2011 MLB predictions, forecasts and wild guesses

  Tim Brown
Tim Brown
Steve Henson
Steve Henson
Jeff Passan
Jeff Passan
AL MVP
Winner: Alex Rodriguez(notes) Adrian Gonzalez(notes) Adrian Gonzalez
Dark horse: Carl Crawford(notes) Robinson Cano(notes) Nelson Cruz(notes)
       
NL MVP
Winner: Albert Pujols(notes) Ryan Braun(notes) Jason Heyward(notes)
Dark horse: Chipper Jones(notes) Troy Tulowitzki(notes) Ryan Braun
       
AL Cy Young
Winner: David Price(notes) Jon Lester(notes)  Jon Lester
Dark horse: Trevor Cahill(notes) Jered Weaver(notes) John Danks(notes)
       
NL Cy Young
Winner: Roy Halladay(notes) Roy Halladay Roy Halladay
Dark horse: Clayton Kershaw(notes) Matt Cain(notes) Tommy Hanson(notes)
 
AL Rookie of the Year
Winner: Jeremy Hellickson(notes) Jeremy Hellickson Jeremy Hellickson
Dark horse: J.P. Arencibia(notes) Michael Pineda(notes) Mike Moustakas(notes)
       
NL Rookie of the Year
Winner: Aroldis Chapman(notes) Freddie Freeman(notes) Brandon Belt(notes)
Dark horse: Brandon Belt Danny Espinosa(notes) Craig Kimbrel(notes)
       
AL HR leader
Winner: Adam Dunn(notes) Adrian Gonzalez Alex Rodriguez
Dark horse: Mark Reynolds(notes) Jose Bautista(notes) Mark Trumbo(notes)
       
NL HR leader
Winner: Albert Pujols Prince Fielder(notes) Mike Stanton(notes)
Dark horse: Dan Uggla(notes) Mike Stanton Jay Bruce(notes)
 
AL batting champ
Winner: Joe Mauer(notes) Ichiro Suzuki(notes) Ichiro Suzuki
Dark horse: Robinson Cano Carl Crawford Carl Crawford
       
NL batting champ
Winner: Carlos Gonzalez(notes) Joey Votto(notes) Albert Pujols
Dark horse: Hanley Ramirez(notes) Matt Holliday(notes) Starlin Castro(notes)
       
MVPs-in-waiting
AL Evan Longoria(notes) Robinson Cano Carlos Santana(notes)
NL Jason Heyward Ryan Braun Buster Posey(notes)
       
Cy Youngs-in-waiting
AL Clay Buchholz(notes) David Price Justin Verlander(notes)
NL Matt Cain Clayton Kershaw Clayton Kershaw
       
Comeback players
AL Manny Ramirez(notes) Justin Morneau(notes) Justin Morneau
NL Pablo Sandoval(notes) Nate McLouth(notes) Chipper Jones
       
Breakout hitter
AL Matt Wieters(notes) Nick Markakis(notes) Travis Snider(notes)
NL Colby Rasmus(notes) Matt Kemp(notes) Mike Morse
 
Breakout pitchers
AL Jeff Niemann(notes) Gio Gonzalez(notes) Brandon Morrow(notes)
NL Jonathan Sanchez(notes) Tommy Hanson Julio Teheran(notes)
       
First home run of 2011
  Joey Votto Alex Rodriguez Jason Heyward
       
First manager fired
  Jim Riggleman Brad Mills Edwin Rodriguez
       
First GM fired
  Tony Reagins Tony Reagins Neal Huntington
       
First irrational Hank Steinbrenner comment
  July 4 May 12 Tomorrow
 
Fastest Aroldis Chapman pitch
  105.2 104.5 104.7
 
  April 2, 2012 May 30, 2012 June 5, 2012
 
Chase Utley(notes) games played
  101 77 22
 
Wins for the Phantastic Four
  67 68 68
 
Albert Pujols contract/team
  8 yrs/$220M/Cubs 9 yrs/$245M/Cardinals 10yrs/$280M/Cardinals
 
  June 3, 2011 July 1, 2011 June 10, 2011
 
No. 1 overall draft pick
  Gerrit Cole Gerrit Cole Bubba Starling
 
Date of Derek Jeter's(notes) 3,000th hit
  July 4 June 20 June 9
 
Date of Jim Thome’s(notes) 600th home run
  June 6 Aug. 4 Aug. 19
 
Jose Bautista home runs
  31 37 31
 
Longest home run
  Alex Rodriguez, 495 Mike Stanton, 525 Mike Stanton, 497
 
Brandon Belt called up
  April 25, 2011 March 31, 2011 May 6, 2011
 
Number of no-hitters
  1 4 1
 
Runs scored by Red Sox
  900 897 918
 
Runs scored by Yankees
  835 877 891
 
  2.99 3.14 2.74
 
  Sept. 1, 2011 May 15, 2012 July 28, 2011
 
Percentage ownership sold by Mets owners
  100 49 100
 
Percentage ownership sold by Frank McCourt
  0 0 0
 
  April 2, 2012 Sept. 18, 2011 Opening day, 2012
 
Will Brian Wilson(notes) shave his beard?
  Yes, but keeps mustache Yes, after fifth blown save No, dyes it blonde
 
Regular season predictions
 
AL East
  Red Sox: 101-61 Red Sox: 98-64 Red Sox 95-67
  Yankees: 91-71 Yankees: 93-69 Yankees: 92-70
  Rays: 85-77 Rays: 87-75 Rays: 90-72
  Blue Jays: 78-84 Blue Jays: 79-83 Blue Jays: 77-85
  Orioles: 77-85 Orioles: 79-83 Orioles: 75-87
 
AL Central
  Twins: 84-78 White Sox: 85-77 Twins: 88-74
  White Sox: 83-79 Twins: 84-78 Tigers: 85-77
  Tigers: 82-80 Tigers: 83-79 White Sox: 83-79
  Indians: 75-87 Indians: 70-92 Indians: 70-92
  Royals: 64-98 Royals: 65-95 Royals: 68-94
 
AL West
  Athletics: 88-74 Rangers: 88-74 Rangers: 88-74
  Rangers: 86-76 Athletics: 87-75 Angels: 83-79
  Angels: 80-82 Angels: 80-82 Athletics: 81-81
  Mariners: 60-102 Mariners: 61-101 Mariners: 67-95
 
NL East
  Braves: 92-70 Braves: 90-72 Phillies: 94-68
  Phillies: 91-71 Phillies: 89-73 Braves: 92-70
  Marlins: 84-78 Marlins: 85-77 Marlins: 78-84
  Mets: 77-85 Mets: 78-84 Mets: 74-88
  Nationals: 75-87 Nationals: 71-91 Nationals: 73-89
 
NL Central
  Reds: 89-73 Brewers: 88-74 Reds: 91-71
  Cardinals: 84-78 Reds: 87-75 Cubs: 83-79
  Brewers: 82-80 Cardinals: 83-79 Cardinals: 81-81
  Cubs: 75-87 Cubs: 77-85 Brewers: 80-82
  Astros: 75-87 Astros: 72-90 Astros: 68-94
  Pirates: 69-93 Pirates: 70-92 Pirates: 66-96
 
NL West
  Giants: 88-74 Giants 89-73 Dodgers 87-75
  Rockies: 85-77 Rockies 87-75 Rockies: 86-76
  Dodgers: 81-81 Padres 83-79 Giants: 86-76
  Padres: 79-83 Dodgers 74-88 Padres: 76-86
  Diamondbacks: 70-92 Diamondbacks 68-94 Diamondbacks: 73-89
 
Postseason predictions
 
ALDS
  Red Sox over Twins Red Sox over White Sox Red Sox over Rangers
  Athletics over Yankees Yankees over Rangers Yankees over Twins
 
NLDS
  Giants over Braves Brewers over Braves Phillies over Dodgers
  Phillies over Reds Phillies over Giants Braves over Reds
 
ALCS
  Red Sox over Athletics Yankees over Red Sox Red Sox over Yankees
 
NLCS
  Giants over Phillies Brewers over Phillies Braves over Phillies
 
World Series
  Red Sox over Giants Yankees over Brewers Red Sox over Braves