Ball Don't Lie - NBA

This post was originally a lot longer, but I've decided to lay off the knee-jerk reactions following one game featuring a favored-but-hastily-arranged basketball team until later. Like, say, after Sunday's opening round Olympic matchup with China. 

The personnel is better, and you can tell that coach Mike Krzyzewski actually deigned to look at scouting reports this time around (unlike the embarrassment that was the 2006 World Championships), but Team USA is still suffering from the same issues that plagued the outfit during losses in 2002, 2004, and 2006. In the order of your choosing, they remain:

1. Poor half-court execution.

1. Poor help-side defense.

1. The overall shoddiness you'd expect from what amounts to a traveling team, despite their best efforts.

This team (and I'm looking at you, Carmelo) just turns its head too much. These guys aren't used to watching for back-picks and defending cuts to the front of the hoop. Back-door screens still kill Team USA, and though the men still have the athleticism to recover and sometimes make up for it, Coach K's crew is still getting beat way too much by teams using Team USA's pressure against itself.

That pressure seems to be a rallying point, both for Coach K, and legions of observers who still think the US can pressure non-stop and bully toward the gold medal. The team racks up oodles of steals, but once those turnovers dry up, this is still a limited defensive outfit.

And it's a limited, three-point happy, offensive outfit in the half court. The team continues to make decisions that were depressing not as an American watching his country being represented overseas, but as a basketball fan in general. A long fadeaway jumper is the easiest shot in the world (and we mean that, "in the world," at this stage) to get, and there's a reason why you're usually open when you take it. Because guys like Carmelo Anthony, Kobe Bryant, and LeBron James can make one out of every three, though, they think the next one is going in. And that kills an offense.

But that's enough of the dour take. Team USA still kept the Aussies at bay for most of the contest, even when it was a two or three-possession difference, and it still can rout the rest of the world even playing like the Denver Nuggets (going for steals, running, scoring with either dunks or bombs).

The Australian team played a tremendous game, a few pointless fouls put them behind the eight ball every so often, but it was a spirited run without all-purpose big man Andrew Bogut in the middle. Chris Anstey worked a solid offensive game, while the US had no answer for waterbug guard Patrick Mills at times.

During the BDL Live Blog, one reader warned us against hyping Mills up too much, noting that Carlos Arroyo also had his way with the Team USA defense during the 2004 Olympics. Fair point, but Mills is going to turn 20 next week, and Arroyo was a 25 year-old pro in 2004. And Mills did his damage against Chris Paul at times, a far better perimeter defender than anything the 2004 team had to offer.

On the other side of the ball, Team USA seemed to be at its best in the half-court when Dwyane Wade was working the isolation game on the left elbow-extended. If Coach K can field the right group to provide the right spacing (hint: no 35 year-old point guards), then this could be a very viable option even in an international game that seems to swallow up one-on-one play. USA's options are that good.

This is still the overwhelming favorite, but the first few games have eerily reminded of 2006, and I was hoping for a little better at this point. The team has a few days of practice and an actual medal round to erase all doubt, though, and you'd be a fool not to expect that things can change for the better.

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  1. Fran T
    1. Posted by Fran T Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:11 pm EDT

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    nothing's changed. they are going to lose. they aren't a team but a bunch of great players. their opponents grew up playing with each other and have the chemistry going for them. it's a team game and you can't get teamwork clicking in the short time they have.
    I'll root for them strong, and it should be fun to watch, but the odds are somebody will knock them off.
  2. chaoz_golem
    2. Posted by chaoz_golem Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:21 pm EDT

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    How many times can I say this?
    Way. Too. Slap-happy.
    They won't get away with that against Spain.
    I'm very surprised how being together 4 years, there is no REAL offense. When you watch this team it's like they're playing playground ball. They are good enough to pull that off. But remember the bracket system makes it single elimination after qualifying, so one bad night can doom the US.
    I really do hope they run a better offense with pick and rolls, and with the amount of great passing they have, they should have a LOT more backdoor cuts and off-ball movement, instead of players parking themselves at the three point line. if you watch the turkey game especially, the only time there is a cut is when someone is already driving towards the basket, for the simple "im double ill pass to you whose right next to me" dunk.
    Hopefully they can win on talent alone, and the smart money says they can, but the Team itself shouldn't bank on just talent itself.
  3. Jaceman
    3. Posted by Jaceman Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:40 pm EDT

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    They need to have more legit man defense once their trapping doesn't work. Too much roaming.
  4. Paul
    4. Posted by Paul Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:05 pm EDT

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    GOD IS GAEL. PATRICK MILLS IS A GAEL...... " while the US had no answer for waterbug guard Patrick Mills at times." Patrick Mills is only 19 years old and he has great future ahead of him. Watch out NBA he's the next Steve Nash from the WCC.
  5. tupark82
    5. Posted by tupark82 Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:23 pm EDT

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    it's not just talent. w/ exception to guys like melo and howard, these are guys with the highest basketball IQ. They will make the right decisions when the time comes and so many of them can be clutch if the game is close that i'm really not worried about this team at all. i say, let chris paul start and handle the ball down stretch.
  6. maurice b
    6. Posted by maurice b Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:12 pm EDT

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    some of these guys writing these blogs need to find a new occupation the olympics haven't started and there already giving up the USA will come back with the gold no matter if they win by 30 or by 1 a win is a win if anybody thinks differently put your money where your mouth is or roll with the USA
  7. Butt Pirate
    7. Posted by Butt Pirate Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:03 pm EDT

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    Wait...Kelly Dwyer is a dude?
  8. Phi D
    8. Posted by Phi D Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:09 pm EDT

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    If they don't win a gold history will look on them as a bunch of good players and not great players no matter how many nba champion some of them might win. IF they dont' win, pple will look at them as good players but none of them will ever be consider top 10 players of all time no matter how good they do in the NBA.
  9. tozour
    9. Posted by tozour Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:18 pm EDT

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    USA team took the night off mentally. They are looking forward to the real thing. Quick point guards always breakdown defenses...that's their job. The quicker the better.
    I thought it was interesting that Aussies tried to tangle with the USA squad. Too much Rugby.
    USA is in trouble because the single elimination, shortened game, continous clock, short 3 line all work against thier strengths. The olympics is much more like the NCAA tournament. The strongest teams fall to the cinderellas all the time....
  10. B
    10. Posted by B Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:02 pm EDT

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    Until the US team realizes that other countries CAN play this game, they will lose. And, they will be booed into a loss if there are any close games. Not to mention all these countries have at least one player who can shoot lights out at any given time. Greece all the way baby.
  11. Mister Sparkle
    11. Posted by Mister Sparkle Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:18 pm EDT

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    First of all Kobe will make all the difference in the world.
    Second of all, they have two elite point guards.
    I don't see this team losing.
  12. New Old Boys
    12. Posted by New Old Boys Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:41 pm EDT

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    usa is a strong contender for a bronze medal- excellent for a street ball team
  13. erici
    13. Posted by erici Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:03 pm EDT

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    Fran T this team has played together for years, and they have been training silently for almost 2 years, They will win the GOLD...PRINT IT
  14. DennardC
    14. Posted by DennardC Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:46 pm EDT

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    I didn't see the game, but this team isn't going to win the gold. The defense isn't solid enough. A team like Spain will overcome this deficiency.
  15. irish
    15. Posted by irish Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:25 pm EDT

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    i say they need to add stephen curry from davidson. this will solve their horrid 3-point shooting.
  16. John L
    16. Posted by John L Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:26 pm EDT

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    Predictions:
    1) The US will win gold, and won't lose any games.
    2) The closest games will be with Spain, or Argentina, one of which will face them in the Gold Medal game.
    3) Their closest win will be a margin of 7 points during the medal rounds.
    4) Their average winning margin during the tournament will be 22 points.
    Why: fantastic talent, good attitude and smart players, amazing coaching staff (K and Nate especially)
  17. Paul
    17. Posted by Paul Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:05 pm EDT

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    Patrick Patty Mills rule!!!!
  18. talkingsuit
    18. Posted by talkingsuit Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:54 pm EDT

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    I agree with maurice, but the three point shot can cause an improbable upset. In my opinion, Kobe needs to get into the mindset of a three point shooter and only take shots off of two feet, cut out those dives/drives to the bucket for this tournament..
  19. mcwelk
    19. Posted by mcwelk Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:14 pm EDT

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    Wait … Chris Paul is a good perimeter defender?
  20. Ice
    20. Posted by Ice Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:25 pm EDT

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    "usa is a strong contender for a bronze medal- excellent for a street ball team"
    wow your retarded :]
  21. david_cubero75
    21. Posted by david_cubero75 Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:38 pm EDT

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    In an under-100 points game U.S.A. has nothing to do against Spain or even Argentina. USA = Five excellent players on court but only a good team , SPAIN = five good players on court, but an excellent team. That's the main difference. Like Pau says in the last spot, it's good that your country admires you, but it's better the world admires your country. It's our sport golden age. Time to put Spain on the map. With a great respect...a proud spanish
  22. MichaelR
    22. Posted by MichaelR Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:35 pm EDT

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    If they continue to play like the all-star team and just show off, they will lose again. Skill and determination will eventually beat flash.
  23. New Old Boys
    23. Posted by New Old Boys Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:41 pm EDT

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    Poor Ice. Dont cry little boy.
  24. C
    24. Posted by C Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:37 pm EDT

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    Why don't they play some P&R themselves? Why can't they try to make these guys react? The other teams pack the lane ( Apparently there is no three second voilation in Internation ball) and just wait, why not run some plays, Pick and Pop, Pick and Roll anything to get the other team out of their defensive sets. The Russians refused to be run on and all off a sudden USA has no offense? This is crazy, don't they have any offensive sets at all? Or maybe Coach K is just hiding all the good stuff for later.
  25. Billy K
    25. Posted by Billy K Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:08 pm EDT

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    yea..team USA hasn't played like a team together yet...too much individual shows. They need to lock down the starting line up first, then sub out the player when they needs. I hope they will not be too cocky by winning all exhit games.
    Howard -C
    Bosh - PF
    James - SF
    Kobe - G
    Paul or William - PG
    What do you think?

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