Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Once again back is the incredible ... Ball Don't Lie's NBA previews, outlining offseason moves, projecting win totals, spinning tracks and much, much more. It's a fun, hot mess. Today, the Philadelphia 76ers.

2008-09 Record: 41-41, second place in Atlantic Division
Head Coach/Facial Hair: Eddie Jordan/None (just recently went 'stache-less)
Key Additions: Jason Kapono(notes), Jrue Holiday(notes), Rodney Carney(notes)
Key Losses: Andre Miller(notes), Donyell Marshall(notes), Reggie Evans(notes), Theo Ratliff(notes)

Part of me thinks that Eddie Jordan's modified Princeton offense does wonders with this team — a team that didn't bother to try to sign or then replace Andre Miller after he left for Portland as a free agent — working in an offense that doesn't always need a proper point guard.

I like the idea of all these forwards causing trouble. Nobody can shoot, but what's the point if they've already slipped the pick and are heading in for the high-percentage shot?

The defense, which was about average last season, should remain the same. Possibly improve, as the youngsters get older.

Elton Brand(notes)? He'll probably be useless toward the end of his contract, but why can't he work out in 2009-10?

I've been looking up and down this roster for months, and all I see is a 25-win team or a 45-win team. Adjust for the other 29 teams, and I'm sticking with 43 wins. And I'm having a hard time telling you why.

Philadelphia is deep. You might scoff at some of these names — Primoz Brezec(notes), Rodney Carney, Marreese Speights(notes), Willie Green(notes) — but they can play. As long as Green remains a 10th man, I should report, and not a near-starter. Sam Dalembert can't be as bad as he was last season, and if he continues to struggle, than the Sixers can run all sorts of tri-forward craziness.

Louis Williams(notes) at point guard? Well, he's not a point guard. Andre Iguodala(notes) will have to initiate most of the offense, Williams will just have to try and not screw things up. Truth be told, Louis' stats as a point man were fantastic last season on both sides of the ball, but it's OK to wonder just how well he'll pull it off as a sustained starter.

The athletic tag team of Speights and Thaddeus Young(notes) can't help but improve, even if Young took a step back last season. Jordan knows how to find looks for tweener types like these two, and it'll be a bit of a burden trying to decide who to guard after one of them sets a good screen for AI, rolling toward the hoop.

Brand is a toughie. He's played 37 games over the last two seasons, not particularly well, certainly up to the standard that his pay suggests, and he hasn't even shot the ball effectively. But the ideal he was signed for — a last-resort type to go down low after all the initial transition options have faded away — still sounds like a winner.

And the 25- or 45-win idea? That's how they'll look all season. Awful and great.

This team wants to cause turnovers and run. Jason Kapono will help with the 3-point shooting, but he's long been the league's most laughably reluctant 3-point shooter, and Jrue Holliday just isn't ready to contribute much at this point. So the offensive options will look a lot like last season's. It's just up to Jordan to find some way to make it all work.

For whatever reason, let's say they catch quite a few teams on their laziest day, we see it working.

Prediction: 43-39

Kelly Dwyer

What will this team look like if it stay healthy?

So much rides on the return of Elton Brand that it's difficult to project just how good this team can be. And losing Andre Miller could make it hard for them to reprise their role as Atlantic Division runner-ups and playoff participants for a third straight year. The fact the Sixers had a 10-man roster in mid-July indicated there was still much work to be done.

— Peter May, Yahoo! Sports 2009-10 NBA Preview magazine

Liberty Ballers: "You're hard-pressed to find another NBA team with as much athleticism as the 76ers. I watched a JV basketball game last season. Team A was fundamentally sound, well-coached and basketball-smart. Team B looked like they barely knew what hoop to shoot on, and bricked 90% of their jumpers in warm-ups. Team A lost; they were literally run out of the gym, blown out, destroyed, and any other adjective you would use to describe a painful beating. Why did this happen? Because Team B was the most athletic JV team on the planet. They didn't need basketball skill, because they didn't take a jump shot the entire game. They ran, they jumped, they dunked. Why am I telling you this story? Because the Sixers have done the same to a handful of NBA teams over the past two seasons. That should give you an idea of how athletic they are." [more]

Straight Outta Vancouver: "I don't know why I see this team losing its spiritual core and still succeeding, but somehow I believe that it's going to work. Thaddeus Young reminds me too much of Rudy Gay(notes) and Danny Granger(notes) last season to think that he won't break out — Sixers fans need to hope that he's more Granger then Gay, but whatever, room for big growth is there. And while I don't trust Eddie Jordan that his system doesn't need a point guard, I do trust that Louis Williams will provide enough of a point man, especially since Iguodala often takes over as the lead playmaker. Look for this team to exceed expectations, but don't bet on them to make too much noise — the East is a looking deeper than ever this season." [more]

HOOPSWORLD: "Brand hasn't been his usual self for two seasons now and the point guard position is a real question mark for the 76ers. Jrue Holiday has all the potential in the world, but he's still very young and may not be ready to provide everything that is going to be asked of him. The bottom half of the Atlantic division was very tight last season and with so many question marks it's easy to see the 76ers faltering to the cellar." [more]

Arcade Fire, "Keep The Car Running"

Eddie Jordan, trust us on this one. You want this team to run. You've sure got the roster for it. Sure, losing Andre Miller might hurt, but you drafted that fast guy with the silly name who seems pretty, well, fast. Plus, you've got guys like Willie Green and Andre Iguodala who love to play up-tempo. And you employ Samuel Dalembert(notes) and Stromile Swift(notes). They should be reason enough to not slow it down.

Don't worry about Elton Brand. He'll fit in fine since he doesn't use his shoulder to run anyways. He had his best season the year he played on his fastest team. But you probably already new that, Eddie Jordan. After all, your most successful team was your fastest, too. Keep 'em running, Ed.

— Trey Kerby, The Blowtorch

There is no shortage of plotlines with sizable fantasy implications in Philly. Eddie Jordan brings with him a motion offense that proved very friendly to Gilbert Arenas(notes), Caron Butler(notes) and Antawn Jamison(notes) in Washington. While the 76ers lack prolific 3-point shooters often utilized in this type of system, they do have superlative athleticism on the wings in Andre Iguodala and Thaddeus Young, a legit two-way post presence in Elton Brand, and a dribble-drive oriented point guard in Louis Williams.

Iguodala's versatility is a key for the team and he should prove worthy of a third-round pick. Brand is healthy, fit and desperate to put last season's debacle behind him. It's a great mix of skills and opportunity, even if he doesn't reach his former first-round status in a motion system. Young and Williams are young players primed for breakouts. Both can attack the rim and have been underrated in early drafts — if the threes are falling, they'll easily rank among the biggest returns on investment by the time it's all said and done.

— Matt Buser, Yahoo! Sports Fantasy Basketball / BuserSports.com

Sign up now for Fantasy Basketball '09.

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39 Comments

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  1. Andrew B
    1. Posted by Andrew B Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:07 pm EDT

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    People forget, we probably challenged Orlando better than any team in the East last year, including the Cavs, and that was without Elton Brand, if we had Brand last year in the playoffs I think we might have won that series
  2. Ceaser
    2. Posted by Ceaser Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:16 pm EDT

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    Good luck Lou. As long as I've known you you've never been a point guard. Hopefully that chance you took to learn from one of the greatest in Iverson pays off for your big chance here. I'll see you when I get there folk
  3. Travis
    3. Posted by Travis Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:20 pm EDT

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    How did Young take a step back last year? He played about a dozen more minutes a game than in his rookie season, still shot close to 50% from the floor while taking far more shots, nearly doubled his scoring average, and increased his numbers in every other statistical category. He got hurt, yeah, but still. He's fantastic and improved a lot.
  4. Laszlo H
    4. Posted by Laszlo H Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:30 pm EDT

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    yes, stop starting willie green!!!
  5. Irish
    5. Posted by Irish Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:40 pm EDT

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    Orlando is going to crush this team the first game of the season
  6. tupark82
    6. Posted by tupark82 Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:51 pm EDT

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    Fantasy players! check out my review of the Nets/Cetics roster on youtube
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dIGnt5Ek1GQ
    i'm doing every team, so if you like, subscribe!
  7. Andrew K
    7. Posted by Andrew K Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:54 pm EDT

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    What's wrong with the Liberty Ballers' statement you quoted here? The NBA is not the JV league. Eventually, all this athleticism will run out. It can only take you so far.
    Then again, the East still really sucks. Maybe 41-ish wins isn't impossible.
  8. antonb
    8. Posted by antonb Thu Oct 08, 2009 1:06 pm EDT

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    Thaddeus Young took a step back last year? Methinks not. Dude doubled his scoring average from his rookie year. What do you want him to do, fly around the arena? Please.
  9. Recus N
    9. Posted by Recus N Thu Oct 08, 2009 1:23 pm EDT

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    Whoooo Cares!
  10. remon
    10. Posted by remon Thu Oct 08, 2009 1:26 pm EDT

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    The sixers are still young and growing. They will improve every yr. Williams ,Young, and iggy will run and gun the sixers to 48 wins!!!
  11. Carlo
    11. Posted by Carlo Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:07 pm EDT

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    The 76ers have enough talent to be a 6 to 8 seed. Maybe just maybe one day Iggy will have a jumper to complement his hops.
  12. Carlo
    12. Posted by Carlo Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:09 pm EDT

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    BTW I don't wanna sound racist cuz I like women of all color, but those 2 white girls in that photo don't hold a candle to the 2 black girls.
  13. Paul
    13. Posted by Paul Thu Oct 08, 2009 2:44 pm EDT

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    Check this new video out ROCKETS 918
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9oELMsv5Lo
  14. Dmitry S
    14. Posted by Dmitry S Thu Oct 08, 2009 3:51 pm EDT

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    This is horrible writing. I read just the first part "Endless Grey Ribbon."
    ---"I'm sticking with 43 wins. And I'm having a hard time telling you why." --- In middle school, they teach children to use phrases that grab the reader's attention. Why would I want to keep reading after reading something like this within the first few paragraphs?
    ---"Sam Dalembert can't be as bad as he was last season, and if he continues to struggle, than the Sixers can run all sorts of tri-forward craziness." --- "THEN the Sixers can run..." not "THAN the Sixers can run." Okay, so maybe this is high-school level, not middle-school. Sorry, Kelly, maybe my expectations are a bit high.
    ---"Louis Williams(notes) at point guard? Well, he's not a point guard. Andre Iguodala(notes) will have to initiate most of the offense, Williams will just have to try and not screw things up. Truth be told, Louis' stats as a point man were fantastic last season on both sides of the ball, but it's OK to wonder just how well he'll pull it off as a sustained starter. " --- You say to hope that Louis doesn't screw up, and then proceed to point out that the data available thus far shows him to be "fantastic." Okay. Good job.
    ---"Brand is a toughie. He's played 37 games over the last two seasons, not particularly well, certainly up to the standard that his pay suggests, and he hasn't even shot the ball effectively. But the ideal he was signed for — a last-resort type to go down low after all the initial transition options have faded away — still sounds like a winner.--- You mean NOT up to the standard that his pay suggests? And you mean the DEAL he was signed for, not the "idea he was signed for," right?
    Kelly Dwyer, you should be ashamed. This is the level of writing the sports section of our high school paper had when I was in high school.
  15. twr
    15. Posted by twr Thu Oct 08, 2009 4:03 pm EDT

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    who cares. elton brand is damaged goods.
  16. WWII assignment
    16. Posted by WWII assignment Thu Oct 08, 2009 8:18 pm EDT

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    Oh wow, Elton Brand suxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx WHOOOOO CAAAAARRRESSS!!!!! The sixers are losers!!! Iguodala is no Allstar!!!! Iverson = God
    Seriously, I`m so tired of reading the same comments. None of you know anything about basketball. Stop acting like you know what`s going to happen.
    And for the record, Thad certainly did not take a step back last year. Any moron who actually watched a sixers game last season would know that.
  17. Brad
    17. Posted by Brad Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:23 pm EDT

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    From what I've seen of Brand, he's not the guy any team wants to use as the primary scorer. He's more effective crashing the boards and getting alot of putbacks than taking the ball on the wing or low post having to go one on one. The Sixers are going to need a huge step up from Lou Williams who now has to be the guy with the ball in all situations. Some games he'll be great and others he's fail badly. I think the Sixers when making up their roster should have gotten a backup point guard with some experience rather than have Jrue Holliday as the backup. All in all, I see a team that will have wildly up and down moments but fun to watch..
  18. m m
    18. Posted by m m Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:39 pm EDT

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    @12, it's not racist, it's the truth. I'm as white as they come and the line reads as follows, No No Yes Yes.
  19. twr
    19. Posted by twr Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:44 pm EDT

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    Lakers
    1. Kobe
    2. Gasol
    3. Artest
    4. Bynum (Healthy Dam)
    5. Fisher
    6.Odom
    enough said!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Just admit east coasters lakers are going to win at least 70 wins and the ship
  20. Malik
    20. Posted by Malik Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:47 pm EDT

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    Two people need to be traded, Elton Brand and Samuel Dalembert. There are enough young guys to fill there rolls and a few three point shooters or a real low post off the bench scorer would make this team a 50 plus team. Running and jumping is good for the regular season but playoffs series is different. Elton is not a low post scorer and they need a real shooter
  21. yuanhuagao
    21. Posted by yuanhuagao Thu Oct 08, 2009 10:20 pm EDT

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    No, I don't think Sixers can win 43 games this year, because the East has been improve. I don't see how can they play without a point guard like Andrew Miller. Williams and Holiday is good, but the season is long, I don't trust those two guy, but overall, the sixers might make the playoff if they can beat Detroit or Chicago, cause I will put those teams in playoff:
    1. Boston
    2.Orlando
    3. Cleveland
    4.Atlanta
    5.Washington
    6.Miami
    7.Toronto
    8.Chicago
    9. Philly
    10.Detroit
    11.Indiana
    12.Milwaukee
    13.New York
    14.CHA
    15.NEw jersey
  22. Eward
    22. Posted by Eward Thu Oct 08, 2009 10:50 pm EDT

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    People get ready! eb !will prevail,healthy, wealthy n wise!
    to all fair weather fans!youre on point! faithful stay loyal!
    nuff talkn lets start walkn!76ers will b contenderz!
  23. supajiggs15
    23. Posted by supajiggs15 Thu Oct 08, 2009 10:50 pm EDT

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    wow....sixers are NOT a borderline playoff team this year. they could very well be up there as a top 5 seed. atlanta should not be up there @ #4, they had such a piss-poor road record last year. washington isnt that good either....lotta defensive holes.

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