Ball Don't Lie - NBA


As the NBA preseason marches on, Ball Don't Lie looks at all 30 teams, outlining off-season transactions, projecting win totals, spinning tracks, and much, much more. It's a fun, hot mess. Next up, the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Last Season: 45-37; lost in the second round of playoffs to The Truth, Celtics

Key Players Added: Mo Williams (traded to Cleveland as part of a three team, six player orgy with the Cavs, Bucks and Soni— er, Thunder), journey man Lorenzen Wright (free agent), Darnell Jackson (draft), JJ Hickson (draft, draft)

Key Players Lost: Damon Jones (traded to Bucks, parted ways, looked in the mirror) Joe Smith (traded to OKC), Dwayne Jones (free agent, signed with Magic)


Kelly Dwyer's Endless Grey Ribbon: Getting Mo Williams helps, it really does. Any semblance of scoring and consistent spacing from that point guard spot, to say nothing of the occasional extra pass, means a ton. The Cavaliers are going to benefit so much from his presence.

With that said, Cleveland might be the easiest read in the NBA this year, and that’s not a good thing.

This is a talented outfit with some good parts that do fine things. The Cavs have good players surrounding the best player in the league, even if they’re not exactly providing a solid foundation or proper pairing for his talents. Cleveland is a dominant rebounding team, it plays solid defense, and LeBron James can carry things for a game at a time, but it really shouldn’t have to be like this.

LeBron isn’t some martyred superstar wasting away on a lottery team, mind you. The Cavs can play, and the rest of the roster isn’t an absolute waste. This isn’t a KG-in-Minnesota situation. I’m not trying to tell you that the Cavalier brass has failed in helping James reach his goals. Far from it. Considering the salary cap and the chances (like, the summer of 2005) Cleveland has had, Danny Ferry hasn’t done a bad job. I don’t like his coach, and yet, things could be worse.

But James can’t run with these guys. He can’t hit them with pinpoint passes because none of them are high percentages finishers. Or medium percentage finishers. Or finishers. He can hope they knock down the open three pointer, but beyond that, he’s at it himself.

I’m not saying this has anything to do with what decision James will make in 2010, I’m tired of that noise and see no reason to take that subject on. But you will see the album cover below soon enough, and I just can’t imagine James is happy with his less-than-ideal situation. He keeps a brave face, but you know how LeBron feels when he’s triple-teamed 26 feet from the hoop while nobody guards Ben Wallace.

This team will be better in 2008-09, though, and not just because of Williams. It will also be better in spite of the continued drop-off for the squad’s (sometimes, in the case of the last two) well-meaning older types like Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Ben Wallace, and Wally Szczerbiak.

You see, James’ increased production will make up for that drop off. Should he continue to improve at the rate he’s improved at from year to year (with one noticeable fall-off in 2006-07), James should be doing some pretty legendary stuff this season, assuming his play over the last few seasons hasn’t been exemplary enough. Throw in Daniel Gibson getting a wee bit better, Anderson Varejao being in shape from the beginning of the year, Delonte West’s weird neck tattoos, and Williams’ presence, and you have a team that has as good a chance as any to make it to the Finals.

This is all dependent on a healthy team, though, and James’ continued growth. A month-long injury to Williams or Big Z could have the Cavs struggling to top .500. You have to wish that it didn’t have to be that way, just treading water. I wish a player like this had a better group to work with, but that’s not going to be the case this year or next; not until Cleveland’s payroll falls to essentially nil in 2010.

So, fingers crossed until then, and in the meantime, prepare for some missed lay-ups, not enough fast breaks, some 78-76 wins, and another underrated season for the ages from LeBron.

Expected Record: 47-35


Lolnbaz:


Anderson Varejao's Grade 6 School Picture:


Real Talk, Blog Talk (aka excerpts from other blogger team previews):

Cavalier Attitude: "I was fired up the minute I heard that the Cavs had landed Mo Williams. There were rumblings around the league during the week leading up to the big deal, and when it finally happened, I knew that Danny Ferry had arrived as an upper-echelon General Manager. The man simply won’t make a move in which there is any chance that he’ll lose. In this case, he gets a point guard who put up 17 points and six dimes for ... Damon Jones and Joe Smith. Think about that for a moment."

Waiting For Next Year: Frontcourt depth could very well be the Cavs’ biggest weakness this season. The only proven big men the Cavaliers have are Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Ben Wallace, and Anderson Varejao. Lorenzen Wright is unlikely to have much to offer at all, and Darnell Jackson is unlikely to be ready to play yet. A lot of pressure will be on J.J. Hickson to pick up the NBA game and the Cavaliers’ defensive rotations quickly, as the Cavs will need him to be able to contribute meaningful minutes. Finding an offensive system in general is another weakness on this team. Entering into his 4th season as head coach, Mike Brown has yet to find a way to get the team to run any kind of offense whatsoever, and the stats bear that out. In his first 3 seasons as coach the Cavs have ranked 15th, 19th, and 24th in points per game, despite having one of the league’s premiere offensive players in LeBron James. The regression of offense is a trend Mike Brown needs to get turned around this season for the Cavaliers to rise out of relative mediocrity."

Fear The Sword: "What are the goals for this team? A Divisional Title, a top-2 seed in the playoffs and a trip back to the Finals. The Cavaliers have the best player in the game and a decent set of pieces around him to make that happen. The Cavaliers also possess a $13.5 million bullet in the form of Wally Szczerbiak's expiring contract. Should the need arise come February for the Cavaliers to make a move to bring in an impact player, Danny Ferry has the tools at his disposal to make that happen. There is no reason to think a trip to the Finals is out of reach for this team, and who has the stones to ever bet against Lebron James in a 7-game series?  Yea, me neither."


Associated Wax: The Afghan Whigs, What Jail Is Like

Michael Bay's Twitter Season Projection:

michael_bay: You know, with a little make-up, Ilgauskas could make one killer Transformer. Quick! Somebody get me some cardboard! Bay's got a vison!
about 3 hours ago from web

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80 Comments

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  1. *M*
    1. Posted by *M* Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:31 pm EDT

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    so does pierce think hes better than lebron as well? the truth my foot
  2. Ben Q. Rock
    2. Posted by Ben Q. Rock Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:28 pm EDT

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    The thing is, I remember the background from the Varejao picture. We used it in elementary school.
    The Szczerbiak lolcat is the best one yet.
  3. Mask Marval
    3. Posted by Mask Marval Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:26 pm EDT

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    on the f'n real...lol
  4. Alfred H
    4. Posted by Alfred H Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:43 pm EDT

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    Whigs reference, excellent. Greg Duli is a great (if tragic) frontman... so is Lebron, but like you wrote, Ferry is the one who will be tested in 2010...
  5. KD
    5. Posted by KD Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:52 pm EDT

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    "Bay's got a vision." Brilliant.
    The pictures ... this might be the best one yet.
    "What Jail Is Like" might be the best EP I can think of.
  6. bobby
    6. Posted by bobby Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:15 pm EDT

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    lebronjames ucks
  7. Mike L.
    7. Posted by Mike L. Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:17 pm EDT

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    I had Junior Kimbrough's "Most Things Haven't Worked Out" pop into my head, honestly, but maybe that would work better for a different squad.
  8. Matt M
    8. Posted by Matt M Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:13 pm EDT

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    I warn you, if cornered
    Lebron will scratch his way out of your triple-team.
  9. MixyP
    9. Posted by MixyP Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:17 pm EDT

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    KD is right, very right. Well written chap. Despite the Mo Williams pick up, LeBron James can not/will not utilize his full potential with this squad. A shiny new doorknob on a regular door, albeit shiny and new, is still just another doorknob.
  10. Doug
    10. Posted by Doug Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:21 pm EDT

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    does anyone know if Gibson is starting at SG or a bench player this season?I was going to draft him but if he's coming off the bench I'll avoid him!thnx! (misfit571@yahoo.com)
  11. dennis w
    11. Posted by dennis w Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:50 pm EDT

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    Doug, all signs point to Gibson being the 6th man with West starting with Williams in the backcourt and Gibson bringing the proverbial "instant O" off the bench, a la "The Microwave" in Detroit a few years ago. Go Cavs!!!
  12. ROY4MVP
    12. Posted by ROY4MVP Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:18 pm EDT

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    that michael bay segment is AWESOME.
    know what i mean? if you dont watch this
  13. ROY4MVP
    13. Posted by ROY4MVP Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:18 pm EDT

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    wtf? is this not html friendly?
  14. Doug
    14. Posted by Doug Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:21 pm EDT

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    thnx Dennis,that helps!
  15. aj v
    15. Posted by aj v Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:48 pm EDT

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    was good hope yall have a betta year his my favorite team i think all of you have waht it take to take it all you have to do is figure out how
  16. Nath
    16. Posted by Nath Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:03 pm EDT

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    I think Avery would do wonders for this team
  17. whiteboy
    17. Posted by whiteboy Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:44 pm EDT

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    I like how you made this point. James got a bunch of suckers around him. Has he had a pure shooter, like Michael Redd, he may have already been champion. I think it's the assumption, that it doesn't matter who he plays with, he still will be on top, but it's just not working. It never worked for Iverson, never worked for Kobe, and it wouldn't work for Chris Paul either, if he hadn't some quality players around him. Where has James a shooter like Peja with him, or a low-post force like Tyson Chandler with him? nowhere...It's just a bunch of other guys, this time it's Mo Williams. What difference does it make? They can play some good games though.
  18. Nemy C
    18. Posted by Nemy C Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:35 pm EDT

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    this shows a lot of how great Lebron James is. kobe needed Shaq to be a Champ. now he needs Gasol/Bynum to be in the finals. with such players (Varejao, West, Wally et al) around Lebron James not a few are saying Cleveland is a title contending team. thing is, these players if let say on the Lakers team will be good enough to be bench players. with Lebron they are counted upon to contribute big. this only goes to show that Lebron is a team player and a great leader.
  19. Michael W
    19. Posted by Michael W Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:18 pm EDT

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    to #18: It also shows how much weaker the Eastern Conference is. Preview was right on, except for one typo: LBJ is the Second best player in the league.....
  20. john o
    20. Posted by john o Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:15 pm EDT

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    19, cmon, the olympics, coach k, ... the stats all point to the same truth, yes, Kobe has the rings, but Lebron is the NBA's best player, anybody who has played the game knows this, ... including Kobe.
  21. Mark E
    21. Posted by Mark E Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:09 pm EDT

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    What do you mean he'd make a killer tranformer?? He would fold up into one clumsy, ugly looking man baby!!
  22. Nic
    22. Posted by Nic Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:38 pm EDT

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    I think kobe bryant is still the best player in the league man.
    stop hanging out with hollinger.
  23. SwitCh
    23. Posted by SwitCh Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:52 pm EDT

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    it doesnt matter what conference you say is weaker. fact is..the eastern conference holds the title.
    lebron will never win a championship in cleveland. bring him to the celtics.
  24. Jody
    24. Posted by Jody Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:21 pm EDT

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    Solid defense? The Cavs can defend as well as any team in the league.

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Ball Don't Lie is an NBA blog edited by J.E. Skeets. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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