a pissing contest. The most
elementary way for me to do that is to avoid San Antonio and Dallas;
though I do truly enjoy handing out beat downs to both Southwest
Division foes.
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Forum Blue and Gold: The "bring it on" team is the Phoenix Suns. There is not much fear of them anymore because, despite the trade for Shaq, this is not a good defensive team. They are simply going to try to outscore you, and that is not the way you win a title. Shaq gives them a bigger presence in the paint but at this point in his career his rotations are slow, and if you have a center who can hit the 18-foot jumper (hello Pau Gasol) you can pull Shaq away from the rim and make him far less effective. But the real defensive problem for them is on the wing -- without Marion Raja Bell is the only decent perimeter defender they have. Think about it if they are playing the Lakers -- Bell may slow Kobe (somewhat) but who then tries to cover Odom? You can pick and roll them to death if you have a good PG -- Nash ad Shaq can be exposed. After the last couple of years, Lakers fans really would like another shot at the Suns, this season (when healthy) the Lakers really have the Suns number. And a lot of other teams do to.
Who would the Lakers like to avoid? The San Antonio Spurs. This is not only a team that is the defending champions but is a tough match up -- a point guard who can get into the lane and score or pass (something the Lakers struggle with), another wing payer with all-world skills and a center (no way Duncan is a forward, don’t care what you say) who can play inside and out. Those stars are surrounded by smart, veteran role players who play within themselves. The Spurs are committed on the defensive end and are efficient on offense. They can beat you in a number of different styles. They may be getting old, but if you think they are not the team to beat in the West you are kidding yourself.
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Bright Side of the Sun: A week ago, I would probably have picked the Yao-less Rockets hands down as the lesser of seven evils (OK, I did do that). But then there's that whole 22-game winning streak thing, and the fact the Suns have yet to face the Rockets since trading Shawn Marion for Shaq. There are no "cupcakes" in the West this season. So, in light of this, I think you can make an argument for just about any team being the preferred match-up for one crazy reason or the other (the Spurs would be the most satisfying, the Warriors would be the most entertaining, the Mavericks would be the best grudge match with the Nash-Cuban angle, etc.)
All that said -- and with full knowledge I may look like a fool a week from now -- I'm sticking with my pick for the Rockets. Even with the acquisition of Shaq, and the breakout of Amare Stoudemire, the Suns still rely so much on Steve Nash, that I'm partial to match-ups that favor the Suns at the point guard spot. Also, without Yao, the Suns should rule the paint, and Raja Bell should be able to pester Tracy McGrady. Here's hoping I didn't just put the mother of all jinxes on my team when they face the Rockets this coming Saturday.
As for who I'd least like to see? The Lakers. Forget about the fact they're a popular pick to win it all, and that they mostly "owned" the Suns in the regular season. Starting the playoffs against the same team three seasons in a row is simply too monotonous.
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Pounding the Rock: The question of who the Spurs most want to see in the playoffs is an easy one to answer: whichever team employs the dead, rotting corpse of Robert Horry. Since one cannot play themselves in the playoffs (though Phil Jackson will undoubtedly try to “zenvince” his Lakers that they are, in fact, battling only themselves and those who would fill them with trans-fat and non-free-range chicken), playing against Robert Horry's collective detritus would imply he's no longer part of the Spurs' geriatric wing. Yes, fine, ok, he's going to hit a big shot in the playoffs. He's also going to miss dozen of wide open looks and generally muck up the offense. Offensively speaking, the Spurs are 8.9 points worse per 100 possessions when Horry's on the court compared to when he's sitting. You cannot nostalgia that away.
If forced to select a more realistic, the obvious answer is Golden State. They generally abstain from defense and each of the Spurs big three creates significant match-up problems for them. The Spurs, assuming their rickety joints are properly lubed before the game (which they should given the extended playoff schedule), are quite effective at slowing down the fast break. Not to mention Golden State, namely Baron Davis and Stephen Jackson, can easily be convinced to hoist many a horrible jumper.
Who would we least like to face? The Lakers would be the biggest nemesis. Both Gasol and Odom have been pains in our side in the past. Bowen's been generally successful in slowing down Kobe (even outscoring him on a couple of occasions), but he's never gotten into his head. With Bynum, Pau and Turiaf they have three different types of defenders to throw at Duncan.
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Pickaxe and Roll:
The question of what team would be the best match-up in the playoffs
for the Nuggets is a difficult one seeing as how my number one choice,
Seattle, has been mathematically eliminated for a while. But going
under the dangerous assumption Denver will end up making it, the team I
would prefer them to play would be New Orleans. First of all, the
Nuggets do match up pretty well with the Hornets. Marcus Camby and
Tyson Chandler are very similar players. Kenyon Martin has been playing
better and better since the All-Star break and he matches up well with
David West and no one on the Hornets can handle Carmelo Anthony or
Allen Iverson. Of course Chris Paul is no picnic to try to defend, but
Denver has shown that they can bottle him up for short stretches this
season.
The other reason to hope for a match-up against the
Hornets would be their lack of playoff experience. Teams typically have
to pay their dues before they advance in the NBA playoffs (Golden State
had not been there as a team, but Baron Davis, Stephen Jackson and Al
Harrington had all been on playoff winners), and New Orleans has a
gaggle of players who have little or no playoff experience. How the
Hornets will handle the added pressure is an unknown.
The list
of teams the Nuggets do not want to see in the playoffs is eight teams
long. They have not won a season series against any of the playoff
teams in the West.
It is difficult to imagine a scenario at this
point where Denver will advance out of the first round. That being
said, the only playoff team the Nuggets have not defeated this season
is the Lakers. Los Angeles has handed Denver two of their most
embarrassing losses of the season to date and Pau Gasol was not yet in
the equation for any of the three meetings.
Los Angeles is such
a great passing team that it is only a matter of time before the pick
Denver's lackadaisical defense to pieces. Denver has no one who can
physically match-up with Kobe aside from J.R. Smith and he is, to be
kind, a work in progress on the defensive end of the court. If Denver
makes the playoffs and they end up sharing a bracket box with the
Lakers, I might not even bother to tune in.
(Note: I'll post the Jazz, Hornets, Mavericks and Warriors bloggers' opinions later this week.)
Ball Don't Lie is an NBA blog edited by J.E. Skeets. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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109 Comments
1 - 24 of 109
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I'd love to see Hornets vs. Utah. Two of the best point guards in the league battle it out.
The Suns would not do well with the Spurs because the Spurs are defensively one of the best in the west. And scoring against them sans defense isn't going to work. Suns would do better with the Warriors - have a shootout. Amare is better offensively but where's the defense?
As a Dallas fan (even after Kidd), I don't want to see Lakers against Dallas, especially with Bynum, Gasol (being healthy, that is) and Odom. That'd be a costly reminder to Dallas for trading Diop. Be better the Lakers vs. Nuggets but it's hard to believe the Nuggets will make it b/c GS have not slowed down. Dallas vs. Houston or Hornets.
The team to beat is still the Spurs.
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I truly believe that the Jazz would beat the Warriors 99 times out of 100 in a 7 game series, with or without home court advantage. So, yea, we really do want to face the Warriors. And we really don't want to face the Spurs. Everyone else is somewhere in the middle.
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San Antonio........Want Houston, Hate Dallas
Lakers.......Want Phoenix, Hate San Antonio
New Orleans.......Want Phoenix, Hate prety much everyone else
Phoenix.......Want New Orleans, Hate Everyone else
Dallas......Want New Orleans, Hate Lakers
Houston......Want Golden State, Hate Utah
Utah......Want Houston, Hate Dallas
Golden State......Want Anyone, Hate Houston/San Antonio
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Dallas does not want New Orleans because Dallas will fail to guard Chris Paul. Maybe if they had Harris still but Kidd cannot match with his quickness and Terry can't match his strength, remember Baron taking apart the Mavs last year.
Also Houston may have wanted to face GS when they had Yao but a Yaoless Rocket team will not be able run with GS.
Utah wants GS more than any other team. San Antonio i think would want Utah the most and would pretty fear most other team even GS because GS has beaten twice this season already but we all know that the Spurs are a different team in the playoffs.
Lastly GS would most want to play Houston, Phoenix, and Dallas because Nelson thrives on match-up problems which GS has against these three teams, and GS would hate to see Utah, LAL, and SA because they have all have strong big men, Boozer, Bynum and gasol, and duncan respectively.
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Utah is every team's worst nightmare...so many weapons so many angles,, awesome bench..Sloan hard nosed b-ball. I LOVE them and I am not even from Utah...just love the old school the way B-ball should be played...no babies..no kobi egos..just play or your sitting...gotta love that!
GO JAZZ...
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jazz got their numbers which i hate to say cause im a warrior fan!
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1 - 24 of 109