Ball Don't Lie - NBA

Fri May 04, 2007 4:45 am EDT

Anatomy of a historical NBA upset

OAKLAND, Calif. -- Golden State Warriors fans, let me get this out of the way. I was wrong! I picked the Dallas Mavericks to win the series, and I was dead wrong. Ultimately, the Warriors were just too good for Dallas. Too quick, too strong, too athletic, and too skilled.

I've always said that in the NBA, there's no such thing as an upset. Over seven games, the best team always wins. This is not the NCAA tournament, where one fluke game can propel a Cinderella over a powerhouse. To beat a club four times, you have to be the better team. And Golden State was by far the better team than Dallas.

Here are a few reasons why:

1. Two of the Mavs' top three scorers -- Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Terry -- were physically manhandled by the Warriors. Normally those two have speed advantages in games, but with Baron Davis and Stephen Jackson harassing them all series, Dallas couldn't get anything going. Josh Howard was the only one of the Mavericks' top three who could keep up with the frantic pace, but overall Dallas was overwhelmed by speed.

2. The Oracle Arena crowd was the best I have ever seen in the NBA. In 15 years of playing and four years as a commentator, I have never, ever seen 20,000 fans standing as one for an entire second half. That's what Golden State's fans did in Game 6, and it was amazing to witness. The Mavs seemed to be in good shape starting the third quarter, with Davis hurting and the pace of the game in their favor. But the Warriors' crowd was so rowdy, so loud, that Dallas never looked comfortable on the floor. The momentum swung Golden State's way as soon as Jackson started making threes, and the crowd took it from there.

3. Davis delivered one of the most heroic performances in playoff history. He played at about three-quarter speed after straining his hamstring in the first quarter, but it was enough. Even with the Mavericks attacking him the entire game offensively knowing he was hurt, Davis held his ground and then ran the Warriors' offense at the other end. After making several unlikely threes in the first half to keep his team in the game, Davis somehow was able to penetrate the lane and break down the Dallas D -- even on one leg.

4. Jackson is a bad man. (And I mean that in a good way.) The guy simply is never afraid on the basketball court. He took every big shot for Golden State, taking over the game in the third quarter with a flurry of three-pointers. His confidence and swagger were a huge part of this series, and when the game was on the line, he was the guy the Warriors looked to.

5. Dirk didn't play like the MVP. I realize this is obvious, but it needs to be said. He looked rattled on Thursday, unable to get any confidence going. But it wasn't just a personal meltdown. Golden State played perfect defense on him all series, rotating a series of long, athletic defenders on him while sitting guards in his lap. Nowitzki had nowhere to go, and with his jump shot not dropping, he was helpless. And as easy as it is to say "Go to the rim!" it's not easy when you have three people who are quicker than you right in front of you all game. Oh, and by the way, the Warriors aren't just quick; they're strong, too. Even when Dirk ended up with a guard on him, he couldn't maneuver to the spot he wanted. Davis and Jason Richardson bodied him and bothered him for the entire series.

6. Nellie was amazing. Don Nelson has long been one of the game's most innovative coaches, but he's also been known for his offensive wizardry more than anything at the defensive end. However, Nellie's knowledge of Nowitzki's game -- along with a roster of athletic, active defenders -- helped him dominate his pupil, Avery Johnson, and push all the right buttons in this series. The 3-2 zone, the crowding of Dirk, the "Hey, we're huge underdogs" mentality -- Nellie had it all working. He worked the press perfectly and handled his players beautifully, and even with his star hurting in a must-win Game 6, the Warriors' coach kept his team in an attacking, swashbuckling mentality.

So now, Golden State moves on, and as Warrior Nation revels in the most delicious taste of playoff glory since 1975 (when Golden State won its only NBA championship), the question that begs to be asked is "How far can they go?"

The Warriors will sit back and enjoy watching Utah and Houston play Game 7 of their series on Saturday before taking on the winner. Then they'll get back to work with the knowledge -- and the confidence -- that they can beat anyone. Or just about anyone, anyway.

I don't think the Warriors can beat the Spurs, but they can absolutely handle Houston or Utah. And if they advance to the West finals and face Phoenix, well, that's their kind of game. But we're getting ahead ourselves, aren't we?

For now, let's just sit back and enjoy one of the most incredible playoff series in NBA history. I won't call it an upset, but I can absolutely say it was amazing to watch. And yes, Golden State fans, I'll say it again -- I was dead wrong about this one.

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776 Comments

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  1. A Yahoo! User
    1. Posted by A Yahoo! User Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:51 pm EDT

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    First, and baron/monta/jax/richardson/barnes are ready for finals action! we believe...
  2. Martin O
    2. Posted by Martin O Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:37 pm EDT

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    Was damn impressive. My Lakers fell apart this season, so I'm now rooting for my other California team. If Baron Davis can stay healthy and in the game, the Warriors have a chance against anybody.
  3. Nam
    3. Posted by Nam Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:24 pm EDT

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    It takes a real man to admit his mistake. So your are ok here, Steve Kerr.
  4. DISH network
    4. Posted by DISH network Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:53 pm EDT

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    zero all STAR but look they DESTROYED the MAVS (fishing with charles now) thank you WARRIORS.....
  5. elevenfriends
    5. Posted by elevenfriends Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:53 pm EDT

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    Go Warriors!
    You had proven Kerr is NOT a so-called "NBA expert".
    You had shut the Berkely's mouth.
    Let's beat Kerr's favorite "Spurs".
    We believe Warriors has great potential to beat Spurs if Baron is healthy. Best games of this entire NBA playoff series had already been played.
  6. khamz
    6. Posted by khamz Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:37 pm EDT

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    good stuff i knew it all along glad you admitted you were wrong :P it was a great series and I enjoyed every moment of it. GG
  7. jef g
    7. Posted by jef g Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:32 pm EDT

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    go warriors
  8. ashton anchors
    8. Posted by ashton anchors Thu Sep 03, 2009 2:58 pm EDT

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    hehehe...but suns, spurs, bulls and detriot are still the team to beat. sorry GSW
  9. Victor
    9. Posted by Victor Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:34 pm EDT

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    Ya babyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
  10. hayk01
    10. Posted by hayk01 Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:17 pm EDT

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    Barkeley was looking goood in yellow:). I agree that Warrior can past Houston/Utah, and O, boy, Warriors Pheonix Conference Finals must be recorded and watched in slow motion. That WILL be crazy.!!! It's our time, baby!
  11. og
    11. Posted by og Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:07 pm EDT

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    matt barnes baby! the arena united by belief.we believe
  12. ian c
    12. Posted by ian c Thu Sep 03, 2009 4:22 pm EDT

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    first off congrats to the wariors, their fans, and most especially the Don Nelson (he's the best coach ever - my opinion only)
    next is for the people who are going to post here: PLEASE don't brag about GS's victory, it was a great victory and it could get better but if GS fans out there brag about it - it gets pretty iritating.
    last but not the least i loved the looks on the mavs players it was one of the best feeling especially seeing cuban's face
  13. Travis C
    13. Posted by Travis C Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:36 pm EDT

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    I almost don't want my hometown Rockets to win so that i can watch the Warriors whoop up on the Jazz. I really dont want to hate those guys seeing them own us in the 2nd round...
  14. Dave
    14. Posted by Dave Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:37 pm EDT

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    Jesus, can anybody on this blog spell? Its gonna be another one of those years, this time in the nba. Golden State beats Detroit in 7...
  15. executioner_makyura
    15. Posted by executioner_makyura Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:57 pm EDT

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    It was an amazing series. Despite me being a Warriors' fan, if I had to put my money down in Vegas, I probably would've bet the Mavs too. (Not at their odds, though).
  16. Jeff C
    16. Posted by Jeff C Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:36 pm EDT

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    Bulls and Detroit more of a team to beat than the Warriors? Yeah...ok...right...
    Detriot was dismantled badly twice by the Warriors. Chicago has not faced the Baron-led attack this season and only tied the season series.
    Sorry...those teams do not belong in the same conversation as San Antonio or Phoenix. The West is just that much better.
  17. rasilve1
    17. Posted by rasilve1 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:29 pm EDT

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    What about them Warriors, boy!!! No team is safe in Oakland! By far the best team and best fans. Was mark cuban crying? Someone better put him on suicide watch. Go Warriors!!!
  18. yadidimsayin3
    18. Posted by yadidimsayin3 Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:54 pm EDT

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    Second round..i BELIEVE the Warriors can pull it off, maybe even a quick second round. I dont think Houston can keep up with our style of play, and Utah doesnt really have any leadership there. GO WARRIORS!!!
  19. John Raphael Y
    19. Posted by John Raphael Y Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:36 pm EDT

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    Good job Steve... Admitting you were wrong is a class-act on your part!
  20. bjmacabebe
    20. Posted by bjmacabebe Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:08 pm EDT

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    I think warriors can beat houston or utah but if they face spurs in west finals , they'd probably lose. Why? Suns is an offensive juggernaut like GSW and the spurs beat them... it only means they can also defend the offense of GSW.
    I'm a spurs fan, but i want to see suns and warriors at west finals :D
  21. rasilve1
    21. Posted by rasilve1 Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:29 pm EDT

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    Steve you should have admitted you were wrong right after game 1 or 3 or 4, not at the end of the series. If you watched any of the games you would have seen this end coming. A little "Stevey come lately" for me. I expect you will be singing praises of GS from here on out, right? Can't wait for your next blog.
  22. Mac
    22. Posted by Mac Thu Sep 03, 2009 7:01 pm EDT

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    I'm just glad you took it like a man and said you were wrong.
  23. CleoS
    23. Posted by CleoS Thu Sep 03, 2009 9:32 pm EDT

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    Well I called this one, GS in 6. It just seemed a likely outcome given the matchups, Nellie's inside moves on DIrk, and a healthy Davis. I also picked GS to lose to Phoenix in 6 in the finals, but that will change now that Baron is hurt again. Wondrous player, but he just can't stay healthy. I don't think they would get by Utah now, but have a slightly better chance against Houston. Much depends on how quickly he is back to 100%.
    I still think this is Phoenix's year. The spurs and Detroit (and GS if BD healthy) will give them a decent run, but expect the Sun to shine.
  24. jaiofss
    24. Posted by jaiofss Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:25 pm EDT

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    Go warriors!!
  25. dukeya
    25. Posted by dukeya Thu Sep 03, 2009 3:49 pm EDT

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    WE BELIEVE! And we believed we could beat Dallas before this series even started. Warriors had pretty much beat Dallas in two best-of-sevens before the play-offs started! None of those 67 regular season wins were against Golden State.
    And we believe we can win more than just the 1st round. Bring on Houston or Utah! (Preferably Houston ;-)
    I attended all three Warrior home games, and the arena was amazing each time -- we were crazier than a college game -- in the stands, the hallways, the parking lot... I'm so happy and proud not just for the team, but for the fans too.

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