Fri Jul 18, 2008 1:30 pm EDT
If you live in Las Vegas or frequent far away places, there's no shortage of great MMA fights to make selections on. We're going to do things a little differently this time around. When you play sports you don't bet every game or fight. So we'll give some analysis for each fight and then highlight the top picks in BOLD.
FEDOR EMELIANENKO v. TIM SYLVIA - HEAVYWEIGHT
This is a tough one. It's too much money to lay on Fedor but he should win the fight. It one won't be easy. Sylvia could do major damage if the fight stays on the feet. He's a huge guy at 6-foot-8, 265 lbs and has rarely been taken down. I just can't see him staying off the mat for the entire fight.
PICK: FEDOR -400
ANDERSON SILVA v. JAMES IRVIN - LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT (205 LBS)
Another massive price. We won't mention the size differential although it is clear that Irvin won't be thrown around like a rag doll like so many 185-pounders have been by Silva. Too many fighters have said, the size won't matter in the overall picture especially if it goes to the ground. Irvin is too easy to submit. But there is the slight risk with Irvin's KO power. So we'll stay away from the huge price.
PICK: SILVA -550
CLICK BELOW TO HEAR YAHOO! SPORTS' KEVIN IOLE'S PICKS FOR THE FIGHT WEEKEND:
ANDREI ARLOVSKI v. BEN ROTHWELL - HEAVYWEIGHT
This is a big step up in class for Rothwell. We really don't know if he's on this level. The IFL was filled with chumps, guys ranked outside of the top 20 heavyweights in the world. Arlovski still has world class skills but does he have world class aggression? The answer is no. He looked passive against Fabricio Werdum and Jake O'Brien but those fight were dictated by the opponent's style. Rothwell will force a fight and pay for it.
PICK: ARLOVSKI -300
JESSE TAYLOR v. C.B. DOLLAWAY - MIDDLEWEIGHT (185)
This is a huge fight for both guys. Dollaway can't lose two in a row and I don't think he will. It's a battle of wrestlers but Dollaway has a lot more game on the feet. Keep in mind, they wrestled in college three times and Dollaway was 3-0. Can we really trust that Taylor has cleaned up his life and trained for this fight at a top level? Keep in mind, I'm not a huge Dollaway devotee either, I picked Amir Sadollah in the TUF 7 Finale.
PICK: DOLLAWAY -115
BABALU SOBRAL v. MIKE WHITEHEAD - LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT (205)
This is another huge step up in class. Whitehead has won 12 straight fights since his loss to Keith Jardine in UFC. But you gotta question the quality of competition. Babalu is still a world class fighter. His stand-up isn't great but he's dynamite on the ground. Keep in mind, had it not been for the David Heath choking incident, Babalu could still be in the mix with all the great UFC 205s.
PICK: BABALU -200
VITOR BELFORT v. TERRY MARTIN - MIDDLEWEIGHT (185)
Martin is a one-trick pony. He's a striker but is he world class like Belfort? We know that the issue with Belfort is his ticker. Working with the guys at Xtreme Couture gives me confidence that he'll be right mentally for this one. I can't pick the guy who recently lost to Marvin Eastman. Remember when Belfort fought Eastman? Marvin suffered a cut at the hands of Belfort that looked like someone had taken a hatchet to his noggin.
PICK: BELFORT -220
PEDRO RIZZO v. JOSH BARNETT - HEAVYWEIGHT
Is Rizzo over the hill and has added to his game over the years? I'm not sure on the age issue but he looks like a limited as far as 2008 standards go. We know that Barnett is now one of the most well-rounded fighters in any division. The only worry here is the pace of the fight. If Rizzo can keep it on the feet, he could sneak in a decision. It probably won't happen but the price is too high to play Barnett.
PICK: BARNETT -400
Cagewriter is an MMA blog edited by Steve Cofield. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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What's up with MMA fighters dressing like teenagers?
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Some nights the favorites are the way to go, other times there's more value with the dogs. I guess it would've taken some balls to pick Irvin but it looks like the notion of great value with Irvin turned out to be a waste of money just like Sylvia.
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Some nights the favorites are the way to go, other times there's more value with the dogs. I guess it would've taken some balls to pick Irvin but it looks like the notion of great value with Irvin turned out to be a waste of money just like Sylvia.
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