Mon May 19, 2008 12:30 pm EDT
While the morning rumors about Ned Yost's ouster in Milwaukee appear to be a little rushed — or at least in a holding pattern — it's never too early to talk about which manager will be the first to get heaved over the side this season.
A look at the possible victims, followed by a BLS poll:
Ned Yost, Brewers: For the reasons I outlined this morning, Yost seems the most likely to be sacrificed in an attempt to jump start a once-promising team. The Brewers have lost five in a row and 12 of 17. If the season is to be saved, a shakeup in the dugout is probably in order.
Jim Leyland, Tigers: After being predicted by many (including Sports Illustrated) to win the World Series, the Tigers instead have the worst record in the AL. Leyland says he is "totally out of answers" and will meet with GM Dave Dombrowski today to discuss what needs to be done. There is no indication the changes would involve dumping Leyland, but how much longer before the crusty ol' vet is either fired or being so upset with his team's play that he simply resigns?
Ozzie Guillen, White Sox: The White Sox being in first place aside, I'm of the belief that Ozzie Guillen's job will alway be safe so long as there is life in Jerry Reinsdorf's stubborn body. Not only is the White Sox owner extremely loyal to Guillen and GM Kenny Williams, he'd also never eat Guillen's contract, which runs through 2012. Still, Guillen has already gone through a few controversies this season (blowup dolls, ranting about the team's second-place status in Chicago) and, as Y! Sports Tony Gwynn believes, those types of outbursts will always keep Guillen one big blowup away from leaving Reinsdorf no other choice.
Willie Randolph, Mets: Friday's rainout led to lots of empty news columns to fill, which led to plenty of speculation about Randolph's future at Shea Stadium in Saturday's papers. While that guesswork carried over to ESPN's Sunday night broadcast when it was discussed by Joe Morgan, Randolph's future has been eased — at least temporarily — by a two-game sweep of the Yankees. However, with the Mets somewhat disappointed by what they see as a slow start (22-19, one game behind the Marlins for first-place in the NL East), Randolph's future is going to be in doubt until the team can reel off an extended winning streak and take firm control of the division. The stain of the '07 freefall isn't going to wash out easily.
Other: Until the Rangers went on a hot streak to play their way back into the AL West race, Ron Washington would have been a no-brainer for the above collage. The play of Josh Hamilton and his teammates have taken away some pressure, though ... Colorado's Clint Hurdle and San Diego's Bud Black are both weathering awful starts, but have the backing of their higher ups ... The Giants' Bruce Bochy would be up for inspection had anyone actually expected the Giants to do anything this year ... The Mariners' John McLaren could be in trouble if the front office gets cleaned out.
Which manager do you think will be the first to go? Why?
Big League Stew is an MLB blog edited by Kevin Kaduk. Email him, and follow him on Twitter.

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117 Comments
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Leyland is the most likely to get dumped.
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Oh yea, giving a big contract to a guy who never played a single regular season game made no sense then and still doesn't.
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Yost deserves to be fired. I remember the Cardinals game last year when he got players ejected for beaning Cardinals pitchers. He doesn't know how to manage, his players don't respect him, and his team is underperforming.
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