Big League Stew - MLB

'Tis the season to be dealing, so in a recurring feature, Big League Stew analyzes the bigger trades made around the majors.

This is Fair Trade.

What's the deal: On Friday afternoon, St. Louis and Oakland agreed to a trade that will send outfielder Matt Holliday(notes) and $1.5 million to the Cardinals in exchange for a trio of young players that includes third baseman Brett Wallace(notes), one of St. Louis' most prized prospects.  

What the Cardinals are getting: The Busch Stadium faithful have long coveted a corner outfielder who could provide Albert Pujols(notes) protection in the otherwise-thin Cardinals lineup and Holliday has always fit that mold. Today, Holliday is finally bound for the Gateway Arch — actually, Philadelphia, where the Cardinals are playing — and will bring his rejuvenated season with him.

Though Holliday's early-season struggles in pitcher-friendly Oakland were well-publicized, he's rebounded in recent weeks and has hit .338/.413/.574 with three homers and 14 RBIs in the month of July. He'll be a great fit for a team that has plenty of pitching, but not very much hitting, and here's betting he'll enjoy playing in Busch Stadium, which trends more neutral than stingy Oakland Coliseum.  Oh, and that sound you just heard? Yeah, that was managers in the NL Central groaning over the loss of the ability to focus solely on stopping Albert Pujols.

What the A's are getting: During the offseason, GM Billy Beane felt the AL West was a very winnable division and made the big trade to get Holliday from Colorado. Oakland, though, never became a contender and Beane was forced to make this move so he could recoup Huston Street(notes), Carlos Gonzalez(notes) and Greg Smith(notes) to the Rockies.  

Wallace is clearly the crown jewel of Oakland's haul and is the key to how this trade will be judged in the future. A first round pick of the Cardinals in 2008 and ranked as the 42nd best prospect in all of baseball, Wallace is a big third baseman with a big bat and an ever bigger behind. (Described as "a good athlete stuck in a bad body," some might even call him the proverbial "load".)  Wallace bats lefty and is currently hitting .293/.346/.423 with 11 homers and 35 RBIs in stops with Springfield and Memphis this year. He'll never be a defensive presence, but with his bat, no one will even think to ask him about being one. He'll be a great fit in the American League. 

Oakland is also said to be receiving outfielder Shane Peterson and righty Clayton Mortenson. Peterson is a 21-year-old who was just named to the Florida State League All-Star team, while Mortenson, 24, was recently called up to the Cardinals for three innings of work. 

Knee-jerk evaluation:  It's always dangerous to judge a trade while the ink on the paperwork is still wet and my initial thought is that both Beane and John Mozeliak achieved what they set out to do for their teams. Both could end up very happy with their result. 

However, it's no fun to declare ties, which is why I'll give the initial edge to Beane and the A's based on the fact that they regained the kitty lost on the trade with Colorado over the winter and that it remains unseen if the Cardinals will hang onto Holliday when he becomes a free agent at the end of the season. (St. Louis will get two draft picks if they lose him.)

I have the feeling that everyone is going to point to the 1997 Mark McGwire trade between the two teams — which the Cards no doubt won — and issue a precautionary tale for this deal. It should be noted, though, that the Cardinals didn't win the division that season and it was only McGwire's extended stay in St. Louis that made the deal such a winner.

If Holliday, a 29-year-old Oklahoman, decides with his free agent (Scott Boras) that he'd like to make the Midwest his long-term home, I'll definitely feel differently about this deal.

However with St. Louis investing more risk, I'll laud Oakland just a bit more right now.

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185 Comments

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  1. Five_outs
    1. Posted by Five_outs Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:19 pm EDT

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    St Louis got the better of the deal.
  2. freezy
    2. Posted by freezy Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:22 pm EDT

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    detroit needs a bat now.
  3. Matt
    3. Posted by Matt Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:23 pm EDT

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    Wallace is a great young talent....but I've always questioned whether he could remain at 3B, even with his bat.
    1B is probably the best place for him.......and in St. Louis, that would obviously never happen. He should be a better fit in Oakland.
    Need to see for sure who the other 2 players are....but I think the A's may not have gotten enough back......
    But of course, that's an initial reaction....
  4. Lucas
    4. Posted by Lucas Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:23 pm EDT

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    The Central just got a little bit tougher for us Reds fans. Of course as a Reds fan, we could be playing knothole and it would be tough.
  5. Shrek
    5. Posted by Shrek Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:25 pm EDT

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    Go Cubbies
  6. Matthew C
    6. Posted by Matthew C Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:25 pm EDT

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    Damn I knew shoulda grabbed Holliday while I could have.
  7. Dan Cinadr
    7. Posted by Dan Cinadr Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:26 pm EDT

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    I agree, the A's get prime talent and are reloading for a future run. The uncertainty of Holliday's future in St. Louis is a big issue.
  8. russell
    8. Posted by russell Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:27 pm EDT

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    st louis got him just in time to play against the Phillies.
  9. Audel R
    9. Posted by Audel R Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:27 pm EDT

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    lets go A's
  10. Joe B
    10. Posted by Joe B Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:29 pm EDT

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    Wonder if McGwire will tinker with his swing again in St Louis?
  11. Rob Iracane
    11. Posted by Rob Iracane Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:29 pm EDT

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    The Yankees won the trade. The Yankees win everything.
  12. Thinkagain
    12. Posted by Thinkagain Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:30 pm EDT

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    The A's just received three prospects for a guy they would have lost at the end of the season.
    The Cards may or may not be able to sign Holliday. The A's definately got the better end of this deal.
  13. Drew D
    13. Posted by Drew D Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:31 pm EDT

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    Best evaluation I have read yet. No clear cut winner or loser and potentially could be win-win.
    A World Series for STL and this is all moot.
  14. Drew D
    14. Posted by Drew D Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:31 pm EDT

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    Best evaluation I have read yet. No clear cut winner or loser and potentially could be win-win.
    A World Series for STL and this is all moot.
  15. Carole L
    15. Posted by Carole L Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:31 pm EDT

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    One can easily say that the Cards are now the class of the central, and possibly the NL. They are one starter away from perfection. They will sign Holliday for 3 years and Albert will stay a Cardinal which in the long run is a win win situation for Cards fans, GO CARDS!!!
  16. Steve P
    16. Posted by Steve P Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:31 pm EDT

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    Pujols.... Holliday.... Ludwick......... that is nasty!
  17. Boobie
    17. Posted by Boobie Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:35 pm EDT

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    Not to mention Troy Glaus is coming back soon and Mark Derosa is starting to swing the bat. Watch out.
  18. george s
    18. Posted by george s Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:37 pm EDT

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    This solves one problem, but still leaves a starting pitcher that has to be filled. If the cardinals want to make a move, than ankiel and another player have to go, I still like cliff lee as it gives them a lefty to contend to, bette balance to their rotation.
  19. Charles D
    19. Posted by Charles D Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:37 pm EDT

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    I trhink this move also helps persuade Albert to stay in St. Louis.
  20. Terry D
    20. Posted by Terry D Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:38 pm EDT

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    As an A's fan I am glad to see Holiday get traded because we know he's not gonna resign with us anyways. Atleast we get 3 prospects over 1 supplemental pick.
  21. ne1_c_my_head
    21. Posted by ne1_c_my_head Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:39 pm EDT

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    A's got the better deal for sure. They got big time prospects for a half year rental.
  22. kali_forn_ian
    22. Posted by kali_forn_ian Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:40 pm EDT

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    the a's got a top prospect and the cardinals got a guy for half a season. why is this even debated?
  23. Flyin Ryan
    23. Posted by Flyin Ryan Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:41 pm EDT

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    this is an interesting move. I think of Holliday as an elite 3 hole hitter (just like Pujols) because he brings not only Power and drives in runs, but he also has some speed. Holliday would ideally fit in a line-up hitting 3rd with the likes of a proto-typical clean up hitter behind him such as a Prince Fielder, Texiera, or Dunn protecting him.
  24. Eminem S
    24. Posted by Eminem S Fri Jul 24, 2009 2:42 pm EDT

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    good deal for both teams right now..if Holliday stays in StL for more than this year its a big Win for the Cards, and if Wallace turns into a power-hitting 3B/DH in Oakland then its more of a draw considering the losses they amounted in the winter just to get Holliday
    and 11 is right, the Yankees did win here, if only for 3 games. Now they don't have to worry about pitching to the one dangerous hitter in that A's lineup (as if they arent going to put up at least 6 or 7 runs in the next three games anyway)

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