Ball Don't Lie - NBA


As the NBA preseason marches on, Ball Don't Lie looks at all 30 teams, outlining off-season transactions, projecting win totals, spinning tracks, and much, much more. It's a fun, hot mess. Next, the Memphis Grizzlies.

Last Season: 22-60

Key Players Added: Quinton Ross (free agent, Clippers), Marko Jaric (trade, Wolves), Adriana Lima (trade, Wolves), Antoine Walker (trade, Wolves), O.J. Mayo (draft-trade combo, Wolves), Darrell Arthur (draft-trade, Hornets, Blazers, Rockets), Hamed Haddadi (free agent, Iran), Brent Petway (D-League!)

Key Players Lost: Kwame Brown (free agent, Pistons), cake, Juan Carlos Navarro (free agent, Barcelona), Brian Cardinal, Killa Mike Miller, Jason Collins and Kevin Love (trade x 4, Wolves)


Kelly Dwyer's Endless Grey Ribbon: If the Rockets are an NBA junkie’s best championship hope, then the same fans of under-the-radar hoops will probably adopt the Grizzlies as their lottery-bound date for the evening. I know I have.

This roster … it's not "experienced," it isn't "handsome" or even "presentable." It's not "good."

But boy howdy is it intriguing.

Finally healthy, after adding a few pounds if not shedding a few backups, Mike Conley gets to run the show. O.J. Mayo gets to run and get paid, legally, and you can’t help but be interested in this guy as an (there’s that phrase again) under-the-radar prospect, after years of showing up on everyone’s radar.

Rudy Gay dunks, quite often in fact, and Hakim Warrick is lithe and intelligent enough to leave assuming that something quite special is just a few seconds away revealing itself. It rarely does, BUT THAT IS NOT THE POINT.

On top of that, the centers!  Marc Gasol, Darko, that Iranian guy who you can’t give a thumbs-up to. That’s worth half of the League Pass price, easy.

If it sounds like I’m being flip, it’s because I am. But while I’m being facetious, it’s just sarcasm on top of sincerity. I’m not lying. I truly like this roster, a lot, and can’t wait to watch these guys play. 

For one, there are no holdovers who will be taking big minutes. Plenty of rebuilding teams too often have a starter or two or rotation troika that is too old to be taking minutes from the youngsters who will (eventually) be turning the franchise around, and yet they have to play in order for their (justifiably, because these players are older) larger contracts to be justified. And also because coaches don’t often have the job security to start five guys who can’t buy beer.

The Grizzlies don’t have that problem. Yes, Antoine Walker is around; but he’s been around for a few years, now, and we’ve grown accustomed to ignoring him. I’m guessing Marc Iavaroni will be doing the same.

In the meantime, providing the skinflint ownership group signs off on things, this team has plenty of trading options. Between Walker and Greg Buckner, GM Chris Wallace has a little over 13 million dollars in expiring deals to toss around, because both players have contracts that aren’t guaranteed beyond 2008-09.

Darko Milicic’s deal expires in 2010, a prime investment for a team looking to clear more space for that year’s free agent bonanza (remember, these teams don’t have to sign LeBron, Wade, or Bosh; there are heaps of great free agents available that summer), and the Grizzlies are still well under the salary cap.

This means they can take on about nine million in salary in any trade, just as long as the trade isn’t for Zach Randolph. Because any trade that brings Zach Randolph into Memphis should be outlawed based on sheer principle alone. Beyond that, the Grizzlies still have Kyle Lowry and Javaris Crittenton, voted "Most Likely to Be Traded" two years running.

Scarily, the moves are going to be left up to the ownership. Owner Mike Heisley has been rumored to be dealing with money issues since he bought the team eight and a half years ago. And though he spent huge gobs of money buying the advice of a litany of NBA greybeards (Chuck Daly, Dick Versace, Jerry West … all employed at once), and three pennywise but pound-foolish (though entertaining and appreciated) playoff runs, this team’s moves smack of working on a low budget.

They also smack of working on developing cap flexibility, and that’s good (and rare in this league, actually), but hallmarks of cheapness can also work in concert with prudent fiscal leanings.

As far as the team goes, well, we hope there will be running. That starts with defense and rebounding, and those things might in a slim supply, but things should improve with Gasol’s beard involved. The other Gasol-beard. The Grizzlies were the seventh-fastest team in the NBA last year, but we have to take that up a notch. Maybe five or six notches. I’ll be watching.

In the meantime, don’t expect much. We trust Chris Wallace with the rebuilding process, honestly, and always like a young, cheap, talented team with options and room to grow. But things won’t be pretty in 2008-09.

That’s bum news for fans of a team that — excluding its three-season playoff run from 2004-06 — has won an average of 20.112 games per year (!, and we pro-rated the lockout year to 13.12 wins; and have a hard time either rounding up to 21 wins a year, or 14 wins in 1999). But the team has potential, and it won’t bore you silly. Quite the opposite, in fact.

Expected Record: 25-57


Lolnbaz:

A Flawed Equation Involving Michael Phelps, Teen Wolf and Hamed Haddadi:


Real Talk, Blog Talk (aka excerpts from other blogger team previews):

3 Shades Of Blue: "This team lacks experience. In all likelihood, only one starter will be older than 23 at the beginning of the season and the depth behind those starters isn't entirely tested either. The players with real experience (Antoine Walker, Greg Buckner) are on the downslope of their careers and are mostly viewed as contracts moreso than players to the majority of the fanbase. Fortunately, these young guys will get plenty of playing time to remedy that weakness, which everyone hopes will lead to some much-needed maturation. This franchise is on a 3-year plan to return to playoff levels, so talent and experience are the two key ingredients. They are working diligently on the first one, but the second will take some time."

Deadspin: "The thing about youth and athleticism is that it often comes hand-in-hand with foolish inexperience. So expect mistakes. Lots of them, probably. And that excitement gets a little hard to sustain in the midst of a 30-win (or less) season. The Griz have six guards on the roster, and five of them are PGs. Who's going to play the point? And who's going to be shoehorned into a backup SG role? Furthermore, Memphis is a little lacking in the size department, which could mean that Gay will have to slide over to the PF position at times ... and that does not suit him."

Andre Gomes: "The frontcourt of the team seems to be their weakest link just like last season. The team finished in 26th last season in terms of rebound margin with -2.89 reb/game and they lack powerful players in the paint, especially when they have opponents on their division like Tim Duncan, Yao Ming, Dirk Nowitzki and David West. However, the Grizzlies have a new player for the paint: Pau Gasol’s younger brother, Marc. But I need to make one thing clear: Marc is no Pau, but he will be important for the team improve a little bit on the paint and gain a couple of more rebounds per game. Marc is physically more powerful than Pau, but he doesn’t have Pau’s scoring ability, even though he has improved a lot in this area recently. It seems likely that Marc will start for the Grizzlies already on the beginning of the season."


Associated Wax: The Kinks, Low Budget


Michael Bay's Twitter Season Projection:

michael_bay: Just field dressed a grizzly. With my bare hands.
05:25 PM October 08, 2008 from web

digg delicious
more

24 Comments

Post a Comment
  1. Jesus Shuttleworth
    1. Posted by Jesus Shuttleworth Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:51 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    where's the video?
  2. Trifecta37
    2. Posted by Trifecta37 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:59 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Hey, JE, why is it that the Pacific Division is always last to be blogged on/ previewed?
  3. J.E. Skeets
    3. Posted by J.E. Skeets Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:33 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    2Grizzlies1Cup: I couldn't post THAT video.
    Cookie: Blame the time difference.
  4. *M*
    4. Posted by *M* Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:31 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    adriana lima!
  5. Jon L
    5. Posted by Jon L Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:40 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Quinton Ross ended up here? Of all the teams he could help...
  6. NickGJ
    6. Posted by NickGJ Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:37 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    MAAAN Antoine Walker is fatter than I thought. He needs to get buffer. WAAAY buffer. then he could dominate like to good ol days in Boston. Agree anyone?
  7. JMVandal (Formerly James M)
    7. Posted by JMVandal (Formerly James M) Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:53 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I agree that Walker has the potential at this point in his career to contribute as a serviceable role player with three very large IF's
    IF, he gets into shape and drops some pounds. Pat Riley sees that picture and sooths in his own pool of affirmation. He should be fined for his body weight.
    IF, he were willing to accept being a backup who utilizes his unique skill set and recognize he's a SF/PF with the skills (at least used to have) of a SG.
    IF, he stops thinking he has the skills of a SG and taking so selfish decisions and launching treys and isolations plays ala Tracy McGrady in his prime.
    Antoine is his prime was a marginal All Star, but at this point, he's two notches below Devean George. It is unfortunate for a player who still has something to offer to a championship team where he's the 3rd guy off the bench. Thing to remember with Walker is that he shot (and I guess ate) himself into this position.
  8. D2K
    8. Posted by D2K Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:53 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I could see Hakim Warrick having a really big season. Perhaps 20/8 and candidate for Most Improved Player.
  9. JMVandal (Formerly James M)
    9. Posted by JMVandal (Formerly James M) Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:53 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    *in his prime
  10. Byron D
    10. Posted by Byron D Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Facetious is the only word in the english language where all the vowels are in order.
    There you go that was the most knowledgable thing associated with the Grizzlies this year.
  11. JMVandal (Formerly James M)
    11. Posted by JMVandal (Formerly James M) Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:53 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Also, I had to make another comment. I can't have my only comment on this team be about Antoine Walker. I love this roster and rebuilding project. There seem to be maybe five teams that are in full youth movement mode. They seem to have appropriate goals and a vision and sensible direction for this team. While their goals and expectations aren't as lofty as a team like Portland's youth movement, they're doing this thing the right way. So many teams half way rebuild (see: Nets or Kings) and recognizing that they're going to go through a few 25 win season with the eventual payoff being consistent playoff mainstay, that isn't difficult for many teams.
    In four years, they should be that team. Denver might not last the season as a playoff stalwart. San Antonio's three will be put out to pasture by that time (except for Tony Parker). Phoenix and Dallas' window is tied to their aging point guards. Lakers will be there as long as Kobe is able to walk. Houston's window is roughly three years. Utah may not be together with this roster after this year (ask Cleveland what its like to depend on FA Boozer). You have a mix where, if Memphis can stick with this plan for three years, it can be a playoff staple in 3-4 years.
  12. ROY4MVP
    12. Posted by ROY4MVP Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:18 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    skeets, is that really michael bay? (wow, i sound like a preschool) and when is the lakers' preview? been starving for that!
  13. LG
    13. Posted by LG Thu Sep 03, 2009 6:53 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    You read it here first: either the Grizzlies or the Wolves are going to make a playoff push this year... Not both of them, and the other will probably give up after 5 games and finish with 18-64 record. The first games of the regular season are going to be key. If the Grizzlies still had JCN, I'd be pretty sure it would be them...
  14. eloy john
    14. Posted by eloy john Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:52 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    hahaha.. the photo of haddadi and michael phelps is really funny.. just as the memphis grizzlies.. bunch of laughingstocks.. thanks for giving away pau gasol though.. go lakers..
  15. lamachine
    15. Posted by lamachine Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:36 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    "I miss you like Michael Bay missed the mark when he made Pearl Harbor....."
  16. noti n
    16. Posted by noti n Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:41 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    grizzlies will still suck..lol..
  17. Relli Rell
    17. Posted by Relli Rell Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:31 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Keep an eye on Oj. He should do well. I say averages of 15pts 6 rebounds, 6 assist.
  18. Darkness!
    18. Posted by Darkness! Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:45 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I have to agree with James M- it seems like the Grizzlies are rebuilding right... looking at the big pic. instead of just maxing their salary cap for a quick fix, to have one playoff season. That sells tix. this year, but does more harm than good in the long run. By bringing in a young roster, with one or two future stars, and a good supporting cast of young up and comers, they can develop a good team chemistry, and actually be a contender in 2-3 yrs. Keep an eye on these Grizzlies...
  19. Toineson
    19. Posted by Toineson Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:47 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    What a bunch of malarkey. IF Iavaroni was really smart he would go with a lineup of Conley, Mayo, Gay, Walker and Gasol. This whole "twin towers" idea of playing Gasol plus Darko for long stretches is a recipe for securing a top 3 draft pick next June. Play ONE of them, and then play your veteran and proven winner Antoine in the point forward role and let him fire up the kids.
  20. Toineson
    20. Posted by Toineson Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:47 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Also, Michael Phelps plus Teen Wolf equaling Hamed Haddadi is one of the most brilliant equations I've ever seen!
  21. KeepCOCO
    21. Posted by KeepCOCO Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:49 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    I thought when cnnsi finally fired your racist biased butt you would be NO MORE. It's too bad Yahoo is full of Yahoo's at the we need a loser to write for us lets find that jerk with the girls name.
  22. Vaytrain Williams
    22. Posted by Vaytrain Williams Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:06 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    Wow KeepCOCO you are a loser and you dont know what you are talking about, Ive read all of his season previews and all of them with some exceptions (New Jersey) are dead on...If you dont like what your reading, do something else. Thats teh beauty of the internet, you dont HAVE to read it....loser
  23. Ryan
    23. Posted by Ryan Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:07 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    i meant to say gave away Gasol instead of got Gasol
  24. KB 24 LT 21
    24. Posted by KB 24 LT 21 Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

    Report Abuse

    im loven hamed haddadi hope u have a great career
    GO PERSIANS!!!

Ball Don't Lie

Add to My Yahoo! RSS

J.E. Skeets

Ball Don't Lie is an NBA blog edited by J.E. Skeets. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

Teams

Customize to follow news and rumors on your favorite teams. [ Sign in ]

Related Photo Gallery

Featured NBA Video

Y! Sports Blogs

Ball Don't Lie Recent Readers