Waiver Wire Tips

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For more from Jeff Andriesse, go to RotoExperts.com

I spend countless hours trying to sell the merits of fantasy basketball to my friends, families, readers, colleagues, complete strangers on the street, police officers, and eventually the judge. It’s tough being an ambassador for a game that feels like a little secret between the enlightened in a world dominated by football and baseball. I’m a true believer, selling a product with the enthusiasm of Billy Mays, that is until the season actually starts and I’m reminded of the game’s imperfections. Specifically, I’m referring to the inevitable wave of injuries that strike each season and kill my fervor for our favorite fantasy endeavor.

We’re already seeing it this year, a little over a week in. The news that Kevin Martin(notes) could miss significant time has cast a pall over not only a few of my teams, but the entire fantasy landscape. He joins Pau Gasol(notes), Devin Harris(notes), Blake Griffin(notes) and several other stars who can’t stay on the court. And the less stars we have – not to mention the fact that we have no choice but to stash them on our thin benches and wait out their injuries – the less fun we have.

So no, this isn’t perfect. It can be pretty infuriating, in fact. But instead of crying about it any more, let’s dive in to the muck of the waiver wire and see if we can’t stop the bleeding just a little.

As we’ll do every week, we’ll break down potential pickups into different formats. Ownership percentages are based on the Yahoo! fantasy game.

UNIVERSAL PICKUPS
Corey Brewer(notes) (SG/SF, MIN) – 27% – I had Brewer in the “Deep Cuts” section last week, but it has become clear he is going to play, and play a lot, this season. With five starts and an average of over 35 minutes per game so far, Brewer is going to be a boon to any team in need of steals. He’ll score enough not to kill you and add key blocks and rebounds from a guard. Brewer’s 36.4 percent shooting from the field makes us wince, but we’re talking about the waiver wire here. Nobody’s perfect. Adjust according to your team needs.

Chris Douglas-Roberts(notes) (PG/SG/SF, NJN) – 40% – Douglas-Roberts has been going off recently, so he appears here on merit. While Devin Harris is out he makes sense as a scorer on the Nets and he has delivered to the tune of 21.3 points in his last three games. He’s also added a few rebounds, steals and threes. While we could see Douglas-Roberts getting a little trigger happy in the coming weeks as his team is getting blown out, you have to take a flier on him if you are hurting right now. Just don’t expect anything out of him on Friday night as he’s doubtful with the flu. (Did I mention the flu? It’s going around and causing more unnecessary havoc. No fun.)

Roy Hibbert(notes) (C, IND) – 50% – I know anyone who plays in a real league is laughing at this suggestion, but Hibbert is at just 50 percent ownership in Yahoo! leagues. After two lukewarm games to start the season, a few folks might have given up on him. It’s time to rush to your waiver wire to see if he’s available. Hibbert is the only real low post option for Indiana and they’ll feed him the ball often. The return of Danny Granger(notes) only helps Hibbert, who by the way can also swat shots – nine in four games so far to be exact.

Andres Nocioni(notes) (SF/PF, SAC) – 11% – It’s always fun writing about someone who was just arrested on suspicion of drunk driving. The punchline is that Nocioni was just handed the starting small forward spot in Sacramento on a silver platter. Desmond Mason(notes) was released, Kevin Martin is hurt and Francisco Garcia(notes) is out for four months. Someone with Nocioni’s skills should shine in fantasy, just be sure you know the outcomes of his legal entanglements before running him out there.

Hakim Warrick(notes) (SF/PF, MIL) – 24% – Warrick finally got a start for the Bucks and has a chance to solidify himself in the Milwaukee’s lineup going forward. He played 34 minutes on Tuesday and had a double-double of 11 points and 10 boards with a steal and a block. He can score more than that on an anemic Milwaukee team, but his peripheral stats won’t be anything to write home about. Warning: Warrick has disappointed in the past. Don’t expect too much.

STOPGAPS (Short-term value)

Rafer Alston(notes) (PG, NJN) – 17% – Now’s the chance to make a run at Alston after his last two horrific games – 4.5 PTS, 4.5 AST, 3-for-16 FG – as there won’t be a stampede to pick him up. With Devin Harris sidelined for up to a month, Alston is going to run the Nets, probably into the ground. But he’ll get enough minutes to be worth a temp job.

Larry Hughes(notes) (SG/SF, MIL) – 56% – Hughes is seeing major court time with Nate Robinson(notes) sidelined. Robinson could be back soon, but I still think Hughes will man the shooting guard spot enough to return intermittent fantasy value. Think two good games followed by a stinker, and a field goal percentage that will make you hold your nose. These days, you might have to take that.

Quentin Richardson(notes) (SG/SF, MIA) – 19% – Richardson’s two straight monster games (averaged 18.5 PTS, 9.5 REB, 4.5 3FG) would normally have fantasy geeks lining up around the block for him, but this is Q-Rich we’re talking about. We are very leery of someone who has such poor shot selection and has disappointed so often in his career. Keep in mind, however, that he’s an above-average rebounding guard, so those stats aren’t necessarily an anomaly. The threes will be there, and his main competition, Daequan Cook(notes), has had shoulder problems that could catapult Richardson to major minutes. He’s in the short term section because the Heat are still tinkering a bit with Michael Beasley(notes) as a potential small forward with Udonis Haslem(notes) at the ‘4’. He’s not universal because nothing is set in stone in Miami.

Beno Udrih(notes) (PG, SAC) – 6% – Martin’s injury could keep him out for a while, probably pushing Tyreke Evans(notes) to shooting guard and giving Beno the reins of the team once again. Udrih has played well in flashes this season but really isn’t a high-end point guard. As a starter last year he averaged 11.0 points and 4.7 assists with a smattering of steals and threes. The Kings are decimated right now, and Udrih could have some nice value for a while.

DEEP CUTS (Pickups for larger leagues)
Josh Boone(notes) (PF/C, NJN) – 1% – Yi Jianlian(notes) is hurt right now, and Boone could take advantage of the minutes. He’s a quality rebounder and could play alongside Brook Lopez(notes) for 25-30 minutes per game in the short term. His 11 points, eight boards, two steals and a block Wednesday vs. Denver gives you an idea of what he is capable of.

Erick Dampier(notes) (C, DAL) – 32% – Dampier teases us like this every year. Every. Year. I’m not biting, but in deep leagues he should be on rosters that need a center. Double-digit boards in his last four games and 12 blocks in last three.

Udonis Haslem (PF/C, MIA) – 44% – Haslem’s just a flat-out producer, albeit one who isn’t good enough in standard shallow leagues because he doesn’t block or steal. Expect an unimpressive yet effective chance at a double-double every night with decent percentages.

Chuck Hayes(notes) (PF/C, HOU) – 15% – Hayes is becoming a key strongman underneath on a tough Houston team. They’ll play him 25-30 minutes, and he’ll approach 10 boards per game and 50-plus percent shooting with this playing time. He’s never been known to do much else, though.

Anthony Morrow(notes) (SG/SF, GSW) – 22% – We’re only three games into the season for the Warriors, but Morrow was on fire the other night, finishing with 24 points on 10-of-12 shooting. Don Nelson is his coach, but Nellie likes Morrow a lot and his instant offense off the bench. Expect the unexpected with any Warrior.

Dahntay Jones(notes) (SG, IND) – 5% – Averaging 15.5 points so far and out-playing Brandon Rush(notes). Jones is not a long-term bet you want to make, but while he’s rolling and the Pacers around him are dinged up, he’ll put up some nice stats.

Oleksiy Pecherov(notes) (PF/C, MIN) – 5% – Three straight starts, improved points in his last three games from eight to 13 to 24, confidence rising on a team that is looking for someone on the front line to help out Al Jefferson(notes). You could really do worse.

THIS WEEK’S TEAM BUILDING EXERCISE
Impatient owners can be taken advantage of in November as the guys they drafted early continue to struggle. Some players who should be worth more than you’ll have to give up if you move quickly: Derrick Rose(notes), Andrew Bogut(notes), T.J. Ford(notes), Jose Calderon(notes), Leandro Barbosa(notes), LaMarcus Aldridge(notes). Now’s the time to strike.

Jeff Andriesse can’t refresh his web browser without news of another one of his fantasy players contracting H1N1 or something. Commisserate with him at jeff@rotoexperts.com and follow him on Twitter.

Updated Nov 6, 5:23 pm EST
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18 Comments

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  1. paul
    18. Posted by paul Mon Nov 9 1:20pm EST

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    and to #16....you'd have to be crazy to trade kidd for jennings. i dont care how many PGs you have on your team, that's a terrible trade. trade kidd for an established player. you can pretty much get any position you need for kidd. jennings is just a rook. kidd is a top 10 fantasy player like 7 years in a row.

    how you got CP3, kidd and calderon i dont know. are you playing in a 6 team league?
  2. paul
    17. Posted by paul Mon Nov 9 1:17pm EST

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    how do you mention chuck hayes but not mention his most important stat...STEALS?! the chuckwagon is top ten in stl% (an analytics stat). only pick up chuck hayes if you team is in need of steals and rebounds. that's what i got him for (and to fill in until vince carter is back).
  3. kelvin
    16. Posted by kelvin Sat Nov 7 11:59pm EST

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    #4,should i trade kidd for jennings?i already have cp3,calderon,ellis and bibby.
  4. <i>johnrrawson</i>
    15. Posted by johnrrawson Sat Nov 7 1:11am EST

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    I'm with the writer on the fun of fantasy basketball. I actually enjoy it more than football and baseball. BUT, why is there no DL or injury slot on the yahoo leagues like there is for baseball and hockey? Especially with the continual rash of injuries that fantasy basketball has? It does take away the fun to have cut good players, OR, to stash them and get killed in your league because you start less players. Just wondering....
  5. <i>alleversun</i>
    14. Posted by alleversun Fri Nov 6 9:36pm EST

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    @nick, no actually you are wrong. Jordan Hill was picked by the Knicks at #8 and Jennings was picked by the Bucks at #10. So the Knicks did willingly pass on Jennings. The Knicks actually wanted Curry but he was taken one pick before. But you are correct that the Knicks front office suck hard! They shoulda been all over Young Money
  6. nick
    13. Posted by nick Fri Nov 6 7:24pm EST

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    to #5
    I think Knicks wanted Jennings, but he was taken one pick ahead of the Knicks' pick. So they chose Jordan Hill instead. They didn't willingly pass on Jennings. Just Knicks' front office suk hard.
  7. <i>million_dollar_sleeper</i>
    12. Posted by million_dollar_sleeper Tue Nov 3 1:52pm EST

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    gallinari rules. the knicks will be looking to catch up in a lot of games
  8. JJ
    11. Posted by JJ Tue Nov 3 10:48am EST

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    Kristic and Yi just lost ownerships big-time. A good pick up is the ever unpopular Larry Hughes
  9. <i>brownpoundz03</i>
    10. Posted by brownpoundz03 Tue Nov 3 1:29am EST

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    last i recalled cp3 didnt average 5 turnovers agame !!!!!!
  10. King Jay-I
    9. Posted by King Jay-I Mon Nov 2 5:34pm EST

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    I told them MFers BJennings was the NBAs 2nd coming of CP3
  11. Max
    8. Posted by Max Mon Nov 2 1:24pm EST

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    go deeper my friend. (that's what she said?) all those guys were taken on draft day in my league. give us a little love for those super-deep leagues....ones where demarre carroll is rostered lol
  12. HITTINGOPRAHDAILY
    7. Posted by HITTINGOPRAHDAILY Mon Nov 2 12:17am EST

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    Spell check Danny D...spell check
  13. Danny D
    6. Posted by Danny D Sun Nov 1 12:55pm EST

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    no thats to say that d'antoni ocached in italy and brought his system over here hte european style of play which obviously sumone from europe fits
  14. Velvet Hoops
    5. Posted by Velvet Hoops Sat Oct 31 8:36pm EDT

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    knicks should have drafted jennings. im from nyc and i was screaming at the tv when they passed on him and took some other bum whos name i cant even remember. jordan something, but he doesnt deserve to hold the jordan name
  15. <i>byob4me222</i>
    4. Posted by byob4me222 Sat Oct 31 1:35am EDT

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    The knicks are horrible and will be for a lonnnnnnnng time. No defense in D'Antoni's system is the reason. As far as Jennings go, I drafted him when I knew he was starting. Plus I'll get to see him in person, since I live in Milwaukee. Nothing better than going to the game and having some fantasy plyers to cheer for.
  16. Millertime
    3. Posted by Millertime Fri Oct 30 11:25pm EDT

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    Jennings almost had a trip double in his first NBA game. This guy is going to be a beast!
  17. M. R.
    2. Posted by M. R. Fri Oct 30 9:50pm EDT

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    "...but the fact that Gallinari is not only Italian but also D’Antoni’s ’08 draft day gamble makes him a lock to see plenty of court time as long as he’s healthy."

    Is that to say D'antoni will play him more because he is Italian as well??? Really???
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