2011 MLB predictions, forecasts and wild guesses
![]() Tim Brown |
![]() Steve Henson |
![]() Jeff Passan |
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AL MVP |
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|---|---|---|---|
| Winner: | Alex Rodriguez(notes) | Adrian Gonzalez(notes) | Adrian Gonzalez |
| Dark horse: | Carl Crawford(notes) | Robinson Cano(notes) | Nelson Cruz(notes) |
NL MVP |
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| Winner: | Albert Pujols(notes) | Ryan Braun(notes) | Jason Heyward(notes) |
| Dark horse: | Chipper Jones(notes) | Troy Tulowitzki(notes) | Ryan Braun |
AL Cy Young |
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| Winner: | David Price(notes) | Jon Lester(notes) | Jon Lester |
| Dark horse: | Trevor Cahill(notes) | Jered Weaver(notes) | John Danks(notes) |
NL Cy Young |
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| Winner: | Roy Halladay(notes) | Roy Halladay | Roy Halladay |
| Dark horse: | Clayton Kershaw(notes) | Matt Cain(notes) | Tommy Hanson(notes) |
AL Rookie of the Year |
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| Winner: | Jeremy Hellickson(notes) | Jeremy Hellickson | Jeremy Hellickson |
| Dark horse: | J.P. Arencibia(notes) | Michael Pineda(notes) | Mike Moustakas(notes) |
NL Rookie of the Year |
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| Winner: | Aroldis Chapman(notes) | Freddie Freeman(notes) | Brandon Belt(notes) |
| Dark horse: | Brandon Belt | Danny Espinosa(notes) | Craig Kimbrel(notes) |
AL HR leader |
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| Winner: | Adam Dunn(notes) | Adrian Gonzalez | Alex Rodriguez |
| Dark horse: | Mark Reynolds(notes) | Jose Bautista(notes) | Mark Trumbo(notes) |
NL HR leader |
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| Winner: | Albert Pujols | Prince Fielder(notes) | Mike Stanton(notes) |
| Dark horse: | Dan Uggla(notes) | Mike Stanton | Jay Bruce(notes) |
AL batting champ |
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| Winner: | Joe Mauer(notes) | Ichiro Suzuki(notes) | Ichiro Suzuki |
| Dark horse: | Robinson Cano | Carl Crawford | Carl Crawford |
NL batting champ |
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| Winner: | Carlos Gonzalez(notes) | Joey Votto(notes) | Albert Pujols |
| Dark horse: | Hanley Ramirez(notes) | Matt Holliday(notes) | Starlin Castro(notes) |
MVPs-in-waiting |
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| AL | Evan Longoria(notes) | Robinson Cano | Carlos Santana(notes) |
| NL | Jason Heyward | Ryan Braun | Buster Posey(notes) |
Cy Youngs-in-waiting |
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| AL | Clay Buchholz(notes) | David Price | Justin Verlander(notes) |
| NL | Matt Cain | Clayton Kershaw | Clayton Kershaw |
Comeback players |
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| AL | Manny Ramirez(notes) | Justin Morneau(notes) | Justin Morneau |
| NL | Pablo Sandoval(notes) | Nate McLouth(notes) | Chipper Jones |
Breakout hitter |
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| AL | Matt Wieters(notes) | Nick Markakis(notes) | Travis Snider(notes) |
| NL | Colby Rasmus(notes) | Matt Kemp(notes) | Mike Morse |
Breakout pitchers |
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| AL | Jeff Niemann(notes) | Gio Gonzalez(notes) | Brandon Morrow(notes) |
| NL | Jonathan Sanchez(notes) | Tommy Hanson | Julio Teheran(notes) |
First home run of 2011 |
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| Joey Votto | Alex Rodriguez | Jason Heyward | |
First manager fired |
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| Jim Riggleman | Brad Mills | Edwin Rodriguez | |
First GM fired |
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| Tony Reagins | Tony Reagins | Neal Huntington | |
First irrational Hank Steinbrenner comment |
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| July 4 | May 12 | Tomorrow | |
Fastest Aroldis Chapman pitch |
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| 105.2 | 104.5 | 104.7 | |
Bryce Harper(notes) called up |
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| April 2, 2012 | May 30, 2012 | June 5, 2012 | |
Chase Utley(notes) games played |
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| 101 | 77 | 22 | |
Wins for the Phantastic Four |
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| 67 | 68 | 68 | |
Albert Pujols contract/team |
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| 8 yrs/$220M/Cubs | 9 yrs/$245M/Cardinals | 10yrs/$280M/Cardinals | |
Manny Banuelos(notes) called up |
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| June 3, 2011 | July 1, 2011 | June 10, 2011 | |
No. 1 overall draft pick |
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| Gerrit Cole | Gerrit Cole | Bubba Starling | |
Date of Derek Jeter's(notes) 3,000th hit |
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| July 4 | June 20 | June 9 | |
Date of Jim Thome’s(notes) 600th home run |
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| June 6 | Aug. 4 | Aug. 19 | |
Jose Bautista home runs |
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| 31 | 37 | 31 | |
Longest home run |
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| Alex Rodriguez, 495 | Mike Stanton, 525 | Mike Stanton, 497 | |
Brandon Belt called up |
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| April 25, 2011 | March 31, 2011 | May 6, 2011 | |
Number of no-hitters |
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| 1 | 4 | 1 | |
Runs scored by Red Sox |
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| 900 | 897 | 918 | |
Runs scored by Yankees |
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| 835 | 877 | 891 | |
| 2.99 | 3.14 | 2.74 | |
Mike Trout(notes) called up |
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| Sept. 1, 2011 | May 15, 2012 | July 28, 2011 | |
Percentage ownership sold by Mets owners |
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| 100 | 49 | 100 | |
Percentage ownership sold by Frank McCourt |
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| 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Stephen Strasburg(notes) return date |
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| April 2, 2012 | Sept. 18, 2011 | Opening day, 2012 | |
Will Brian Wilson(notes) shave his beard? |
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| Yes, but keeps mustache | Yes, after fifth blown save | No, dyes it blonde | |
Regular season predictions |
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AL East |
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| Red Sox: 101-61 | Red Sox: 98-64 | Red Sox 95-67 | |
| Yankees: 91-71 | Yankees: 93-69 | Yankees: 92-70 | |
| Rays: 85-77 | Rays: 87-75 | Rays: 90-72 | |
| Blue Jays: 78-84 | Blue Jays: 79-83 | Blue Jays: 77-85 | |
| Orioles: 77-85 | Orioles: 79-83 | Orioles: 75-87 | |
AL Central |
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| Twins: 84-78 | White Sox: 85-77 | Twins: 88-74 | |
| White Sox: 83-79 | Twins: 84-78 | Tigers: 85-77 | |
| Tigers: 82-80 | Tigers: 83-79 | White Sox: 83-79 | |
| Indians: 75-87 | Indians: 70-92 | Indians: 70-92 | |
| Royals: 64-98 | Royals: 65-95 | Royals: 68-94 | |
AL West |
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| Athletics: 88-74 | Rangers: 88-74 | Rangers: 88-74 | |
| Rangers: 86-76 | Athletics: 87-75 | Angels: 83-79 | |
| Angels: 80-82 | Angels: 80-82 | Athletics: 81-81 | |
| Mariners: 60-102 | Mariners: 61-101 | Mariners: 67-95 | |
NL East |
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| Braves: 92-70 | Braves: 90-72 | Phillies: 94-68 | |
| Phillies: 91-71 | Phillies: 89-73 | Braves: 92-70 | |
| Marlins: 84-78 | Marlins: 85-77 | Marlins: 78-84 | |
| Mets: 77-85 | Mets: 78-84 | Mets: 74-88 | |
| Nationals: 75-87 | Nationals: 71-91 | Nationals: 73-89 | |
NL Central |
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| Reds: 89-73 | Brewers: 88-74 | Reds: 91-71 | |
| Cardinals: 84-78 | Reds: 87-75 | Cubs: 83-79 | |
| Brewers: 82-80 | Cardinals: 83-79 | Cardinals: 81-81 | |
| Cubs: 75-87 | Cubs: 77-85 | Brewers: 80-82 | |
| Astros: 75-87 | Astros: 72-90 | Astros: 68-94 | |
| Pirates: 69-93 | Pirates: 70-92 | Pirates: 66-96 | |
NL West |
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| Giants: 88-74 | Giants 89-73 | Dodgers 87-75 | |
| Rockies: 85-77 | Rockies 87-75 | Rockies: 86-76 | |
| Dodgers: 81-81 | Padres 83-79 | Giants: 86-76 | |
| Padres: 79-83 | Dodgers 74-88 | Padres: 76-86 | |
| Diamondbacks: 70-92 | Diamondbacks 68-94 | Diamondbacks: 73-89 | |
Postseason predictions |
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ALDS |
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| Red Sox over Twins | Red Sox over White Sox | Red Sox over Rangers | |
| Athletics over Yankees | Yankees over Rangers | Yankees over Twins | |
NLDS |
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| Giants over Braves | Brewers over Braves | Phillies over Dodgers | |
| Phillies over Reds | Phillies over Giants | Braves over Reds | |
ALCS |
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| Red Sox over Athletics | Yankees over Red Sox | Red Sox over Yankees | |
NLCS |
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| Giants over Phillies | Brewers over Phillies | Braves over Phillies | |
World Series |
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| Red Sox over Giants | Yankees over Brewers | Red Sox over Braves | |
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Updated Tuesday, Mar 29, 2011



