Sat Jan 31, 2009 5:15 pm EST
After a week of debating, the mega-fight is here. From media folks to bloggers to fighters, everyone has an opinion about who comes out on top between Georges St. Pierre and B.J. Penn at UFC 94. Even the UFC ring announcer Bruce Buffer needed to fire off his take. Kenny Florian is next in line for a shot at the lightweight belt, he said he's leaning towards Penn:
"My gut is saying B.J. I think he's got the edge in the stand-up," Florian told Cage Writer. "He's got the edge on the ground."
Watch Cage Writer with Florian:
Florian favors Penn slightly but the more he talked, the more he sounded like he was backing GSP:
"He's got an all-star camp. Not only the guys he's training with, his trainers (are) all smart guys. I'm sure they did their homework."
It was interesting to speak with former world champion boxer Wayne McCullough who told us that Penn's boxing isn't that good. He thinks St. Pierre is actually better on the feet:
"He's got the long arms, the long legs and he stays in that stance where he doesn't take a lot of punishment. You go back to Chuck Liddell who used to be the good boxer. People caught on. He left his chin up in the air."
Click below to hear to McCullough on MMA boxing (ESPNRadio1100 w/Cofield & Cokin):
Listen here for the entire conversation with "The Pocket Rocket". For more takes on the fight, we also heard this week from Randy Couture, Mike Swick, Rashad Evans, Frank Trigg, Thiago Alves, Jon Jones, Clay Guida, Matt Arroyo and Dana White.
Cage Writer's official plays in BOLD
B.J. PENN (+150) v. GEORGES ST. PIERRE (-180) - WELTERWEIGHT
This is a helluva fight and it has a great chance of going the distance. It's another fight where you have to decide who dictates the pace. If GSP uses his wrestling, he'll probably get Penn down enough times to get a decision and bruise him up on the ground. If GSP gets brave and wants to stand for much of the fight, Penn has the advantage. Penn really shredded GSP on the feet in their first fight in the first round. The one downside with Penn, as always is that question of stamina, Can he sustain first round pace in the championship rounds, the fourth and fifth? There's too much value to pass up here on Penn.
PICK: PENN +150
THIAGO SILVA (+180) v. LYOTO MACHIDA (-220) - LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT
This is a big fight for Machida (13-0, 5-0 UFC). He needs a dominant victory so that the UFC can really fire up fans if he's given the next shot at UFC light heavyweight champ Rashad Evans. He can do it as long as he stays off the ground. If Silva (13-0, 4-0 UFC) dedicates himself to getting the fight where he need to, has the chance to pull off the upset. This is another value spot. Silva's submission game is excellent and he can be devastating with ground and pound.
PICK: SILVA +180
JON JONES (+150) v. STEPHAN BONNAR (-180) - LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT
Jones, 21, appears to be a helluva prospect but this is a big step up for a guy who only started fighting professionally last April. If Jones (7-0, 1-0 UFC) sticks to his wrestling, scores some takedowns and slows down the pace of the fight, he's got a shot. If he stands with Bonnar (11-4, 5-3 UFC), that's trouble. Bonnar has been off for 15 months rehabbing a knee injury but it's given him a chance to get his life together and now he's working with the best group of trainers he's ever worked with. This begin Bonnar's climb back up the contender ladder.
PICK: BONNAR -180
DONG HYUN KIM (+180) v. KARO PARISYAN (-220) - WELTERWEIGHT
Will we see the 2005 version of Parisyan or what we saw through much of 2008? Karo has battled lots of injuries and his personal life always seems to be wreaking havoc on his fighting life. This is a great battle of judo practitioners and the price may be too high on Parisyan with some of the question marks.
PICK: KIM +180
CLAY GUIDA (-115) v. NATE DIAZ (-115) - LIGHTWEIGHT
What a style matchup! Guida goes 100 MPH and will probably take Diaz whenever he wants. But once there, will Guida stay busy enough and avoid that critical lapse where he gets caught by one of Diaz's wacky submissions? Guida can do it and win the fight on points. This has Fight of the Night written all over it.
PICK: GUIDA -115
NON-TELEVISED UNDERCARD
JON FITCH (-450) v. AKIHIRO GONO (+325) - WELTERWEIGHT
Fitch is a beast and will probably push the pace to hard for Gono to stay in the fight. Gono is a tough SOB, so it won't be easy. The guy has been in there against much bigger fighters like Gegard Mousasi, Dan Henderson and Shogun Rua. Fitch really worked on his striking since the GSP loss at UFC 87. He certainly can't afford a loss with all the nonsense that went down with his contract back in November.
PICK: FITCH -450
JAKE O'BRIEN (-180) v. CHRISTIAN WELLISCH (+150) - LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT
"Irish" Jake is back and this should make for an interesting battle against Wellisch, who is a very striker. The fight comes down to one major factor, how will Wellisch defend the takedown against the former Purdue wrestler? This is a huge fight for O'Brien, who has lost two straight, and has already been booted from the UFC once before.
PICK: O'BRIEN -180
CHRIS WILSON (-300) v. JOHN HOWARD (-200) - WELTERWEIGHT
Wilson is going to make some noise at 170 beyond just being a card-filler. He's gigantic for the weight with a pretty solid striking game. He gave Fitch a real battle in his UFC debut and has wins over Rory Markham, Gilber Melendez and Jay Hieron. Wilson should win but laying this price is too much.
PICK: WILSON -300
MANNY GAMBURYAN (-115) v. THIAGO TAVARES (-115) - LIGHTWEIGHT
This has the same potential as the Diaz-Guida fight. Gamburyan wants to get it down but Tavares is a very good on the ground. On the feet, Tavares is a little reckless but more dangerous than Gamburyan. Manny is still a bit of mystery with the injuries and his awful defense in the shocking loss to Rob Emerson at UFC 87 is worrisome.
PICK: GAMBURYAN -115
MATT ARROYO (-180) v. DAN CRAMER (+150) - WELTERWEIGHT
Arroyo was a highly regarded prospect before he lost to Matt Brown last June. He suffered a fluke ankle break in that fight and couldn't hold off Brown. He's back and Cramer is tailor-made for Arroyo's submission game. Cramer can wrestle but he lacks the experience to stay out of trouble.
PICK: ARROYO -180
Join Cage Writer on tonight. Maggie Hendricks will host a live chat throughout the PPV portion of UFC 94. Cofield will be cageside with updates on all 10 fights. And don't miss the only post-fight wrap-up show from the MGM starting at 10 p.m. PT/1 a.m. ET
Cagewriter is an MMA blog edited by Steve Cofield. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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BJ PENN !!
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